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2004 NFL Draftees Impact Report - AFC South
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Offense by Colin Dowling; Defense by Aaron Rudnicki Posted 5/25 - Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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HOUSTON TEXANS
1.10 (10) - Dunta Robinson - Cornerback - South Carolina - After spending
their last 2 first round picks on offense (David Carr and Andre Johnson), the
Texans turned to defense this year. The Texans finished 2003 ranked dead last
in total defense and 31st in pass defense so they had plenty of needs to fill.
Vince Wilfork was a consideration but Robinson is a player that can fill several
needs for them. He has only average size for a CB at just under 5'11",
but he has great speed (4.34 40), athletic ability (36" vertical), and
plays a very physical game. Mel Kiper described him as the best run support
CB to come out of the draft in the past 5 years so he should help improve the
run defense as well. He has only played 2 full years at CB since transferring
from safety so he still needs some work on his technique, and he hasn't demonstrated
great ball skills with only 1 INT in 2003 (which he returned for a TD). Nevertheless,
this was a good pick for the Texans that should pay dividends immediately.
Fantasy Outlook: The addition of Robinson allows the Texans to upgrade
two positions on defense, as he is expected to start immediately at CB, which
will allow the Texans to move Marcus Coleman to FS. Robinson definitely deserves
to be one of the top 2 rookie CBs (along with DeAngelo Hall) taken in both redraft
and dynasty leagues because of his tackling ability and the fact that he will
start from Day 1. As a rookie, he will also likely get picked on often playing
opposite Pro Bowler Aaron Glenn. Glenn should make a great mentor for Robinson,
who has the potential to develop into a shutdown CB in time. The Texans secondary
should be much improved this season, and an improved front 7 should provide
a bigger pass rush, which should in turn lead to plenty of INT opportunities.
1.27 (27) - Jason Babin - Defensive End / Outside Linebacker - Western Michigan
- The Texans also ranked 31st in the league in sacks, so they needed to
add a player who could put heat on opposing QBs. To fill that need, they gave
up a lot in a trade with the Titans to move up and select Jason Babin out of
the MAC. Babin was a 2-year starter at DE for Western Michigan, and put up 15
sacks in his junior and senior seasons. He is somewhat undersized (6'2",
260) to play DE in the pros, and the Texans plan to use him as a rush LB in
their 3-4 scheme. Babin is a blue collar player with a nonstop motor who has
been very productive at the mid-major college level. As with almost all DE to
LB conversions, the biggest adjustment for him in learning the LB position will
come in coverage. He is a good athlete and ran one of the best 40 times among
all defensive linemen at the combine (4.64), so he should be able to make the
transition.
Fantasy Outlook: Considering how much the Texans gave up to get him,
one has to figure that they believe he is an ideal fit for what they want from
an outside LB. He may only start out as a situational pass rusher, like Terrell
Suggs was used last year in Baltimore, but he should eventually take over for
Charlie Clemons as the every down ROLB. Short-term, he is going to need time
to adjust to lining up in a 2 point stance, but he could make an immediate impact
as a pass rusher. He has limited value in redraft leagues, but he is worthy
of serious consideration in dynasty leagues. As long as he is classified as
a LB, his value will be limited in standard leagues because he probably won't
put up very many tackles (ILBs Sharper and Foreman will continue to get most
of those), but he has added value in leagues that value sacks highly. He could
have extra value in any leagues where he is classified as a DL (similar to what
happened to Willie McGinest last year) so keep an eye on where your league has
him listed.
4.26 (122) - Glenn Earl - Strong Safety - Notre Dame - Earl suffered
a torn ACL midway through the season last year, but is supposedly making a quick
recovery. He has good size (6'1", 222) and had decent speed (4.65 40) prior
to the injury, but the injury makes him a bit of a risk. Nevertheless, he's
a good tackler and big hitter, who should be able to help out right away in
defending the run, while working on his coverage skills. Earl is described as
a smart player with natural instincts who plays hard. He is also a former receiver,
so he has decent ball skills.
Fantasy Outlook: Earl will need some time to recover from his knee injury
so he probably won't be much more than a depth and special teams player right
away. However, he has enough talent to eventually beat out Eric Brown for the
starting SS job and might be worthy of a roster spot in deep dynasty leagues
or possibly on a developmental squad.
6.05 (170) - Vontez Duff - Cornerback - Notre Dame - Duff was a 3-year
starter at Notre Dame at CB, but also contributed as a kick and punt returner
during those years. He doesn't have great height at just under 5'11", but
he has a thick build at 203 lbs. Duff is a tough and physical CB with decent
ball skills, but he lacks ideal speed and athleticism, and is probably best
suited to playing zone defense as he can be burned deep in man coverage.
Fantasy Outlook: Short-term, Duff will likely compete for a spot as
the Texans 4th CB while making his biggest contribution on special teams. He
could see action right away as a kick or punt returner and should be a solid
addition to the coverage units as well. Long-term, he probably doesn't project
to much more than a nickel back and his fantasy value is limited unless you
play in a league that requires starting a return specialist.
6.10 (175) - Jammal Lord - Running Back / Safety - Nebraska - Does anybody
else remember when Nebraska churned out NFL ready players as steadily as other
schools? Somewhere along the way, not only did the team start losing an "unacceptable"
amount of games, but they also forgot to develop a good bit of their talent.
Lord was one of the more intriguing picks of the draft. He replaced Eric Crouch
at QB in Nebraska's option offense and is much more of a runner than a passer.
He's very athletic with good size at 6'2", 220 lbs, and decent speed (4.57
40). He is a slash type player that could see time at a number of different
offensive positions (QB, RB, WR), but the Texans plan on trying to convert him
to safety. He has a good attitude and appears to be more willing to make this
switch than Crouch was, which is a promising sign. The odds are long either
way, but with enough hard work, he might find himself as a contributor on Special
Teams collecting an NFL paycheck.
Fantasy Outlook: Short-term, Lord is not expected to make much of an
impact as he will need plenty of time to learn his new position. He could earn
a roster spot on special teams, but might also get consideration for the practice
squad. Long-term, if he is able to make the transition and develops as a safety,
he could eventually compete for a starting spot but that is probably at least
a couple years away. Unless the Texans decide to use him in a slash role on
offense, his fantasy value is minimal.
6.35 (200) - Charlie Anderson - Outside Linebacker - Mississippi - The
Texans looked to add more depth to their front 7 by taking Anderson in round
6. He was a 3-year starter at DE who the Texans will move to OLB. For a LB,
he has good size (6'3", 242 lbs), great speed (4.57 40), and has shown
some pass rush ability (12.5 sacks). He's not likely to make an immediate impact
as he adjust to his new position.
Fantasy Outlook: Anderson is a developmental prospect who will add depth
at OLB and may contribute as a situational pass rusher or on special teams.
His fantasy value is minimal and he's probably not worth a roster spot in any
type of league.
7.09 (210) - Raheem Orr - Defensive End / Outside Linebacker - Rutgers -
The Texans obviously saw a big need at OLB, as Orr is the 3rd one they drafted
this year. He has been very productive over his last 2 years while playing DE
in the Big East - he put up 14 sacks, 34 tackles for loss, and 6 forced fumbles.
His measurables are similar to Babin - good size (6'3", 258 lbs) and good
speed (4.64) - but he struggles in run support.
Fantasy Outlook: Orr is another developmental prospect who may contribute
on special teams early on and could also compete for time as a situational pass
rusher. His fantasy value will remain minimal unless he somehow wins a starting
job.
7.10 (211) -Sloan Thomas - Wide Receiver - Texas - Thomas got drafted,
and BJ Johnson did not, based on their Pro Day. Thomas, who played third-fiddle
to Roy Williams and BJ Johnson for the last 4 years, had a better-than-expected
workout and got himself a draft slot. What's interesting about this is that
Thomas MIGHT find himself a job as kick returner and 4th WR this season depending
on how the team chooses to use Dunta Robinson. Thomas is a better returner than
receiver in the first place, and he has a solid enough work ethic that he could
pay off for the Texans. However, keep an eye on how he develops as a receiver,
as Bradford is getting a little older and Jabar Gaffney hasn't exactly made
great strides in the first 2 years of his development.
Redraft: Thomas has very little redraft value unless you play in a league
that allows you to start individual kick returners.
Dynasty: Thomas should only be rostered in leagues with virtually unlimited
rosters.
7.47 (248) - B.J. Symons - Quarterback - Texas Tech - Once upon a time,
playing in a QB friendly system would win you the Heisman (Andre Ware) or at
least fool the Bengals into wasting a first round pick on you (David Klingler).
No more. Now, people are more inclined to credit "the system" than
the player. In this case, that's a fair statement. Symons benefited greatly
from throwing short passes on a regular basis, and than throwing even shorter
passes when that got old. The Texas Tech offense was effective, yes, but don't
be fooled by Symons gaudy college numbers. A lot of those yards came after the
catch. What is most interesting is that Casserly and Co. clearly feel like Symons
had some value. He doesn't possess a great arm, nor does he have great accuracy.
However, he does stand in the pocket pretty well and showed some leadership
qualities.
Redraft: Symons has no value in redraft leagues, as at best, he'll be
3rd on the depth chart.
Dynasty: Symons has very little value in dynasty leagues as he may never
get on the field consistently.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS
2.12 (44) - Bob Sanders - Safety - Iowa - Last year, the Colts took
Dallas Clark out of Iowa with their first pick, and they took the Hawkeyes'
best defensive player with their first pick this year. The Colts traded down
from 29th to 44th overall but said they would have taken Sanders in round 1.
If he were just a couple inches taller, he'd be talked about in the same breath
as Sean Taylor. But, at only 5'8", 200 lbs, his size is a legitimate concern.
Nevertheless, he was a 3 time All-Big 10 selection and put up phenomenal numbers
at the combine (4.40 40 and 41.5" vertical). He has great range, instincts,
and can hit like a linebacker (which got him the nickname "hitman"),
but also has the speed and athleticism to cover like a corner when necessary.
Sanders was a fan favorite at Iowa who elevated the toughness of the entire
defense, and he should do the same in Indy. He has drawn comparisons to players
like Adam Archuleta, Mike Minter, and Mike Brown. Despite his size, Sanders
was considered to be the best in the box safety in this class, but the Colts
will use him at free safety. There is some concern that pairing him with Mike
Doss (5'10") will leave the Colts undersized in the secondary and make
it harder to defend against bigger WRs and TEs, but both play much bigger than
their size and should give the Colts a young, talented, aggressive safety tandem
to build around.
Fantasy Outlook: Sanders dropped to the 2nd round primarily because
of concerns about his height, but he also has a foot injury that may have concerned
some teams. He'll wear a protective boot during the summer for precautionary
reasons, but he should be ready to go at the beginning of training camp. As
long as he is able to play, he should have little difficulty beating out Idrees
Bashir for the starting FS spot. Although SS tend to be better fantasy producers
than FS, Sanders' range and tackling ability should allow him to rack up plenty
of tackles, making him worthy of being taken as high as the #2 or #3 rookie
DB off the board.
3.05 (68) - Ben Hartsock - Tight End - Ohio State - I don't know what
the deal is with team's wanting to show everybody, "hey, we draft according
to our board, not according to need!", as if doing so means you had a better
draft than the other guy. Just like Wilson going to the Chiefs in the 3rd, Hartstock
to the Colts makes very little sense. Yeah, yeah, I know. Pollard's getting
older and he makes a bit too much money for a second string tight end. But Dallas
Clark is recovered from injury by all accounts and he's clearly the team's future
at the position. Hartstock catches the ball fairly well, but he's not particularly
fast and his blocking, like most rookie Tight Ends, needs some work. Could he
be a decent second Tight End for the Colts in the future? Sure, he could. But
they passed on a lot of quality players to make this pick, particularly on the
defensive side of the ball.
Redraft: Hartstock has no value in redraft leagues
Dynasty: Hartstock should only be rostered in deep leagues as he'll
likely be the team's 3rd TE until Marcus Pollard moves on.
3.06 (69) - Gilbert Gardner - Outside Linebacker - Purdue - The Colts
lost their starting SLB Marcus Washington when he signed with the Redskins as
a free agent, so OLB was one of their biggest needs on draft day. Gardner was
a receiver in high school who moved to linebacker when he arrived at Purdue.
He got off to a great start in 2001 but suffered a broken leg after 8 games.
Then, he backed up Joe Odom (Bears) in 2002 before returning to the starting
lineup as a senior in 2003. He had a great senior season with 10.5 tackles for
loss, 1.5 sacks, 2 INTs, 4 FF, and 3 FR. He's got average size at 6'1",
229 lbs, but good speed (4.62 40) and good athleticism. He's got solid coverage
skills and is a tough, solid tackler. Some reports suggest he'd be a great fit
as a playmaking LB on the strong side, but others like Kiper suggest he's got
the tools to be very effective on the weak side. The biggest knock on him is
durability as he is still recovering from a shoulder injury suffered in the
Capital One Bowl.
Fantasy Outlook: On draft day, many expected Gardner to be slotted into
Marcus Washington's old spot at SLB. However, since then, the Colts have experimented
with moving David Thornton over to SLB, opening up the prime WLB spot in Dungy's
cover-2. If they stick with that plan, Gardner will likely be given a chance
to compete for playing time at the WLB spot. That situation will be watched
closely by fantasy owners in the preseason as Thornton and Mike Peterson have
both put up great numbers playing that position in the past. If Gardner emerges
as a strong candidate at WLB, he'll definitely have value in both redraft and
dynasty leagues. But, chances are he'll need some time to emerge. Personally,
I think the Colts would be smarter to keep Thornton at WLB where he excelled
last year, and try out Gardner on the strong side where his coverage skills
would be an asset. The concern there would be whether or not he was strong enough
to hold up at the point of attack. Either way, Gardner still has to prove he's
healthy so keep an eye on the situation before committing to him, but he might
be worth a flier if you have a roster space available.
4.11 (107) - Kendyll Pope - Outside Linebacker - Florida State - The
Colts added another OLB with their next pick when they took Pope out of Florida
State. Pope was a 3-year starter at WLB who took over after Tommy Polley left
for the NFL. He lacks great size (6'1", 226 lbs) and strength, but he has
good speed (4.65 40) and is very athletic. He was very productive when he played
and is a tough, fearless tackler that can make plays all over the field and
match up well in coverage. He has shown a willingness to play through pain but
he carries some durability concerns as he has had surgery on both shoulders
and missed time last year with knee and hamstring problems. He was projected
by some as a possible fit at strong safety in the pros, but he'll likely be
kept at WLB with the Colts.
Fantasy Outlook: Pope is somewhat of an underrated prospect because
of the durability concerns. Short-term, he'll likely provide quality depth at
WLB and contribute on special teams. He could also compete for playing time
right away if the Thornton move actually happens. If Thornton ends up being
kept at WLB, however, then Pope's fantasy value will be minimal. So, keep an
eye on the situation throughout training camp and be ready to scoop him up if
any promising reports come out.
4.29 (125) - Jason David - Cornerback - Washington State - Cornerback
was another big need for the Colts as they lost Walt Harris and David Macklin
from last year. It was surprising to many that they took a TE in round 3 instead
of addressing the CB position, but they finally added one in round 4 when they
selected Jason David. Davis is very small at only 5'8", 180 lbs and lacks
ideal speed (4.60 40), but he has great instincts and has been very productive
in his college career. He is a decent fit for the zone scheme used by the Colts
and he displayed great ball skills over the past couple years with 13 INTs,
earning 1st team All-PAC-10 honors as a senior.
Fantasy Outlook: He has limited upside because of his size and speed,
but he could compete for playing time as a nickel or dime back early on. Most
likely, he'll be a depth player and a special teams contributor, making his
fantasy value minimal.
5.09 (141) - Jake Scott - Offensive Tackle - Idaho - If Scott had been
at a more notable program, he might have been picked on the first day. He's
got fantastic size (6'5, 281) and he's been a starter since he was a freshman.
His fundamentals are rock-solid and he plays "from whistle to whistle."
He'll likely end up at Guard or possibly even Center unless he finds a way to
add the muscle needed to play a little further off the ball at tackle.
Redraft: N/A
Dynasty: N/A
6.08 (173) - Von Hutchins - Cornerback - Mississippi - The Colts added
another undersized player to their secondary in round 6. Hutchins is listed
at 5'9", 185 lbs, but he has great speed (4.46 40) and is a fluid athlete.
He is a tough player who likes to hit and actually started off his career at
safety. He broke his hand midway through his junior season and was moved to
CB to lessen the amount of physical contact. Hutchins has good ball skills as
evidenced by his 10 INTs over the past 2 years. He's a bit of a developmental
prospect considering he has only played CB for one full season, but he is a
good fit for the Colts style of defense.
Fantasy Outlook: Hutchins will need some time to develop and work on
his technique, but he's a physical player who should make an immediate contribution
on special teams. Long-term, he could develop into a solid nickel back for them
but his fantasy value will likely be minimal unless he emerges as a starter
somewhere down the road.
6.28 (193) - Jim Sorgi - Quarterback - Wisconsin - Another headscratcher
of a pick, the Colts used a 6th rounder (not a 7th rounder) on a quarterback
with virtually no upside. He's too thin. His arm is too weak. His accuracy is
marginal at best. Seeing as how the Colts have Peyton Manning on board, I'm
not sure what purpose trying to "develop" a longshot quarterback serves.
It will be interesting - well, mildly interesting - to see if Sorgi sticks on
the team in any capacity other than "practice squad."
Redraft: Sorgi has no redraft value
Dynasty: Sorgi has no redraft value unless he somehow steals Peyton
Manning's arm while no one is looking.
7.28 (229) - David Kimball - Kicker - Penn State - Don't think this
is a redux of Brett Conway vs. Mike Vanderjagt from last year. Kimball was drafted,
and presumably might get a job, by virtue of the fact that he's awfully good
at kickoffs. He only hit 2 of 5 field goals his senior year, but like I said,
that doesn't matter. If he sticks with the Colts, he'll be booting it out of
the endzone in the Dome for the next little while.
Redraft: Kimball has no value in redraft leagues
Dynasty: Kimball has no value in dynasty leagues as his work will likely
be limited entirely to kickoffs.
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
1.09 (9) - Reggie Williams - Wide Receiver - Washington - While everyone
was discussing the pros and cons of Larry Fitzgerald and Roy Williams, Reggie
Williams was very quietly being a topnotch prospect in his own right. If Fitz
had been denied draft-eligibility and Roy had left school last year, Reggie
Williams would have easily been the top WR taken. As it were, he ended up slipping
to 3rd player taken at his position, but still managed to go in the top-10.
Just so I can continue hammering home how much you should not overlook Williams's
talents, there have only been 11 WRs taken in the top-10 since 1997, and that
includes the 3 from this year's draft. We have every reason to believe Reggie
Williams will succeed in Jacksonville. He'll likely learn a lot from Jimmy Smith
and than take over as the team's #1 Wide Receiver in a year or two. He's got
the benefit of working with the QB he'll likely be catching from for the next
few years from day one, and he's going to a division that has exactly 1 shutdown
corner (Rolle) and 1 better than average corner (Glenn). In other words, the
AFC West (Champ, Woodson, Jammer) this is not. Reggie's strengths lie in his
size and brute ability to get through a crowded field and find extra yards.
Don't be surprised to see Williams used in the short middle/possession role
as the season begins to take advantage of his size and better-than-average route
running ability. However, it will only be a matter of time before he's worked
further outside and further down the field. He's not particularly quick, but
he's plenty fast and he should give defensive backs plenty of trouble in the
years to come.
Redraft: I like Williams's situation better than just about every other
rookie wideout this year. He's got plenty of talent, he runs routes well, and
the team's WR2a just left for Baltimore. I expect Williams will get on the field
early and often, and unless he forgets the skills that got him here, he should
produce a bit better than you come to expect from rookie receivers. I personally
won't have any hesitation about taking him as a WR5 with upside in a redraft
league.
Dynasty: Williams's should absolutely be a first round selection in
dynasty drafts. As I said earlier, its easy to try and overlook his potential
to be a stud because there were two other receivers taken before him, but Williams
has every bit as much potential as both of them. However, its worth mentioning
that both Roy Williams and Larry Fitzgerald (and Lee Evans for that matter)
have other very talented and somewhat young receivers on their teams. Reggie
Williams is in the enviable position that he should be the undisputed first
look in the Jacksonville passing offense no later than opening day 2006.
2.07 (39) - Daryl Smith - Linebacker - Georgia Tech - The Jaguars got
good value with Daryl Smith in round 2. He's an experienced 4-year starter who
should compete for a starting spot right away. As a freshman, he led his team
in tackles while also adding 10 tackles for loss, 4 sacks, 2 INTs, and 3 FR.
He finished his career as the MLB at Georgia Tech, but he has adequate size
(6'2", 230 lbs), good speed (4.65 40), and enough athleticism to play any
LB position in the pros. Smith is tough, smart, and aggressive and plays with
natural LB instincts. He's a complete player who is equally adept at shedding
blockers, stopping the run, rushing the passer (15 career sacks in college),
and dropping into coverage. Smith is described as having great character, is
mentally tough, and plays very hard. The Jaguars have two solid starting LBs
in Akin Ayodele and Mike Peterson already, so Smith will likely get a chance
to compete with newly signed Greg Favors for the starting SLB job. Depending
on how things go, he may also eventually be moved inside to MLB, with Peterson
moving back to WLB and Ayodele shifting back to SLB. Regardless, Smith is a
great prospect who will be hard to keep off the field and could give the Jaguars
one of the strongest LB trios in the league.
Fantasy Outlook: Smith should get a chance to compete with Favors for
the starting SLB job right away and I expect him to win that job. His versatility
makes him an ideal candidate for that position as he can hold up well at the
point of attack, can rush the passer, and can cover TEs one-on-one. SLBs generally
don't produce as well as WLBs or MLBs, but there have been exceptions and Smith
is talented enough that he could be one of the more productive SLBs in the league.
Given that he has a chance to play right away, he deserves to be drafted in
redraft leagues sometime after the top-2 rookie LBs are off the board. He could
have added value in dynasty leagues as he may eventually be moved to MLB and
would likely become a very productive fantasy LB for a long time.
2.23 (55) - Greg Jones - Running Back - Florida State - The word on
the street is that Jaguars had Jones rated as a first round talent and when
he slipped to the latter part of round 2, they jumped at the chance to get him.
Even though we in the Fantasy Football world are hoping Fred Taylor's injury
troubles are behind him, he's still 28 years old. Having Greg Jones helps the
Jaguars in many ways. First and foremost, as the Jags have already said, Jones
can play a fullback/short-yardage/goalline role similar to Mike Alstott. Furthermore,
based on his natural running style, Jones could shoulder a bit of the load inside
helping Taylor avoid some of the car-wreck style collisions that take place
between the tackles. Toss in that Jones offers tremendous depth for the team
if Fred suffers another injury, and there's a lot about this situation to like.
Jones isn't particularly skilled in the passing game, but he might be able to
work himself into being "decent" at catching the ball before it's
all said and done. Unfortunately for fantasy players, Jones will likely take
away some of Taylor's value around the goalline (even though Taylor isn't exactly
a TD machine anyway) and those of you who snag LaBrandon Toefield late might
want to rethink that strategy.
Redraft: Jones is worth a roster spot as a 5th or 6th running back based
on the chance that he'll be Fred Taylor's main backup and he might find some
value around the goalline this year.
Dynasty: Jones is worth considering after the top-5 RBs are gone, but don't
talk yourself into reaching for him hoping Taylor gets hurt. Jones slipped to
the latter part of the second round for a reason, and it was as much due to
his lackluster effort at the Senior Bowl as it was to his reconstructed knee.
He didn't look particularly sharp this past season compared to his pre-injury
days so while a full recovery is likely, he still may have a ways to go. I'd
say he's a better bet than Cedric Cobbs or Michael Turner, but don't reach for
Jones ahead of more solid prospects like Rothlisberger and the first round Wide
Receivers.
3.23 (86) - Jorge Cordova - Inside Linebacker / Defensive End - Nevada -
This was an interesting pick for the Jags. They really had a big need for help
at DE with Hugh Douglas struggling last year and Tony Brackens remaining a free
agent. However, they took a player that plays a position they had already addressed
in this draft and during free agency (Tommy Hendricks). Cordova was a walk-on
at Nevada who won the starting job at ILB and led his team in tackles as a redshirt
freshman while also adding 5 sacks. He moved to DE his junior season to fill
a need and put up 20.5 sacks and 29.5 tackles for loss over his final two seasons.
He was projected by most to play inside LB after his performance at the East-West
Shrine game, but he hasn't played LB in 2 years. Cordova is too small (6'1",
241 lbs) to play DE at the pro level but he has great speed (4.68 40) and could
be possibly be used by the Jaguars as a situational edge rusher on passing downs.
He has great quickness and burst, good balance, and is a solid tackler.
Fantasy Outlook: Cordova will likely provide depth at LB and contribute
on special teams, but he may also be able to earn playing time as a pass rush
specialist. Unless he emerges as a full-time player, his fantasy value will
remain minimal. However, he is an improving player with great intangibles that
could help out the Jaguars defense with his versatility early on and develop
into a quality starter in time.
4.22 (118) - Anthony Maddox - Defensive Tackle - Delta State - Maddox
was a bit of a sleeper pick for the Jags in round 4. He signed with Florida
State out of high school back in 1997, but had some problems and ended up playing
for several different programs along the way. He is a bit undersized (6'1",
286 lbs) to play DT, but he's strong and quick and has good natural ability.
There are lots of questions about his character, effort, and attitude and he'll
be a 25 year old rookie. He's pretty raw and will need time to refine his technique,
but if he stays motivated he could develop into a solid backup.
Fantasy Outlook: No fantasy value. If he develops, he will add some
depth to the defensive line but his age and character concerns make him risky.
The Jags have the best young DT tandem in the league, so Maddox won't see much
playing time unless one of them goes down with a serious injury.
4.24 (120) - Ernest Wilford - Wide Receiver - Virginia Tech - Wilford
has good "big play" ability and has clearly been a solid threat for
the Hokies in the last couple of years. He suffered from being on a squad that
ran the ball a lot and as such, he may not have shown all he could do as a receiver.
No matter, there's fantasy value here as I've heard in more than one place that
Wilford may be converted to Tight End when all is said and done. If that's the
case, he'll be a tremendous threat as his hands and speed are better than that
of most tight ends. I'm not so sure a linebacker would have much luck covering
him on longer routes. Anyway, Wilford needs to work on his route running regardless
of what position he ends up playing, but his upside as a WR3 or as a Tight End
is certainly plentiful. Wilford could be yet another target for Leftwich and
he could make Kyle Brady expendable sooner than later. Monitor this situation,
particularly for 2005 and beyond, closely.
Redraft: Wilford has limited value in redraft leagues, especially until
we figure out what position the Jaguars have in mind for him.
Dynasty: Wilford is worth a mid-round selection in rookie dynasty drafts
based on the fact that he could offer some productivity at Tight End, or at
worst, as a third wide-receiver. Don't expect huge numbers, but he's a solid
enough player that he should get on the field eventually.
5.05 (137) - Josh Scobee - Kicker - Louisiana Tech - This was an interesting
pick. No seriously, this was an interesting pick. Scobee has a little trouble
with kickoffs as they tend to die in the air rather than carry, but he can kick
the heck out of the ball for field goals He connected on about two-thirds of
his attempts last year, but don't be fooled, they used him a ton. He hit a 51
yard field goal as a Junior and beat that as a senior, connecting from 59 yards.
He needs to work on his kickoffs, which is likely a mechanics problem, but he's
got the leg to be a solid kicker in the NFL. The "interesting" part
I was referring to was the fact that Seth Marler was good, but not great for
the Jaguars when kicking field goals Obviously, the veteran will have likely
get the benefit of the doubt in camp, but team's rarely spend early 5th round
picks on guys they don't think have a chance to stick in the long run. If I
recall correctly, the Jags kept 2 kickers last season for much of the year,
so its possible that both Marler and Scobee will be suited up on Sundays.
Redraft: If Scobee handles the bulk of the field-goal and extra-point
duties, he is worth adding as a second kicker to your fantasy squad.
Dynasty: Scobee is worth drafting late or picking up off waivers in
your dynasty league as he'll likely get a chance to kick for this much improved
Jacksonville team somewhere down the line.
5.18 (150) - Chris Thompson - Cornerback - Nicholls State - After losing
Fernando Bryant to free agency, the Jaguars went out and signed a trio of bargain
free agents at CB (Juran Bolden, Dewayne Washington, and Lewis Sanders). They
continued that trend by taking Thompson in the 5th round who many expected to
go earlier. He has good size (6'0", 189 lbs), good speed (4.52 40), and
athleticism and was very productive at the small school level. He led his team
in tackles as a senior and also blocked 12 kicks in the last 3 years so he should
be able to contribute immediately on special teams. Thompson also has solid
ball skills and natural hands so he could eventually develop into a quality
CB with more work on his technique.
Fantasy Outlook: He'll likely get a chance to compete for a roster spot
as the #4 or #5 CB and could earn a spot with his performance on special teams.
He has no fantasy value.
5.27 (159) - Sean Bubin - Offensive Tackle - Illinois - Bubin played
left-tackle in college, but he's likely headed for either a guard position of
strong-side tackle in the NFL. He just doesn't have the needed balance and agility
to man the weakside. Nonetheless, he's got decent size and uses his hands well
to leverage opponents right off the snap. He should give the Jaguars some added
depth on the line and might end up as a starter eventually.
Redraft: N/A
Dynasty: N/A
7.48 (249) - Bobby McCray - Defensive End - Florida - The Jaguars waited
until the draft was almost over before taking a player that could potentially
solve their problems at DE. McCray missed some games for disciplinary reasons
and was very inconsistent in his college career, which is why he slipped to
this late in the draft. His measurables are similar to Jevon Kearse even though
he is nowhere near the player that Kearse was. He's almost 6'6" tall, ran
a 4.68 40, and has excellent strength (465 lb bench) and athletic ability (38.5"
vertical). His huge wingspan allows him to keep blockers off him but he lacks
bulk at only 255 lbs and can be overpowered at the point of attack. Despite
all that natural ability, he has only shown flashes of greatness and has mainly
been an underachiever at Florida. If he gets good coaching and decides to put
in the effort necessary, he could wind up being a huge steal for the Jags.
Fantasy Outlook: The Jaguars have a need for help at DE so McCray is
in a great situation and could see some playing time early on as a pass rush
specialist. He clearly has a lot of the physical ability to be an impact player
but he'll need to show a greater work ethic than he has in the past, and will
also need to improve his technique and rely less on his athleticism. Fantasy
value is minimal but he is a player to keep an eye on to see if attitude problems
are in the past.
TENNESSEE TITANS
2.08 (40) - Ben Troupe - Tight End - Florida - The fact that the Titans
were able to trade out of the first round and still end up with one of the top-3
Tight End prospects in this draft is a small coup for them. Losing Frank Wycheck
spelled the need for an immediate replacement, at least somebody to help Erron
Kinney. Instead, Troupe may relegate Kinney to backup duty. Troupe runs solid
routes and has good hands and size for the position. He's not quick, but his
speed is adequate and he muscles defenders at the line, both getting into routes
and blocking, well enough to be productive early on. In the Tennessee offense,
Steve McNair will continue to have his favorite outlet and Erron Kinney may
no longer be a reliable starting option at Tight End in any format.
Redraft: Rookie Tight Ends rarely do much as rookies, but Troupe is
an able enough blocker that he could buck the trend. Don't expect top-5 numbers,
but he could be a spot contributor for your squad if he earns enough playing
time.
Dynasty: Troupe should probably be the second Tight End selected (after
Winslow) in dynasty drafts as he doesn't have Daniel Graham to split catches
with like Ben Watson does. Considering the sudden surge in the Titans passing
game, Troupe may have come along at just the right time to be a solid tight
end in fantasy and in the NFL for years to come. He is worth a mid-to-late second
round selection in rookie dynasty drafts.
2.10 (42) - Travis LaBoy - Defensive End - Hawaii - The Titans lost their
best 2 defensive linemen in free agency this year when Jevon Kearse signed in
Philly and Robaire Smith signed in Houston. Fortunately, the Texans repaid the
favor by giving up a handful of quality picks in order to move up into the first
round and select Jason Babin. Rather than adding just one player like a Babin
to replace Kearse, the trade allowed the Titans to the flexibility to rebuild
the depth on their defensive line. Starting with this pick of Travis LaBoy (acquired
in the Justin McCareins trade to the Jets), the Titans spent 4 of their first
6 picks on the defensive line and all of the guys they took look ready to contribute
pretty early on. LaBoy is a bit undersized (6'4", 263 lbs) for an every
down DE but he has great speed (4.65 40), and put up a great workout at the
combine (35.5" vertical, 10'6" broad jump, and 35 reps) which helped
him rise up the draft boards. He had 13 sacks last year and was named Defensive
Player o the Year in the WAC. He has mainly been used as a pass rusher in college
but he is athletic enough to drop into coverage if needed. LaBoy is smart and
has a decent array of pass rush moves already, but with some more work on his
technique and run defense he could develop into a solid starter at RDE.
Fantasy Outlook: The Titans went from having a need at DE before the
draft to having an abundance of pass rushers. They plan to use Kevin Carter
more at DT this year, which will open up more playing time at DE for all these
guys, including incumbent Carlos Hall. Based on the pick used to get him, LaBoy
may have the early edge in the competition, but chances are he'll have to go
out and earn it in training camp and preseason. LaBoy appears ready to contribute
as a pass rush specialist early on so he could make an impact as a rookie. Short-term,
the increased competition he has at DE makes it likely the Titans will use some
type of rotation at DE, hurting his value in redraft leagues. However, he has
added value in a dynasty leagues as he has the talent to develop into an impact
player provided he can work on his ability to defend the run.
2.25 (57) - Antwan Odom - Defensive End - Alabama - Odom was considered
by many as a 1st round possibility for the Titans and was great value this late
in round 2. He played in every game as a true freshman and has the ability to
be one of the best DEs in this class. He has good size (6'6", 275 lbs),
good speed (4.71 40), and is a very good athlete (37" vertical). He is
still somewhat raw and some thought he could have used another year in school
to work on his technique and become a sure 1st rounder, but he has a ton of
upside as a two-way DE that can be equally effective defending the run and rushing
the passer. If he can add some bulk and improve his consistency, he projects
as a LDE and he has drawn comparisons to a player like Darren Howard in New
Orleans. Odom has the speed to be an effective edge rusher, but also has the
power to get a push inside, and he could develop into an impact player pretty
early on. The biggest concerns about him are that he lacks toughness, shows
inconsistent effort, and has had some problems staying healthy.
Fantasy Outlook: Odom will likely learn behind Kevin Carter while he
works on his technique and adds bulk to improve against the run. He is bigger
than most of the other DEs he'll be competing with, and that could give him
an early advantage, especially on first and second downs. Carter is a free agent
after this year and Odom will likely take over for him if he leaves. Short-term,
he'll need to work on some things but he has the ability to compete for playing
time right away. If he can win a starting job, he'll probably be worthy of a
roster spot in deep redraft leagues. He has added value in dynasty leagues because
of his tremendous upside.
3.08 (71) - Randy Starks - Defensive Tackle - Maryland - The Titans
turned to the DT position here and got another great value in Starks, who was
considered by some to be the 3rd best DT in the draft. He made a quick transition
to college and played well as a true freshman, including 7 tackles for loss
and 3 sacks. He was yet another underclassmen who slipped a bit in the draft,
but he has a lot of tools to work with and has been productive in the ACC. He
played some DE in a 3-4 scheme, but he's got great size (6'3", 314 lbs)
to play inside in the NFL. He is very strong and set a school record with a
765 pound squat. Starks has a good motor, uses his hands well, and has good
agility for a man his size. The biggest concerns about him are that he has been
inconsistent at times and hasn't been as disruptive as one would hope. However,
he's a talented prospect and the Titans have a solid history of developing quality
DTs so they should be able to help him reach his potential.
Fantasy Outlook: Haynesworth has one starting DT spot locked up and
Starks will likely be given a chance to compete with Rien Long for the other
spot. The job will likely be on 1st and 2nd downs as Kevin Carter will be moved
inside for obvious passing situations. Short-term, even if he wins the job,
he'll likely contribute mainly as a run plugger and his fantasy value (and playing
time) will be limited. Long-term, however, he could develop into a quality DT
and might be worthy of some consideration in deep dynasty leagues that require
starting a DT. Best bet is to wait and see how he does and how the Titans D-line
will shape up, but he could emerge as a quality fantasy player in a year or
two.
3.29 (92) - Rich Gardner - Cornerback - Penn State - After the recent
injury to Tony Beckham, the Titans had a need for some depth at CB. Gardner
has been a solid cover corner in the Big 10 over the past 2 years. He has adequate
size (5'10", 199 lbs) and speed (4.5 40) and plays with good instincts.
He'll need some work on his technique but he is described as a good character
guy who is very coachable. The Titans have had some success in developing CBs
in recent years, and he'll likely be given some time to adjust to the pro game.
Fantasy Outlook: Assuming Beckham isn't able to play this year, Gardner
will likely wind up as the #4 CB and should also contribute on special teams.
Eventually, he could develop into a quality corner but his fantasy value is
going to be minimal as he doesn't have great ball skills and is not a big help
in run support.
4.07 (103) - Bo Schobel - Defensive End - TCU - While the first few
defensive line picks all made sense, this one seemed like a bit of overkill.
But, Schobel was a pretty decent value in the 4th round. He has been a very
productive player at TCU, where his cousins Aaron Schobel (DE, Bills) and Matt
Schobel (TE, Bengals) also starred. As a senior, Schobel put up 27 tackles for
loss, 17 sacks, and was named Conference USA Defensive Player of the Year. He's
got a big frame (6'5", 270 lbs) and has the room to add more bulk and possibly
move inside to DT if necessary. He is a strong player who can hold up pretty
well against the run, but he lacks great speed and agility and is not an explosive
pass rusher. This pick makes it more likely that the Titans will be prepared
to let Kevin Carter leave after this season.
Fantasy Outlook: Schobel should be able to contribute as part of a DE
rotation early on, and could eventually develop into a solid every down DE.
His fantasy value is limited because of the competition he'll have for playing
time, but he's a player that could emerge in a year or two and is worth keeping
an eye on in deeper leagues. Has similar attributes to Aaron Schobel, who has
developed into a quality DE over the past few years.
4.28 (124) - Michael Waddell - Cornerback - North Carolina - The Titans
added another CB prospect in round 4. Waddell has adequate size (5'10",
187 lbs) and blazing speed (4.34 40), but he lost his starting job as a senior.
He relies too much on his athleticism and needs a lot of work on his technique
before he can contribute as a corner in the NFL. Waddell also isn't very physical,
misses too many tackles, and lacks great ball skills. That's a lot of problems
for a CB drafted in round 4, but apparently the Titans figured his speed gave
them something to work with. He has been a quality performer on special teams
with some blocked kicks and punt return experience.
Fantasy Outlook: He'll likely compete to be the #5 CB, but has the best
chance of earning a roster spot based on his special teams contributions. He
has no fantasy value as a CB, but he could potentially become a primary punt
returner for the Titans based on his speed and explosiveness.
5.06 (138) - Jacob Bell - Guard - Miami (OH) - Bell has oodles of experience
all around the line, which is something Tennessee needs. However, he struggles
a bit when run blocking, which is something Tennessee also needs to improve
at. I was a little surprised that the Titans used most of their early picks
on defense considering their offensive line has been mediocre at best for the
last 3 seasons. Regardless, Bell should offer another functional body up front
and with a little work, he might sharpen up his technique enough to be an every
down contributor.
Redraft: N/A
Dynasty: N/A
5.33 (165) - Rob Reynolds - Linebacker - Ohio State - The Titans LB
unit got decimated by injuries last year so adding some depth was important.
The Titans have two quality LBs on the outside in Bulluck and Sirmon, but the
MLB job is somewhat unsettled. Reynolds is best known as the player who was
suspended for choking Wisconsin QB Jim Sorgi. He has good size (6'3", 251
lbs) and decent speed (4.76 40), but his biggest strengths are his toughness
and motor. He mostly played on the strong side at Ohio State but he has the
size and mentality to play MLB. Reynolds will likely provide depth at both MLB
and SLB and contribute on special teams. He's drawn comparisons to former Buckeye
Matt Wilhelm who now plays with the Chargers.
Fantasy Outlook: He'll likely be a depth player and contribute on the
special teams coverage units, so he has no real fantasy value unless the Titans
LBs get hit with the injury bug again. Might eventually see some time on run
downs, but probably not enough to make him worthy of a roster spot in any type
of league.
6.26 (191) - Troy Fleming - Fullback - Tennessee - There were a number
of people, myself included, that suspected Fleming was headed to the Titans.
He had a stellar workout, running a sub 4.5 forty, which created a little bit
of a buzz regarding his prospects. However, the enthusiasm must not have meant
much as he slipped to the end of the round before the Titans took him. While
some people would have you believe that Fleming is going to end up as the team's
feature back, I wouldn't be so sure. He has speed and size, but his cutback
ability is marginal. More likely, I think he'll offer two things the Titans
need: a Lorenzo Neal style fullback who can open holes, and a pass catcher out
of the backfield. I don't think he'll take a lot of carries from Chris Brown,
at least not this year, but he may well be in the game on passing downs as a
blocker and receiver. Fleming might also end up taking some goalline duties
from Brown if Brown somehow fails at the task.
Redraft: Fleming has no redraft value unless he shows himself to be
an integral part of the passing game or beats out Chris Brown for running duties.
Dynasty: Fleming should be selected in the 3rd tier of runners along
with Moore and Turner on the off chance that he emerges as a feature back. He
will likely never be a finesse runner capable of gobbling up yards, but he has
the size and strength to be valuable between the tackles if called upon.
7.29 (230) - Jared Clauss - Defensive Tackle - Iowa - The Titans added
more depth to the defensive line late in the draft with the selection of Clauss.
He is a bit of an overachiever who will always work hard and give maximum effort
but has limited upside. He's got decent size (6'4", 294 lbs) but will need
to add some mass and strength to hold up as a DT in the NFL.
Fantasy Outlook: Developmental prospect who will compete for the #5
DT position and could be a consideration for the practice squad. He may eventually
develop into a quality backup, but he has no fantasy value.
7.38 (239) - Eugene Amano - Center - Southeast Missouri State - Amano
is a bit of a project, but he's got a mean-streak and seems determined to get
the best of his opponent on each and every snap. If he can add some strength,
and more importantly, some technique and balance, he could emerge as a useful
lineman for the Titans.
Redraft: N/A
Dynasty: N/A
7.40 (241) - Sean McHugh - Fullback - Penn State - McHugh may give Fleming
and Co. all they can handle in the competition for fullback duties. Clearly,
Fisher wanted to add someone to serve as lead blocker out of the backfield as
the team struggled to punch in short-yardage scores last season. McHugh has
good size and a solid work ethic, and most importantly, he has the vision necessary
to find the holes and find the blocks necessary to get the job done. While many
people are "hoping" Fleming ends up as the starting running back,
he may have his work cut out of him to keep a job as the starting fullback.
Redraft: McHugh has little value in redraft leagues. Only if he emerged
as a goalline option and reliable pass catcher should you even consider rostering
him.
Dynasty: If McHugh beats out Fleming for the bulk of the playing time
at fullback, he's worth keeping an eye on to see if he ever does more for the
offense than simply block.
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