Kickermania - thru week 16 & looking ahead to week 17
by Mike Herman, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
    2005 Kicking points
(top five are highlighted)
2005 Kicking ppg 2005
Kdef
Week 17 matchup
TEAM Current KICKER standard
total  rnk
attemptd
total  rnk
bonus
total  rnk
avg rnk home rnk away rnk ppg allw rnk hom
factr
away
factr
oppnt Kdef
factr
score
avg
math
proj
I
math
proj
II
this
week
rank
 Ari Neil Rackers 142 1 148 2 166 1 9.5 1 10.1 1 8.7 2 6.8 19 0.90 1.25 @IND 0.91 8.7 7.9 8.1 16
notes misses: Rackers 43WL, 54WL; Novak none
The Cardinals have averaged 7.4 kicking ppg the last five weeks.
 Atl Todd Peterson 104 12 113 20 109 14 6.9 12 7.9 10 6.1 16 6.6 16 1.00 0.87 CAR 1.08 7.9 8.5 6.8 6
notes misses: Peterson 49SH, 28B; Koenen 55WR
The Falcons scored 10 kicking points when the Panthers came to town last year.
 Bal Matt Stover 103 13 118 12 113 12 6.9 13 8.1 6 5.4 20 7.1 23 0.83 1.05 @CLE 1.27 5.4 6.9 7.0 7
notes misses: Stover 38WL, 47WL, 45WR, 43RU; Elling 54SH
Stover has scored 12 points each in back-to-back games.
 Buf Rian Lindell 99 14 117 15 110 13 6.6 14 7.5 14 5.6 19 5.9 7 0.62 0.95 @NYJ 0.98 5.6 5.5 6.3 26
notes misses: 45WR, 46WL, 28LU, 31WR, 32WL, 48WL.  Lindell scored in double digits in three games during the first half of the year. He averaged 2.0 ppg in the games immediately following those. He scored in double digits (13) last week.
 Car John Kasay 107 10 132 5 118 9 7.1 10 7.9 9 6.3 14 5.9 5 0.97 1.08 @ATL 1.00 6.3 6.3 6.5 17
notes misses: 53WL, 62WL, 52B, 56SH, 46WL, 45WR, 42WL, 50RU, one extra point blocked
Kasay's FG average on the road this year is 60.0%.
 Chi Robbie Gould 88 27 116 18 92 28 5.9 27 6.5 25 5.1 21 4.8 2 0.58 0.80 @MIN 0.91 5.1 4.7 5.3 30
notes misses:  Brien 48WL, 36WR, 39WL; Gould 48WL, 47WR, 47WR, 39WR, 43SH, 44WR, one extra point WL. Gould was a long shot to make the NFL among the many undrafted rookie kickers in preseason. He is now the starting kicker for a team with a first round playoff bye.
 Cin Shayne Graham 128 3 140 3 134 3 8.5 3 9.5 2 7.4 7 6.6 16 0.95 1.11 @KC 0.66 7.4 4.9 7.6 20
notes misses: 42WR, 52WL, 30WL, 48WR
Graham has averaged 10.3 ppg the last six weeks.
 Cle Phil Dawson 92 21 100 28 97 24 6.1 21 5.6 29 6.6 12 7.0 21 1.27 0.96 BAL 1.05 5.6 5.9 6.6 21
notes misses: 39WR, 34WL, one extra point blocked, one extra point LU
Dawson has averaged 6.0 ppg in his last three games against the Ravens.
 Dal Shaun Suisham 91 22 113 20 96 25 6.1 22 8.6 4 3.9 31 6.0 8 0.79 0.96 STL 1.16 8.6 10.0 6.0 4
notes misses:  Cortez 41WL, 49B, 48WL, 29WL, one extra point; Suisham none; Cundiff 34WL, 38WR, 32B.   The Cowboys released Billy Cundiff, and have re-signed Shaun Suisham. "I just had to do something. You can't live with what's going on right now. You just can't live with it." - Bill Parcells
 Den Jason Elam 112 5 134 4 123 5 7.5 4 7.4 16 7.6 6 4.7 1 0.66 0.67 @SD 1.03 7.6 7.8 6.1 12
notes misses: 53WL, 53WR, 46LU, 41WL, 46B, 49WR, 52WR, one extra point RU
After last week, Elam has 203 career points against the Raiders... his most against any given team. He has 202 against the Chargers heading into this week.
 Det Jason Hanson 81 30 97 31 89 31 5.4 30 6.3 28 4.4 29 6.9 20 0.86 1.05 @PIT 0.83 4.4 3.7 6.2 31
notes misses: Hanson 47B, 47WR, 46WL, 51WR, 50WL; Hamilton one extra point blocked.
The Steelers last three opponents have scored 3, 3, and 0 kicking points.
 GB Ryan Longwell 79 31 101 27 90 30 5.3 31 6.3 27 4.4 30 7.7 27 1.17 1.15 SEA 1.19 6.3 7.4 6.5 14
notes misses: 42WL, 53WR, 42WL, 31WR, 38B, 38WR, 39WR, one extra point
Longwell is only 5 of 9 on FGs between 30 and 39 yards this year. All the misses were at home.
 Hou Kris Brown 97 16 118 12 103 19 6.5 16 7.8 11 5.0 22 8.2 28 1.23 0.86 @SF 0.68 5.0 3.4 7.3 32
notes misses:  56WR, 38WR, 46WL, 37B, 31WL, 38WR, 48WR
Brown has averaged 3.75 FG attempts per game the last four weeks.
 Ind Mike Vanderjagt 116 4 125 9 122 6 7.3 9 7.3 17 8.1 4 4.9 3 0.91 0.53 ARI 1.25 7.3 9.1 6.1 10
notes misses: Vanderjagt 48WL, 31B; Rayner 59SH
Vanderjagt has averaged 6.0 ppg since the Colts clinched the #1 playoff seed.
 Jac Josh Scobee 97 16 118 12 105 17 6.5 16 7.0 22 6.0 17 5.9 5 1.06 0.62 TEN 1.10 7.0 7.7 6.2 9
notes misses: 43WL, 42WL, 49WR, 44WR, 38WR, 52SH, 40WR
Scobee has a career average of 4.0 ppg against the Titans.
 KC Lawrence Tynes 112 5 131 6 120 7 7.5 4 8.0 8 7.0 9 6.0 8 0.66 0.88 CIN 1.11 8.0 8.9 6.7 2
notes misses: 32WL, 46B, 44WR, 43WL, 41WR, 52SH, one extra point SH (bad snap).  Last week, the Chiefs went for it on 4th and 14 rather than attempt a 46 yard FG, based on Tynes recommendation. He told Vermeil he didn't think he'd make the FG given the wet and windy conditions.
 Mia Olindo Mare 94 19 109 24 100 20 6.3 19 6.6 24 5.9 18 6.2 12 0.90 0.84 @NE 1.00 5.9 5.9 6.2 22
notes misses: 21WL, 36WL, 31WR, 38WR, 53WL
The Patriots have given up 3, 1, 0, and 3 kicking points in their last four games.
 Min Paul Edinger 96 18 123 10 108 15 6.4 18 8.6 4 4.5 28 7.6 26 0.91 1.19 CHI 0.80 8.6 6.8 7.0 8
notes misses: 33RU, 52WR, 32SH, 33WR, 52SH, 40WR, 32B, 49SH, 32B
Edinger has made 71.9% of his FG attempts so far this year. It will be his third straight year below 75%.
 NE Adam Vinatieri 93 20 109 24 96 25 6.2 20 5.3 31 7.0 9 6.1 11 1.00 0.81 MIA 0.84 5.3 4.4 6.2 27
notes misses: 53WL, 37WR, 53WR, 44WL, 45WL, blocked extra point
Vinatieri needs 7 more points to reach 100 for the year. If not, it will be the first year below that mark in his NFL career.
 NO John Carney 90 24 111 23 98 22 6.0 24 7.1 20 5.0 22 8.5 31 1.56 1.20 @TB 1.36 5.0 6.8 7.2 23
notes misses: 29LU, 32WL, 43WL, 43WR, 47B, 45B, 30WL
Carney has averaged only 3.7 ppg in his last three games against Tampa.
 NYG Jay Feely 136 2 157 1 149 2 9.1 2 9.2 3 8.8 1 6.3 14 0.80 1.00 @OAK 1.36 8.8 12.0 7.7 1
notes misses:  51LU, 28WR, 40WL, 54SH, 45SH, 33RU, 29B, 27WL
Apparent no-brainer...the Giants have scored the second most kicking points in the NFL, while the Raiders have given up the most kicking points.
 NYJ Mike Nugent 78 32 93 32 84 32 5.2 32 7.6 13 3.1 32 7.5 25 0.98 1.17 BUF 0.95 7.6 7.2 6.4 5
notes misses: 28B, 40WR, 48WL, 51WL, 53SH
The Jets scored 5 kicking points in each game at Buffalo the last two years. They scored 10 at home against the Bills last year.
 Oak Sebastian Janikowski 87 28 117 15 94 27 5.8 28 5.3 31 6.3 15 8.5 31 1.36 1.13 NYG 1.00 5.3 5.3 7.1 29
notes misses: 43WL, 50WL, 49LU, 37WL, 45WL, 45LU, 61WR, 29WR, 51WR, 46B
Janikowski has scored 4 or fewer points in five straight games.
 Phi David Akers 90 24 112 22 98 22 6.0 24 7.3 17 4.9 24 7.0 21 0.77 0.92 WAS 0.74 7.3 5.4 6.5 28
notes misses: Akers 49SH, 49WR, 43LU, 60SH, 38WR, 49CR; Simoneau one extra point; France 40B.
The Redskins have given up 13.0 kicking ppg to the Giants, and 4.7 ppg to everyone else.
 Pit Jeff Reed 112 5 127 7 118 9 7.5 4 7.3 17 7.6 5 6.2 12 0.83 0.69 DET 1.05 7.3 7.7 6.8 3
notes misses: 52WL, 46WR, 51SH, 44B, 41WL
The Lions have given up 10, 11, and 12 kicking points in their last three games.
 SD Nate Kaeding 111 8 120 11 119 8 7.4 7 7.7 12 7.1 8 6.1 10 1.03 0.84 DEN 0.67 7.7 5.1 6.7 18
notes misses: 40B, 42WL, 46WL
Kaeding has averaged 6.7 ppg in his three career games against the Broncos.
 Sea Josh Brown 105 11 127 7 118 9 7.0 11 7.1 21 6.9 11 7.5 24 0.83 1.19 @GB 1.17 6.9 8.0 7.2 13
notes misses:  47WL, 47LU, 51WL, 40WL, 50SH, 36B, 57WR, one extra point blocked
Brown has missed a FG in 5 of his last 6 games.
 SF Joe Nedney 91 22 100 28 104 18 6.1 22 7.4 15 4.9 24 8.3 30 0.68 1.37 HOU 0.86 7.4 6.4 7.2 15
notes misses: Nedney 39WL, 52SH; Cortez 34LU
Comeback Player of the Year?
 StL Jeff Wilkins 109 9 115 19 125 4 7.3 8 6.4 26 8.3 3 8.2 28 1.27 1.16 @DAL 0.79 8.3 6.6 7.7 19
notes misses: 48WL, 48SH
Unless he stumbles this week, Wilkins will continue his pattern of finishing in the top ten in kicker scoring every other year.
 TB Matt Bryant 89 26 104 26 100 20 5.9 26 5.4 30 6.4 13 6.5 15 1.36 0.70 NO 1.20 5.4 6.5 6.2 11
notes misses: Bryant 46WR, 52SH, 29WR; France 43B
The Saints have given up an average of 9.4 kicking ppg on the road.
 Ten Rob Bironas 98 15 117 15 107 16 6.5 15 8.1 6 4.7 26 6.7 18 0.83 1.10 @JAC 1.06 4.7 5.0 6.6 25
notes misses: 47WR, 38WL, 58SH (freekick), 50WR, 51WL, 46WR, missed one extra point
The Titans have scored 4 kicking points in 3 of their last 4 games against the Jaguars.
 Was John Hall 86 29 98 30 92 28 5.7 29 6.8 23 4.6 27 5.8 4 0.77 0.74 @PHI 0.77 4.6 3.5 5.8 24
notes misses: Hall 52WR, 45WL; Novak 39B, 38B
Hall's scoring the last five weeks: 5, 6, 5, 5, & 5 points.
NOTES:
1. All stats are based on Standard Scoring of 3 points for field goals and 1 point for extra points
 (except for the Bonus Total column which increases 40-49 yard FG's to 4 points, and FG's of 50 yards and over to 5 points)
2. "Attempted" = maximum number of kicking points the team could have had if they made every kick
3. The Kdefensive "factors" are the median by which teams allow kicking points, as compared to their opponents average scoring 
 (i.e. smaller numbers under 1.0 equal better kicking defense, larger numbers over 1.0 = not so good)
4.  Weekly matchup numbers: the "Mathematical Projection I" is the "Kscoring" multiplied by the "Kdefensive Factor"
 Mathematical Projection II is simply the average of the Kicking ppg scored and the Kicking points allowed by the opponent
5. Misses key: SH = short, WR = wide right, WL = wide left, CR = cross bar, RU = right upright, LU = left upright, B = blocked, T = tipped
Mike Herman's Kicker Rankings for This Week ***
Rank Player
1 Jay Feely
2 Lawrence Tynes
3 Jeff Reed
4 Shaun Suisham
5 Mike Nugent
6 Todd Peterson
7 Matt Stover
8 Paul Edinger
9 Josh Scobee
10 Mike Vanderjagt
11 Matt Bryant
12 Jason Elam
13 Josh Brown
14 Ryan Longwell
15 Joe Nedney
16 Neil Rackers
17 John Kasay
18 Nate Kaeding
19 Jeff Wilkins
20 Shayne Graham
21 Phil Dawson
22 Olindo Mare
23 John Carney
24 John Hall
25 Rob Bironas
26 Rian Lindell
27 Adam Vinatieri
28 David Akers
29 Sebastian Janikowski
30 Robbie Gould
31 Jason Hanson
32 Kris Brown
*** Note: These rankings differ from the official Footballguys.com rankings