To Handcuff Or Not To Handcuff - Top 10 RBs
  by Sigmund Bloom, Exclusive for Footballguys.com

The question of whether to handcuff your starting fantasy RBs to their backups is an overlooked, but sometimes crucial, decision to the success of your fantasy team. Some people automatically protect their investment and even reach for the backup to lock up a team's running game. Some value backup RBs, just not the backups to the starting RBs on their team. With more and more teams adopting two- and three-back backfields, handcuffing can even give you multiple starters when the matchups are right. We can attempt to determine whether a handcuff is worth it (or even possible) by looking at five factors:

  1. Clarity - How clear is the situation behind the starter/primary back?
  2. Price - What will it cost to secure a handcuff, and what will it cost to basically secure a Team RB?
  3. Quality - How talented is the backup? What is their track record?
  4. Situation - Is it a plug and play running game, or does the starter's talent create most of his value?
  5. Necessity - How important is it to get the handcuff to THIS starter? How likely is significant action for the backup at some point during the season?

Let's break down the handcuff RBs for the top 10 fantasy backs through this lens, in order of the ADP of the starter:

Adrian Peterson (ADP RB1)

The Verdict - Take Taylor in the early ninth if you own Peterson, it's a slam dunk win-win. Either you get 16 games out of Peterson, or you get most of his production when he misses time. You also get a strong flex/RB2 play in the two Lions matchups and maybe more if the QB play improves in Minnesota.

Michael Turner (ADP RB2)

The Verdict - Since Turner seems like the kind of back that rarely takes the worst of a collision and it's unclear whether Norwood would get significantly more touches in the event of a Turner injury, your decision on whether to draft Norwood should have nothing to do with whether your draft started with Turner.

Maurice Jones-Drew (ADP RB3)

The Verdict - There's no need to handcuff anyone to MJD right now, but if Jennings continues to impress through training camp, he might be worth a late-round pick whether or not you own MJD.

Matt Forte (ADP RB4)

The Verdict - Unless your league's benches are so short that you'd be forgoing a Top 50 to 55 back to take Jones, why not spend the late pick and roster spot to hedge Forte? If you never use Jones that means you got full value out of Forte - another win-win set up by drafting your top RB's handcuff.

Steven Jackson (ADP RB5)

The Verdict - I'd recommend a handcuff, but I have no idea who to recommend. If you draft Jackson, watch the depth chart closely and be ready to pounce, but you should also know that the plan to replace Jackson has changed during the month he has been out in each of the last two seasons.

DeAngelo Williams (ADP RB6)

The Verdict - Sure, there were five weeks last year that you would have been happy to have both guys in your lineup, but everything came together for Carolina, who probably won't be as dominant this year. Stewart is a more attractive pick in leagues with a flex, but that's still a steep price to pay for a guy that you can't trust in your lineup in any given week.

Chris Johnson (ADP RB7)

The Verdict - Between doubts about White's role growing in Johnson's absence because of Ringer's presence and doubts about White's talent, this is a pass.

Brian Westbrook (ADP RB8)

The Verdict - For once, Westbrook has a clear backup who is a similar type of talent, and he's very cheap. Why play with fire by leaving Westbrook unprotected?

Frank Gore (ADP RB9)

The Verdict - Coffee isn't on anyone's radar yet. So instead of drafting him, you can probably wait to pick him up after your kicker/defense byes have passed. Be ready to change your plans if he has a great preseason.

Steve Slaton (ADP RB10)

The Verdict - The waiver wire is the only way to play this one unless Johnson or Foster just blow out the competition in training camp. While rostering a Houston back waiting for Slaton to go down is a risky proposition, jumping on any back on the roster if he does get hurt is a good strategy because of the track record of fantasy success from no-name backs in Houston in the Kubiak era.

Overall Wisdom Of Handcuffing
Clarity Of Handcuffing
Rk
Running Back
Rk
Running Back
1
Adrian Peterson
1 (tie)
Adrian Peterson
2
Westbrook
1 (tie)
DeAngelo Williams
3
Matt Forte
1 (tie)
Matt Forte
4
Michael Turner
4
Brian Westbrook
5
Frank Gore
5
Chris Johnson
6
Steve Slaton
6
Michael Turner
7
Maurice Jones-Drew
7
Frank Gore
8
Steve Jackson
8
Maurice Jones-Drew
9
DeAngelo Williams
9
Steve Slaton
10
Chris Johnson
10
Steven Jackson
Price Of Handcuffing
Quality Of Handcuffing
Rk
Running Back
Rk
Running Back
1 (tie)
Steven Jackson
1
DeAngelo Williams
1 (tie)
Steve Slaton
2
Adrian Peterson
1 (tie)
Maurice Jones-Drew
3
Michael Turner
1 (tie)
Frank Gore
4
Brian Westbrook
1 (tie)
Matt Forte
5
Chris Johnson
6
Brian Westbrook
6
Matt Forte
7
Michael Turner
7
Frank Gore
8
Adrian Peterson
8
Steve Slaton
9
Chris Johnson
9
Maurice Jones-Drew
10
DeAngelo Williams
10
Steven Jackson
Situation Of Handcuffing
Necessity Of Handcuffing
Rk
Running Back
Rk
Running Back
1
Adrian Peterson
1
Brian Westbrook
2
DeAngelo Williams
2
Steven Jackson
3
Michael Turner
3
Adrian Peterson
4
Chris Johnson
4
Frank Gore
5
Steve Slaton
5
Maurice Jones-Drew
6
Brian Westbrook
6
DeAngelo Williams
7
Maurice Jones-Drew
7
Matt Forte
8
Matt Forte
8
Chris Johnson
9
Frank Gore
9
Steve Slaton
10
Steven Jackson
10
Michael Turner