Beginner's Guide to Fantasy Football Section IX: Improving Your Roster After the Draft
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Posted 6/16 by Chris Smith, Exclusive to Footballguys.com
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"If a trade
between two parties is voluntary, it will not take place unless both believe
they will benefit from it. Most economic fallacies derive from the neglect
of this simple insight, from the tendency to assume that there is a fixed
pie, that one party can gain only at the expense of another." --
Milton and Rose Friedman
In the last section, we took a look at how to properly analyze your fantasy
roster following a draft to determine the strengths and weaknesses of your roster.
We also touched on using the Draft Dominator to break down the strengths and
weaknesses of the other squads as well. This section will take a look at the
two ways you can improve your roster before and during your fantasy season.
Part A will break down trading in fantasy football, how to target potential
trading partners and how to ultimately close the deal. Part B will brush upon
the free agent market and how to target potential breakout players available
via the waiver wire.
The Art of the Deal
Step 1: Evaluate your team weaknesses
No matter how strong of an owner you are when it comes the fantasy draft and
waiver wire pickups, there are always improvements to be made to your roster.
Take a good look at your squad and determine what needs to be added to reach
the top and stay there. Perhaps one more starting receiver will put you over
the top or a better quarterback. Discover exactly what you need to improve.
We will use the example from the prior section here.
Example roster from previous section
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Pos
|
Player |
Team
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Bye
|
|
QB
|
Michael Vick |
Atl
|
5
|
|
QB
|
Drew Bledsoe |
Dal
|
3
|
|
RB
|
Edgerrin James |
Ari
|
9
|
|
RB
|
Tatum Bell |
Den
|
4
|
|
RB
|
Frank Gore |
SF
|
7
|
|
RB
|
Chris Perry |
Cin
|
5
|
|
RB
|
Ryan Moats |
Phi
|
9
|
|
RB
|
J.J. Arrington |
Ari
|
9
|
|
WR
|
Chad Johnson |
Cin
|
5
|
|
WR
|
Darrell Jackson |
Sea
|
5
|
|
WR
|
Santana Moss |
Was
|
8
|
|
WR
|
Javon Walker |
Den
|
4
|
|
WR
|
Eric Moulds |
Hou
|
5
|
|
TE
|
Chris Cooley |
Was
|
8
|
|
PK
|
David Akers |
Phi
|
9
|
|
DT
|
Baltimore Ravens |
Bal
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7
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Your league starts 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, and 1 TE. You have a solid QB duo, tremendous
WR strength, a question mark at RB2 and solid starters with no depth at tight
end, kicker and defense. Furthermore you have a potential problem at receiver
with three off on bye during week five. The obvious move for this owner is to
move one of his big name receivers with a week-five bye in order to strengthen
his running back spot.
Step 2: Breaking down your opponents' rosters
There are not many foolish owners anymore in fantasy football with all the
information that is available to help the casual owner. Therefore it is crucial
to find an owner desperate to add talent to a particular position on his team.
Find an owner that is weak in a position in which you have a wealth of talent
and you are well on your way to completing a deal. Just remember that the only
deals that will be made in this day and age are the ones that help to strengthen
both squads going forward. Don't try to cheat your fellow owner and fleece him
in the deal but rather go for fair value.
Potential trading partner: One owner has good running back strength in Cadillac
Williams, Ronnie Brown, Corey Dillon, Fred Taylor and Marion Barber III, good
tight end and quarterback strength in Tom Brady, Trent Green and Randy McMichael
but very poor receiver talent in Rod Smith, Jerry Porter Braylon Edwards, Chad
Jackson [r] and Mike Williams. Let's say for the sake of this study that Jerry
Porter is injured and out for the year. Having four strong running backs doesn't
help him when his receiver core is in shambles. At this point, he will likely
be more than willing to trade a running back for a strong receiver.
Step 3: Approach the Owner
You have identified the owner who will be the most likely to deal with you.
Great. Now what? This is the most important part of the trade. You need to approach
this owner and propose a deal to him. It has to be good enough to grab his attention
but not so strong that you ultimately hurt your own chances to win the league.
You are going to have to offer strength to get strength back so you need to
decide which player you ultimately want to offer up via the trade route.
Make the deal look as fair as you can to begin with or it may kill any trade
talk between the teams. Also make sure to stress the fact that it doesn't do
him any good to have two of his running backs sitting on his bench. In addition,
you are aware of your deficiency at receiver and how unlikely it is he will
make a run to the title without improved receiver play. A great strategy is
to drop a 'name' player on him that is a known commodity but not likely to start
on your roster.
i.e. "Hello owner X, this is Chris of the Tuffguyz. I was looking at
your roster and noticed that you are in big trouble at the receiver position.
I happen to have an overabundance of talent at that spot and perhaps we can
reach a trade that can help both of us get to the playoffs. I have two potential
offers for you to mull over
Trade Offer #1 - I will give you Darrell Jackson and Frank Gore in
return for Ronnie Brown and Braylon Edwards: Darrell Jackson has fantasy stud
potential this year while Gore could be significant value for yourself if
he can stay healthy. He will at least provide depth for your running back
spot. Ronnie Brown is a good #2 running back which I need and Edwards has
some potential down the road this season if he can get healthy. This trade
gives us both a much stronger starting lineup going forward.
Trade Offer #2 - I would prefer option 1 but I can also move WR Eric
Moulds in return for Fred Taylor. Both of these guys are on their last legs
but could surprise with a good season this year.
Final Steps
What you write to the fantasy owner should not completely mirror your own thoughts.
In reality Ronnie Brown should be a serviceable # 1 this year and has the potential
to elevate his game to an elite level. Braylon Edwards could be very big over
the second half of the season and with the depth already in place, my roster
can afford to let him sit to start the year. Darrell Jackson will help his team
but his departure doesn't really hurt my own and Gore is a significant injury
risk.
The second deal is simple. Fred Taylor is much better value this year than
Eric Moulds. However to a desperate owner who doesn't want to lose his strong
duo at running back, this deal may look more attractive.
Now to the owner with a horrible starting lineup roster, either deal to land
a fantasy threat is hard to ignore. It will help his team out to make this deal.
However, you are still set at receiver with three star receivers starting for
your squad as well as capable backups in place plus you are adding a much better
option at RB2. The deal if you can pull it off makes your title objective that
much more likely to happen.
Result From Trade Option 1
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Starters Prior To Trade
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Starters After Trade
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QB
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Michael Vick |
Atl
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QB
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Michael Vick |
Atl
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RB
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Edgerrin James |
Ari
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RB
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Edgerrin James |
Ari
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RB
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Tatum Bell |
Den
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RB
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Ronnie Brown |
Mia
|
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WR
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Chad Johnson |
Cin
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WR
|
Chad Johnson |
Cin
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WR
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Darrell Jackson |
Sea
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WR
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Santana Moss |
Was
|
|
WR
|
Santana Moss |
Was
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WR
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Javon Walker |
Den
|
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TE
|
Chris Cooley |
Was
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TE
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Chris Cooley |
Was
|
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PK
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David Akers |
Phi
|
PK
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David Akers |
Phi
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DT
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Baltimore Ravens |
Bal
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DT
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Baltimore Ravens |
Bal
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Looking at the starting lineup before and after the trade, it is clear to see
how wheeling and dealing can help your fantasy team reach the ultimate goal,
your League Championship. Many times it takes determination to make a trade
like this happen. However the end result is so fantastic that it is well worth
the frequent e-mail, phone calls or banter back and forth when trying to wrap
the deal up. The key is to always make the deal look as great as you can to
the other owner while getting exactly what you want on this end. The "Art
of a Deal" can be the difference maker from being an also ran to the Kingpin
of your league. Give it a go!
Result From Trade Option 2
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Starters Prior To Trade
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Starters After Trade
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QB
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Michael Vick |
Atl
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QB
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Michael Vick |
Atl
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RB
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Edgerrin James |
Ari
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RB
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Edgerrin James |
Ari
|
|
RB
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Tatum Bell |
Den
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RB
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Fred Taylor |
Jac
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WR
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Chad Johnson |
Cin
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WR
|
Chad Johnson |
Cin
|
|
WR
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Darrell Jackson |
Sea
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WR
|
Darrell Jackson |
Sea
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WR
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Santana Moss |
Was
|
WR
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Santana Moss |
Was
|
|
TE
|
Chris Cooley |
Was
|
TE
|
Chris Cooley |
Was
|
|
PK
|
David Akers |
Phi
|
PK
|
David Akers |
Phi
|
|
DT
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Baltimore Ravens |
Bal
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DT
|
Baltimore Ravens |
Bal
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Preseason Free Agency
by Will Grant, exclusive to Footballguys.com
Free agency will be discussed in greater detail in Section X. However, in the
preseason, it should be approached a little differently. When trying to fill
a preseason gap, there are a couple of things that you need to focus on.
Teams with training camp battles should be your main focus. If the rookie has
a chance to beat out the veteran starter by the end of camp, you need to keep
an eye on the situation to see if someone emerges as the clear favorite. Grab
them BEFORE they are named the starter. This way you stay ahead of the pack.
Focus on your area of need, but don't be afraid to increase an area of strength
as well. If you can add another quality player to your squad, you can leverage
this depth in the future to trade with a weaker team.
If a team loses a starter to injury; even a short-term one, you need to be
ready to pounce. Grabbing a short-term backup can help you trade with the team
that holds the starter, or give you a quality starter for a good part of your
season. Taking advantage of a player's injury may seem like a dark approach
to the game, but injuries happen all the time in the NFL. It is something that
every team owner needs to deal with throughout the season.
Above all else, remember why you drafted these guys in the first place. If
you really think a particular player is going to be someone special, don't cut
or trade them unless you really have to. A lot of things can happen during the
early part of the season, and it may be better for you to ride the bumps and
see what happens in the long run.
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