Kickermania - thru week 4 & looking ahead to week 5                    
by Mike Herman, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
    2005 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)
2005 Kicking ppg 2005
Kdef
Week 5 matchup
TEAM Current KICKER standard
total  rnk
attemptd
total  rnk
bonus
total  rnk
avg rnk home rnk away rnk ppg allw rnk hom
factr
away
factr
oppnt Kdef
factr
score
avg
math
proj
I
math
proj
II
this
week
rank
 Ari Neil Rackers 50 1 50 1 60 1 12.5 1 15.5 1 9.5 2 6.5 15 0.71 1.12 CAR 0.95 15.5 14.7 9.5 4
notes misses: none.  Rackers is on pace to score 200 points this year. The NFL season record is 164 by Gary Anderson. He is also on pace for 56 touchbacks on kickoffs. The NFL season record is 29 by John Hall.
 Atl Todd Peterson 24 18 24 19 24 21 6.0 20 7.0 18 5.0 17 5.3 9 1.27 0.57 NE 0.98 7.0 6.9 5.6 18
notes misses: none
As expected, Peterson had a good game at home against the Viking last week. A visit from the Patriots should bring him back down to his average.
 Bal Matt Stover 12 29 21 26 13 29 4.0 27 4.0 31 4.0 21 6.7 19 1.21 1.47 @DET 1.50 4.0 6.0 5.3 24
notes misses: 38WL, 47WL, 45WR
Stover is going to have to significantly increase his scoring to once again be a top ten kicker. He is currently on pace to finish 27th.
 Buf Rian Lindell 30 10 33 11 33 9 7.5 11 13.0 2 2.0 26 6.3 13 0.80 1.00 MIA 0.77 13.0 10.0 6.9 10
notes misses: 45WR
Lindell has scored in double digits in both of his home games so far this year.
 Car John Kasay 31 6 32 12 38 4 7.8 7 8.3 12 6.0 13 6.5 15 0.63 0.95 @ARI 0.71 6.0 4.3 7.1 8
notes misses: one extra point blocked
Kasay has been consistent this year, scoring between 6 and 9 points in each game.
 Chi Doug Brien 10 31 19 28 11 31 3.3 31 4.5 30 1.0 31 5.0 5 0.40 1.06 @CLE 1.20 1.0 1.2 4.2 28
notes misses:  48WL, 36WR, 39WL
With Brien struggling (1 of 4 on FGs), the team has signed Tyler Jones to the practice squad. Jones was with the team this spring.
 Cin Shayne Graham 38 3 41 3 40 3 9.5 3 11.5 4 7.5 7 3.0 1 0.80 0.61 @JAC 0.95 7.5 7.1 6.3 12
notes misses: 42WR
Jacksonville allowed four FG attempts at home last week against the Broncos.
 Cle Phil Dawson 21 21 22 24 22 22 7.0 12 7.0 18 7.0 10 7.3 25 1.20 1.24 CHI 1.06 7.0 7.4 7.2 21
notes misses: one extra point blocked
Dawson has connected on two FGs in each game so far this year.
 Dal Jose Cortez 20 23 24 19 21 24 5.0 25 7.0 18 4.3 20 7.0 20 1.00 1.27 PHI 0.58 7.0 4.1 6.0 23
notes misses:  41WL, one extra point.
When the Cowboys played the Eagles last year, Dallas had their two worst games in terms of kicker scoring.
 Den Jason Elam 32 4 47 2 37 5 8.0 5 10.0 6 6.0 13 5.0 5 0.58 0.59 WAS 1.00 10.0 10.0 6.5 6
notes misses: 53WL, 53WR, 46LU, 41WL, 46B
Despite hitting only 61.5% on FGs, Elam is the number 4 scoring kicker.
 Det Jason Hanson 12 29 13 31 13 29 4.0 27 5.0 27 3.5 22 5.3 11 1.50 1.39 BAL 1.47 5.0 7.3 4.7 13
notes misses: Hanson none; Hamilton one extra point blocked.
Hanson is listed as probable on  Wednesday's injury report. Remy Hamilton remains on the practice squad.
 GB Ryan Longwell 14 28 18 29 16 27 3.5 30 5.0 27 2.0 26 6.5 15 1.03 0.98 NO 0.96 5.0 4.8 5.0 14
notes misses: 42WL, one extra point
Longwell did not have any FG attempts last week. He also did not have any attempts in week 4 of 2004, although that was the only such week that year.
 Hou Kris Brown 6 32 6 32 6 32 2.0 32 1.0 32 2.5 24 11.7 32 1.00 1.05 TEN 1.06 1.0 1.1 6.8 26
notes misses:  none
With his big 4 point game last week, Brown tripled his total scoring for the year.
 Ind Mike Vanderjagt 24 18 24 19 25 19 6.0 20 5.5 23 6.5 11 3.5 2 0.70 0.39 @SF 1.04 6.5 6.8 4.8 3
notes misses: none
The Colts offense showed signs of life last week. The 49ers gave up a few kicking points (19 to Rackers) last week.
 Jac Josh Scobee 26 14 32 12 29 14 6.5 16 7.5 15 5.5 15 5.5 12 0.95 0.98 CIN 0.61 7.5 4.6 6.0 20
notes misses: 43WL, 42WL
The Bengals are giving up the fewest kicking points per game in the NFL.
 KC Lawrence Tynes 31 6 37 8 33 9 7.8 7 8.0 13 7.5 7 7.3 23 0.98 0.88 BYE          
notes misses: 32WL, 46B.
 Mia Olindo Mare 20 23 23 23 21 24 6.7 15 9.5 8 1.0 31 5.0 5 0.83 0.77 @BUF 0.80 1.0 0.8 5.8 19
notes misses: 21WL
Mare's lone miss this year was on the road at a divisional foe.
 Min Paul Edinger 26 14 29 17 30 11 6.5 16 11.0 5 2.0 26 8.8 28 0.86 1.42 BYE          
notes misses: 33RU
 NE Adam Vinatieri 27 12 34 9 30 11 6.8 14 5.5 23 8.0 4 7.5 26 0.89 0.98 @ATL 1.27 8.0 10.1 7.1 15
notes misses: 53WL, 37WR, blocked extra point
The Falcons limited both opponents' kickers to 4 points each in the Georgia Dome.
 NO John Carney 32 4 38 7 35 6 8.0 5 13.0 2 6.3 12 8.3 27 0.50 0.96 @GB 1.03 6.3 6.5 8.1 5
notes misses: 29LU, 32WL
Carney's two biggest games in 2004 came in back-to-back weeks.
 NYG Jay Feely 40 2 40 4 50 2 10.0 2 9.7 7 11.0 1 6.5 15 0.74 1.20 BYE          
notes misses:  none
 NYJ Mike Nugent 17 26 20 27 18 26 4.3 26 6.5 22 2.0 26 6.3 13 1.23 1.44 TB 0.72 6.5 4.7 5.3 17
notes misses: 28B
In recent years, the Jets' kicker has scored better when Testeverde was at the helm.
 Oak Sebastian Janikowski 28 11 40 4 30 11 7.0 12 9.0 9 5.0 17 7.3 23 1.54 1.00 BYE          
notes misses: 43WL, 50WL, 49LU, 37WL
 Phi Todd France 26 14 39 6 28 15 5.2 24 5.5 23 7.5 7 5.0 5 1.40 0.58 @DAL 1.00 7.5 7.5 5.1 11
notes misses: Akers 49SH, 49WR, 43LU; Simoneau one extra point; France 40B
Akers condition may be worse than initially anticipated. Todd France is the Eagles kicker for the foreseeable future.
 Pit Jeff Reed 27 12 30 16 28 15 9.0 4 9.0 9 9.0 3 4.3 3 0.79 1.00 @SD 0.96 9.0 8.7 6.7 16
notes misses: 52WL
Reed has kicked 2 FGs in every game this year, and at least two extra points.
 SD Nate Kaeding 31 6 31 14 34 7 7.8 7 7.5 15 8.0 4 7.0 20 0.96 0.85 PIT 1.00 7.5 7.5 7.4 7
notes misses: none
The Steelers are allowing 11 kicking ppg to playoff teams from last year, and 1 ppg to non-playoff teams.
 Sea Josh Brown 23 20 29 17 26 18 5.8 22 8.0 13 3.5 22 9.5 29 1.03 1.40 @STL 1.80 3.5 6.3 7.6 2
notes misses:  47WL, 47LU
Both kickers should get plenty of work in this game.
 SF Joe Nedney 16 27 16 30 16 27 4.0 27 5.5 23 2.5 24 10.0 31 1.04 1.16 IND 0.39 5.5 2.2 7.0 27
notes misses:  none
The 27th ranked team in kicker scoring per game against the team allowing the second fewest kicking points.
 StL Jeff Wilkins 31 6 34 9 34 7 7.8 7 7.0 18 8.0 4 9.8 30 1.80 0.77 SEA 1.40 7.0 9.8 8.8 1
notes misses: 48WL
Both kickers should get plenty of work in this game.
 TB Matt Bryant 21 21 24 19 25 19 5.3 23 5.0 27 5.5 15 5.3 9 1.75 0.72 @NYJ 1.23 5.5 6.8 5.3 25
notes misses: 46WR
The Jets are only allowing 4.5 kicker points ppg to teams visiting from Florida.
 Ten Rob Bironas 25 17 31 14 27 17 6.3 19 7.5 15 5.0 17 7.0 20 1.04 1.06 @HOU 1.00 5.0 5.0 6.6 9
notes misses: 47WR, 38WL
The Texans are allowing a whopping 11.7 kicking ppg, worst in the NFL.
 Was Nick Novak 19 25 22 24 22 22 6.3 18 8.5 11 2.0 26 4.3 3 1.21 1.00 @DEN 0.58 2.0 1.2 5.3 22
notes misses: Hall none, Novak 39B.
Hall is listed as questionable once again on the injury report, and did not practice on Wednesday.
NOTES:
1. All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
 (except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2. "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3. The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring 
 (i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.  Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
 Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5. Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped
Mike Herman's Weekly Kicker Rankings ***
Rank Player
1 Jeff Wilkins
2 Josh Brown
3 Mike Vanderjagt
4 Neil Rackers
5 John Carney
6 Jason Elam
7 Nate Kaeding
8 John Kasay
9 Rob Bironas
10 Rian Lindell
11 Todd France
12 Shayne Graham
13 Jason Hanson
14 Ryan Longwell
15 Adam Vinatieri
16 Jeff Reed
17 Mike Nugent
18 Todd Peterson
19 Olindo Mare
20 Josh Scobee
21 Phil Dawson
22 Nick Novak
23 Jose Cortez
24 Matt Stover
25 Matt Bryant
26 Kris Brown
27 Joe Nedney
28 Doug Brien
*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings