Kickermania - thru week 1 & looking ahead to week 2              
by Mike Herman, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
    2005 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)
2005 Kicking ppg 2004 Kicking ppg 2005
Kdef
2004
Kdef
Week 2 matchup
TEAM Current KICKER standard
total  rnk
attemptd
total  rnk
bonus
total  rnk
avg rnk home away avg rnk home away ppg allw rnk hom
factr
away
factr
oppnt math
proj
II
this
week
rank
 Ari Neil Rackers 7 11 7 13 8 12 7.0 11   7.0 5.9 20 7.8 4.0 6.0 15 0.67 1.18 STL 6.5 1
notes misses: none
The planets could be in alignment for Rackers this week, when the Rams and their particularly poor special teams unit visits.
 Atl Todd Peterson 2 25 2 29 2 25 2.0 25 2.0   5.9 20 6.3 5.5 4.0 10 0.91 0.90 @SEA 3.0 12
notes misses: no FG attempts yet
The Falcons had a big win, although Peterson only had two points. He should fare better this week, since the NFC West surrendered a ton of kicking points last year.
 Bal Matt Stover 1 28 10 6 1 28 1.0 28 1.0   7.3 8 10.5 4.1 6.0 15 0.78 1.02 @TEN 3.5 21
notes misses: 38WL, 47WL, 45WR
Prior to last week, the last time Stover missed three FGs in one game was opening week of 1998. He'll be due again in week one of 2012.
 Buf Rian Lindell 16 1 16 2 17 1 16.0 1 16.0   7.3 8 8.1 6.5 1.0 1 0.96 0.82 @TB 8.5 30
notes misses: none….  There may still be concerns that Lindell can't hit long ones, but if the Bills continue to give him five opportunities a game from short and medium range, then it's a moot point.
 Car John Kasay 8 10 8 12 9 9 8.0 10 8.0   5.8 23 4.8 7.6 11.0 29 0.76 1.24 NE 9.5 29
notes misses: none
When on the road last year, the Patriots were second best in the NFL at limiting opponents' kicking points as compared to their usual average.
 Chi Doug Brien 1 28 1 31 1 28 1.0 28   1.0 4.2 32 4.4 4.0 9.0 24 1.41 1.00 DET 5.0 27
notes misses:  no FG attempts yet
The Bears came very close to being shut out last week.
 Cin Shayne Graham 9 7 9 10 9 9 9.0 7   9.0 7.6 5 9.0 6.3 7.0 20 1.32 0.94 MIN 8.0 2
notes misses: none
The Bengals were ranked number two last year for scoring kicking points at home.
 Cle Phil Dawson 7 11 7 13 7 13 7.0 11 7.0   6.3 16 4.5 8.0 9.0 24 0.75 1.26 @GB 8.0 11
notes misses: none
Dawson got a juicy five-year contract extension this off-season, but he struggled in pre-season.
 Dal Jose Cortez 4 20 4 23 4 22 4.0 20   4.0 5.7 25 5.5 5.9 6.0 15 0.85 0.83 WAS 5.0 24
notes misses:  no FG attempts yet
With each passing day, Cortez's job security gets better (although he didn't get any FG attempts last week).
 Den Jason Elam 4 20 4 23 4 22 4.0 20   4.0 8.1 2 8.6 7.5 10.0 27 0.76 1.17 SD 7.0 4
notes misses: none
Elam has scored in double digits when the Chargers came to town each of the last two years.
 Det Jason Hanson 5 19 5 21 5 19 5.0 19 5.0   6.3 16 7.0 5.5 3.0 9 0.89 0.93 @CHI 4.0 19
notes misses: none.  Watch the Players in the News later this week, as Hanson and his hammy are questionable. The team has worked out Wade Richey, Remy Hamilton, Todd France, and Tyler Jones during the week. Even if Hanson plays, punter Nick Harris might handle the long balls.
 GB Ryan Longwell 3 24 3 28 5 19 3.0 24   3.0 7.5 7 7.4 7.6 5.0 14 1.18 0.76 CLE 4.0 18
notes misses: none
Week 1 results suggest that preseason fears regarding the Packers o-line were legitimate. It could continue to hinder Longwell's opportunities.
 Hou Kris Brown 1 28 1 31 1 28 1.0 28   1.0 5.9 20 7.4 4.4 16.0 32 1.13 0.64 PIT 8.5 15
notes misses:  no FG attempts yet
Another tough matchup for Brown, although he did tend to fare better at home than on the road last year.
 Ind Mike Vanderjagt 6 14 6 17 6 15 6.0 14   6.0 7.8 3 8.9 6.6 1.0 1 1.00 1.16 JAC 3.5 5
notes misses: none
Vanderjagt scored 13 points last year when the Jaguars came to town.
 Jac Josh Scobee 14 2 17 1 16 2 14.0 2 14.0   5.8 23 5.3 6.4 2.0 6 0.75 0.83 @IND 8.0 16
notes misses: 43WL
Scobee's week 1 output was more than he scored in any game last year. His best last year, 13 points, happened to be at Indianapolis.
 KC Lawrence Tynes 9 7 12 4 10 8 9.0 7 9.0   6.8 11 6.6 7.0 1.0 1 0.88 0.96 @OAK 5.0 10
notes misses: 32WL.  Tynes is still on the hot seat, after missing a short kick. The Chiefs worked out Todd France during the week, however Dick Vermeil claimed it was just standard weekly procedure to work out free agents.
 Mia Olindo Mare 10 5 10 6 11 5 10.0 5 10.0   5.2 28 5.5 4.9 4.0 10 0.86 0.97 @NYJ 7.0 26
notes misses: none
The Jets were very stingy against opposing kickers last year, especially at home.
 Min Paul Edinger 7 11 7 13 9 9 7.0 11 7.0   6.2 18 6.5 5.9 6.0 15 1.33 1.06 @CIN 6.5 9
notes misses: none
The change of scenery has helped Edinger tremendously. His 53 yard FG last week is the longest in the NFL so far.
 NE Adam Vinatieri 6 14 7 13 6 15 6.0 14 6.0   8.8 1 8.6 9.0 2.0 6 0.68 0.69 @CAR 4.0 20
notes misses: blocked extra point
If you believe in omens, then last week's blocked extra point probably means that Vinatieri won't repeat last year's career year.
 NO John Carney 11 4 11 5 13 4 11.0 4   11.0 6.5 15 6.3 6.8 8.0 23 1.35 1.12 @NYG 9.5 7
notes misses: none
Carney was named NFL Special Teams player of the week for week 1. He hit a 47 yard game winner with three seconds left.
 NYG Jay Feely 6 14 6 17 6 15 6.0 14 6.0   6.2 18 5.9 6.5 7.0 20 0.96 0.69 NO 6.5 17
notes misses:  no FG attempts yet
The Giants kicking scoring started off strong last year, but faded as the year progressed. They ended with a 5.9 point average at home. They scored 6 last week.
 NYJ Mike Nugent 1 28 4 23 1 28 1.0 28   1.0 6.6 13 7.0 6.1 9.0 24 0.43 0.73 MIA 5.0 14
notes misses: 28B
Despite his credentials, Nugent looked like a rookie, slipping on his only FG attempt which was then blocked.
 Oak Sebastian Janikowski 2 25 5 21 2 25 2.0 25   2.0 6.6 13 8.0 5.3 6.0 15 0.99 0.80 KC 4.0 3
notes misses: 43WL
Janikowski was a top ten kicker at home last year (7th), and bottom ten on the road (24th).
 Phi David Akers 4 20 10 6 5 19 4.0 20   4.0 7.6 5 7.8 7.5 2.0 6 0.87 0.85 SF 3.0 6
notes misses: 49SH, 49WR
Akers had a large number of attempts (18) from 40-49 yards last year. All three attempts last week were in that range.
 Pit Jeff Reed 10 5 10 6 11 5 10.0 5 10.0   7.8 3 7.8 7.8 1.0 1 0.84 0.96 @HOU 5.5 13
notes misses: none
Reed picked up where he left off last year… scoring points.
 SD Nate Kaeding 6 14 6 17 6 15 6.0 14 6.0   7.1 10 7.5 6.8 4.0 10 0.73 0.92 @DEN 5.0 25
notes misses: none
Kaeding stuck to his averages when playing the Broncos last year. He scored 6.8 ppg on the road (7 at Denver).
 Sea Josh Brown 2 25 2 29 2 25 2.0 25   2.0 6.8 11 7.0 6.6 14.0 31 1.13 1.41 ATL 8.0 8
notes misses:  no FG attempts yet
Brown is coming off a strong second season in which he hit 92.0% on FGs.
 SF Joe Nedney 4 20 4 23 4 22 4.0 20 4.0   4.8 30 5.3 4.4 13.0 30 1.32 1.02 @PHI 8.5 32
notes misses:  no FG attempts yet
Nedney has made it further than he has each of the last two years. It looks like a tough matchup for him this week.
 StL Jeff Wilkins 13 3 13 3 15 3 13.0 3   13.0 5.6 26 6.9 4.3 4.0 10 1.57 1.28 @ARI 8.5 28
notes misses: none
Last year Wilkins scored poorly on the road, while Arizona was particularly stingy on surrendering kicking points at home.
 TB Matt Bryant 6 14 6 17 7 13 6.0 14   6.0 4.8 30 5.6 4.0 7.0 20 0.64 0.95 BUF 6.5 22
notes misses: none
Although Bryant is kicking at home this week, he has a tougher matchup than last week's road game.
 Ten Rob Bironas 1 28 4 23 1 28 1.0 28   1.0 5.3 27 6.6 5.4 10.0 27 1.26 1.14 BAL 5.5 31
notes misses: 47WR
Jeff Fisher on Bironas: "He’s doing a great job kicking off, but the key is to kick it between the uprights, and he’s been told and he understands that."
 Was Nick Novak 9 7 9 10 11 5 9.0 7 9.0   5.1 29 4.5 5.8 1.0 1 0.74 1.01 @DAL 5.0 23
notes misses: Hall none.  Hall strained his right quadriceps late in the game last week, and will probably miss the game this Monday. The team signed rookie Nick Novak, who had a decent preseason with the Bears.
NOTES:
1. All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
 (except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2. "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3. The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring 
 (i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.  Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
 Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5. Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped
Mike Herman's Weekly Kicker Rankings ***
Rank Player
1 Neil Rackers
2 Shayne Graham
3 Sebastian Janikowski
4 Jason Elam
5 Mike Vanderjagt
6 David Akers
7 John Carney
8 Josh Brown
9 Paul Edinger
10 Lawrence Tynes
11 Phil Dawson
12 Todd Peterson
13 Jeff Reed
14 Mike Nugent
15 Kris Brown
16 Josh Scobee
17 Jay Feely
18 Ryan Longwell
19 Jason Hanson
20 Adam Vinatieri
21 Matt Stover
22 Matt Bryant
23 Nick Novak
24 Jose Cortez
25 Nate Kaeding
26 Olindo Mare
27 Doug Brien
28 Jeff Wilkins
29 John Kasay
30 Rian Lindell
31 Rob Bironas
32 Joe Nedney
*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings