Kickermania - thru week 13 & looking ahead to week 14
by Mike Herman, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
    2005 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)
2005 Kicking ppg 2005
Kdef
Week 14 matchup
TEAM Current KICKER standard
total  rnk
attemptd
total  rnk
bonus
total  rnk
avg rnk home rnk away rnk ppg allw rnk hom
factr
away
factr
oppnt Kdef
factr
score
avg
math
proj
I
math
proj
II
this
week
rank
 Ari Nick Novak / Neil Rackers 119 1 122 2 141 1 9.9 1 10.8 1 9.0 1 6.8 17 0.93 1.27 WAS 0.81 10.8 8.8 8.4 10
notes misses: 43WL
Rackers is listed as doubtful on the Wednesday injury report (left calf).
 Atl Todd Peterson 85 11 91 19 89 14 7.1 11 7.5 14 6.7 13 6.3 15 1.04 0.65 NO 1.09 7.5 8.2 6.7 5
notes misses: Peterson 49SH; Koenen 55WR.  Ryan Longwell's best home game this year was against the Saints. Paul Edinger's best game this year was against the Saints. Mike Nugent's best game this year was against the Saints.
 Bal Matt Stover 75 19 90 20 84 16 6.3 19 6.8 21 5.7 18 7.3 21 0.93 1.04 @DEN 0.65 5.7 3.7 6.8 31
notes misses: Stover 38WL, 47WL, 45WR, 43RU; Elling 54SH
In week one, the Broncos gave up 10 kicking points. Since then, they've given up an average of 4.45 per game.
 Buf Rian Lindell 80 15 92 18 91 12 6.7 15 9.0 5 4.3 27 5.9 6 0.65 1.18 NE 1.03 9.0 9.3 6.3 9
notes misses: 45WR, 46WL, 28LU, 31WR
This is the last game this year that Lindell will be projected in the weekly top ten.
 Car John Kasay 86 9 105 6 96 7 7.2 9 8.5 9 5.8 16 5.8 5 0.79 1.08 TB 0.71 8.5 6.0 6.5 16
notes misses: 53WL, 62WL, 52B, 56SH, 46WL, 45WR, one extra point blocked
Kasay missed last year's visit from the Bucs with an injury. Substitute Jeff Chandler missed two field goals.
 Chi Robbie Gould 69 28 93 14 72 29 5.8 28 6.0 27 5.4 19 5.1 4 0.84 1.09 @PIT 1.02 5.4 5.5 5.4 24
notes misses:  Brien 48WL, 36WR, 39WL; Gould 48WL, 47WR, 47WR, 39WR, 43SH
The Bears have the largest ranking differential between kicking points scored and kicking points attempted.
 Cin Shayne Graham 97 4 109 5 103 4 8.1 4 9.3 3 6.8 12 6.1 10 0.65 1.17 CLE 0.91 9.3 8.5 7.1 3
notes misses: 42WR, 52WL, 30WL, 48WR
Graham scored 16 points when the Browns came to town last year.
 Cle Phil Dawson 75 19 83 25 78 23 6.3 19 6.5 25 6.0 15 6.8 17 1.32 0.91 @CIN 0.65 6.0 3.9 6.5 30
notes misses: 39WR, 34WL, one extra point blocked, one extra point LU
Dawson began a late season surge in Cincy last year.
 Dal Billy Cundiff 77 17 93 14 82 19 6.4 17 8.8 7 4.0 29 6.1 10 0.75 0.97 KC 0.77 8.8 6.8 6.3 14
notes misses:  Cortez 41WL, 49B, 48WL, 29WL, one extra point; Suisham none; Cundiff 34WL.
Cowboy kicker's FG percentages this year: Cortez 78%, Suisham 100%, Cundiff 50%
 Den Jason Elam 92 6 110 4 101 5 7.7 6 7.2 18 8.2 3 4.9 3 0.65 0.71 BAL 1.04 7.2 7.4 6.3 8
notes misses: 53WL, 53WR, 46LU, 41WL, 46B, 49WR.
Although he has recovered from his injury, Elam is planning to continue using his short approach technique. He has not missed since adopting it.
 Det Jason Hanson 62 30 78 30 69 31 5.2 30 6.4 26 3.4 31 5.9 6 0.84 0.94 @GB 1.20 3.4 4.1 5.5 32
notes misses: Hanson 47B, 47WR, 46WL, 51WR, 50WL; Hamilton one extra point blocked.
Hanson is on pace to score 83 points this year. That would be the second lowest output of his 14 year career (he had 72 points in 1996).
 GB Ryan Longwell 61 31 74 31 72 29 5.1 31 5.8 29 4.6 25 7.5 25 1.20 0.94 DET 0.94 5.8 5.4 6.3 17
notes misses: 42WL, 53WR, 42WL, 31WR, one extra point
Longwell has had only one FG attempt total in the last three games.
 Hou Kris Brown 73 21 82 28 76 25 6.1 21 7.0 19 5.2 20 8.4 29 1.25 0.89 @TEN 0.99 5.2 5.1 7.3 22
notes misses:  56WR, 38WR, 46WL.  Brown scored over 100 points every year he was with Pittsburgh, but has been under 100 every year since joining the Texans. He needs 27 points in the final four games to reach the century mark.
 Ind Mike Vanderjagt 90 7 93 14 94 9 7.5 7 7.7 13 7.3 6 4.3 1 0.78 0.43 @JAC 0.53 7.3 3.9 5.9 13
notes misses: 48WL
Vanderjagt is once again listed as probable on the Wednesday injury report (right groin/right calf).
 Jac Josh Scobee 81 13 96 13 89 14 6.8 13 8.2 11 5.7 17 4.8 2 0.53 0.52 IND 0.43 8.2 3.5 5.8 23
notes misses: 43WL, 42WL, 49WR, 44WR, 38WR
Scobee's highest scoring game of 2004 was against the Colts.
 KC Lawrence Tynes 101 3 113 3 109 3 8.4 3 9.0 5 7.8 4 6.1 10 0.88 0.77 @DAL 0.75 7.8 5.9 7.3 20
notes misses: 32WL, 46B, 44WR, 43WL.  Tynes joined Garo Yepremian, Curt Knight, Roger Ruzek, Cary Blanchard, Sebastian Janikowski and Jeff Wilkins last week, as the only NFL players to hit four FGs in a quarter.
 Mia Olindo Mare 71 25 83 25 77 24 5.9 25 6.8 21 5.0 22 6.5 16 0.89 0.89 @SD 0.96 5.0 4.8 6.2 25
notes misses: 21WL, 36WL, 31WR, 38WR
A tough road matchup for Mare before two attractive home games.
 Min Paul Edinger 73 21 97 11 82 19 6.1 21 9.6 2 3.6 30 7.1 20 0.84 0.94 STL 1.14 9.6 11.0 6.6 1
notes misses: 33RU, 52WR, 32SH, 33WR, 52SH, 40WR, 32B, 49SH
The number two kicker at home vs. the team that has given up the most kicking points.
 NE Adam Vinatieri 77 17 93 14 80 21 6.4 17 5.5 30 7.3 6 7.3 24 1.30 1.03 @BUF 0.65 7.3 4.8 6.9 26
notes misses: 53WL, 37WR, 53WR, 44WL, 45WL, blocked extra point
The Bills are giving up 4.0 kicking ppg at home.
 NO John Carney 69 28 90 20 74 28 5.8 28 6.8 23 5.0 22 8.4 29 1.48 1.09 @ATL 1.04 5.0 5.2 7.1 27
notes misses: 29LU, 32WL, 43WL, 43WR, 47B, 45B, 30WL
Carney averaged 7.0 ppg in the first six games this year, and 4.5 in the last six games.
 NYG Jay Feely 105 2 123 1 116 2 8.8 2 9.3 4 7.8 5 6.2 14 0.88 0.96 @PHI 0.73 7.8 5.7 7.5 21
notes misses:  51LU, 28WR, 40WL, 54SH, 45SH, 33RU
Last week's 5 points was Feely's lowest output of the year.
 NYJ Mike Nugent 53 32 68 32 57 32 4.4 32 7.2 17 2.4 32 8.0 27 1.00 1.20 OAK 0.98 7.2 7.0 6.2 12
notes misses: 28B, 40WR, 48WL, 51WL, 53SH
Nugent is on pace to score 73 points, which is typical for the 32nd ranked team in kicker scoring the last few years (73, 61, & 71)
 Oak Sebastian Janikowski 79 16 100 9 84 16 6.6 16 6.0 27 7.2 9 7.8 26 1.37 0.98 @NYJ 1.00 7.2 7.2 7.2 11
notes misses: 43WL, 50WL, 49LU, 37WL, 45WL, 45LU, 61WR
Janikowski is hitting 72.0% on FGs, which would be his worst percentage since his rookie year (68.8%).
 Phi David Akers 71 25 90 20 76 25 5.9 25 6.7 24 5.2 20 6.0 9 0.73 0.88 NYG 0.96 6.7 6.4 6.0 18
notes misses: Akers 49SH, 49WR, 43LU, 60SH, 38WR; Simoneau one extra point; France 40B.
Akers is listed as probable on the Wednesday injury report (right hamstring).
 Pit Jeff Reed 88 8 103 7 93 10 7.3 8 8.0 12 6.7 13 7.3 21 1.02 0.96 CHI 1.09 8.0 8.7 7.3 4
notes misses: 52WL, 46WR, 51SH, 44B, 41WL
Reed might account for the majority of the Steelers' scoring this week.
 SD Nate Kaeding 93 5 102 8 99 6 7.8 5 8.5 9 7.0 11 6.1 10 0.96 1.01 MIA 0.89 8.5 7.5 6.9 7
notes misses: 40B, 42WL, 46WL
Kaeding has scored on double digits in three of his last four home games.
 Sea Josh Brown 86 9 99 10 95 8 7.2 9 7.0 19 7.3 6 8.0 27 0.95 1.24 SF 1.36 7.0 9.5 7.6 2
notes misses:  47WL, 47LU, 51WL, 40WL, one extra point blocked
The 49ers are giving up 11.0 kicking ppg on the road.
 SF Joe Nedney 73 21 82 28 83 18 6.1 21 7.4 15 4.2 28 8.5 31 0.77 1.36 @SEA 0.95 4.2 4.0 7.3 29
notes misses: Nedney 39WL, 52SH; Cortez 34LU
Nedney returned to action last week, and the 49ers have subsequently  released Jose Cortez.
 StL Jeff Wilkins 84 12 90 20 92 11 7.0 12 5.5 30 8.5 2 8.6 32 1.33 1.14 @MIN 0.84 8.5 7.1 7.8 15
notes misses: 48WL, 48SH
Wilkins has only 6 FG attempts at home, but has had 14 on the road.
 TB Matt Bryant / Todd France 72 24 84 24 80 21 6.0 24 4.8 32 7.2 9 6.9 19 1.56 0.71 @CAR 0.79 7.2 5.7 6.5 19
notes misses: Bryant 46WR, 52SH, 29WR; France 43B.  France had his first FG attempt with the Bucs blocked. He also had his first FG attempt with the Eagles blocked. Bryant is listed as questionable on the Wednesday injury report (right hamstring).
 Ten Rob Bironas 81 13 97 11 90 13 6.8 13 8.7 8 4.8 24 7.3 21 0.99 1.24 HOU 0.89 8.7 7.7 7.0 6
notes misses: 47WR, 38WL, 58SH (freekick), 50WR, 51WL, missed one extra point
Bironas scored 10 in his last game against Houston, and came up short on another 3 on the freekick.
 Was John Hall 71 25 83 25 76 25 5.9 25 7.3 16 4.5 26 5.9 6 0.74 0.81 @ARI 0.93 4.5 4.2 5.9 28
notes misses: Hall 52WR, 45WL; Novak 39B, 38B
The Cardinals have given up 5.3 kicking ppg at home.
NOTES:
1. All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
 (except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2. "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3. The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring 
 (i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.  Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
 Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5. Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped
Mike Herman's Kicker Rankings for This Week *** Remaining Schedule (thru week 16) Rankings ***
Rank Player Rank Team
1 Paul Edinger 1 Shayne Graham
2 Josh Brown 2 Nick Novak / Neil Rackers
3 Shayne Graham 3 Todd Peterson
4 Jeff Reed 4 Paul Edinger
5 Todd Peterson 5 John Kasay
6 Rob Bironas 6 Rob Bironas
7 Nate Kaeding 7 Jeff Reed
8 Jason Elam 8 Josh Scobee
9 Rian Lindell 9 Olindo Mare
10 Nick Novak / Neil Rackers 10 Lawrence Tynes
11 Sebastian Janikowski 11 Josh Brown
12 Mike Nugent 12 Jason Elam
13 Mike Vanderjagt 13 Nate Kaeding
14 Billy Cundiff 14 Mike Vanderjagt
15 Jeff Wilkins 15 John Hall
16 John Kasay 16 Matt Bryant / Todd France
17 Ryan Longwell 17 David Akers
18 David Akers 18 Kris Brown
19 Matt Bryant / Todd France 19 Ryan Longwell
20 Lawrence Tynes 20 Phil Dawson
21 Jay Feely 21 John Carney
22 Kris Brown 22 Sebastian Janikowski
23 Josh Scobee 23 Jay Feely
24 Robbie Gould 24 Jason Hanson
25 Olindo Mare 25 Mike Nugent
26 Adam Vinatieri 26 Matt Stover
27 John Carney 27 Jeff Wilkins
28 John Hall 28 Adam Vinatieri
29 Joe Nedney 29 Robbie Gould
30 Phil Dawson 30 Rian Lindell
31 Matt Stover 31 Joe Nedney
32 Jason Hanson 32 Billy Cundiff
*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings