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Footballguys #102 - 7/30 - A.J. Green Expected To MIss Regular Season Games, Updated Everything, News And Notes And MORE

Volume 21, #102 -- Tuesday Night, July 30th, 2019

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Howdy Folks,

Good Wednesday to you. I hope you didn't have anything planned for today as we've got a TON of new content for you.

Now let's get to it.

J

SITE NEWS

A. FREE CONTENT - 21 Deep Sleepers at Wide Receiver
One of the best things we do at Footballguys is our Value Plays series. We poll the Footballguys Staff and ask them the players they see as Overvalued and Undervalued and Deep Sleepers. In this one, they dive into the 21 Deep Sleepers you need to know about.

B. Ask Your Questions On Twitter Tonight With #AskFBG
Want to ask the Footballguys Staff a question? We'll be on Twitter tonight from 7-9 PM ready to answer your questions. Simply tweet the question and include the #askfbg tag and we'll do our best to answer. Plus, we'll have lots of give aways for you. See you tonight

C. Staff Cheatsheets Updated
One of the best things we do at Footballguys is ask our Staffers to create cheatsheets for Overall and then every position. Check them out.

D. One Player From Each NFC Team Who Could Blow Away ADP
Our Sigmund Bloom tags one player from each NFC team who can vastly outproduce their draft cost.

E. 24 Value Plays at Wide Receiver
The Footballguys Staff lists the players they see as value at the wide receiver position.

F. 17 Wide Receivers Who Could be Overvalued
The Footballguys Staff lists the players they see as overvalued at the wide receiver position.

G. Average Draft Position (ADP) Risers and Fallers, July 30
Our Clayton Gray takes a close look at players rising and falling in Average Draft Position over the last week.

H. The Footballguys Players Championship (FPC): Wide Receivers
Our Jeff Pasquino continues his look at the Footballguys Players Championship. In this one, he takes a look at the wide receiver position.

I. How to Attack Your Large-League PPR Draft
Our Jeff Pasquino with a detailed look at how to attack your Large League PPR Draft.

J. Average Draft Position Updated
It's not enough to know where you'd draft a player. You need to know where other GMs are going to draft a player. Our Average Draft Position Data is your ticket.

K. Average Draft Position For PPR Updated
It's not enough to know where you'd draft a player. You need to know where other GMs are going to draft a player. Our Average Draft Position Data is your ticket. This one is for PPR scoring.

L. Top 300 Updated
Our David Dodds with his Top 300 Players.

M. Top 300 Updated For PPR
Our David Dodds with his Top 300 Players. This one is for PPR scoring.

N. Draft List Updated
Our David Dodds with his Draft List. He takes his Top 300 and factors it against the Average Draft Position to create a list that's more like what we'd actually draft with.

O. Draft List Updated - PPR
Our David Dodds with his Draft List. He takes his Top 300 and factors it against the Average Draft Position to create a list that's more like what we'd actually draft with. This one is for PPR scoring.


1. CIN - WR A.J. Green to miss regular-season games

Source: Bengals.com - Geoff Hobson

Cincinnati Bengals WR A.J. Green (ankle) is expected to miss multiple regular-season games after head coach Zac Taylor revealed to reporters Tuesday, July 30, that doctors 'realized it's going to be a little bit longer (than initially expected).'

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This contradicts earlier reports that said he should still be available in Week 1. That always seemed a bit too optimistic since Green underwent ankle surgery. Some are saying that Green had a 'cleanup' procedure on his injured ankle although that's odd given he had ligament damage. Expect Green's ADP to fall from his current spot of WR15 (4.01) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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2. IND - Surgery not likely for QB Andrew Luck

Source: ESPN.com - Mike Wells

Updating previous reports, Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck (calf) will miss a couple of training-camp practices as he deals with a nagging calf strain, but Luck said Tuesday, July 30, that surgery hasn't been discussed. 'The nature of it is a calf strain,' Luck said. 'I say lower leg because I feel pain in my ankle area. I've had images and X-rays and everything, and my Achilles is not at extra risk. There (are) no tears or swelling or anything that's indicated.'

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We're far from panicked, but on the other hand, keep an eye on this one. No matter what Luck says, the team will have to be extra cautious. He is a secretive player, so we wouldn't expect him to divulge if his Achilles was in danger or damaged.

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3. TEN - RB Derrick Henry out 2 weeks

Source: ESPN - Adam Schefter

Tennessee Titans RB Derrick Henry (calf) is wearing a walking boot while recovering from a strained calf muscle that is expected to sideline him about two weeks, a source said Tuesday, July 30. The injury is not considered serious, and the team is playing it cautious.

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Calf injuries can be tricky, so we'll want to see him go full speed in practice, if not in a preseason game, before putting him back at his ranking within his tier that he had going into camp. It's good to have some specific information about the injury.

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4. ARI - QB Kyler Murray already commanding offense

Source: Around The NFL

Arizona Cardinals QB Kyler Murray already has a full understanding of the offense he's expected to lead from Week 1 of the 2019 NFL season, according to teammate WR Larry Fitzgerald. 'I've never seen a quarterback come in so quickly and be able to command an offense,' Fitzgerald said. 'I mean, from Day 1, he's out there checking the different plays, sliding the line, different protections, getting us in screens when blitzes are coming. His understanding of the offense is crazy. 'I think that's going to give us a great advantage, to play fast from the first preseason game all the way to the start of the regular season and giving him the keys to the car and letting him is going to be great for us.'

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Murray has made some great plays in drills during training camp. We're excited to see the No. 1 overall pick from day one, and Fantasy GMs know there's value there. He has a current ADP of QB9 (8.08) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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5. MIA - QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has early edge

Source: ESPN.com - Cameron Wolfe

Miami Dolphins QB Ryan Fitzpatrick has the early edge over Josh Rosen in the battle to start at quarterback, head coach Brian Flores said Tuesday, July 30. 'It's pretty clear to me that Ryan Fitzpatrick is leading the way,' Flores said. 'He's done that in a lot of areas, from leadership to production on the field to the meeting rooms to the walk-throughs. This is an ongoing competition, but right now he's leading the way.'

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Fitzpatrick can support multiple fantasy relevant receivers with his aggressive approach, so this is good news for Kenny Stills, Albert Wilson, and DeVante Parker. Fitzpatrick could even be a viable DFS GPP play in the right matchup.

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6. IND - QB Andrew Luck says injury not a concern

Source: The Athletic - Zak Keefer

Indianapolis Colts QB Andrew Luck (calf), currently sidelined by a calf injury that has lingered into training camp, said Tuesday, July 30 he 'absolutely' will be ready for Week 1 of the regular season.

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It's possible that this could affect Luck's rushing upside in early weeks, but he hasn't been adding much in that department lately. There are so many exciting options at quarterback this year that there's no reason to take on extra risk at the position, so as minor as this might be in the big picture, it makes it easier to pass on Luck at his ADP.

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7. ATL - WR Julio Jones won't play in preseason

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Updating previous reports, Atlanta Falcons WR Julio Jones (foot) won't play at all this preseason.

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This is normal for a player of Jones stature at this point in his career. As long as he can practice at some point before the season, there's no reason to push down his ranking.

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8. KC - WR Tyreek Hill exits

Source: ESPN.com - Adam Teicher

Kansas City Chiefs WR Tyreek Hill (leg) hobbled off the field Tuesday, July 30, with what appears to be a right leg injury.

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The injury has been clarified as a bruised quad and is nothing to worry about.

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9. HOU - Houston claiming No. 2 RB job up for grabs

Source: Houston Chronicle - Aaron Wilson

Houston Texans RB D'Onta Foreman is reportedly part of a 'wide-open' competition for the backup job behind Lamar Miller, according is made by head coach Bill O'Brien.

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Foreman isn't exactly seizing the RB2 job in Houston. While this is good news for Lamar Miller's stock as the clear lead back, it could induce the team into dealing for a back or at least adding one of the biggest names to be released at final cutdowns. The Houston backfield is far from settled, but Miller looks like he'll return value on his very modest ADP.

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10. KC - RB Damien Williams remains idle

Source: Chiefs Digest - Matt Derrick

Kansas City Chiefs RB Damien Williams (hamstring) doesn't appear to be participating in practice Tuesday, July 30.

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There's no reason to see this as a long term issue as long as Williams returns to practice without incident soon. For now, we wait for that event before returning to our previous stances on Williams' value. If you are drafting right now, it's reasonable to move him down within his tier.

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11. DAL - RB Alfred Morris joining Dallas

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport

Free-agent RB Alfred Morris (49ers) agreed to terms with the Dallas Cowboys Monday, July 29. Terms of the contract were not disclosed.

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Morris has experience with the team and they are carrying a lot of inexperienced players at running back. He's probably there more to soak up reps while Ezekiel Elliott is out than threaten for a regular season spot, but you never know.

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12. NYG - WR Sterling Shepard participates in 1-handed drills

Source: ESPN.com - Jordan Raanan

New York Giants WR Sterling Shepard (thumb) participated in live drills Tuesday, July 30, while wearing a yellow jersey and only being allowed to use one hand due to his broken thumb.

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Every since he injured his thumb, Shepard has been getting some limited work in during practice. He wears a splint on his thumb and Shepard is hoping to be back in time for the regular season opener.

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13. TB - Ronald Jones, RB Peyton Barber in tight competition

Source: The Athletic - Greg Auman

Tampa Bay Buccaneers RBs Ronald Jones and Peyton Barber will have a good battle for regular-season playing time this preseason, according to new head coach Bruce Arians.

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Both backs are going to get touches in 2019. Barber is the safer play at running back for the Buccaneers as he has a solid all-around skill set. However, Jones has incredible upside if he plays up to his potential. Jones has plenty of speed to burn and can get by defenders quickly. His rookie season in 2018 was a disappointment, so we're anxious to see if Jones can look better this year.

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14. BAL - WR Marquise Brown good to go

Source: BaltimoreRavens.com

Baltimore Ravens WR Marquise Brown (foot) passed his physical and was activated from the Active/Physically Unable to Perform list Tuesday, July 30.

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This was the plan all along. Brown has been working his way back from Lisfranc surgery and was always going to get going at some point in training camp. He's a super explosive player and we're excited to see what kind of connection he can build with Lamar Jackson in 2019.

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15. NYJ - WR Jamison Crowder cleared to return

Source: SNY - Ralph Vacchiano

New York Jets WR Jamison Crowder (foot, ankle) is expected to practice Wednesday, July 31, after he was medically cleared Tuesday, July 30.

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This is the best possible news after he had an MRI earlier this week. Crowder has had injury issues the last two years that have limited his productivity, but this one will go down as a scare. He's still on the fringe of redraft radar, but his presence could help this whole offense take a step forward this year.

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16. SEA - L.J. Collier injured Tuesday

Source: The Seattle Times - Bob Condotta

Seattle Seahawks DE L.J. Collier (leg) was carted off of the field after suffering an apparent leg injury during practice Tuesday, July 30.

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The Seahawks pass rush was already scary thin before this news. He suffered a sprained ankle and will likely miss all of the preseason. While he can still contribute this season, Collier being out for the rest of the summer could slow his development and leave the team shorthanded at end. The likelihood of high scoring games to open the season grows.

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17. PHI - RB Miles Sanders taking advantage of chances

Source: 1 No Source

Philadelphia Eagles RB Miles Sanders has 'looked the part when given the chance' and 'looked natural catching the ball,' according to NJ.com's Mike Kaye. Sanders missed most of the team's spring workouts with a hamstring injury.

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The Eagles are likely to take it slower with their rookies than most teams, but Sanders is getting the kind of praise that we want to hear if we expect a rookie to take over by season's end. Jordan Howard's star is dimming with each of these reports, and Sanders is becoming more intriguing in redraft leagues.

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18. NO - RB Javorius Allen placed on IR

Source: NFL Network - James Palmer

New Orleans Saints RBs Javorius Allen (undisclosed) was placed on the Reserve / Injured list Tuesday, July 30.

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This explains the team working out running backs and signing Rob Kelley. Allen won't be a factor in the backfield this year.

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19. NO - RB Rob Kelley signs with Saints

Source: NewOrleansSaints.com - John DeShazier

Free-agent RB Rob Kelley (Redskins) signed an undisclosed deal with the New Orleans Saints Tuesday, July 30.

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The Saints seemed unsettled about their running back depth with multiple workouts of free agents recently. Kelley played his college ball at Tulane and returns to the Big Easy, but he's a longshot to make the final roster.

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20. BUF - RB T.J. Yeldon fourth in RB rotation

Source: BuffaloBills.com - Nate Mendelson

Buffalo Bills RB T.J. Yeldon is currently fourth in the team's running back rotation, where he is competing with rookie RB Devin Singletary for snaps with the second unit while RBs Frank Gore and LeSean McCoy see first-team work.

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Yeldon is on the bubble right now and probably not on the good side of it. He seems to be unable to get traction despite being a former second-round pick who showed versatility with Jacksonville.

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21. PIT - WR Donte Moncrief suffers apparent injury

Source: DKPittsburghSports.com - Dale Lolley

Pittsburgh Steelers WR Donte Moncrief (finger) suffered an apparent finger injury on a deep ball during practice Monday, July 29.

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Moncrief had been building momentum in his bid for the #2 job, but this could slow it down. James Washington and Diontae Johnson are also vying for playing time behind Juju Smith-Schuster.

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22. SF - WR Jalen Hurd works with first-team offense

Source: The Mercury News - Cam Inman

San Francisco 49ers WR Jalen Hurd worked with the first-team offense in practice Monday, July 29, although head coach Kyle Shanahan said the team routinely rotates receivers in training camp.

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Hurd has some running back potential too, so we will be watching how much Shanahan makes of that application. For now this is certainly better news than if he wasn't getting time with the ones, but we will heed Shanahan's words about the meaning of it.

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23. CLE - WR Antonio Callaway working with second team

Source: Cleveland.com - Scott Patsko

Cleveland Browns WR Antonio Callaway has been working consistently with the second-team offense in training camp, according to Scott Patsko of Cleveland.com. WRs Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry and Rashard Higgins have been playing the majority of first-team reps. Derrick Willies and Jaelen Strong filled in for an injured Beckham on Monday.

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Higgins is more technically sound than Callaway at this point. Callaway has more speed and explosiveness but right now he's No. 4 on the depth chart.

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24. NE - WR Maurice Harris solidifying roster spot

Source: Boston Herald - Kevin Duffy

New England Patriots WR Maurice Harris is 'rapidly moving into the 'lock' category' in terms of making the 53-man roster. Not only has Harris 'been the most consistent pass catcher in camp,' but he would be in the starting lineup 'if the season started tomorrow,' in the opinion of the Boston Herald's Kevin Duffy.

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Harris has always had playmaking ability but he never got a consistent role with Washington. Several beat writers around the team have said that Harris could be having the best camp of any Patriots wide receiver. If he has a big preseason, expect Harris to be a trendy last-round pick for savvy Fantasy GMs.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for being part of Footballguys and we'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J