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Dynasty Watch

The purpose of this Column is to spotlight deeper Roster moves that could pay off big over the course of the season. Unless stated in a player's write up, we're not looking for one-week wonders here, but Shark moves that could really strengthen your team down the road.

Dynasty Watch focuses on low risk, huge payoff roster moves that you might be able make before the guys in your league think about it. This aim of this Column is to make you look like a genius to the other owners in your league. When news breaks, and the other owners are scrambling to make a waiver wire move, we want them to be upset time and time again that the player is already on your squad.

Ron Dayne: RB Denver Broncos

What has he done so far:
Well, Nothing. We're not sure if it is funny, or really just sad to try and think about putting faith in him after years of disappointment. Dayne was listed as a potential long-term help for your squad in Last season's Dynasty Watch articles. We all know how that panned out. He was drafted as the first rookie off the board when he came out in at least half of the leagues out there. "Sucks" is certainly no where near strong enough to describe his career.

Current Situation:
Mike Anderson had the starting job pretty well in hand going into the season. On the 5th offensive snap of the ball, he was out with an injury. In separated the cartilage in his ribs, Anderson has an injury that is difficult to predict when he will be back at 100%. Anderson might take the field this weekend, and rush for 100 yards. He could easily be out for an extended period as it is tough to take a hit and contact with a rib cage injury. Behind Anderson is Tatum Bell. Bell is very talented, but he is known for speed, and not truly proven. Then there is Ron Dayne.

Spotlight ETA:
You need a few breaks to see something come out of this. First, Anderson needs to be out, or prove ineffective. Secondly, Bell would need to struggle. Or really, it's Shanahan, anything can happen here. Fantasy owners know to expect the unexpected when it comes to the Denver running game. If Dayne gets on the field, he has years of failure to overcome. That's saying he can get on the field, and isn't just cut a week from now.

Dynasty Upside:
MONSTERIOUS! We would be preaching to the choir to tell a bunch of Dynasty Sharks that the Denver RB is valuable. The Starter for Denver is a top 10, if not a top 5 RB. He will get well over 1,000 yards and 10 plus TDs.

Final Thoughts:
So where does that leave us? Certainly no one on the face of the planet is really going to line up to just be burned by this bum again…right? Well…Yes. Dayne is a free agent in your league, or can easily be had for far less than the starting RB in Denver is worth. It's a long shot, probably not going to pan out. If it does, it's like printing your own money. Tremendous value for basically nothing. Please understand that Dayne is most likely cut in a few weeks, and we add yet another year of lost opportunity to his resume. If it does pan out, you walk away with a top 10 RB.


Koren Robinson: WR Minnesota Vikings

What has he done so far:
The Seahawks drafted Koren Robinson with the 9th pick of the first round in 2001. Draft Expert Joel Buchsbaum of Pro Football Weekly had this to say about Robinson when he came out: "A super talent with almost unlimited physical ability. However, he may have to get into a Randy Moss-type situation where he gets constant guidance from a coach such as Dennis Green and a teammate such as Cris Carter to realize his immense potential and fit in well. May not be Moss but could be one of the closest things to Moss, if he grows up and learns to pay the price." Working opposite Darrel Jackson Robinson started to show that immense talent putting up 1,240 yards in his second season. Without a strong guidance, Robinson developed substance issues, entered counseling, and was eventually cut from the Seahawks. He was recently signed by the Vikings and should be given a chance to redeem himself.

Current Situation:
Robinson resigned with the Vikings on Tuesday after being release for Salary gains. According to Robinson's agent, there was interest from 5 teams, including the Green Bay Packers. There has been much speculation revolving around a possible suspension for Robinson in the past number of months, but it appears that was all just mental gymnastics. No suspension will be handed down, meaning Robinson could take the field as early as week 2. He's buried behind a mountain of receivers in Marcus Robinson, Nate Burleson, Travis Taylor, and Troy Williamson. He is arguably more talented than each and every one of them.

Spotlight ETA:
Week 2 or 3 to just get on the field. From there, it's really up in the air. The positive side is that the Vikings signed him after being cut by Seattle, and then they actively kept him when he could have just been a post camp cut. The Viking WR position is wide open for someone to take the spotlight.

Dynasty Upside:
Dante Culpepper is going to throw to someone this year and beyond. By default, the main recipient is going to be a Stud. Odds are that person is not Koren Robinson, but the window of opportunity is standing wide open. Robinson has a tremendous level of talent that has been showcased in College where he broke many of Torry Holt's records at NC State, and in the NFL with a 1,200-yard season in just his second year.

Final Thoughts:
Much like Dayne, this is likely a retread that doesn't pay off. Unlike Dayne, Robinson has a real shot based on Talent and a system where WRs will flourish. Although loaded with WRs on the roster, the Vikings went out of their way to sign Robinson not once, but twice in the last week or so. It could easily be argued that Robinson is the most talented WR on the Viking's roster at the moment. If you are in a Dynasty League, surely someone in your league has him on a roster. He should be somewhat easy to acquire, not costing that much.


Daniel Wilcox: TE Baltimore Ravens

What has he done so far:
Daniel Wilcox was an undrafted rookie free agent for the Jets back in 2001, but did not catch a pass. He played 2 years in Tampa and came up empty at that point as well. He started five games for the Ravens last season while Todd Heap was out and had 25 receptions for 219 yards and a TD. In the first game of the 2005 season he had 10 targets, 8 receptions for 78 yards and a TD.

Current Situation:
Wilcox is listed as the #3 TE on the Baltimore Depth Chart, but he was a big part of the Raven offense for week 1. Heap only had 7 targets for the Ravens while Wilcox had 10. Wilcox won't replace Heap as the #1 TE option on the Ravens as long as Heap is healthy, but if week 1 was a trend, Wilcox could be come a solid fantasy option right now.

Spotlight ETA:
Could be now, could be later. That's why we're bringing him up now. If he has another big game against Tennessee, you'll be fighting with your other league owners to pick him up. If he fades into the shadows, his near term upside would be limited. Heap has had several significant injuries over the last two seasons, and his overall health could be key. Heap has a long-term contract signed with the Ravens right now, but the back end is very heavy, and his cap number jumps from 560K in 2006 to 2.7M in 2007. By then, Wilcox could be significantly more involved in the Raven offense.

Dynasty Upside:
Since the 2000 season, Baltimore TES have racked up over 800 yards receiving and average more than 5 TDS a year. If Wilcox becomes the #1 option at TE for the Ravens, he has a great chance to become a top 10 fantasy TE.

Final Thoughts:
It's probably too early to dump Heap for Wilcox just yet. However, Wilcox is probably free right now in most dynasty leagues. If you have an extra roster spot, grab and hold onto him for a couple weeks to see how he fits into the new Raven offense. If he's a one-hit wonder, you can always cut him later on. If he takes off, you could be sitting on a starter quality TE for this season and beyond.

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