Survivor I - Trent Green Commentary

NOTE: this draft was completed on 7/24

Recent Stats

YR	CMP	ATT	PYD	PTD	INT	RSH	RSHYD	RSHTD	FPT	RANK
2002	287	470	3690	26	13	31	225	1	304.0	8
2003	330	523	4039	24	12	26	83	2	306.2	3
2004	369	556	4591	27	17	25	85	0	329.1	4

Positives - Trent Green has finished as a top 5 QB each of the previous 2 years. He’s thrown for over 4,000 yards and at least 24 touchdowns each of the last 2 seasons. The KC offense returns intact with the exception of Johnny Morton which some might consider addition through subtraction giving Samie Parker an opportunity to start. Green threw for 12 touchdowns during the teams final 5 games last year, which was more than Peyton Manning. The Chiefs have been one of the NFL’s top offenses over the last several seasons and there’s no reason to expect that to change this year.

Negatives - Green will be 35 at the start of the 2005 season. His primary offensive weapons are 32 (Holmes), 32 (Kennison), and 29 (Gonzalez) indicating that the skill level could drop off dramatically if age catches up with one or more of these skill positions. An improved defense could lessen the need to get involved in shootouts and reduce the number of points the Chiefs need to win games.

Draft Strategy - As the 8th QB drafted I thought Green represented value. If Larry Fitzgerald wasn’t taken directly before this pick, I likely would have taken the WR and waited to get a QB later. I’m a bit concerned about having both Green and Tony Gonzalez as the risk is increased should the Chiefs offense not perform as expected. I like this pick and expect Green to continue to perform as a top 5 QB this year.