Kickermania - thru week 10 & looking ahead to week 11
by Mike Herman, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
    2005 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)
2005 Kicking ppg 2005
Kdef
Week 11 matchup
TEAM Current KICKER standard
total  rnk
attemptd
total  rnk
bonus
total  rnk
avg rnk home rnk away rnk ppg allw rnk hom
factr
away
factr
oppnt Kdef
factr
score
avg
math
proj
I
math
proj
II
this
week
rank
 Ari Neil Rackers 93 1 93 1 112 1 10.3 1 12.0 1 8.3 3 7.1 19 0.77 1.14 @STL 1.33 8.3 11.0 8.7 2
notes misses: none
What's wrong with Rackers? He has only two touchbacks in the last three games.
 Atl Todd Peterson 61 15 61 26 64 17 6.8 15 7.2 15 6.3 14 6.2 14 0.88 0.74 TB 0.67 7.2 4.8 6.5 25
notes misses: none
The Falcons averaged only 3 kicking ppg in their two games against Tampa last year.
 Bal Matt Stover 58 18 70 17 65 15 6.4 18 6.8 22 6.2 16 6.1 9 0.68 0.98 PIT 0.76 6.8 5.1 6.3 22
notes misses: 38WL, 47WL, 45WR, 43RU
Stover had his best game of the year against Pittsburgh several weeks ago.
 Buf Rian Lindell 64 11 76 10 72 8 7.1 11 9.0 5 4.8 24 5.1 2 0.39 1.11 @SD 1.03 4.8 4.9 6.1 26
notes misses: 45WR, 46WL, 28LU, 31WR
Lindell has the widest range of points scored in individual games (low of one, high of 16) of any kicker this year. This is also known as inconsistency.
 Car John Kasay 70 5 83 5 80 3 7.8 5 9.0 5 6.3 14 5.3 4 0.63 0.92 @CHI 0.97 6.3 6.0 6.6 12
notes misses: 53WL, 62WL, 52B, 56SH, one extra point blocked
Kasay has averaged 10 points a game the last three weeks.
 Chi Robbie Gould 42 31 63 24 44 31 4.7 31 4.4 31 5.0 23 5.9 7 0.97 1.08 CAR 0.92 4.4 4.1 5.3 28
notes misses:  Brien 48WL, 36WR, 39WL; Gould 48WL, 47WR, 47WR, 39WR
The Bears are tied for the most missed FGs in the NFL.
 Cin Shayne Graham 66 7 78 7 69 11 7.3 7 8.3 7 6.6 13 6.0 8 0.73 1.33 IND 0.43 8.3 3.5 6.7 23
notes misses: 42WR, 52WL, 30WL, 48WR
The Colts are giving up only 2.6 kicking ppg on the road.
 Cle Phil Dawson 57 21 61 26 59 25 6.3 21 6.8 22 6.0 17 7.6 24 1.36 1.02 MIA 0.88 6.8 5.9 6.9 14
notes misses: 39WR, one extra point blocked
Dawson has only attempted two FGs over 40 yards so far this year.
 Dal Shaun Suisham 62 12 75 12 65 15 6.9 12 10.5 2 4.0 28 6.8 18 0.81 1.00 DET 0.93 10.5 9.8 6.8 3
notes misses:  Cortez 41WL, 49B, 48WL, 29WL, one extra point; Suisham none
The Cowboys are averaging 2.75 FG attempts per home game.
 Den Jason Elam 68 6 86 3 75 6 7.6 6 6.8 20 8.5 1 5.4 5 0.68 0.68 NYJ 1.09 6.8 7.4 6.5 8
notes misses: 53WL, 53WR, 46LU, 41WL, 46B, 49WR.
Elam now has 1510 career points (11th all time), and has his sights on a ninth straight year in the top ten in kicker scoring.
 Det Jason Hanson 50 29 63 24 56 29 5.6 28 6.8 20 4.0 28 5.7 6 0.81 0.93 @DAL 0.81 4.0 3.2 5.6 30
notes misses: Hanson 47B, 47WR, 46WL, 51WR; Hamilton one extra point blocked.
Hanson passed Mark Mosely last week to reach 16th on the all time scoring list. Next up: 37 points to pass Matt Bahr.
 GB Ryan Longwell 53 25 66 22 63 21 5.9 25 6.0 27 5.8 18 6.2 14 0.87 0.74 MIN 0.91 6.0 5.5 6.1 13
notes misses: 42WL, 53WR, 42WL, 31WR, one extra point
Longwell is coming off his best game of the year, including two kicks from over 50 yards.
 Hou Kris Brown 44 30 50 31 47 30 4.9 30 7.0 17 3.2 30 8.8 32 1.40 1.04 KC 0.76 7.0 5.3 6.8 18
notes misses:  56WR, 38WR
It's been feast or famine at home for Brown, with 1, 12, 2, and 13 points.
 Ind Mike Vanderjagt 62 12 65 23 64 17 6.9 12 6.8 22 7.0 11 3.9 1 0.98 0.43 @CIN 0.73 7.0 5.1 5.4 21
notes misses: 48WL
Vanderjagt's best game of the year so far was a road game the week after having played the Texans.
 Jac Josh Scobee 60 16 72 13 68 12 6.7 16 8.2 10 4.8 24 5.1 2 0.63 0.80 @TEN 1.03 4.8 4.9 5.9 24
notes misses: 43WL, 42WL, 49WR, 44WR
Scobee has three games scoring in double-digits this year. None of them were on the road.
 KC Lawrence Tynes 71 4 83 5 78 4 7.9 4 8.3 7 7.6 7 6.1 9 0.98 0.76 @HOU 1.40 7.6 10.7 7.0 1
notes misses: 32WL, 46B, 44WR, 43WL
The Texans are giving up 9.25 kicking ppg at home.
 Mia Olindo Mare 58 18 67 21 64 17 6.4 18 7.0 17 5.8 19 7.1 19 0.96 0.88 @CLE 1.36 5.8 7.8 6.8 11
notes misses: 21WL, 36WL, 31WR
Mare has quite a few favorable matchups during the remainder of the season.
 Min Paul Edinger 56 23 77 8 64 17 6.2 23 10.5 2 2.8 31 7.1 19 0.81 0.91 @GB 0.87 2.8 2.4 6.7 31
notes misses: 33RU, 52WR, 32SH, 33WR, 52SH, 40WR, 32B
Edinger led the league in missed FGs last year, and is working on repeating that dubious honor.
 NE Adam Vinatieri 57 21 70 17 60 24 6.3 21 4.3 32 8.0 4 7.3 23 1.46 0.98 NO 0.90 4.3 3.8 6.8 29
notes misses: 53WL, 37WR, 53WR, 44WL, blocked extra point
Last year's top kicker is last in home scoring this year.
 NO John Carney 58 18 76 10 62 22 6.4 18 7.8 13 5.4 20 8.7 31 1.60 0.90 @NE 1.46 5.4 7.9 7.6 16
notes misses: 29LU, 32WL, 43WL, 43WR, 47B, 45B
The last three visiting kickers at New England scored in double digits. Carney probably won't.
 NYG Jay Feely 84 2 90 2 94 2 9.3 2 10.0 4 8.0 4 6.6 16 0.79 0.95 PHI 0.85 10.0 8.5 7.9 5
notes misses:  51LU, 28WR
The Eagles are allowing an average of 10.0 kicking points in divisional road games.
 NYJ Mike Nugent 37 32 49 32 39 32 4.1 32 5.8 29 2.8 31 8.2 28 1.32 1.09 @DEN 0.68 2.8 1.9 6.2 32
notes misses: 28B, 40WR, 48WL, 51WL
Nugent is averaging 0.8 FG attempts per road game.
 Oak Sebastian Janikowski 62 12 77 8 67 13 6.9 12 6.6 26 7.3 9 7.8 26 1.29 0.97 @WAS 0.73 7.3 5.3 7.3 20
notes misses: 43WL, 50WL, 49LU, 37WL, 45WL
The Redskins have held every visiting kicker to 5 or fewer points.
 Phi David Akers 53 25 69 19 57 27 5.3 29 6.8 22 5.2 21 6.1 9 0.71 0.85 @NYG 0.79 5.2 4.1 5.7 27
notes misses: Akers 49SH, 49WR, 43LU, 60SH; Simoneau one extra point; France 40B.
The eagles kicking output in their last three road games was 4, 3, and 4 points.
 Pit Jeff Reed 73 3 85 4 77 5 8.1 3 8.2 10 8.0 4 6.1 9 1.05 0.76 @BAL 0.68 8.0 5.4 7.1 17
notes misses: 52WL, 46WR, 51SH, 44B
Reed's worst game last year (1 point) was at Baltimore.
 SD Nate Kaeding 66 7 69 19 70 10 7.3 7 7.3 14 7.4 8 6.7 17 1.03 1.18 BUF 1.11 7.3 8.0 7.0 4
notes misses: 40B
Kaeding is averaging 9.0 ppg against AFC east opponents.
 Sea Josh Brown 65 10 72 13 73 7 7.2 10 7.2 15 7.3 9 8.4 29 1.19 1.13 @SF 0.59 7.3 4.3 7.8 19
notes misses:  47WL, 47LU, one extra point blocked
Brown scored 6 points at San Francisco last year (all extra points).
 SF Joe Nedney 54 24 60 28 62 22 6.0 24 7.0 17 4.8 24 7.7 25 0.59 1.19 SEA 1.13 7.0 7.9 6.8 6
notes misses:  39WL, 52SH
Nedney has been handling all the 49ers scoring lately, and the Seahawks are generous to kickers.
 StL Jeff Wilkins 66 7 72 13 72 8 7.3 7 6.0 27 8.4 2 8.4 29 1.33 1.00 ARI 1.14 6.0 6.8 7.9 9
notes misses: 48WL, 48SH
The Cardinals are allowing 9.5 kicking ppg on the road.
 TB Matt Bryant 52 28 58 30 58 26 5.8 27 5.0 30 6.8 12 7.1 19 1.60 0.67 @ATL 0.88 6.8 5.9 6.4 15
notes misses: 46WR, 52SH
Bryant's three lowest scoring games of the year are the last three games (4, 2, and 4 points).
 Ten Rob Bironas 59 17 72 13 67 13 6.6 17 8.3 7 5.2 21 8.1 27 1.03 1.19 JAC 0.80 8.3 6.6 7.3 10
notes misses: 47WR, 38WL, 58SH (freekick), 50WR, missed one extra point
The Titans scored 6 kicking point when Jacksonville came to town last year.
 Was John Hall 53 25 59 29 57 27 5.9 25 8.0 12 4.2 27 6.1 9 0.73 0.80 OAK 0.97 8.0 7.8 6.0 7
notes misses: Hall none, Novak 39B, 38B
The Raiders allowed 8.0 kicking points per game in their last two road trips.
NOTES:
1. All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
 (except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2. "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3. The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring 
 (i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.  Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
 Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5. Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped
Mike Herman's Kicker Rankings for This Week *** Remaining Schedule (thru week 16) Rankings ***
Rank Player Rank Team
1 Lawrence Tynes 1 Neil Rackers
2 Neil Rackers 2 Jeff Reed
3 Shaun Suisham 3 Lawrence Tynes
4 Nate Kaeding 4 Olindo Mare
5 Jay Feely 5 Rob Bironas
6 Joe Nedney 6 Jay Feely
7 John Hall 7 Jeff Wilkins
8 Jason Elam 8 John Hall
9 Jeff Wilkins 9 Shayne Graham
10 Rob Bironas 10 Nate Kaeding
11 Olindo Mare 11 John Kasay
12 John Kasay 12 Matt Bryant
13 Ryan Longwell 13 Sebastian Janikowski
14 Phil Dawson 14 Jason Elam
15 Matt Bryant 15 Mike Vanderjagt
16 John Carney 16 Todd Peterson
17 Jeff Reed 17 Paul Edinger
18 Kris Brown 18 Joe Nedney
19 Josh Brown 19 Josh Brown
20 Sebastian Janikowski 20 Josh Scobee
21 Mike Vanderjagt 21 Ryan Longwell
22 Matt Stover 22 David Akers
23 Shayne Graham 23 Phil Dawson
24 Josh Scobee 24 Shaun Suisham
25 Todd Peterson 25 Jason Hanson
26 Rian Lindell 26 John Carney
27 David Akers 27 Rian Lindell
28 Robbie Gould 28 Adam Vinatieri
29 Adam Vinatieri 29 Matt Stover
30 Jason Hanson 30 Kris Brown
31 Paul Edinger 31 Robbie Gould
32 Mike Nugent 32 Mike Nugent
*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings