Spotlight - WR Terry Glenn, Dallas Cowboys
Posted 8/17 by Jason Wood and Mark Wimer,
Exclusive to Footballguys.com
Jason Wood's Thoughts
It would be wonderful if we could all fill our rosters with top 10 RBs and top 20 WRs, from top to bottom. But in the ultra-competitive hobby we collectively obsess over, that's simply not the reality. Everyone fills out their rosters with players who, if things go your way, shouldn't be in your starting lineup all that often. But, as we know, thanks to bye weeks and injuries, these guys should be good enough that, when pressed, can make a contribution.
That's how I see both Keyshawn Johnson and Terry Glenn this year. For receivers with strikingly different skills sets, they've traveled relatively similar paths in their careers.
Despite their remarkably similar career trajectories, their outlook certainly diverges from here on out in my estimation. Keyshawn is BY FAR, the more attractive fantasy prospect in 2005. He is coming off a 70 catch, 981 yard, 6 TD season that saw him finish a respectable 27th among fantasy WRs. Unlike Glenn, Keyshawn played 16 games, and has been a pillar of health for most of his career. Glenn, meanwhile, appears fully recovered from a foot injury that sidelined him for 10 games a year ago, but how certain can we be? He's missed time in three of the last four seasons, and unlike Johnson, relies heavily on his downfield speed to be productive. And in terms of competition for touches, WR3 Quincy Morgan's game is far better suited to replace Glenn (or take touches away) than Keyshawn.
- Both were first round picks in 1996 for AFC East teams
- Both enjoyed remarkable success as rookies
- Both went to their first Pro Bowl in 1999
- Both played for Bill Parcells in their best years
- Both have a history of problematic behavior and have been suspended by their teams in the past
- Both are now playing for their third team, in Dallas
The Cowboys aren't going to throw for a ton of yards or TDs. Drew Bledsoe has only thrown more than 20 TD passes once in the last seven years, and Parcells clearly wants to win with a revamped defense and a 500-carry rushing offense. With that in mind, it stands to reason that fantasy leaguers should limit their draft day focus on the 1st and 2nd receiving options in Big D -- TE Jason Witten and Keyshawn.
- Keyshawn is coming off a solid season, finishing 27th and nearly reaching the 1,000 yard mark. He's particularly valuable in point-per-reception leagues.
- Glenn got off to a fantastic start last season and seems to fit well into the construct of the offense. If he can stay healthy, he could surprise.
- The Cowboys coaching staff don't appear favorably inclined to widespread use of 3- and 4-WR sets, meaning the bulk of WR targets going to Johnson and Glenn as the starters
- Parcells best teams have run the ball 500+ times, and that appears the plan in 2005 with Julius Jones & Company
- Drew Bledsoe is serviceable, but hardly the upgrade over Vinny Testaverde Cowboys fans make him out to be
- TE Jason Witten is assured of being the team's primary threat in the passing game
Your goal in the latter parts of your draft should be stockpiling players who represent clear VALUE. According to Antsports, Keyshawn is being drafted 45th among WRs, and that's simply foolish. He finished 27th last year, returns healthy, and should be one of Bledsoe's primary targets. Johnson isn't the kind of player who will surprise with a top 20 season any more, but he certainly makes a solid 3rd WR in 12-team leagues and an ideal backup as your 4th or 5th receiver. Glenn, on the other hand, is less enticing. You can have him very late, but I'm not sure I see the upside in him. He's got an uninspiring injury history, is competing more directly with Quincy Morgan for touches, and would be at best the team's 3rd option (but most likely 4th) in the receiving game.
Mark Wimer's Thoughts
Drew Bledsoe has been re-united with head coach Bill Parcells in Dallas this year, and he joins two WRs who were groomed by Parcells as well, veterans Keyshawn Johnson and Terry Glenn. The question is, how will this “Parcells reunion” work out on the field for the Cowboy’s passing game?
The Cowboys are stacked at RB with Julius Jones and Anthony Thomas, and this is a vital point to consider – the team isn’t asking the aging Drew Bledsoe to carry the offense by himself. With adequate pass-blocking and a very respectable rushing attack, Bledsoe shouldn’t be facing a ton of pressure in the pocket (important because he isn’t a very elusive guy when the pocket breaks down). Bledsoe should have enough time to deliver the ball to Johnson and Glenn.
But how much gas do either of these guys have left in the tank? Glenn is entering his 10th NFL season and is on the wrong side of 30. He only managed to play in 6 games last year and had to have surgery to repair a torn foot ligament (he’s said to be running 4.4 40’s on the repaired foot, but realize that Glenn has played an entire season only once in the past 4 years). Johnson also enters his 10th NFL season this year, and he’s also on the wrong side of 30. He did play a full slate of 16 games after arriving in Dallas last year, though, and has been a durable player throughout his career.
Playing with the venerable Vinny Testaverde last year, Johnson hauled in 70/981/6 (and with Glenn out there wasn’t a solid #2 threat in the stable – no other Cowboy wideout caught more than 24 balls, and the guy who snagged 24 was Terry Glenn (24/400/2 in only 6 games)).
- Glenn and Johnson are both crafty veterans who know how to play at this level
- Glenn and Johnson are both now accustomed to the current Dallas offense, and should be comfortable helping Bledsoe make the transition
- There isn’t much threat of either player losing their job during training camp
- Glenn has had trouble staying healthy in the past, and he’s not getting any younger
- Drew Bledsoe is new to the team – if he falters the Cowboys are in trouble as there isn’t much talent backing him up at the position (Tony Romo, Drew Henson – neither player has shown much in their chances with Dallas).
- The Cowboy’s offense isn’t likely to be pass oriented with their current mix of very talented running backs coupled with an aging quarterback.
The bottom line here is that the Cowboys have a lot of experience and talent in the starting lineup, and there isn’t much in the way of depth behind Johnson and Glenn (Quincy Morgan is the best of the rest) – as long as they stay healthy, both players should see a lot of footballs coming their way.
Quotations from the Message Board Thread
To view the entire Player Spotlight thread (there's a ton of fantastic commentary in there),
Keyshawn makes a living this season with underneath crossing passes (crossing with Witten) and possession/ball control receptions. Terry Glenn breaks open when the secondaries cheat to help on the underneath passing game and running game.
Don't like either guy, nor do I like the QB.... but someone has to catch the ball (outside Witten). That someone will be Key.
Terry Glenn Projections
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