Kickermania - thru week 5 & looking ahead to week 6
by Mike Herman, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
    2005 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)
2005 Kicking ppg 2005
Kdef
Week 6 matchup
TEAM Current KICKER standard
total  rnk
attemptd
total  rnk
bonus
total  rnk
avg rnk home rnk away rnk ppg allw rnk hom
factr
away
factr
oppnt Kdef
factr
score
avg
math
proj
I
math
proj
II
this
week
rank
 Ari Neil Rackers 58 1 58 1 69 1 11.6 1 13.0 1 9.5 2 6.4 15 0.80 1.12 BYE          
notes misses: none.
 Atl Todd Peterson 32 17 32 20 34 17 6.4 22 7.3 20 5.0 19 5.6 8 0.91 0.63 @NO 0.50 5.0 2.5 6.0 16
notes misses: none
Peterson won't get the long FG attempts, as evidenced by punter Michael Koenen's 58 yarder last week.
 Bal Matt Stover 17 30 26 27 19 29 4.3 28 4.0 32 4.5 21 6.3 14 1.28 1.23 CLE 1.09 4.0 4.3 5.3 21
notes misses: 38WL, 47WL, 45WR
Stover was one of the top home kickers the last several years. This year he's dead last.
 Buf Rian Lindell 38 5 41 10 42 7 7.6 7 11.3 4 2.0 28 5.4 6 1.20 1.00 NYJ 1.44 11.3 16.3 6.5 3
notes misses: 45WR
Lindell will eventually go on the road, but for this week he's home again where he's scored no worse than 8 points.
 Car John Kasay 37 7 44 5 45 4 7.4 9 8.3 13 6.0 14 6.8 19 0.65 0.78 @DET 1.31 6.0 7.8 7.1 7
notes misses: 53WL, 62WL, one extra point blocked
Half of Kasay's FG attempts have been from 50+ yards so far this year.
 Chi Robbie Gould 14 32 26 27 16 32 3.5 32 4.5 31 2.5 25 5.8 9 0.39 1.06 MIN 1.38 4.5 6.2 4.6 17
notes misses:  Brien 48WL, 36WR, 39WL; Gould 48WL
Doug Brien's poor performance coupled with his injury led the team to release him this week.
 Cin Shayne Graham 46 2 49 3 49 3 9.2 3 11.5 3 7.7 5 4.6 3 0.80 0.93 @TEN 1.06 7.7 8.1 6.9 9
notes misses: 42WR
While Rackers is getting all the attention (deservedly), Graham is quietly having an excellent season.
 Cle Phil Dawson 29 20 30 22 31 20 7.3 11 7.5 18 7.0 10 6.5 17 1.39 1.09 @BAL 1.28 7.0 9.0 6.9 12
notes misses: one extra point blocked
Dawson has connected on two FGs in each game so far this year.
 Dal Jose Cortez 35 10 39 16 37 14 7.0 13 11.0 5 4.3 23 6.4 15 0.54 1.44 NYG 1.08 11.0 11.9 6.7 2
notes misses:  41WL, one extra point.
Cortez is in position to have back-to-back big weeks at home.
 Den Jason Elam 35 10 50 2 40 9 7.0 13 7.7 17 6.0 14 5.4 6 0.63 0.58 NE 1.08 7.7 8.3 6.2 8
notes misses: 53WL, 53WR, 46LU, 41WL, 46B
Elam had no FG attempts last week. During the last five years he has had only one game each year with no FG attempts.
 Det Jason Hanson 17 30 18 31 18 31 4.3 28 5.0 27 3.5 24 5.3 5 1.31 1.39 CAR 0.78 5.0 3.9 4.8 24
notes misses: Hanson none; Hamilton one extra point blocked.
Hanson has scored 5 points in each home game so far this year.
 GB Ryan Longwell 24 25 28 24 26 25 4.8 26 6.7 22 2.0 28 5.8 12 0.65 0.98 BYE          
notes misses: 42WL, one extra point
 Hou Kris Brown 18 29 18 31 20 27 4.5 27 6.5 23 2.5 25 11.3 32 1.35 1.14 @SEA 1.03 2.5 2.6 7.9 28
notes misses:  none
With his big 12 point game last week, Brown doubled his total scoring for the year. That trend should end this week.
 Ind Mike Vanderjagt 28 21 28 24 29 23 5.6 23 5.5 24 5.7 16 3.4 1 0.70 0.53 STL 0.92 5.5 5.1 4.5 5
notes misses: none
The Rams have given up 12, 9, 14, and 13 kicking points the last four weeks.
 Jac Josh Scobee 37 7 43 7 44 6 7.4 9 8.7 11 5.5 17 6.0 13 1.04 1.16 @PIT 0.79 5.5 4.4 6.7 20
notes misses: 43WL, 42WL
Scobee and Rackers are both on pace to break the season touchback record.
 KC Lawrence Tynes 31 18 37 17 33 18 7.8 6 8.0 15 7.5 8 7.3 22 1.12 1.06 WAS 0.51 8.0 4.1 7.5 23
notes misses: 32WL, 46B.
The Redskins are allowing the second fewest kicking points per game in the NFL.
 Mia Olindo Mare 22 26 25 29 23 26 5.5 24 9.5 8 1.5 32 5.8 9 0.83 0.85 @TB 1.75 1.5 2.6 5.6 25
notes misses: 21WL
Mare is last in kicker scoring on the road.
 Min Paul Edinger 26 23 29 23 30 21 6.5 20 11.0 5 2.0 28 8.8 28 0.75 1.38 @CHI 0.39 2.0 0.8 7.6 27
notes misses: 33RU
Only one of Edinger's 8 FG attempts has been on the road.
 NE Adam Vinatieri 34 14 41 10 37 14 6.8 18 5.5 24 7.7 5 7.6 25 0.89 1.08 @DEN 0.63 7.7 4.8 7.2 14
notes misses: 53WL, 37WR, blocked extra point
At this stage of the season last year, Vinatieri had 45 points and one missed FG.
 NO John Carney 35 10 47 4 38 12 7.0 13 13.0 1 5.5 17 8.6 27 0.50 1.16 ATL 0.63 13.0 8.2 7.8 18
notes misses: 29LU, 32WL, 43WL, 43WR
Carney has either scored a little (3, 4, 4) or a lot (11, 13) in games so far this year.
 NYG Jay Feely 40 4 40 14 50 2 10.0 2 9.7 7 11.0 1 6.5 17 0.74 1.08 @DAL 0.54 11.0 5.9 8.3 13
notes misses:  none
The Giants have been providing Feely with plenty of scoring opportunities. The Cowboys have been very stingy at home to opposing kickers.
 NYJ Mike Nugent 19 27 28 24 20 27 3.8 30 5.0 27 2.0 28 7.4 24 1.45 1.44 @BUF 1.20 2.0 2.4 5.6 26
notes misses: 28B, 40WR, 48WL
On the bright side, Nugent got his first touchback last week.
 Oak Sebastian Janikowski 28 21 40 14 30 21 7.0 13 9.0 9 5.0 19 7.3 22 1.54 1.00 SD 0.98 9.0 8.8 7.1 6
notes misses: 43WL, 50WL, 49LU, 37WL
Janikowski has had 4 FG attempts in each of his last two games.
 Phi Todd France 30 19 43 7 32 19 5.0 25 5.5 24 6.3 13 7.0 21 1.40 0.88 BYE          
notes misses: Akers 49SH, 49WR, 43LU; Simoneau one extra point; France 40B
 Pit Jeff Reed 33 15 36 18 35 16 8.3 4 9.0 9 7.5 8 5.8 9 0.79 0.68 JAC 1.16 9.0 10.5 7.0 10
notes misses: 52WL
The Steelers have managed to provide Reed with scoring opportunities throughout his career, regardless of who has started at QB.
 SD Nate Kaeding 41 3 41 10 45 4 8.2 5 8.3 13 8.0 3 6.8 19 0.92 0.98 @OAK 1.54 8.0 12.3 7.5 1
notes misses: none
Kaeding has averaged 10 points per game the last three weeks, and the Raiders are giving up 9 kicking points per game at home.
 Sea Josh Brown 36 9 42 9 40 9 7.2 12 8.0 15 6.7 11 9.0 30 1.03 1.00 HOU 1.14 8.0 9.1 8.1 4
notes misses:  47WL, 47LU
Another juicy matchup for Brown.
 SF Joe Nedney 19 27 19 30 19 29 3.8 30 4.7 30 2.5 25 8.8 29 0.71 1.28 BYE          
notes misses:  none
 StL Jeff Wilkins 38 5 41 10 42 7 7.6 7 7.0 21 8.0 3 10.4 31 1.65 0.92 @IND 0.70 8.0 5.6 9.0 15
notes misses: 48WL
Wilkins has been scoring points, however the Colts are giving up the fewest kicking points in the NFL.
 TB Matt Bryant 33 15 36 18 38 12 6.6 19 5.0 27 7.7 5 4.6 3 1.75 0.60 MIA 0.85 5.0 4.3 5.6 22
notes misses: 46WR
Bryant's 12 points last week was the first in double digits for a Tampa Bay kicker since December 2003.
 Ten Rob Bironas 35 10 44 5 40 9 7.0 13 7.5 18 6.7 11 8.0 26 1.06 1.11 CIN 0.93 7.5 7.0 7.5 11
notes misses: 47WR, 38WL, 58SH (freekick)
The Bengals last three opponents each scored 5 kicking points.
 Was Nick Novak 26 23 32 20 29 23 6.5 20 8.5 12 4.5 21 4.0 2 0.58 0.51 @KC 1.12 4.5 5.0 5.3 19
notes misses: Hall none, Novak 39B, 38B
Hall is listed as questionable once again on the injury report, and did not practice once again on Wednesday.
NOTES:
1. All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
 (except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2. "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3. The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring 
 (i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.  Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
 Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5. Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped
Mike Herman's Weekly Kicker Rankings ***
Rank Player
1 Nate Kaeding
2 Jose Cortez
3 Rian Lindell
4 Josh Brown
5 Mike Vanderjagt
6 Sebastian Janikowski
7 John Kasay
8 Jason Elam
9 Shayne Graham
10 Jeff Reed
11 Rob Bironas
12 Phil Dawson
13 Jay Feely
14 Adam Vinatieri
15 Jeff Wilkins
16 Todd Peterson
17 Robbie Gould
18 John Carney
19 Nick Novak
20 Josh Scobee
21 Matt Stover
22 Matt Bryant
23 Lawrence Tynes
24 Jason Hanson
25 Olindo Mare
26 Mike Nugent
27 Paul Edinger
28 Kris Brown
*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings