Kickermania - thru week 15 & looking ahead to week 16
by Mike Herman, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
    2005 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)
2005 Kicking ppg 2005
Kdef
Week 16 matchup
TEAM Current KICKER standard
total rnk
attemptd
total rnk
bonus
total rnk
avg rnk home rnk away rnk ppg allw rnk hom
factr
away
factr
oppnt Kdef
factr
score
avg
math
proj
I
math
proj
II
this
week
rank
Ari Neil Rackers 133 1 136 2 157 1 9.5 1 10.3 1 8.7 2 7.1 23 0.95 1.30 PHI 0.98 10.3 10.0 8.3 4
notes misses: Rackers 43WL; Novak none
The Eagles have given up double-digit kicking points in back-to-back games.
Atl Todd Peterson 98 12 104 19 103 12 7.0 12 7.9 9 6.1 16 6.4 14 1.00 0.76 @TB 1.50 6.1 9.2 6.7 12
notes misses: Peterson 49SH; Koenen 55WR
Atlanta had zero kicking points in the game at Tampa last year.
Bal Matt Stover 91 15 106 18 101 14 6.5 15 7.6 13 5.4 19 6.9 21 0.72 1.04 MIN 1.02 7.6 7.7 6.7 10
notes misses: Stover 38WL, 47WL, 45WR, 43RU; Elling 54SH
Stover has only missed one FG (24 of 25) since going 0 for 3 in the season opener.
Buf Rian Lindell 86 20 101 24 97 15 6.1 20 7.5 15 4.3 28 5.7 5 0.62 1.27 @CIN 0.80 4.3 3.5 5.9 30
notes misses: 45WR, 46WL, 28LU, 31WR, 32WL
Lindell had his best game of the year at Cincy last year.
Car John Kasay 99 11 124 5 109 10 7.1 11 7.9 9 6.3 15 5.9 7 0.96 1.08 DAL 0.92 7.9 7.3 6.5 9
notes misses: 53WL, 62WL, 52B, 56SH, 46WL, 45WR, 42WL, 50RU, one extra point blocked
Kasay has missed a FG in four of the last five games.
Chi Robbie Gould 82 26 110 14 85 28 5.9 26 6.5 24 5.0 21 4.8 1 0.65 0.97 @GB 1.16 5.0 5.8 5.3 19
notes misses: Brien 48WL, 36WR, 39WL; Gould 48WL, 47WR, 47WR, 39WR, 43SH, 44WR, one extra point WL
Gould is only 2 of 7 on FGs between 40 and 49 yards.
Cin Shayne Graham 119 3 131 3 125 3 8.5 3 9.6 2 7.4 7 6.1 9 0.80 1.08 BUF 1.27 9.6 12.2 7.3 1
notes misses: 42WR, 52WL, 30WL, 48WR
Graham has scored in double digits in three straight home games.
Cle Phil Dawson 92 14 100 25 97 15 6.6 14 6.5 24 6.6 13 6.7 19 1.29 0.94 PIT 0.73 6.5 4.8 6.6 25
notes misses: 39WR, 34WL, one extra point blocked, one extra point LU
Since 2001, the Browns have scored 4, 2, 6, and 4 kicking points when the Steelers came to town.
Dal Billy Cundiff 85 22 104 19 90 23 6.1 22 8.6 5 3.6 30 5.9 7 0.78 0.92 @CAR 0.96 3.6 3.4 6.0 31
notes misses: Cortez 41WL, 49B, 48WL, 29WL, one extra point; Suisham none; Cundiff 34WL, 38WR
The Cowboys have connected on only four FGs on the road all year.
Den Jason Elam 102 7 121 6 113 8 7.3 6 7.0 20 7.6 6 4.9 2 0.63 0.67 OAK 1.00 7.0 7.0 6.1 8
notes misses: 53WL, 53WR, 46LU, 41WL, 46B, 49WR, one extra point RU
Elam has now scored over 100 points in each of his 13 seasons in the NFL.
Det Jason Hanson 74 31 90 30 82 31 5.3 31 6.3 28 4.0 29 6.6 17 0.88 1.04 @NO 1.52 4.0 6.1 5.9 17
notes misses: Hanson 47B, 47WR, 46WL, 51WR, 50WL; Hamilton one extra point blocked.
The last time the Lions & Saints played each other (2002), Hanson outscored Carney 14 to 1.
GB Ryan Longwell 74 31 90 30 85 28 5.3 31 6.5 24 4.4 27 7.8 27 1.16 1.15 CHI 0.97 6.5 6.3 6.5 21
notes misses: 42WL, 53WR, 42WL, 31WR, 38B, one extra point
Longwell has had only one zero point game in the last five years. It was against the Bears earlier this year.
Hou Kris Brown 89 16 104 19 93 22 6.4 16 7.7 11 5.0 21 8.2 28 1.26 0.86 JAC 0.55 7.7 4.2 7.3 27
notes misses: 56WR, 38WR, 46WL, 37B 31WL
Jacksonville has given up only 3.7 kicking ppg in their last three road games.
Ind Mike Vanderjagt 109 6 115 10 115 6 7.3 7 7.3 17 8.3 3 5.0 3 0.91 0.49 @SEA 0.80 8.3 6.6 6.1 20
notes misses: Vanderjagt 48WL; Rayner 59SH
The Colts released Dave Rayner, and signed Jose Cortez to handle kickoffs.
Jac Josh Scobee 89 16 107 16 97 15 6.4 16 7.0 20 5.7 18 5.7 5 1.06 0.55 @HOU 1.26 5.7 7.2 6.0 11
notes misses: 43WL, 42WL, 49WR, 44WR, 38WR, 52SH
The Texans gave up 9.9 kicking ppg in their first seven games, but only 6.6 in their last seven.
KC Lawrence Tynes 110 4 125 4 118 4 7.9 4 9.0 4 7.0 9 6.4 10 0.92 0.88 SD 0.95 9.0 8.5 7.1 3
notes misses: 32WL, 46B, 44WR, 43WL, 41WR
Tynes has averaged 10.0 ppg in his last three home games.
Mia Olindo Mare 88 18 103 22 94 21 6.3 18 6.7 23 5.9 17 6.4 10 0.95 0.95 TEN 1.19 6.7 8.0 6.3 6
notes misses: 21WL, 36WL, 31WR, 38WR, 53WL
Since the shutout at Cleveland, Mare has averaged 7.5 ppg.
Min Paul Edinger 85 22 112 13 95 19 6.1 22 8.6 5 3.6 30 7.3 24 0.91 1.02 @BAL 0.72 3.6 2.6 6.7 32
notes misses: 33RU, 52WR, 32SH, 33WR, 52SH, 40WR, 32B, 49SH, 32B
The last time Edinger had a touchback on a kickoff was November 23, 2003 and that was at Denver.
NE Adam Vinatieri 86 20 102 23 89 25 6.1 20 5.3 30 7.0 9 6.4 10 1.00 1.02 @NYJ 0.74 7.0 5.2 6.3 23
notes misses: 53WL, 37WR, 53WR, 44WL, 45WL, blocked extra point
The Jets have given up 4.7 kicking ppg in their last three home games.
NO John Carney 78 29 99 26 85 28 5.6 29 6.3 27 5.0 21 8.6 32 1.52 1.20 DET 1.04 6.3 6.6 7.1 16
notes misses: 29LU, 32WL, 43WL, 43WR, 47B, 45B, 30WL
Carney needs 97 more career points to place in the top five on the all-time scoring list.
NYG Jay Feely 128 2 146 1 140 2 9.1 2 9.2 3 9.0 1 6.4 14 0.80 1.17 @WAS 0.73 9.0 6.6 7.8 18
notes misses: 51LU, 28WR, 40WL, 54SH, 45SH, 33RU
Feely scored 18 points against the Redskins earlier in the year.
NYJ Mike Nugent 75 30 90 30 81 32 5.4 30 8.3 7 3.1 32 7.6 26 0.74 1.17 NE 1.02 8.3 8.5 6.5 13
notes misses: 28B, 40WR, 48WL, 51WL, 53SH
Since the shutout at Denver, Nugent has averaged 9.5 ppg.
Oak Sebastian Janikowski 84 25 114 11 90 23 6.0 25 5.3 30 6.7 12 8.4 29 1.36 1.00 @DEN 0.63 6.7 4.2 7.2 28
notes misses: 43WL, 50WL, 49LU, 37WL, 45WL, 45LU, 61WR, 29WR, 51WR, 46B
After last week's 0 for 2 outing, Janikowski has dropped to 65.5% on FGs for the year.
Phi David Akers 87 19 109 15 95 19 6.2 19 7.3 17 5.1 20 6.9 21 0.84 0.98 @ARI 0.95 5.1 4.9 6.5 24
notes misses: Akers 49SH, 49WR, 43LU, 60SH, 38WR, 49CR; Simoneau one extra point; France 40B.
The Cardinals are giving up 5.3 kicking ppg at home.
Pit Jeff Reed 101 8 116 9 107 11 7.2 8 7.3 17 7.1 8 6.6 18 0.88 0.73 @CLE 1.29 7.1 9.2 6.9 2
notes misses: 52WL, 46WR, 51SH, 44B, 41WL
Reed scored 10 points against the Browns earlier this year.
SD Nate Kaeding 110 4 119 8 118 4 7.9 4 7.7 11 8.0 5 6.4 10 1.12 0.95 @KC 0.92 8.0 7.4 7.1 7
notes misses: 40B, 42WL, 46WL
Kaeding went 2 of 4 on FGs at KC last year.
Sea Josh Brown 101 8 120 7 114 7 7.2 8 7.6 13 6.9 11 7.5 25 0.80 1.14 IND 0.49 7.6 3.7 7.4 22
notes misses: 47WL, 47LU, 51WL, 40WL, 50SH, 36B, one extra point blocked
It's been either lots or very little for the last eight kickers that faced the Colts. They're scored either 13 or more, or 5 or fewer points.
SF Joe Nedney 85 22 94 27 96 18 6.1 22 7.4 16 4.7 25 8.4 29 0.67 1.43 @STL 1.31 4.7 6.2 7.2 15
notes misses: Nedney 39WL, 52SH; Cortez 34LU
Nedney has accounted for all of the 49ers scoring in 7 of their 14 games so far this year.
StL Jeff Wilkins 101 8 107 16 113 8 7.2 8 6.1 29 8.3 3 8.4 29 1.31 1.17 SF 1.43 6.1 8.8 7.8 5
notes misses: 48WL, 48SH
Wilkins highest scoring game this year was against the 49ers in the season opener.
TB Matt Bryant 80 28 92 29 88 26 5.7 28 4.8 32 6.4 14 6.5 16 1.50 0.69 ATL 0.76 4.8 3.7 6.1 29
notes misses: Bryant 46WR, 52SH, 29WR; France 43B
The Bucs have released Todd France.
Ten Rob Bironas 94 13 113 12 103 12 6.7 13 8.1 8 4.8 24 6.8 20 0.82 1.19 @MIA 0.95 4.8 4.6 6.8 26
notes misses: 47WR, 38WL, 58SH (freekick), 50WR, 51WL, 46WR, missed one extra point
Bironas has averaged only 3.0 ppg in his last three road games.
Was John Hall 81 27 93 28 87 27 5.8 27 7.0 20 4.6 26 5.6 4 0.73 0.82 NYG 1.17 7.0 8.2 5.7 14
notes misses: Hall 52WR, 45WL; Novak 39B, 38B
Hall scored zero points in his first game back from injury earlier in the year at the Giants. His teammates also failed to score.
NOTES:
1. All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
(except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2. "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3. The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring
(i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4. Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5. Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped
Mike Herman's Kicker Rankings for This Week ***
Rank Player
1 Shayne Graham
2 Jeff Reed
3 Lawrence Tynes
4 Neil Rackers
5 Jeff Wilkins
6 Olindo Mare
7 Nate Kaeding
8 Jason Elam
9 John Kasay
10 Matt Stover
11 Josh Scobee
12 Todd Peterson
13 Mike Nugent
14 John Hall
15 Joe Nedney
16 John Carney
17 Jason Hanson
18 Jay Feely
19 Robbie Gould
20 Mike Vanderjagt
21 Ryan Longwell
22 Josh Brown
23 Adam Vinatieri
24 David Akers
25 Phil Dawson
26 Rob Bironas
27 Kris Brown
28 Sebastian Janikowski
29 Matt Bryant
30 Rian Lindell
31 Billy Cundiff
32 Paul Edinger
*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings