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Footballguys #116 - 8/13 - Read This For What You Need To Win Your League. Andrew Luck, Amari Cooper, Ezekiel Elliott And Much More

Volume 21, #116 -- Tuesday Night, August 13th, 2019

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Howdy Folks,

Good Wednesday to you. Forget about canceling your morning, you might want to take the day off. There's seriously that much good info here.

Jump in and continue to crush your Fantasy League.

Let's go.

J

SITE NEWS

A. How To Crush Fantasy Football This Year
We give away a ton of free information at Footballguys. Thanks for being part of that. But everything we do for free is to showcase our Premium Subscriptions.

It's where we keep the content you need to gain the edge to win. For the cost of a couple pizzas and drinks, we give you access to everything at Footballguys from now until the Super Bowl.

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At $39.95 for the Season Long Pro subscription, $49.95 for the Daily Fantasy Pro subscription or just $69.95 for the All-Pro that includes both, we think it's easily the best value in sports. Those prices cover the entire 2019 season so it's one payment for the season. Many sites charge that much per month. Even for the All-Pro subscription, that works out to less than 50 cents a day.

PLUS - Two big additional things we're doing this year:

1. The Premium Version of the Draft Dominator Mobile App had always been $5 and separate from our Premium Online Subscriptions. This year, people who purchase the Season Long Pro or the All-Pro Subscription get access the Premium Version of the mobile app for free.

2. For our folks who purchase the Daily Fantasy Pro or the All-Pro Subscription, we have a brand new Lineup Optimizer that is KILLER. You'll be able to create powerful lineups for DFS like never before.

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B. Training Camp Update #2
It's another 41 pages of everything you need to know about every player that matters from every team this week. It's some of the most comprehensive camp reporting you'll find anywhere. And yes, I'll have the Cliff Notes, "Need to Know" version for Season Long Pro Subscribers tomorrow. Report #1 was free. The next three are for Premium Subscribers. But read the next item to see how you can get them for free...

C. Get The Next Three Training Camp Reports For FREE
You loved Training Camp Update #1. We have one for each of the next three weeks for our Premium Subscribers. #2 is ready and live now. Here's how to get them for free. Simply download the free Draft Dominator Mobile App here, complete a mock draft and you'll automatically be set up to receive by email the next three Training Camp Updates. It's that simple.

D. FREE CONTENT - Principles of Value-Based Drafting
If you've ever wondered where Value-Based Drafting or VBD came from, you're in the right spot. Here's the updated edition of the Drafting System I've been evangelizing since 1996.

E. Beneath the Numbers: 125 Takes on Doing Projections
Our David Dodds takes you deep into his process for how he creates and then updates our detailed stat projections throughout August highlighting players moving up and down.

F. FREE CONTENT - How to Attack Your Superflex-League Draft
Superflex leagues are some of the most challenging and most popular formats leagues are turning to as they look for new twists. And they require a massive shift in strategy and player valuation. Our Jeff Tefertiller dives in.

G. 21 Value Plays at Running Back
The "Value Plays" series is one of the best things we do at Footballguys. We poll the staff for the players at each position they see as undervalued, overvalued and those that are deep sleepers. Then we tally the votes and show you the results. In this one, our team pulls out the 21 running backs who we think will overperform their draft position. These are the kinds of players that win leagues.

H. 14 Running Backs Who Could be Overvalued
In this one, the Footballguys Staff lists the running backs they see as likely to fail to deliver the value in line with where they're likely to be drafted. These are the kinds of players that can sink a team.

I. 14 Deep Sleepers at Running Back
The Footballguys Staff dives deep to lay out 14 running backs they see as deep sleepers.

J. Average Draft Position Updated
It's not enough to know where you want to draft a player. For maximum value in your draft, you need to know where the other GMs in your league want to draft that player. Our Average Draft Position Data is your answer.

K. Average Draft Position For PPR Updated
It's not enough to know where you want to draft a player. For maximum value in your draft, you need to know where the other GMs in your league want to draft that player. Our Average Draft Position Data is your answer. This one is for PPR scoring.

L. Preseason Week 1 Nuggets
Our Dwain McFarland unearths some of the more interesting nuggets found through watching and charting every snap of the first-team offenses for week one of the NFL preseason.

M. RB2 By Committee
Our Jeff Pasquino breaks down how to find a second starting running back by committee for 2019.

N. 2019 NFL Preseason Depth Chart Shuffle: Running Backs
Our Chad Parsons outlines the key strong and weak NFL depth charts at the running back position in advance of the 53-player roster cuts.


1. IND - QB Andrew Luck likely out for preseason

Source: CBS 4 Indianapolis - Mike Chappell

Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck (ankle) is unlikely to play in the preseason due to an ankle issue, according to general manager Chris Ballard Tuesday, Aug. 13. Ballard said he's not ready to say the regular-season opener is in jeopardy due to the injury and Luck will continue rehabbing.

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Stay tuned closely to this one as things don't seem to be adding up. Lots of these reports are conflicting which worries us. Clearly something isn't right here and we're hoping to have more clarity soon. If you're drafting today, I'd avoid Luck until we know more. It's just that uncertain right now.

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2. DAL - WR Amari Cooper dealing with plantar fascia irritation

Source: Cowboy Maven - Mike Fisher

Dallas Cowboys WR Amari Cooper (heel) is dealing with plantar fascia irritation, according to a source who adds 'he'll be fine.'

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It's a minor injury and summed up as an irritation. Cooper will be managed in preseason when he returns but he should be good to go for Week 1 of the regular season.

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3. DAL - RB Ezekiel Elliott return for opener a coin flip?

Source: CBS Sports HQ - Matthew Mayer

Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott's return in time for the season opener against the New York Giants may have no better than a 50-50 proposition, according to comments made by CBS Sports color analyst Tony Romo.

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Elliott is a risky first-round pick at this time. We have confidence the two sides will find a way to get something done. Stay tuned.

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4. OAK - WR Antonio Brown returns

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Oakland Raiders WR Antonio Brown will return to the team's facility Tuesday, Aug. 13, after his grievance on equipment was denied.

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Brown will find a new helmet and get back to practice when his feet are healed. Now that is equipment grievance is over, we wait as Brown's feet recover. There's no timetable for his return to practice but nobody around the team thinks he'll miss time in the regular season.

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5. MIA - RB Kenyan Drake limps off practice field

Source: Palm Beach Post - Joe Schad

Miami Dolphins RB Kenyan Drake (lower body) limped off the practice field Tuesday, Aug. 13, due to an apparent lower-body injury. Head coach Brian Flores didn't offer specifics after practice but said 'hopefully he's back out there tomorrow.'

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Bad news for Drake here. He's getting pushed by Kalen Ballage for the starting job in 2019 and this injury could help the team make that decision. We'll see how bad this lower body injury is and will get more information if Drake does or does not practice on Wednesday.

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6. ATL - WR Julio Jones back at full speed

Source: The Atlanta Journal-Constitution - D. Orlando Ledbetter

Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones (foot) is reportedly back to running routes at full speed after spending most of the early part of training camp recovering from a foot injury, according to D. Orlando Ledbetter of The Atlanta Journal-Constitution.

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Jones is going to be good to go for Week 1 of the regular season. We are unlikely to see him in the preseason. Fantasy GMs know that Jones is a WR1 and are taking him off the board around WR4 (1.10) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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7. CIN - QB Jeff Driskel takes receiver snaps

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Charean Williams

Cincinnati Bengals QB Jeff Driskel took snaps at wide receiver Tuesday, Aug. 13, at the request of head coach Zac Taylor, according to Jay Morrison of The Athletic. 'I'm still competing at quarterback,' Driskel said. 'That's what I want to be. That's what I think I can be. But I just want to show that I can add value to this team in other ways and show that I want to contribute and can contribute.'

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Driskel is athletic enough to play receiver. He's competing with 2019 fourth-round pick Ryan Finley to be the primary backup to Andy Dalton this season.

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8. HOU - OLB Jadeveon Clowney on the market?

Source: Houston Chronicle - John McClain

Houston Texans DE/LB Jadeveon Clowney has yet to report to camp as of Tuesday, Aug. 13. Longtime beat writer John McClain stated on social media he would be surprised if Clowney isn't traded.

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If McClain thinks that Clowney will be dealt, then look out for a trade to happen. The word was that Clowney would report to the team after the third preseason game. The Texans franchise-tagged player was not able to strike a new long-term deal, so Clowney is set to play on a one-year nearly $16 million contract. Stay tuned.

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9. OAK - TE Darren Waller getting back into it

Source: NBC Sports Bay Area - Scott Bair

Oakland Raiders TE Darren Waller (shoulder) was as active as he has been in practice Tuesday, Aug. 13, since initially suffering his shoulder injury on Aug. 2, according to NBC Sports Bay Area's Scott Bair.

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Waller is at the top of the depth chart for the Raiders so long as he's healthy. His main competition for the starting job is rookie Foster Moreau.

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10. NYG - WR Golden Tate's appeal denied

Source: New York Post - Paul Schwartz

New York Giants WR Golden Tate's appeal of his four-game suspension for violating the league's performance-enhancing substance abuse policy was denied Tuesday, Aug. 13.

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No surprise here. Tate reported himself to the league after taking a banned fertility drug. He'll miss the first month of the regular season, so the Giants will use more Sterling Shepard and Evan Engram when they go through the air during that time.

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11. PHI - WR DeSean Jackson more than a deep threat?

Source: NBC Sports Philadelphia - Reuben Frank

Philadelphia Eagles WR DeSean Jackson is 'a complete player' who can 'do anything that he wants,' according to offensive coordinator Mike Groh. Jackson appears to be rejuvenated by his return to Philadelphia and is thrilled with head coach Doug Pederson's offense, telling NBC Sports Philadelphia's Reuben Frank that 'we got some dope stuff in this year' and the 'kind of stuff (Pederson) has up his sleeve for this offense ... is unbelievable.'

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Jackson can be more than a deep threat....but he's mainly going to be the guy that stretches the field for the Eagles offense. His big-play ability make him an interesting flex play most every week. Jackson has a current ADP of WR47 (10.05) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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12. PHI - TE Zach Ertz's production likely to take a hit

Source: NJ.com - Zack Rosenblatt

Philadelphia Eagles TE Zach Ertz has been 'one of - if not the - best players in training camp,' and 'that's especially true in the red zone where he seems to be unstoppable,' according to NJ.com's Zack Rosenblatt. Nevertheless, his targets are expected to drop in an offense with Alshon Jeffery, DeSean Jackson, Nelson Agholor, Dallas Goedert and Darren Sproles, per Rosenblatt.

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It's going to be difficult to duplicate the 116 receptions Ertz had in 2018. We like projecting him more around 85 catches or so, and Ertz is still a top-3 fantasy tight end regardless of his numbers taking a dip.

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13. SF - No practice for WR Deebo Samuel, TE George Kittle

Source: Bay Area News Group - Cam Inman

San Francisco 49ers WR Deebo Samuel (personal) and TE George Kittle (calf) did not participate in practice Tuesday, Aug. 13. Samuel was excused for personal reasons, while Kittle is dealing with calf tightness, according to the Bay Area News Group's Cam Inman.

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We'll see if this pair can practice later in the week. The 49ers are traveling to Denver for joint practices with the Broncos on Friday and Saturday.

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14. WAS - RB Derrius Guice still waiting for approval

Source: ESPN.com - John Keim

Washington Redskins RB Derrius Guice (knee) has been participating in practices this summer but has yet to receive clearance to play in a game, and he told ESPN's John Keim on Tuesday, Aug. 13, that he's not sure when he'll play in the preseason.

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Guice has a ton of talent as a runner but a knee injury cost him all of the 2018 season. He missed his rookie season last year and we're excited to see him in his first regular season game action. Guice is back now, but it did take more time than originally thought to recover from his knee injury and there were a few setbacks along the way.

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15. MIN - RB Dalvin Cook: I'm a 3-down back

Source: Vikings.com - Eric Smith

Minnesota Vikings RB Dalvin Cook says he's a three-down running back who's ready for a full workload in the 2019 season. 'Yeah. I love catching the football and love making plays, so anyway I can get the ball in my hands and change the scoreboard or change the (first down) markers, I'm willing to do that,' Cook told a writer from the team's website. 'Any way possible. Catching the ball, running the football ... I'm willing to do it. So yeah, I consider myself a three-down back.'

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Cook is correct, he is capable of playing effectively on all three downs. With Latavius Murray gone to the Saints, Cook has the backfield all to himself.

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16. MIA - Another start for QB Ryan Fitzpatrick?

Source: Sun-Sentinel - Safid Deen

Miami Dolphins QB Ryan Fitzpatrick could start a second straight preseason game Friday, Aug. 16, when the Dolphins visit the Buccaneers, head coach Brian Flores said Tuesday, Aug. 13.

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Fitzpatrick is ahead of Josh Rosen in the competition for the starting job with the Dolphins. We have a feeling no matter who begins the season as the starter, both quarterbacks should play at some point in the 2019 season.

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17. CLE - Dontrell Hilliard ready for bigger workload

Source: ClevelandBrowns.com - Anthony Poisal

Cleveland Browns RB Dontrell Hilliard is in line to begin the season behind RB Nick Chubb on the depth chart following the trade of RB Duke Johnson (Texans), at least until RB Kareem Hunt returns from an eight-game suspension.

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Hilliard is a player the Browns like and he's certainly got the explosive capability to be dangerous in the open field. We'll see him work into the mix behind Chubb.

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18. DEN - WR Emmanuel Sanders had ankle surgery

Source: 9News.com - Mike Klis

Denver Broncos WR Emmanuel Sanders (Achilles, ankle) said he underwent surgery on his right ankle during the offseason.

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He's looking good out at Broncos camp according to multiple reports. Sanders said he dealt with problems with his ankle for the last two seasons. Now, he's likely to be healthier than he has been in quite some time. Sanders is competing with Courtland Sutton to be the Broncos No. 1 wide receiver in 2019.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys. We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J