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IDP Strong/Weak Plays
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Posted 12/8 by Aaron Rudnicki, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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This will be a weekly feature for IDP owners out there who
are having some troubles deciding who to start on Sundays. I’m going to analyze
the statistics in a few different ways to find favorable matchups and
unfavorable matchups and then point out some players who are most likely to be
affected by those matchups. I’ll provide the reasoning behind these selections
so you can think about it and decide for yourselves. I will also review my
picks from the week before so you can see how accurate the picks have been. As
most people know, predicting performance on a game by game basis can be
difficult for offensive players, but that difficulty is often exaggerated with
IDPs. Matchups are important, but there are so many other variables that come
into play that sometimes you have to just stick with your best players and hope
they come through with just one or two big plays. Good luck.
Review of Last Week’s
Selections:
STRONG STARTS
DL Carolina Panthers (vs Atlanta):
DE Julius Peppers – 1 solo, 2 asst, 1 sack, 1 PD = 6pts
DL Detroit Lions (vs Minnesota):
DE Kalimba Edwards – 1 PD = 1pt
DL Miami Dolphins (vs Buffalo):
DE Jason Taylor – 1 solo, 1 asst, 1 PD = 2.5pts
DL St Louis Rams (vs Washington):
DE Brandon Green – 0pts
LB Cincinnati Bengals (@ Pittsburgh):
MLB Odell Thurman – 7 solos, 3 asst, 1 INT, 1 PD, 1 FF = 15.5pts
LB Denver Broncos (@ Kansas City):
WLB Al Wilson – 3 solos = 3pts
LB Houston Texans (@ Baltimore):
ILB Morlon Greenwood (4 solos, 2 asst, 1 FR = 7pts), ILB Dashon Polk (5 solos, 1 asst, 1 FF = 7.5pts)
LB Washington Redskins (@ St Louis):
MLB Lemar Marshall – 5 solos, 1 asst = 5.5pts
DB Houston Texans (@ Baltimore):
CB Dunta Robinson (5 solos, 2 asst, 2 PD = 8pts),
SS Glen Earl (3 solos = 3pts)
DB San Francisco 49ers (vs Arizona):
FS Mike Adams (2 solos, 1 asst, 1 INT, 1 PD = 7.5pts), CB Shawntae Spencer (1 solo, 1 asst, 1 PD = 2.5pts)
DB Tampa Bay Buccaneers (@ New Orleans):
CB Ronde Barber – 5 solos, 3 asst, 3 INTs, 3 PD = 21.5pts
DB Washington Redskins (@ St Louis):
CB Shawn Springs – 6 solos, 1 PD = 7pts
Hit Rate for last
week: 8/15 (53%)
Year to date: 96/188
(51%)
WEAK STARTS
DL Kansas City Chiefs (vs Denver):
DE Jared Allen – 3 solos, 1 asst, 1 PD = 4.5pts
DL Oakland Raiders (@ San Diego):
DE Bobby Hamilton (5 solos, 1 sack, 1 FF = 10pts), DE Tommy Kelly (3 solos = 3pts)
DL Pittsburgh Steelers (vs Cincinnati):
DE Aaron Smith (1 PD = 1pt), DE Kimo
Von Oelhoffen (1 solo, 1 asst = 1.5pts)
DL Tennessee Titans (@ Indianapolis):
DE Kyle Vanden Bosch – 1 asst = .5pt
LB Atlanta Falcons (@ Carolina):
OLB Demorrio Williams – 5 solos, 5 asst = 7.5pts
LB Cleveland Browns (vs Jacksonville):
ILB Ben Taylor (9 solos, 1 asst, 1 PD = 10.5pts), OLB Chaun Thompson (3 solos,
2 asst, 1 PD = 6pts)
LB Kansas City Chiefs (vs Denver):
SLB Derrick Johnson – 4 solos, 1 asst, 1 sack, 1 PD = 8.5pts
LB San Francisco
49ers (vs Arizona): ILB Derek
Smith (9 solos, 2 asst, 1 PD = 11pts), ILB Brandon Moore (4 solos, 1 asst, 2
sacks, 1 PD = 11.5pts)
DB Arizona Cardinals (@ San Francisco):
CB David Macklin – 4 solos, 1 asst, 1 PD = 5.5pts
DB Carolina Panthers (vs Atlanta):
CB Ken Lucas – 7 solos, 1 asst = 7.5pts
DB Cincinnati Bengals (@ Pittsburgh):
CB Tory James – 3 solos, 1 asst = 3.5pts
DB Kansas City Chiefs (vs Denver):
CB Eric Warfield (6 solos, 1 asst, 2 PD = 8.5pts), CB Patrick Surtain (5 solos,
1 asst, 1 INT, 1 PD = 10.5pts)
Hit Rate for last
week: 7/17 (41%)
Year to date: 98/184
(53%)
A brief note about the hit rates: To provide an
objective standard to evaluate these selections, 5 fantasy points will be used
as the cutoff for DL and 6 fantasy points will be used as the cutoff for LB and
DBs. Thus, when a player is listed as a strong start, that means I think he has
a good chance to top 5 or 6 points based on his matchup, and when I say a
player is a weak start, that means I think he has a good chance to put up fewer
than 5 or 6 points. I’ll continue to evaluate my success throughout the season
to try and provide you with the information you need to make your starting decisions.
Best of luck with your starting lineup decisions this week.
Feel free to email me at [email protected]
with any feedback or suggestions regarding this article.
STRONG STARTS
DL St Louis Rams (@
Minnesota): DE Leonard Little
The Vikings rank #1 in fantasy points allowed to opposing DL
this year, and #4 over their last 3 games. They also rank #4 in fantasy points
allowed to defensive ends, with the LDE generally producing much more than the
RDE. So, this looks like a great matchup for LDE Leonard Little, who has 15
solo tackles in the last 3 weeks but no sacks. RDE Anthony Hargrove has been a
disappointment at the other end spot and only has 2 sacks on the year with none
since week 6. He’ll be matched up primarily with LT Bryant McKinnie, who has
played pretty well this year so Hargrove looks like a weak play despite the
great overall matchup.
DL Tennessee Titans
(vs Houston): DE Kyle Vanden Bosch
The Texans rank #2 in fantasy points allowed to opposing DL
this year, and #7 over the last 3 games. They also rank #2 in fantasy points
allowed to defensive ends this year, with neither end spot having an advantage
over the other. As expected, Vanden Bosch had a rough outing against the Colts
last week, but if you exclude both of his games against the Colts this year, he
has 9.5 sacks in 10 games. He should rebound with a strong game this week. None
of the other Titans have really shown enough consistency this year to warrant a
start here, but a possible sleeper choice might be DT Albert Haynesworth, who
has 14 solo tackles and 5 assists over his last 3 games. The Texans have been a
poor matchup for DTs this year though so keep that in mind when setting your
lineup.
DL Kansas City Chiefs
(@ Dallas): DE Jared Allen
The Cowboys rank #3 in fantasy points allowed to opposing DL
this year, and #1 over the last 3 games. They also rank #3 in fantasy points
allowed to opposing defensive ends, with RDEs averaging nearly a full fantasy
point more against them than LDEs. This looks like a great matchup for RDE
Jared Allen, who leads the team with 8 sacks on the year but has seen his
tackle numbers drop off a bit in recent weeks (just 5 solos over the last 3
weeks). Allen is a high energy player who never gives up on a play, and the
Cowboys will likely try to run the ball as much as possible to take pressure
off Bledsoe and their banged up offensive line. LDE Eric Hicks hasn’t done
enough in recent weeks to warrant starting consideration and neither of the DTs
are worth starting either.
DL New Orleans (@ Atlanta): DE Will Smith
The Falcons rank #5 in fantasy points allowed to opposing DL
this year, and #10 over the last 3 games. They also rank #11 in fantasy points
allowed to opposing defensive ends, with neither side having an advantage. The
Saints came into the year with the best 3-DE rotation in the league, but only
one of them has lived up to expectations this year. Will Smith leads the team
in sacks with 7.5 and he has been on fire of late with 15 solos and 3.5 sacks
in his last 3 games. As for the other DEs, Charles Grant has been a major
fantasy bust this year and finished the game last week without even 1 solo
tackle while Darren Howard has also been useless in recent weeks and finished
the game against Tampa last week with 0 fantasy points. It would be difficult
to start either one of these guys with much confidence this week, despite the
favorable matchup.
LB Denver Broncos (vs
Baltimore): WLB Ian Gold
The Ravens rank #1 in fantasy points allowed to opposing LBs
this year, and #1 over the last 3 games. MLBs are averaging over 10 fantasy
points/game against them, so it looks like another great matchup for Al Wilson,
but he’s failed to capitalize on other good matchups earlier this year and has
just 12 solo tackles in his last 5 games. WLBs are averaging a healthy 7
fantasy points/game against the Ravens as well, so I’m going to go with Ian
Gold as the best start from this group. He leads the Broncos in tackles this
year and is coming off a 10-solo game against the Chiefs last week. SLBs are
averaging 5.5 points/game against the Ravens, so this matchup doesn’t look too
bad for DJ Williams either, who has shown signs of fantasy life lately with 11
solos in the last 2 games.
LB Chicago Bears (vs Pittsburgh): MLB Brian Urlacher, WLB Lance Briggs
The Steelers rank #2 in fantasy points allowed to opposing
LBs this year, and #2 over the last 3 games. MLBs are averaging almost 9
points/game against them, so this looks like a great matchup for Brian
Urlacher, who had his first double digit tackle game last week against the
Packers. The matchup doesn’t look as favorable for Lance Briggs as WLBs are
only averaging a little less than 6 fantasy points/game against Pittsburgh,
but Briggs has 36 solo tackles in his last 5 games and should be very involved
in trying to shut down the Steelers running game in what will likely be a low
scoring game.
LB Minnesota Vikings
(vs St Louis): MLB Sam Cowart
The Rams rank #3 in fantasy points allowed to opposing LBs
this year, and #3 over the last 3 games. Last week against the Redskins, all 3
starting linebackers finished with exactly 5 solo tackles. The week before
against the Texans, all 4 starting linebackers finished with at least 5 solo
tackles. The week before that, all 3 Cardinals linebackers finished with 4 or
more solo tackles. This seems to be an equal opportunity matchup that helps all
linebackers, but the middle/inside linebackers have done slightly better and
MLB Sam Cowart has been the most consistent fantasy option from the Vikings
linebacker group so he gets the nod here. He has 2 quality starts over the past
4 weeks and should be able to get one again this week. None of the other
Vikings linebackers have done much of late to warrant starting consideration
despite the seemingly great matchup, but EJ Henderson might be a decent sleeper
choice if you’re desperate.
LB Miami Dolphins (@ San Diego): MLB Zach Thomas
The Chargers rank #8 in fantasy points allowed to opposing
LBs this year, and #7 over the last 3 games. As would be expected, MLBs do the
best against them, averaging over 9 fantasy points/game while both OLBs are
averaging about 6 points/game. MLB Zach Thomas has missed 2 games with shoulder
and ankle injuries but returned to practice this week and is expected to play
on Sunday. He’s a must-start player when healthy, but even more so when the
matchup looks this strong. Channing Crowder was a fantasy disappointment at MLB
while filling in for Thomas, but might do better after moving back to WLB where
he has been playing for most of the year. SLB Donnie Spragan has been solid
when given a chance to play and the matchup actually looks better for him than
it does for Crowder this week.
DB Minnesota Vikings
(vs St Louis): CB Antoine Winfield, FS Darren Sharper
The Rams rank #1 in fantasy points allowed to opposing DBs
this year, and #1 over the last 3 games. Additionally, they rank #1 in fantasy
points allowed to opposing CBs and #6 in fantasy points allowed to safeties, so
this looks like a great matchup for the entire Vikings secondary. CB Antoine
Winfield is the leading tackler on the team and is averaging 5 solo
tackles/game so he should be a very strong play this week. FS Darren Sharper is
averaging less than 3 solo tackles/game, but has 7 interceptions on the year
with 6 of them coming in his last 5 games.
DB Washington
Redskins (@ Arizona): CB Carlos Rogers, FS Sean Taylor
The Cardinals rank #2 in fantasy points allowed to opposing
DBs this year, and #8 over the last 3 games. Although the offense relies
heavily on their WRs, it doesn’t seem to favor CBs much as the Cardinals
currently rank #1 in fantasy points allowed to opposing safeties and #2 in
points allowed to opposing CBs. Rookie CB Carlos Rogers has been getting more
playing time lately and has made the most of it with 13 solo tackles and 2
interceptions over the last 2 games. Look for him to be tested frequently by
the Rams this week. Shawn Springs
and Walt Harris have also had good games in recent weeks and might be worth a
start this week as well given the great matchup. FS Sean Taylor had a good game
against the Rams last week and should keep it going this week against another
great matchup. SS Ryan Clark has just 1 quality start in his last 4 games and
the Rams running game hasn’t been that great lately, so he seems like the
weakest start of the group.
DB Detroit Lions (@ Green Bay): SS Kenoy Kennedy, CB Dre Bly
The Packers rank #3 in fantasy points allowed to opposing
DBs this year, and #2 over the last 3 games. They also rank #3 in fantasy
points allowed to opposing CBs and #7 in points allowed to safeties. SS Kenoy
Kennedy leads the team in tackles and has been the most reliable option from
the Lions secondary all season long. He has 13 solo tackles in his last 2 games
and picked off a pass from Favre in the season opener so he should be good for
a quality start this week. Given the favorable CB matchup, Dre Bly should be in
for a good game this week. Injuries have limited him to just 8 games this year,
but he has 4 interceptions in those games.
DB Buffalo Bills (@
New England): CB Nate Clements, SS Lawyer Milloy
The Patriots rank #5 in fantasy points allowed to opposing
DBs this year, and #3 over the last 3 games. They rank #13 in fantasy points
allowed to safeties and #10 in points allowed to CBs. Last week against the
Jets the top 3 CBs totaled 15 solo tackles against them, and the week before
against the Chiefs the top 3 CBs totaled 18 solo tackles. CB Nate Clements
hasn’t made as many big plays this year as he did last year, but he’s on pace
to set a career high for tackles and has been getting thrown at more than usual
in recent weeks. Terrence McGee is not completely healthy so it’s hard to know
how much he’ll play on Sunday. Lawyer Milloy is averaging over 7 solos/game
over the past 4 weeks and should be extra motivated facing his old team, so
look for a strong game from him this week. FS Troy Vincent has been fading
recently and has just 1 solo and 3 assists in his last 2 games, so starting him
this week looks pretty risky.
WEAK STARTS
DL Jacksonville Jaguars
(vs Indianapolis): DE Reggie Hayward, DE
Paul Spicer
The Colts rank #32 in fantasy points allowed to opposing DL
this year, and #27 over the last 3 games. They also rank dead last in fantasy
points allowed to defensive ends this year, and the side of the line doesn’t
seem to make a difference. Therefore, this looks like a very unfavorable
matchup for Reggie Hayward, who only has 6 solo tackles and 0 sacks over the
last 6 games. DE Paul Spicer has been playing great lately with 4 sacks in his
last 5 games, but he should also have trouble generating much of a pass rush
against this Colts offensive line. Indy is a more favorable matchup for
defensive tackles (rank #10 in points allowed to DTs), so owners shouldn’t be
terrified of starting John Henderson this week. Since he relies primarily on
tackle numbers for his fantasy production he should be alright this week, and
he finished with 8 solos the last time these two teams played each other.
DL Detroit Lions (vs Green Bay): DE James Hall, DE Kalimba Edwards
The Packers rank #31 in fantasy points allowed to opposing
DL this year, and #23 over the last 3 games. They also rank #29 in fantasy
points allowed to defensive ends and #30
in fantasy points allowed to defensive tackles, so it’s a bad matchup all around
for the Lions defensive linemen. RDE James Hall had a very good game against
the Packers in the season opener, but has now gone sackless for 5 straight
games and hasn’t shown the same burst that he did last year when he finished
with 11.5 sacks. Kalimba Edwards has been the Lions best pass rusher this year
with 7 sacks, but he’s finished with 1 or fewer fantasy points in 3 of the past
4 games. DT Shaun Rogers has been playing well with 10 solos, 1 sack, and 2 FFs
in the last 3 games and might be worth a start in leagues that require a
starting DT.
DL Miami Dolphins (vs
San Diego): DE Vonnie Holliday
The Chargers rank #28 in fantasy points allowed to opposing
DL this year, and #26 over their last 3 games. They also rank #24 in fantasy
points allowed to opposing defensive ends this year with RDEs averaging about
1.5 fantasy points more per game against them than LDEs. RDE Jason Taylor is
one of the best defensive ends in the league and he’s having a solid season,
but he’s pretty banged up right now and playing through a painful shoulder
injury. He’s not on the injury report this week though and should play, and
given that the Chargers are allowing almost 5 fantasy points/game to opposing
RDEs, the matchup looks pretty neutral for him. Despite a big game against the
Raiders a couple weeks ago, Vonnie Holliday has a tough matchup and looks like
a weak play this week. LDEs are only averaging about 3 points/game against the
Chargers, and Holliday only has 2 quality starts in 12 games played.
DL Minnesota Vikings
(vs St Louis): DE Erasmus James, DE Darrion Scott
The Rams rank #26 in fantasy points allowed to opposing DL
this year, and #32 over their last 3 games. They also rank #25 in fantasy
points allowed to defensive ends. The Vikings defense has been playing better
lately, but it’s been mostly with players who started the year as backups.
Rookie DE Erasmus James recorded his first sack against the Packers a couple
weeks ago and then had 4 solos against the Lions on Sunday, but don’t expect
his breakout performance to come this week. DE Darrion Scott has been very
consistent, finishing most weeks with 3 solo tackles and he has 2 of his 3
sacks in the past month, but the Rams just haven’t been giving up any points to
defensive linemen recently. I should point out that their last 3 games were
against Arizona, Houston,
and Washington, so it probably
isn’t a big surprise that those defensive lines weren’t able to generate a lot
of fantasy points. The Vikings don’t seem much better though. At DT, Pat
Williams is having a Pro Bowl season, but coming off his only 0-solo game of
the season. CJ Mosely has stepping for Kevin Williams at DT and played great
with 7 solos, 3 sacks, and a FF in the last 2 weeks. Both Vikings DTs seem like
better options than the DEs this week.
LB Pittsburgh
Steelers (vs Chicago): ILB Larry Foote, OLB Joey Porter
The Bears rank #32 in fantasy points allowed to opposing LBs
this year, and #32 over the last 3 games. Despite having a solid running game,
the passing game is the worst in the league and the offense just doesn’t
sustain long enough drives to give linebackers many tackle opportunities. The
strength of the Steelers defense is their linebackers, but they’ve been
struggling a bit lately. ILB James Farrior hasn’t made as many big plays this year
as he did last year, but his tackle numbers have been very consistent and he
remains a key component of their defense. He’s only failed to be a quality
start twice in 10 games. ILB Larry Foote actually has more solo tackles than
Farrior this year, but he’s played in 2 more games than him and his numbers
have dropped off the past couple weeks since Farrior returned to the lineup.
OLB Joey Porter is doing a great job of rushing the passer with 6 sacks this
year, but with just 12 solo tackles in the last 5 games, his production relies
very heavily on the big play. WLBs are only averaging about 4 points/game
against the Bears this year so this looks like a tough matchup for Porter.
LB Jacksonville
Jaguars (vs Indianapolis): WLB Daryl Smith
The Colts rank #13 in fantasy points allowed to opposing LBs
this year, but are #31 over their last 3 games. The team has done more damage
with the passing game in recent weeks than they did earlier in the year. Mike
Peterson should be fine as MLBs are averaging about 8 fantasy points/game
against the Colts. Daryl Smith, however, could be in for a tough week as the
Colts are only allowing about 4 fantasy points/game to WLBs this year. Smith’s
tackle numbers haven’t been that great in recent weeks, but he’s shown himself
to be a solid blitzer with 3 sacks in the last 5 games. That new skill doesn’t
figure to help him much this week though since Manning doesn’t take many sacks.
LB Washington
Redskins (@ Arizona): MLB Lemar Marshall, WLB LaVar Arrington
The Cardinals rank #26 in fantasy points allowed to opposing
LBs this year, and #21 over the last 3 games. This matchup burned me last week
as I rated the 49ers ILBs went out and finished with 13 solo tackles and 2
sacks despite a very unfavorable matchup. That result looks like a fluke
compared to the rest of the LBs who have faced the Cardinals this year though,
so I’m going to hope things hold truer to form this week. SLB Marcus Washington
has been the best LB for the Redskins all year and he comes into this game 5
straight quality starts so it would be difficult to bench him. MLB Lemar
Marshall has been almost as productive this year, but with just 2 quality
starts in his last 4 games he seems more likely to struggle this week. On a
similar note, WLB LaVar Arrington has just 1 quality start in his last 4 games,
but he’s also listed as questionable on the injury report with a thigh injury
so that gives you several reasons to leave him on your bench this week.
LB Green Bay Packers (vs Detroit): WLB Robert Thomas, SLB Na’il Diggs
The Lions rank #29 in fantasy points allowed to opposing LBs
this year, and #29 over the last 3 games. MLBs are averaging a robust 9
points/game against them this year, so Packers MLB Nick Barnett should be fine
this week. Barnett has been averaging almost 6 solos/game this year, and has
failed to reach 6 solo tackles just once in the last 6 games. At WLB, Robert
Thomas returned to the starting lineup last week after missing a couple weeks
with an injury. However, with just 1 quality start in 10 games played, he’s
certainly not someone you want to rely on this week. SLB Na’il Diggs is also a
bad play this week as he has just 1 quality start all year. Making matters
worse, both are listed as questionable on the injury report this week, with
Thomas actually missing practice on Wednesday.
DB Chicago Bears (@
Pittsburgh): SS Mike Brown
The Steelers rank #32 in fantasy points allowed to opposing
DBs this year, and #20 over their last 3 games. They rank #30 in fantasy points
allowed to CBs this year and #26 in points allowed to safeties so it looks like
a tough matchup for the entire Bears secondary this week. CBs are averaging
less than 5 points/game against the Steelers this year, but it would be
difficult to consider benching either Charles Tillman or Nathan Vasher. Tillman
comes into the game with 23 solo tackles, 1 sack, and 1 interception in his
last 3 games, while Vasher has 11 solos, 3 interceptions and a TD in the same
time span. SS Mike Brown is also having a great year, averaging over 5
solos/game, but only 2 strong safeties have finished with 5 or more solo
tackles when playing the Steelers this year so this looks like a tough matchup
for him. FS Chris Harris has been ruled out of the game this week with a knee
injury and Todd Johnson will take his place in the lineup, but don’t look for
much production out of him.
DB Carolina Panthers
(vs Tampa Bay): FS Mike Minter
The Buccaneers rank #20 in fantasy points allowed to
opposing DBs this year, and #32 over the last 3 games. They rank #28 in points
allowed to safeties and #20 in points allowed to CBs. Based on that info, this
matchup looks relatively neutral for CBs Ken Lucas and Chris Gamble, who have
combined for nearly 100 solo tackles and 9 interceptions this year and will
likely be matched up against Joey Galloway and Michael Clayton. The Panthers
safety tandem looks more likely to struggle this week. Out of the Bucs last 4
games, only one safety has finished with more than 4 solo tackles. FS Mike
Minter does have 4 quality starts in his last 5 games, including one against Tampa,
but he has 2 or fewer solo tackles in 3 of those games. SS Marlon McCree has
been one of the bigger fantasy surprises this year and would be tough to bench
this week despite the tough matchup, as he currently leads the team in tackles
and has 21 solo tackles in his last 3 games.
DB Arizona Cardinals
(vs Washington): FS Robert Griffith
The Redskins rank #27 in fantasy points allowed to opposing
DBs this year, and #31 over the last 3 games. They rank #18 in fantasy points
allowed to CBs, but just 29th in points allowed to safeties. SS
Adrian Wilson has been arguably the best fantasy DB all year so he’s a must
start regardless of matchup. That leaves Robert Griffith as the player most
likely to suffer this week. Free safeties have been averaging 5 fantasy
points/game against the Redskins this year, and Griffith
has just 1 quality start in his last 4 games. At CB, David Macklin have been
putting up solid numbers each week and rookie Antrel Rolle is expected to
return and play in the nickel defense this week. CBs are averaging about 5
points/game against the Redskins this year so the matchup looks pretty neutral
for them this week.
DB Indianapolis Colts
(@ Jacksonville): SS Mike Doss, CB Nick Harper
The Jaguars rank #24 in fantasy points allowed to opposing
DBs this year, and #30 over the last 3 games. They rank #21 in points allowed
to CBs each week, and #27 in points allowed to safeties. Among the safeties,
free safeties are averaging about .5 point more per week than the strong safeties
are, so this looks like it should be a tough matchup for SS Mike Doss. Doss has
been consistent over the past month or so, finishing with 3 or 4 solo tackles
in the past 5 games, but has just 1 quality start during that time span. Bob
Sanders hasn’t been consistent at all, finishing with 9 solos against the
Steelers a couple weeks ago and then coming up with just 1 solo stop against
the Titans this past Sunday. He’s tough to predict from week to week, but he
did finish with 9 solos against the Jaguars in week 2 and his potential for
huge games probably makes him a better start than Doss this week. Cornerbacks
are averaging about 5.5 points/game vs the Jaguars this year, but Nick Harper
is really the only reliable CB from the Colts secondary. With Garrard under
center this past week though, Browns CBs only finished with 3 solo stops
combined so don’t expect too much from him. Also note that he’s listed as
questionable on the injury report this week with a groin injury.
FBG standard scoring system for IDPs
- Solo tackle = 1 pt
- Assist = 0.5 pt
- Sack = 3 pts
- INT = 4 pts
- Pass Defensed = 1 pt
- Forced Fumble = 2 pts
- Fumble Recovery = 2 pts
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