Spotlight - QB Patrick Ramsey, New York Jets
Posted 8/25 by Jason Wood and Will Grant,
Exclusive to Footballguys.com
Jason Wood's Thoughts
Patrick Ramsey should be one of the last "starting" QBs drafted in redraft leagues, in my opinion.
It's never a good thing to have your starter looking over his shoulder, and Ramsey now has TWO reasons to worry about his job. When Joe Gibbs returned to Washington last year, he made quick work of Ramsey's upside by adding veteran Mark Brunell to the mix. Although Gibbs gave Ramsey lip service, ultimately it was Brunell who started the season at the helm. Apparently Gibbs needs to read fantasy message boards more often because just about anyone who participates in our hobby could have told him that Brunell had nothing left in the tank. Yet, because of his contract, he's sticking around this season. If that wasn't bad enough, the Redskins traded up in this year's draft to select Jason Campbell with the 23rd pick. Again, Gibbs is giving Ramsey lip service, but he's in a "WIN NOW" mode and still saw fit to use a 1st rounder on Campbell. Don't buy for a second the idea that Gibbs will stick with Ramsey through thick and thin.
And somehow, the Redskins managed to downgrade at the WR position this offseason. I won't rehash my admonition for newly acquired WRs David Patten and Santana Moss, but would encourage anyone who thinks they're better players than Laveranues Coles and Rod Gardner to read the Moss & Patten Player Spotlight.
The cupboard isn't completely empty. I find it hard to believe Joe Gibbs has forgotten how to coach, so I expect the Redskins to execute better in 2005, or Gibbs will make personnel changes. The return of RT Jon Jansen should help solidify the line. And Clinton Portis should benefit from a new zone blocking scheme. But is that enough for Ramsey to keep his job much less prosper? I'm not entirely sold one way or the other.
- Ramsey completed 62% of his passes a year ago and benefits from an entire training camp as the starter this year
- Joe Gibbs is an offensive coaching legend and should formulate a better game plan in 2005
- Jon Jansen should help solidify the offensive line
- Ramsey faces not one, but two potential replacements in Mark Brunell and rookie Jason Campbell
- Santana Moss and David Patten are no better, if not worse, than the Skins starters a year ago (Coles and Gardner)
- The schedule appears brutal in terms of opposing pass defenses
Ramsey shouldn't be on your fantasy radar unless you have to roster three QBs at a minimum. Although I think he's got some talent, one has to wonder if his confidence is shot after Gibbs brought in Brunell last season and then traded up into the 1st round to acquire Campbell. The team has continued to struggle with offensive execution in preseason action, and I just don't know how Ramsey provides a fantasy edge even as a spot starter or bye week fill in.
Will Grant's Thoughts
Patrick Ramsey started the first 11 games of the 2003 season. Although he finished the season with just four wins, it was an average performance for a young NFL QB who was just beginning to adjust to the pressures of being a starting QB. An unfortunate foot injury cut his season short, but he was optimistic that he would be ready for 2004.
Enter Joe Gibbs and Mark Brunell. Despite missing the majority of the 2003 season due to an elbow injury, the 10-year veteran Brunell was handed the starting role in the ‘new’ Redskin offense, and Ramsey was regulated back to carrying a clipboard. Brunell struggled as the Washington starter. He won just three of the games that he started, and Ramsey replaced him in week nine against Cincinnati after Brunell completed just one of his first eight passes.
Ramsey finished the 2004 season with just a 3-4 record as a starter, posting 1600 yards passing, and 10 TDS against 11 INTS. His 6.1 yards per attempt was a career low and he finished as the 31st QB in fantasy scoring.
For the 2005 season, Ramsey begins as the Redskin starter. However the lineup is hardly set in stone, and if Ramsey falters, Gibbs would not hesitate to insert either Mark Brunell or rookie Jason Campbell into the starting lineup.
- Finished the 2004 season on an upward swing. Over the last five games, Ramsey posted over 1000 yards passing, seven TDS and only four interceptions.
- Lack of Competition. Brunell’s performance last season was horrible. He completed less than 50% of his passes for less than 1200 yards, had just 5.0 Yards per pass attempt and had only seven passing TDS in nine games. Rookie 1st round pick Jason Campbell is raw and needs another year or two before he will be ready for the NFL.
- Renewed Confidence and Opportunity. Ramsey has looked good during the early mini-camps and has been named the starter. He’ll go into this season with no distractions and will be given every opportunity to shine.
- Inconsistency. In three NFL seasons, Ramsey has only started 23 games, and never more than 11 in one season. His career completion percentage is just 55.6 and he has just 33 TDS against 28 INTS.
- New WRS. Washington’s top two wide receivers in 2004 were Laveranues Coles and Rod Gardner. Both of them have moved on to other teams. Santana Moss and David Patten are currently the #1 and #2 wide-outs for the Redskins, and it will take time for the three of them to gel.
- History. Washington has finished in the bottom half of the league in passing yards every season since 2000. Last season they ranked 29th in passing yards, 31st in passing yards per attempt and 30th in total offensive yards.
Ramsey is going to have a rough ride this season. He has never fully established himself as a ‘starter’ quality QB in the NFL, and if he falters, Brunell and Campbell will welcome the opportunity to replace him. Ramsey is on a team with a weak offense, two new starting wide receivers, and a schedule filled with stingy passing defenses. Ramsey finished last season on an upward swing, but he still has a long way to go. He’ll have to carry the Redskins on his shoulders this season if he hopes to have any success as an NFL or fantasy QB. In most leagues, he’s a backup quality QB with limited upside.
Quotations from the Message Board Thread
To view the entire Player Spotlight thread (there's a ton of fantastic commentary in there),
At WR, I don't see any way that Moss and Patten play as poorly as Coles & Gardner last year. Say what you want about who was/is more talented, the bottom line is that Coles and Gardner were pathetically ineffective last year.
Do or Die for Ramsey this year...I would take him as the 22nd to 24th QB taken
Patrick Ramsey Projections
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