Kickermania - thru week 9 & looking ahead to week 10
by Mike Herman, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
    2005 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)
2005 Kicking ppg 2005
Kdef
Week 10 matchup
TEAM Current KICKER standard
total  rnk
attemptd
total  rnk
bonus
total  rnk
avg rnk home rnk away rnk ppg allw rnk hom
factr
away
factr
oppnt Kdef
factr
score
avg
math
proj
I
math
proj
II
this
week
rank
 Ari Neil Rackers 86 1 86 1 103 1 10.8 1 12.0 1 8.7 2 6.9 19 0.77 0.95 @DET 0.79 8.7 6.8 8.8 17
notes misses: none
The Cardinals signed Rackers to a four year contract extension.
 Atl Todd Peterson 56 15 56 24 59 18 7.0 13 7.8 11 6.3 16 5.1 2 0.84 0.71 GB 0.88 7.8 6.9 6.1 10
notes misses: none
Peterson's best game so far this year was at home against an NFC North opponent (12 points vs. Minnesota).
 Bal Matt Stover 55 17 67 14 61 15 6.9 15 6.8 22 7.0 11 5.4 3 0.66 0.99 @JAC 0.89 7.0 6.2 6.1 13
notes misses: 38WL, 47WL, 45WR, 43RU
Stover has picked up the pace… 17 points in the first four games, 38 points in the last four games.
 Buf Rian Lindell 62 7 68 13 70 4 7.8 5 10.8 2 4.8 23 5.4 3 0.66 1.05 KC 0.87 10.8 9.4 6.6 4
notes misses: 45WR, 46WL
Lindell has scored any where from 8 to 16 points in each home game.
 Car John Kasay 58 10 71 10 67 7 7.3 9 8.3 6 6.3 16 5.6 9 0.57 0.91 NYJ 1.06 8.3 8.8 6.4 5
notes misses: 53WL, 62WL, 52B, 56SH, one extra point blocked
Last year the Jets gave up the second fewest kicking points. This year they're currently tied for 25th.
 Chi Robbie Gould 37 31 55 25 39 31 4.6 31 4.3 31 5.0 22 5.5 6 0.88 1.12 SF 1.25 4.3 5.3 5.1 19
notes misses:  Brien 48WL, 36WR, 39WL; Gould 48WL, 47WR, 47WR
The Bears are averaging 0.5 FG attempts per home game.
 Cin Shayne Graham 66 4 78 3 69 6 7.3 7 8.3 6 6.6 15 6.0 10 0.85 1.33 BYE          
notes misses: 42WR, 52WL, 30WL, 48WR
 Cle Phil Dawson 54 19 58 21 56 20 6.8 17 6.8 22 6.8 13 7.3 23 1.56 1.03 @PIT 1.24 6.8 8.3 7.0 14
notes misses: 39WR, one extra point blocked
Dawson has averaged 9 points per game at Pittsburgh the previous three years.
 Dal Shaun Suisham 59 8 72 7 62 12 7.4 6 10.5 4 4.3 25 6.6 15 0.79 0.98 @PHI 0.90 4.3 3.8 7.0 23
notes misses:  Cortez 41WL, 49B, 48WL, 29WL, one extra point; Suisham none
Last year, Dallas had their two lowest kicker scoring games against the Eagles. This year their best game so far was against the Eagles.
 Den Jason Elam 57 13 75 5 64 11 7.1 11 6.8 21 7.7 7 5.5 6 0.68 0.57 @OAK 1.24 7.7 9.5 6.3 3
notes misses: 53WL, 53WR, 46LU, 41WL, 46B, 49WR.  If Elam scores at least one point this week, he'll have reached 1,500 career points in only 197 games... the fastest ever to do so. The second fastest to 1,500 was Nick Lowery in 220 games.
 Det Jason Hanson 41 28 54 26 47 27 5.1 27 6.3 26 4.0 26 5.5 6 0.79 0.90 ARI 0.95 6.3 6.0 5.3 16
notes misses: Hanson 47B, 47WR, 46WL, 51WR; Hamilton one extra point blocked.
Two of three teams that hosted the Cardinals each scored 7 kicking points.
 GB Ryan Longwell 38 30 51 28 43 29 4.8 30 6.0 27 3.5 27 6.4 11 0.87 0.88 @ATL 0.84 3.5 2.9 5.6 25
notes misses: 42WL, 53WR, 42WL, 31WR, one extra point
Longwell has scored 3, 1, 8, and 2 points on the road.
 Hou Kris Brown 39 29 45 32 42 30 4.9 29 7.0 18 2.8 30 9.0 32 1.31 1.02 @IND 0.89 2.8 2.4 6.9 26
notes misses:  56WR, 38WR
Brown scored 2 points in the Texans first game against the colts this year.
 Ind Mike Vanderjagt 55 17 58 21 56 20 6.9 15 6.7 24 7.0 11 3.8 1 0.89 0.43 HOU 1.02 6.7 6.8 5.3 12
notes misses: 48WL
Vanderjagt is listed as probable on Wednesday's injury report with a calf injury.
 Jac Josh Scobee 48 22 60 19 55 22 6.0 22 7.3 15 4.8 23 5.4 3 0.89 0.82 BAL 0.99 7.3 7.2 5.7 9
notes misses: 43WL, 42WL, 49WR, 44WR
Scobee is perfect under 40 yards and over 50 yards, but only 3 of 7 in between.
 KC Lawrence Tynes 68 3 74 6 75 3 8.5 3 8.3 6 8.8 1 6.6 15 1.12 0.87 @BUF 0.66 8.8 5.8 7.6 18
notes misses: 32WL, 46B.
The Bills are giving up only 3.5 kicking ppg at home.
 Mia Olindo Mare 54 19 60 19 60 17 6.8 17 7.8 11 5.8 18 6.9 19 0.88 0.82 NE 1.03 7.8 8.0 6.8 7
notes misses: 21WL, 36WL
Last year the Patriots gave up the fewest kicking points. This year they're currently tied for 25th.
 Min Paul Edinger 50 21 65 15 57 19 6.3 21 10.5 4 2.0 32 7.1 22 0.81 1.26 @NYG 0.75 2.0 1.5 6.7 28
notes misses: 33RU, 52WR, 32SH, 33WR, 52SH
Edinger has scored 0, 4, 3, and 1 points on the road.
 NE Adam Vinatieri 48 22 61 18 51 25 6.0 22 4.3 31 7.8 6 7.8 25 1.46 1.03 @MIA 0.88 7.8 6.8 6.9 11
notes misses: 53WL, 37WR, 53WR, 44WL, blocked extra point
In case you had forgotten, Vinatieri is a distant cousin of Evil Knievel.
 NO John Carney 58 10 76 4 62 12 6.4 20 7.8 11 5.4 19 8.7 31 1.60 0.97 BYE          
notes misses: 29LU, 32WL, 43WL, 43WR, 47B, 45B
 NYG Jay Feely 77 2 80 2 86 2 9.6 2 10.6 3 8.0 3 6.6 15 0.75 0.95 MIN 1.26 10.6 13.3 8.1 1
notes misses:  51LU
Feely begins a four game stretch where he projects to score 8+ points each game.
 NYJ Mike Nugent 34 32 46 31 36 32 4.3 32 5.8 29 2.8 30 7.8 25 1.32 1.06 @CAR 0.57 2.8 1.6 6.0 27
notes Nugent has scored 1, 3, 5, and 2 points on the road.
 Oak Sebastian Janikowski 57 13 69 11 61 15 7.1 11 7.0 18 7.3 9 7.4 24 1.24 0.97 DEN 0.57 7.0 4.0 7.3 22
notes misses: 43WL, 50WL, 49LU, 37WL
Janikowski's two lowest scoring games last year were against the Broncos.
 Phi David Akers 45 25 58 21 48 26 5.0 28 6.3 25 5.2 20 6.5 13 0.90 0.85 DAL 0.98 6.3 6.2 5.8 15
notes misses: Akers 49SH, 49WR, 43LU; Simoneau one extra point; France 40B.
The Eagles signed Akers to a three year contract extension. Akers is listed as probable (hamstring) on Wednesday's injury report.
 Pit Jeff Reed 63 6 72 7 66 9 7.9 4 7.8 11 8.0 3 6.5 13 1.24 0.76 CLE 1.03 7.8 7.9 7.2 8
notes misses: 52WL, 46WR, 51SH
Reed has been consistent, scoring 9, 8, and 8 points in the last three games.
 SD Nate Kaeding 66 4 69 11 70 4 7.3 7 7.3 15 7.4 8 6.7 18 0.93 1.18 BYE          
notes misses: 40B
 Sea Josh Brown 58 10 65 15 66 9 7.3 9 7.3 15 7.3 9 8.3 29 1.16 1.13 STL 1.16 7.3 8.4 7.8 6
notes misses:  47WL, 47LU, one extra point blocked
The Rams have given up 11.7 kicking points per game in their last three road trips.
 SF Joe Nedney 45 25 48 30 53 24 5.6 25 7.0 18 3.3 28 8.0 27 0.59 1.25 @CHI 0.88 3.3 2.9 6.8 24
notes misses:  39WL
Nedney had 8 FG attempts over the last two weeks, and no extra points.
 StL Jeff Wilkins 56 15 62 17 62 12 7.0 13 6.0 27 8.0 3 8.6 30 1.33 1.16 @SEA 1.16 8.0 9.3 7.8 2
notes misses: 48WL, 48SH
The Rams have averaged 9.4 kicking ppg against the Seahawks the last three years.
 TB Matt Bryant 48 22 54 26 54 23 6.0 22 5.3 30 6.8 13 6.9 19 1.41 0.67 WAS 0.82 5.3 4.3 6.4 20
notes misses: 46WR, 52SH
The Redskins have not allowed more than 5 kicking points in any home game this year.
 Ten Rob Bironas 59 8 72 7 67 7 6.6 19 8.3 6 5.2 20 8.1 28 1.03 1.19 BYE          
notes misses: 47WR, 38WL, 58SH (freekick), 50WR, missed one extra point
 Was John Hall 44 27 50 29 47 27 5.5 26 8.0 10 3.0 29 6.4 11 0.73 0.82 @TB 1.41 3.0 4.2 5.9 21
notes misses: Hall none, Novak 39B, 38B
Nick Novak was released.
NOTES:
1. All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
 (except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2. "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3. The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring 
 (i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.  Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
 Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5. Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped
Mike Herman's Kicker Rankings for This Week *** Remaining Schedule (thru week 16) Rankings ***
Rank Player Rank Team
1 Jay Feely 1 Jay Feely
2 Jeff Wilkins 2 Jeff Reed
3 Jason Elam 3 Neil Rackers
4 Rian Lindell 4 Olindo Mare
5 John Kasay 5 Lawrence Tynes
6 Josh Brown 6 Rob Bironas
7 Olindo Mare 7 Jason Elam
8 Jeff Reed 8 Jeff Wilkins
9 Josh Scobee 9 Shayne Graham
10 Todd Peterson 10 John Kasay
11 Adam Vinatieri 11 Mike Vanderjagt
12 Mike Vanderjagt 12 Nate Kaeding
13 Matt Stover 13 Matt Stover
14 Phil Dawson 14 Josh Brown
15 David Akers 15 Rian Lindell
16 Jason Hanson 16 Phil Dawson
17 Neil Rackers 17 Matt Bryant
18 Lawrence Tynes 18 Sebastian Janikowski
19 Robbie Gould 19 John Hall
20 Matt Bryant 20 Todd Peterson
21 John Hall 21 Adam Vinatieri
22 Sebastian Janikowski 22 Josh Scobee
23 Shaun Suisham 23 David Akers
24 Joe Nedney 24 Jason Hanson
25 Ryan Longwell 25 John Carney
26 Kris Brown 26 Shaun Suisham
27 Mike Nugent 27 Paul Edinger
28 Paul Edinger 28 Kris Brown
29 Robbie Gould
30 Joe Nedney
31 Ryan Longwell
32 Mike Nugent
*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings