Survivor I - Torry Holt Commentary

NOTE: this draft was completed on 7/24

Recent Stats

YR	RSH	RSHYD	RSHTD	REC	RECYD	RECTD	FPT	RANK
2002	2	18	0	91	1302	4	156.0	15
2003	1	5	0	117	1696	12	242.1	2
2004	0	0	0	94	1372	10	197.2	7

Positives - Holt remains one of the premier receivers in the league. He has a knack for getting open in Coach Martz’ offense and can punish DBs with his explosive speed. Since taking over as the #1 target in St. Louis, Holt has lead the most prolific passing offense in the NFL. The picture of consistency with five straight 1300+ yard receiving seasons, he has added a knack for finding the end zone with consecutive double-digit touchdown years. Has a great rapport with both Marc Bulger and Jamie Martin. With all of the weapons on the Rams’ roster, defense can not key on any one player. As consistent as they come, and has not missed a game in six seasons and plays a weak strength of schedule for WRs this year. Combine that with an improved offensive line and re-invigorated rushing attack, and Holt will put up top three numbers again this year.

Negatives - Even though Holt has tallied 22 TDs in the last two seasons, he only nabbed 23 in four years prior to that. The St. Louis offense does spread the ball around a lot, and Bruce, McDonald, Curtis, Faulk, and Jackson will all eat into Holt’s numbers.

Draft Strategy - I was planning on taking another RB in this slot; however, my goal of snaring Corey Dillon evaporated before my eyes as Nugget picked my pocket. Also considered at this pick were Marvin Harrison and Curtis Martin. While the “top three” receivers are generally considered to be Moss, Owens, and Harrison, I had Holt rated higher than Harrison. As Manning has matured over the years, he has learned to spread the ball around more and not lock on to Harrison. This was no more clearly evident than last year, as Reggie Wayne and Brandon Stokley had as many big games as Harrison. Martin is as consistent as they come, but is getting long in the tooth, and will not catch a lot of balls out of the backfield. Bottom line, I refuse to “overpay” for a Running Back in the second round. Holt is a monster, and getting the #3 WR instead of the #13 RB in a format that must start three Wide Receivers presented the best value at this pick.