Kickermania - thru week 11 & looking ahead to week 12
by Mike Herman, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
    2005 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)
2005 Kicking ppg 2005
Kdef
Week 12 matchup
TEAM Current KICKER standard
total  rnk
attemptd
total  rnk
bonus
total  rnk
avg rnk home rnk away rnk ppg allw rnk hom
factr
away
factr
oppnt Kdef
factr
score
avg
math
proj
I
math
proj
II
this
week
rank
 Ari Neil Rackers 105 1 105 1 126 1 10.5 1 12.0 1 9.0 1 7.2 22 0.77 1.25 JAC 0.61 12.0 7.3 8.9 12
notes misses: none
Rackers is now on pace for 168 points. The season record is 164 by Gary Anderson (1998, Minnesota).
 Atl Todd Peterson 70 13 73 22 73 17 6.4 21 7.5 15 6.3 14 6.8 18 0.98 0.74 @DET 0.78 6.3 4.9 6.6 21
notes misses: Peterson none; Koenen 55WR
The Lions have given up 7, 9, 7, and 8 kicking points in their last four games.
 Bal Matt Stover 68 15 80 14 77 12 6.8 14 7.4 16 6.2 15 6.2 9 0.82 0.98 @CIN 1.15 6.2 7.2 6.5 14
notes misses: 38WL, 47WL, 45WR, 43RU
Stover is averaging 10.5 ppg against division foes, and 4.3 ppg against everyone else.
 Buf Rian Lindell 68 15 80 14 78 11 6.8 14 9.0 6 4.6 25 5.8 6 0.43 1.21 CAR 1.18 9.0 10.6 6.3 7
notes misses: 45WR, 46WL, 28LU, 31WR
Lindell has now made eight FGs over 40 yards this year, compared to one last year.
 Car John Kasay 73 10 89 8 83 7 7.3 10 9.0 6 5.6 18 5.5 4 0.63 1.18 @BUF 0.43 5.6 2.4 6.4 30
notes misses: 53WL, 62WL, 52B, 56SH, 46WL, one extra point blocked
Opponents are averaging 3.4 kicking ppg at Buffalo.
 Chi Robbie Gould 49 30 70 26 51 31 4.9 30 4.8 31 5.0 23 5.6 5 0.86 1.06 @TB 1.79 5.0 8.9 5.3 18
notes misses:  Brien 48WL, 36WR, 39WL; Gould 48WL, 47WR, 47WR, 39WR
Kickers that don't score a lot, tend to do better than usual when they visit Tampa Bay.
 Cin Shayne Graham 79 5 91 6 85 4 7.9 5 9.2 5 6.6 13 6.3 11 1.15 1.22 BAL 0.98 9.2 9.0 7.1 1
notes misses: 42WR, 52WL, 30WL, 48WR
Graham has had back-to-back double-digit scoring games only once in his NFL career. He has a decent chance to do so this week.
 Cle Phil Dawson 67 17 72 24 70 22 6.7 16 7.4 16 6.0 16 6.8 18 1.29 1.04 @MIN 0.76 6.0 4.6 6.8 32
notes misses: 39WR, one extra point blocked, one extra point LU
Opponents are averaging 3.4 kicking ppg at Minnesota.
 Dal Billy Cundiff 70 13 83 12 75 15 7.0 13 10.0 3 4.0 28 6.2 9 0.77 0.97 DEN 0.68 10.0 6.8 6.6 11
notes misses:  Cortez 41WL, 49B, 48WL, 29WL, one extra point; Suisham none; Cundiff none.
The Cowboys had Cundiff workout last Friday, then re-signed him on Saturday and dropped Suisham.
 Den Jason Elam 77 7 95 3 85 4 7.7 7 7.2 20 8.5 2 4.9 2 0.63 0.68 @DAL 0.77 8.5 6.6 6.3 16
notes misses: 53WL, 53WR, 46LU, 41WL, 46B, 49WR.
Elam is listed as probable on the injury report with a strained calf muscle. He played thru the injury last week by adjusting his approach to one step.
 Det Jason Hanson 51 29 67 28 57 29 5.1 29 6.8 22 3.4 30 5.9 7 0.78 0.86 ATL 0.74 6.8 5.0 5.5 17
notes misses: Hanson 47B, 47WR, 46WL, 51WR, 50WL; Hamilton one extra point blocked.
Hanson on Thanksgiving day the last three years: 9, 16, and 12 points.
 GB Ryan Longwell 58 26 71 25 69 23 5.8 26 5.8 28 5.8 17 6.4 12 1.03 0.74 @PHI 0.71 5.8 4.1 6.1 31
notes misses: 42WL, 53WR, 42WL, 31WR, one extra point
Longwell scored 5 points at Philadelphia last year.
 Hou Kris Brown 49 30 55 31 52 30 4.9 30 6.6 25 3.2 31 8.8 30 1.15 1.04 STL 1.00 6.6 6.6 6.9 15
notes misses:  56WR, 38WR
The Texans ranked 27th, 28th, and 31st in kicker scoring in their first three years. They're currently ranked 30th this year.
 Ind Mike Vanderjagt 71 12 74 21 73 17 7.1 12 6.8 23 7.3 12 4.8 1 0.98 0.46 PIT 0.76 6.8 5.1 6.0 24
notes misses: 48WL
Vanderjagt is averaging 1.1 FGs per game, and 3.8 extra points per game.
 Jac Josh Scobee 67 17 79 17 75 15 6.7 16 8.2 9 5.2 20 5.0 3 0.63 0.61 @ARI 0.77 5.2 4.0 5.9 27
notes misses: 43WL, 42WL, 49WR, 44WR
Scobee averages 5.2 ppg on the road. The Cardinals allow 5.2 kicking ppg at home.
 KC Lawrence Tynes 80 3 92 4 87 3 8.0 3 8.3 8 7.8 6 6.0 8 0.93 0.76 NE 0.98 8.3 8.0 7.0 8
notes misses: 32WL, 46B, 44WR, 43WL
Tynes has scored between 7 and 9 points in every home game.
 Mia Olindo Mare 58 26 67 28 64 27 5.8 26 7.0 21 4.6 25 7.2 22 1.07 0.89 @OAK 1.29 4.6 6.0 6.5 23
notes misses: 21WL, 36WL, 31WR
The last time Mare scored zero points (2003), he followed up the next week with 9 points.
 Min Paul Edinger 64 20 88 9 72 19 6.4 19 10.5 2 3.7 29 6.9 20 0.76 0.88 CLE 1.04 10.5 10.9 6.7 4
notes misses: 33RU, 52WR, 32SH, 33WR, 52SH, 40WR, 32B, 49SH
Edinger has now missed 17 FGs dating back to the beginning of last year.
 NE Adam Vinatieri 63 22 76 19 66 25 6.3 22 4.6 32 8.0 4 7.1 21 1.36 0.98 @KC 0.93 8.0 7.5 6.7 9
notes misses: 53WL, 37WR, 53WR, 44WL, blocked extra point
Vinatieri is the least productive kicker at home, but is 4th on the road.
 NO John Carney 63 22 84 10 68 24 6.3 22 7.8 14 5.3 19 8.4 29 1.60 1.11 @NYJ 1.24 5.3 6.6 7.4 25
notes misses: 29LU, 32WL, 43WL, 43WR, 47B, 45B, 30WL
Carney is hitting only 61.5% on FGs on the road.
 NYG Jay Feely 93 2 99 2 103 2 9.3 2 9.9 4 8.0 4 6.4 12 0.78 1.00 @SEA 1.19 8.0 9.5 7.9 2
notes misses:  51LU, 28WR
Visiting kickers in Seattle have scored either 4 or double-digit points. Feely has a better chance at the latter.
 NYJ Mike Nugent 37 32 49 32 39 32 3.7 32 5.8 29 2.3 32 8.3 28 1.24 1.15 NO 1.11 5.8 6.4 6.0 19
notes misses: 28B, 40WR, 48WL, 51WL
Nugent average 2.0 FG attempts per game at home, and 0.7 on the road.
 Oak Sebastian Janikowski 72 11 90 7 77 12 7.2 11 6.6 25 7.8 7 7.7 25 1.29 0.95 MIA 0.89 6.6 5.9 7.5 20
notes misses: 43WL, 50WL, 49LU, 37WL, 45WL, 45LU
The Dolphins are giving up an average of 7.2 kicking ppg on the road.
 Phi David Akers 58 26 77 18 62 28 5.3 28 6.8 23 5.2 22 6.4 12 0.71 0.88 GB 0.74 6.8 5.0 5.8 29
notes misses: Akers 49SH, 49WR, 43LU, 60SH, 38WR; Simoneau one extra point; France 40B.
The Eagles have released Jose Cortez. Akers will resume handling kickoffs. The AFL's Philadelphia Soul have signed Todd France.
 Pit Jeff Reed 80 3 92 4 85 4 8.0 3 8.2 9 7.8 7 6.5 16 0.96 0.76 @IND 0.98 7.8 7.6 7.3 13
notes misses: 52WL, 46WR, 51SH, 44B
The Colts gave up double digit (13) points to a kicker last week for the first time this year.
 SD Nate Kaeding 78 6 81 13 82 9 7.8 6 8.2 9 7.4 11 6.4 12 1.00 1.12 @WAS 0.77 7.4 5.7 7.1 22
notes misses: 40B
Opponents are averaging 5.0 kicking ppg at Washington.
 Sea Josh Brown 74 8 84 10 83 7 7.4 8 7.2 19 7.6 10 8.9 32 1.19 1.09 NYG 1.00 7.2 7.2 8.2 10
notes misses:  47WL, 47LU, 51WL, one extra point blocked
Brown is averaging 10.2 ppg against division foes, and 4.6 ppg against everyone else.
 SF Joe Nedney 67 17 73 22 76 14 6.7 16 8.0 12 4.8 24 7.8 26 0.65 1.16 @TEN 1.06 4.8 5.0 7.3 28
notes misses:  39WL, 52SH
Nedney is averaging 4.0 FG attempts per game over the last four games.
 StL Jeff Wilkins 74 8 80 14 81 10 7.4 8 6.4 27 8.4 3 8.8 30 1.33 1.00 @HOU 1.15 8.4 9.7 8.1 3
notes misses: 48WL, 48SH
Both Wilkins' misses were from 48 yards. He's connected however from 46, 47, and 49 yards this year.
 TB Matt Bryant 64 20 70 26 72 19 6.4 19 5.0 30 7.8 7 7.3 24 1.79 0.69 CHI 1.06 5.0 5.3 6.9 26
notes misses: 46WR, 52SH
Bryant did not have any FG attempts in his last two home games.
 Ten Rob Bironas 63 22 76 19 71 21 6.3 22 7.4 16 5.2 20 8.0 27 1.06 1.09 SF 1.16 7.4 8.6 7.2 5
notes misses: 47WR, 38WL, 58SH (freekick), 50WR, missed one extra point
Bironas has made 90.0% of his FG attempts at home.
 Was John Hall 60 25 66 30 65 26 6.0 25 7.8 13 4.2 27 6.5 16 0.77 0.80 SD 1.12 7.8 8.7 6.3 6
notes misses: Hall none, Novak 39B, 38B
3 of 5 teams that have hosted the Chargers each scored 8 kicking points.
NOTES:
1. All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
 (except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2. "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3. The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring 
 (i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.  Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
 Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5. Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped
Mike Herman's Kicker Rankings for This Week *** Remaining Schedule (thru week 16) Rankings ***
Rank Player Rank Team
1 Shayne Graham 1 Jeff Reed
2 Jay Feely 2 Shayne Graham
3 Jeff Wilkins 3 Neil Rackers
4 Paul Edinger 4 Matt Bryant
5 Rob Bironas 5 Jay Feely
6 John Hall 6 Paul Edinger
7 Rian Lindell 7 Sebastian Janikowski
8 Lawrence Tynes 8 Rob Bironas
9 Adam Vinatieri 9 Nate Kaeding
10 Josh Brown 10 Lawrence Tynes
11 Billy Cundiff 11 Todd Peterson
12 Neil Rackers 12 Mike Vanderjagt
13 Jeff Reed 13 Rian Lindell
14 Matt Stover 14 Olindo Mare
15 Kris Brown 15 John Kasay
16 Jason Elam 16 John Hall
17 Jason Hanson 17 Josh Brown
18 Robbie Gould 18 Jason Elam
19 Mike Nugent 19 Matt Stover
20 Sebastian Janikowski 20 Joe Nedney
21 Todd Peterson 21 Josh Scobee
22 Nate Kaeding 22 David Akers
23 Olindo Mare 23 Phil Dawson
24 Mike Vanderjagt 24 Adam Vinatieri
25 John Carney 25 Jeff Wilkins
26 Matt Bryant 26 Jason Hanson
27 Josh Scobee 27 John Carney
28 Joe Nedney 28 Ryan Longwell
29 David Akers 29 Robbie Gould
30 John Kasay 30 Kris Brown
31 Ryan Longwell 31 Billy Cundiff
32 Phil Dawson 32 Mike Nugent
*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings