Kickermania - thru week 3 & looking ahead to week 4                
by Mike Herman, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
    2005 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)
2005 Kicking ppg 2004 Kicking ppg 2005
Kdef
2004
Kdef
Week 4 matchup
TEAM Current KICKER standard
total  rnk
attemptd
total  rnk
bonus
total  rnk
avg rnk home away avg rnk home away ppg allw rnk hom
factr
away
factr
oppnt math
proj
I
math
proj
II
this
week
rank
 Ari Neil Rackers 31 1 31 2 37 1 10.3 1 12.0 9.5 5.9 20 7.8 4.0 8.0 26 0.67 1.18 SF 13.1 9.2 4
notes misses: none
Rackers is at home against an NFC West opponent, which is usually a good combination.
 Atl Todd Peterson 12 27 12 29 12 28 4.0 27 2.0 5.0 5.9 20 6.3 5.5 5.7 13 0.91 0.90 MIN 2.0 4.8 6
notes misses: none
Peterson has only attempted 2 FGs so far this year… look for him to improve upon that this week.
 Bal Matt Stover 5 30 14 27 5 30 2.5 30 1.0 4.0 7.3 8 10.5 4.1 8.5 29 0.78 1.02 NYJ 1.0 5.5 9
notes misses: 38WL, 47WL, 45WR
Stover has been one of the best home kickers in recent years (not counting the disaster in week one this year). Aaron Elling has been signed to handle kickoffs.
 Buf Rian Lindell 29 2 29 6 32 2 9.7 2 13.0 3.0 7.3 8 8.1 6.5 4.0 3 0.96 0.82 @NO   6.8 2
notes misses: none.
Lindell has now kicked a 40+ yard FG in each of the first three games. He only had one all of last year.
 Car John Kasay 23 10 23 15 30 3 7.7 10 8.5 6.0 5.8 23 4.8 7.6 8.3 27 0.76 1.24 GB 8.5 8.0 21
notes misses: none
Kasay should finally get a FG attempt under 50 yards this week.
 Chi Doug Brien 10 29 19 20 11 29 3.3 29 4.5 1.0 4.2 32 4.4 4.0 5.0 9 1.41 1.00 BYE      
notes misses:  48WL, 36WR, 39WL
 Cin Shayne Graham 28 3 28 7 29 4 9.3 3 13.0 7.5 7.6 5 9.0 6.3 2.7 1 1.32 0.94 HOU 16.0 6.0 8
notes misses: none
Graham is in a very good situation… a team on a roll with an easy schedule.
 Cle Phil Dawson 21 13 22 17 22 14 7.0 13 7.0 7.0 6.3 16 4.5 8.0 7.3 22 0.75 1.26 BYE      
notes misses: one extra point blocked
 Dal Jose Cortez 13 25 17 22 14 25 4.3 25 7.0 3.0 5.7 25 5.5 5.9 5.0 9 0.85 0.83 @OAK 4.4 4.7 20
notes misses:  41WL, one extra point.  Last week's missed extra point resulted from another bad snap by rookie longsnapper Jon Condo, who has since been cut. The miss resulted in an altercation between Cortez and guard Larry Allen.
 Den Jason Elam 24 8 33 1 28 5 8.0 8 10.0 4.0 8.1 2 8.6 7.5 6.3 17 0.76 1.17 @JAC 4.0 7.2 18
notes misses: 53WL, 53WR, 46LU
Despite missing three long FGs, Elam is the number 5 bonus kicker.
 Det Jason Hanson 5 30 6 31 5 30 2.5 30 5.0 0.0 6.3 16 7.0 5.5 5.5 12 0.89 0.93 @TB 0.0 4.0 25
notes misses: Hanson none; Hamilton one extra point blocked.
Hanson is listed as questionable, and will probably be able to kick this week. Remy Hamilton is still on the practice squad just in case.
 GB Ryan Longwell 13 25 17 22 15 22 4.3 25 5.0 3.0 7.5 7 7.4 7.6 6.0 14 1.18 0.76 @CAR 3.5 5.2 24
notes misses: 42WL, one extra point
Longwell scored 6 six points in the season opener at Carolina last year. That was a long time ago.
 Hou Kris Brown 2 32 2 32 2 32 1.0 32 1.0 1.0 5.9 20 7.4 4.4 12.5 32 1.13 0.64 @CIN 0.0 6.8 27
notes misses:  no FG attempts yet
A road trip to Jacksonville should keep Brown dead last in the rankings.
 Ind Mike Vanderjagt 17 19 17 22 18 20 5.7 19 5.5 6.0 7.8 3 8.9 6.6 3.3 2 1.00 1.16 @TEN 6.0 4.5 3
notes misses: none
Vanderjagt started off average last year, but still managed to finish in the top five.
 Jac Josh Scobee 25 6 31 2 28 5 8.3 6 14.0 5.5 5.8 23 5.3 6.4 4.7 7 0.75 0.83 DEN 14.7 6.5 16
notes misses: 43WL, 42WL
Scobee is tied with Neil Rackers for the NFL lead with 7 touchbacks on kickoffs.
 KC Lawrence Tynes 24 8 30 4 26 10 8.0 8 9.0 7.5 6.8 11 6.6 7.0 6.0 14 0.88 0.96 PHI 9.0 7.0 14
notes misses: 32WL, 46B.
The Eagles have been stingy against NFC West kickers, but more giving of opportunities to AFC West kickers so far this year.
 Mia Olindo Mare 20 15 23 15 21 16 6.7 15 9.5 1.0 5.2 28 5.5 4.9 5.0 9 0.86 0.97 BYE      
notes misses: 21WL
 Min Paul Edinger 22 11 25 11 25 11 7.3 11 11.0 0.0 6.2 18 6.5 5.9 7.7 24 1.33 1.06 @ATL 0.0 7.5 22
notes misses: 33RU
Edinger has been scoring at home, but was blanked in his earlier road game at Cincinnati.
 NE Adam Vinatieri 22 11 26 9 25 11 7.3 11 6.0 8.0 8.8 1 8.6 9.0 6.3 17 0.68 0.69 SD 4.8 6.8 5
notes misses: 53WL, blocked extra point
Prior to last year's #1 ranking, Vinatieri was ranked 11, 10, and 11 in three previous years. He is currently #11 in 2005.
 NO John Carney 19 17 22 17 21 16 6.3 17   6.3 6.5 15 6.3 6.8 10.7 31 1.35 1.12 BUF   8.5 12
notes misses: 29LU
Carney finally gets a home game… sort of.
 NYG Jay Feely 26 5 26 9 27 9 8.7 5 7.5 11.0 6.2 18 5.9 6.5 6.7 19 0.96 0.69 STL 6.5 7.7 1
notes misses:  none
Feely is currently #5 in kicker scoring, and the Rams are coming to town. He could move up  in the rankings after this week.
 NYJ Mike Nugent 14 23 17 22 15 22 4.7 23 6.5 1.0 6.6 13 7.0 6.1 6.0 14 0.43 0.73 @BAL 1.0 5.3 26
notes misses: 28B
Even though the Ravens defense hasn't lived up to expectations, a road trip to Baltimore with the third string QB starting doesn't bode well for Nuge.
 Oak Sebastian Janikowski 15 21 27 8 15 22 5.0 22 5.0 5.0 6.6 13 8.0 5.3 7.3 22 0.99 0.80 DAL 5.2 6.2 13
notes misses: 43WL, 50WL, 49LU, 37WL
Janikowski leads the NFL in missed FGs.
 Phi Todd France 15 21 25 11 16 21 3.8 28 5.5 4.0 7.6 5 7.8 7.5 4.3 5 0.87 0.85 @KC 4.0 4.0 11
notes misses: Akers 49SH, 49WR, 43LU; Simoneau one extra point.
David Akers will sit with his torn hamstring. The earliest he would return is probably week 7 after their bye.
 Pit Jeff Reed 27 4 30 4 28 5 9.0 4 9.0 9.0 7.8 3 7.8 7.8 4.3 5 0.84 0.96 BYE      
notes misses: 52WL
Reed has kicked 2 FGs in every game this year, and at least two extra points.
 SD Nate Kaeding 20 15 20 19 22 14 6.7 15 7.5 5.0 7.1 10 7.5 6.8 7.7 24 0.73 0.92 @NE 2.0 7.2 23
notes misses: none
Kaeding's FG opportunities have been limited to one per game so far.
 Sea Josh Brown 18 18 18 21 19 18 6.0 18 8.0 2.0 6.8 11 7.0 6.6 10.0 30 1.13 1.41 @WAS 2.0 8.0 17
notes misses:  none
The Redskins are third in fewest kicking points per game allowed.
 SF Joe Nedney 14 23 14 27 14 25 4.7 23 5.5 3.0 4.8 30 5.3 4.4 7.0 20 1.32 1.02 @ARI 1.7 5.8 28
notes misses:  none
Once again, the 49ers are near the bottom of the league in kicker scoring opportunities.
 StL Jeff Wilkins 25 6 25 11 28 5 8.3 6 7.0 9.0 5.6 26 6.9 4.3 8.3 27 1.57 1.28 @NYG 6.2 8.3 19
notes misses: none
Wilkins scored 7 points the last time he visited the Giants (the season opener two years ago).
 TB Matt Bryant 16 20 16 26 19 18 5.3 21 5.0 5.5 4.8 30 5.6 4.0 4.7 7 0.64 0.95 DET 8.9 5.0 7
notes misses: none
Bryant has attempted and made one FG in each game so far… 41 yards, 40 yards, and 42 yards.
 Ten Rob Bironas 21 13 24 14 23 13 7.0 13 11.0 5.0 5.3 27 6.6 5.4 7.0 20 1.26 1.14 IND 11.0 7.0 10
notes misses: 47WR
After the not-so-impressive 1 point scored in week 1, Bironas has rebounded with games of 11 and 9 points.
 Was Nick Novak 11 28 11 30 13 27 5.5 20 9.0 2.0 5.1 29 4.5 5.8 4.0 3 0.74 1.01 SEA 9.0 4.8 15
notes misses: Hall none, Novak had no FG attempts.
Hall is listed as questionable on the injury report, however Joe Gibbs indicated Hall will need to be at 100% for several weeks before he'll play.
NOTES:
1. All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
 (except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2. "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3. The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring 
 (i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.  Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
 Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5. Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped
Mike Herman's Weekly Kicker Rankings ***
Rank Player
1 Jay Feely
2 Rian Lindell
3 Mike Vanderjagt
4 Neil Rackers
5 Adam Vinatieri
6 Todd Peterson
7 Matt Bryant
8 Shayne Graham
9 Matt Stover
10 Rob Bironas
11 Todd France
12 John Carney
13 Sebastian Janikowski
14 Lawrence Tynes
15 Nick Novak
16 Josh Scobee
17 Josh Brown
18 Jason Elam
19 Jeff Wilkins
20 Jose Cortez
21 John Kasay
22 Paul Edinger
23 Nate Kaeding
24 Ryan Longwell
25 Jason Hanson
26 Mike Nugent
27 Kris Brown
28 Joe Nedney
*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings