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Footballguys #74 - 7/2 - Optimism For Ezekiel Elliott After Meeting With Commissioner, New Draft Lists And MORE

Volume 21, #74 -- Tuesday Night, July 2nd, 2019

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Howdy Folks,

Good Wednesday to you.

It's a big day for content as we head towards the 4th of July. We've got new Draft Lists for you, new Dynasty content plus a new feature from our Sigmund Bloom. AND the News and Notes.

Let's go.

J

SITE NEWS

A. 1/2 PPR Draft List
Our David Dodds with a new Draft List for you. As you know, our Draft Lists are where David takes his Top 300 and factors it against Average Draft Position to get a list more like we'd actually draft with. In this one, he uses 1/2 point PPR scoring.

B. FFPC Draft List
Our David Dodds with a new Draft List for you. As you know, our Draft Lists are where David takes his Top 300 and factors it against Average Draft Position to get a list more like we'd actually draft with. In this one, he uses the High Stakes FFPC scoring format.

C. Pre-Camp PPR Tight End Tiers and Strategy
Our Sigmund Bloom with a look at tight end tiers, draft strategy, and what to monitor in camp and the preseason.

D. Dynasty Trade Value Chart: July
Our Dan Hindery's been taking care of you Dynasty Guys with an updated Trade Value Chart each month. Here's the July edition.

E. Average Draft Position Data
It's not enough to know where you'd draft a player. You need to know where the other GMs in your league will draft a player. Our Average Draft Position Data is your ticket.

F. Average Draft Position Data - PPR
It's not enough to know where you'd draft a player. You need to know where the other GMs in your league will draft a player. Our Average Draft Position Data is your ticket. This one is for Point Per Reception (PPR) scoring.


1. DAL - RB Ezekiel Elliott not expected to be suspended

Source: NFL Network - Mike Garafolo

Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott is not expected to be suspended after meeting with commissioner Roger Goodell on Tuesday, July 2, according to NFL Network's Mike Garafolo.

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The league has yet to make a decision but we'd be surprised if Elliott was suspended. Elliott was detained in May for an off-field incident in Las Vegas, but he was not arrested.

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2. DAL - RB Ezekiel Elliott issues apology

Source: Ezekiel Elliott - Twitter

Dallas Cowboys RB Ezekiel Elliott issued an apology Tuesday, July 2, for his involvement in an off-field issue in May for which he was detained but not arrested. Elliott met with NFL commissioner Roger Goodell earlier Tuesday.

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Goodell still has to make a decision whether or not to suspend Elliott because of this incident. Even though he wasn't arrested, Elliott made 'The Shield' look bad and per NFL policy does face league discipline. We don't think Elliott gets suspended for this latest occurrence.

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3. CLE - RB Duke Johnson not concerned with drama

Source: Akron Beacon Journal - George M. Thomas

Cleveland Browns RB Duke Johnson shrugged off comments made by QB Baker Mayfield this offseason about Johnson's desire to be traded. 'I don't really concern myself with that,' Johnson said at a charity event for teammate WR Rashard Higgins. Johnson said he would address the issue at training camp if asked.

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In a press conference earlier this offseason, Mayfield put Johnson on blast saying things like "You're either on this train or not." and "He's gotta do his job. He said he's a professional. I hope he does his job." Several Browns veterans came to Johnson's defense after Mayfield comments. It sounds like Johnson isn't worried about that right now. With the Kareem Hunt situation, perhaps the Browns continue to hold onto Johnson and not seek to trade him.

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4. PHI - No change to style of RB Josh Adams

Source: PennLive.com - Daniel Gallen

Philadelphia Eagles RB Josh Adams won't be asked to change his running style, according to assistant head coach and running backs coach Duce Staley. 'Hell no. Nah, Josh is who he is. I like him, too. Once again, competitive runner, another good running back that's in our room. You go back and you watch some of the film last year, Josh was out there, he really picked it up,' Staley said. 'He was able to step right in and be starter.'

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Adams was the team's leading rusher in 2018 as an undrafted rookie out of Notre Dame. He is a big back with a swift running style who makes a living between the tackles. Adams does not stand out as a pass-catcher and may struggle to earn a spot on the 53-man roster this season.

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5. PHI - RB Boston Scott excites coach staff

Source: PennLive.com - Daniel Gallen

Philadelphia Eagles RB Boston Scott has impressed assistant coach and running backs coach Duce Staley. 'I'm very high on Boston. Being able to see him in OTAs, I'm excited. I'm excited about quick he is, the way he picks up the offense. He does look like a little (Darren Sproles) there at times. But I tell you, he's working hard, he's dedicated. He's watching film,' Staley said.

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Scott was a sixth-round pick out of Louisiana Tech for the Saints in the 2018 NFL draft. He spent most of his rookie season on the Saints practice squad before the Eagles signed him away in December of that year. Scott is a jump-cut specialist as a runner who does a good job securing the rock. He's got a low center of gravity and that helps him change direction without losing much speed. Scott is not a pile pusher and too often is tackled by the first defender he meets. We'll continue to monitor him in deep dynasty formats.

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6. IND - TE Eric Ebron looks to build upon career year

Source: ColtsWire - Kevin Hickey

Indianapolis Colts TE Eric Ebron posted career highs with 66 receptions, 750 yards and 13 receiving touchdowns in 2018, and he looks to take another step forward in the final year of a two-year deal with the Colts.

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There is a ton of financial incentive for Ebron to build upon his career-best numbers from 2018. Ebron had groin surgery earlier this offseason but he was running full speed at Colts minicamp and is set for training camp. His current ADP is TE7 (6.11) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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7. CLE - WR Jarvis Landry works out with his QB

Source: The Chronicle-Telegram - Scott Petrak

Cleveland Browns WR Jarvis Landry (undisclosed) posted video footage of him working out with QB Baker Mayfield in California. He said it was his 'first time in (two and a half) months running routes.'

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It didn't happen unless you post a video on social networking. In all seriousness, this is a good sign for Landry as he's been sidelined with an undisclosed injury this offseason. He should be good to go for training camp and is a WR2 with upside for Fantasy GMs. Landry has a current ADP of WR24 (5.06) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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8. WAS - WR Josh Doctson expects to test free agency

Source: ESPN.com - John Keim

Washington Redskins WR Josh Doctson said he expects to test the free-agent market next year after the team declined the former first-rounder's fifth-year contract option. 'I think I'm hitting free agency next year. I won't be the first, won't be the last,' Doctson said. 'It's nothing to be sad about, be mad about. Someone wants you there, so it's all love.'

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Doctson's pro career has not gone as planned, mainly due to injuries and inconsistencies. The 26-year-old will play out the 2019 season on a cap hit just under $3.2 million. Last year, with Washington desperately needing playmakers, he caught just 44 passes for 532 yards and two scores. Projecting him for similar numbers this year is fair.

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9. GB - WR Geronimo Allison poised to break out?

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Josh Alper

Green Bay Packers WR Geronimo Allison has a chance to be 'dangerous' in head coach Matt LaFleur's offense, according to WR Davante Adams.'He's the guy who's been working a lot in the slot, and he's used to playing a little more outside, but this is making him a little more dynamic. I think Matt has really tested him or challenged him to widen it out so he can play multiple spots. . . . Him being able to move around right now and be healthy, be himself and just play, being able to have all those things, it's going to be dangerous,' Adams told the team's website.

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Allison is the first player to watch in the Packers WR corps for those guys not named Davante Adams. We'll be monitoring the offense closely in the preseason to see who the No. 2 target is going to be. Allison or second-year pro Marquez Valdes-Scantling seem to be the most poised for a breakout from the group of receivers behind Adams. Right now, Allison is going off the board at WR38 (8.12) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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10. TB - DE Jason Pierre-Paul still wearing neck brace

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Charean Williams

Tampa Bay Buccaneers DE Jason Pierre-Paul (neck) posted a video on social media Tuesday, July 2, showing him wearing a neck brace - the product of fracturing a neck vertebra in a one-car accident in May. The Athletic's Greg Auman reports Pierre-Paul is scheduled to be re-evaluated in two months and that the earliest he can return to the field is October.

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October was the original timeline given after Pierre-Paul was injured and that still seems to be the projected return if no setbacks occur. Pierre-Paul will likely open training camp on the PUP list and the regular season on the PUP list. That keeps him out the first six weeks of the 2019 season and gives the Bucs three weeks to evaluate Pierre-Paul once he returns.

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11. JAX - QB Nick Foles focused on perfecting footwork

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Darin Gantt

Jacksonville Jaguars QB Nick Foles has made it a priority to get his footwork right during offseason workouts, according to ESPN's Michael DiRocco.'If you go back to high school or go back to college, I always have talked about my feet because they are always (a concern). I'll always work on my feet. Playing for coach (Andy) Reid and coach (Doug) Pederson, it's always about rhythm. That's how it is always taught. They are great at the QB position. 'Flip' (John DeFilippo) was my coach, my quarterback coach with Frank Reich in Philly. They always harp on feet and target line, and anytime you can keep your feet under you and you work the pocket, you can buy some time. Football is not 7-on-7; 7-on-7 is a three-hitch throw, a five-hitch throw. Real football is when you have to work the pocket, move, get hit, do all of the crazy throws from bad hips and all that. But you want to always work on your feet and keep them moving,' Foles said.

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Almost everything with a quarterback (even arm strength) comes down to footwork. It sounds like Foles is trying to improve his footwork the best he can. The Jaguars are hoping Foles is a massive upgrade over former starter Blake Bortles. He should be and that puts the Jaguars in the mix when it comes to the playoff conversation in the AFC.

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12. KC - QB Patrick Mahomes working on physique

Source: Yahoo! Sports - Terez A. Paylor

Kansas City Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes says he's well on his way to shedding three to five percent of his body fat by training camp as he's well into an offseason running and weight-lifting regimen. 'I've gotten more muscular and (have) less baby fat, I guess you would say,' Mahomes said in a Yahoo Sports article published Tuesday, June 2. 'So that's been the big thing for me -- sculpting my body in the best way possible so I can go through the season and feel just as fresh at the end as I did at the beginning.'

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It's going to be fun to see what Mahomes can do for an encore in 2019. Last year, Mahomes threw for 50 touchdowns and over 5,000 yards passing. This year, Mahomes may not quite reach those numbers but he's still an elite-level passer and one of the best in the game. Mahomes has a current ADP of QB1 (3.05) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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13. LAR - WR Cooper Kupp excelled out of slot

Source: Pro Football Focus

Los Angeles Rams WR Cooper Kupp (knee) led the NFC West in 2018 with an average of 2.42 yards per route run out of the slot.

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More advanced data here that backs up what everyone already knows...Kupp is really good out of the slot. His November ACL surgery uncovered no additional damage and he should be ready for the season opener. He's a low-end WR2 with upside for Fantasy GMs in 2019. Kupp is currently going off the board at WR20 (4.12) in 12-team PPR leagues.

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14. HOU - D'Onta Foreman far ahead in progression

Source: Houston Chronicle - Aaron Wilson

Houston Texans RB D'Onta Foreman is 'light years' ahead of where he was last season, according to running backs coach Danny Barrett. Foreman is down to 230 pounds and more explosive after he battled back from an Achilles' injury.

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Good news for the big back here...now he just needs to stay healthy. The team really likes Foreman and he could be in line for more playing time if he can stay away from the injury bug. There is a chance that Foreman could push Lamar Miller for the top spot on the depth chart later this summer in training camp...stay tuned.

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15. CAR - Brian Burns to battle for time

Source: Charlotte Observer - Brendan Marks

Carolina Panthers DE Brian Burns will battle LB Bruce Irvin for playing time in the team's 3-4 alignments. Irvin's experience gives him the edge, but Burns had possibly the fastest get-off time in the 2019 NFL Draft.

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Burns is a younger (and perhaps much better) version of Irvin. A first-round pick out of Florida State in the 2019 NFL draft, Burns was known for his burst and speed as an EDGE defender. He can simply run around most players tasked with blocking him and has a variety of pass-rushing moves. The Panthers often rotate their pass rushers which limits the upside for the rookie in 2019.

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16. WAS - Jimmy Moreland stood out

Source: The Washington Post - Kareem Copeland

Washington Redskins CB Jimmy Moreland had three interceptions during a single workout this offseason.

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Moreland has been an under-the-radar prospect all offseason. A standout at James Madison (18 interceptions, six for TDs), Moreland performed well during the week of practice for the East-West Shrine Game earlier this year (and was a late addition to the Senior Bowl where he stood out too) but that wasn't enough to get him an invitation to the Scouting Combine. Washington scooped him up in the seventh round and may have gotten a steal at nickel corner.

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17. WAS - CB Fabian Moreau praised

Source: The Washington Post - Kareem Copeland

Washington Redskins CB Fabian Moreau was deemed one of the most improved players during offseason workouts by head coach Jay Gruden.

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Moreau was a third-round pick out of UCLA in the 2017 NFL draft. A converted running back, Moreau has a good blend of size, strength and athleticism. He played 839 snaps for Washington in 2018 and gives the team a decent trio of corners with Josh Norman and Quinton Dunbar.

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18. NYG - Lorenzo Carter to start

Source: New York Daily News - Pat Leonard

New York Giants DE Lorenzo Carter will replace DE/Olivier Vernon's workload on the edge in the starting lineup. Carter played 40 percent of the snaps as a rookie last season and had 43 tackles and four sacks.

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Carter was a rotational player last season as a rookie. A 2018 third-round pick out of Georgia, Carter is incredibly athletic, has a good burst at the snap and does a good job of closing quickly on the ball-carrier or quarterback. With Vernon traded away to the Browns earlier this year, Carter is the player who needs to elevate his game the most for the Giants.

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19. BUF - Cody Ford brings physicality

Source: The Buffalo News - Mark Gaughan

Buffalo Bills OT Cody Ford, who is the favorite to start at right tackle, brings a physical element to the Bills' offensive line.

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Ford was a second-round pick of the Bills out of Oklahoma in the 2019 NFL draft. He is a massive prospect (6'4" 329 pounds) who plays with a chip on his shoulder. His game at tackle needs work, mainly in pass-protection, but Ford can be a bulldozing run-blocker -- something a run-heavy team like the Bills will certainly covet.

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20. PHI - RB Wendell Smallwood continues to progress

Source: PennLive.com - Daniel Gallen

Philadelphia Eagles RB Wendell Smallwood had a strong offseason program and assistant head coach and running backs coach Duce Staley is excited about his role in the offense. 'I'm excited about Wendell. Like we talked about earlier, we have a great room, a great group, and they're all competitive, and they know they're competing against each other, which is awesome,' Staley said. 'Wendell's picked his game up during OTAs. We all know he can catch the ball out of the backfield. He's just getting better within the offense, learning our offense even more.'

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We're not giving up on Smallwood in dynasty formats. Deep dynasty that is. Smallwood is buried on the team's depth chart at the moment and is no lock to make the 53-man roster. The Eagles acquired veteran Jordan Howard via trade and rookie Miles Sanders in the draft this offseason, so that pushes a guy like Smallwood down the depth chart.

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21. PHI - RB Jordan Howard fitting in nicely

Source: PennLive.com - Daniel Gallen

Philadelphia Eagles RB Jordan Howard has impressive assistant head coach and running backs coach Duce Staley in his brief time with the organization, showing great attitude and soft-spoken personality. 'That's what you want. He's a pro, and we knew that kinds of going after him a little bit,' Staley said. 'He was a pro, so he came in, went straight to work. It's hard to get three words out of him, but if you get three words out of him, you're doing good. So I'm very pleased with him.'

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Howard is going to be the banger between the tackles for the Eagles in 2019. The veteran knows how to grind out tough yards between the tackles, and he should be the lead ball-carrier for the Eagles. It's a muddled backfield with good talent from backs with various skill sets. However, we think Howard is the lead guy with rookie Miles Sanders working in as a change-of-pace option.

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22. PHI - RB Miles Sanders impresses with his hands

Source: PennLive.com - Daniel Gallen

Philadelphia Eagles RB Miles Sanders has impressed running backs coach Duce Staley during offseason practices with his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield. 'I think he's good. I think he's good. I think that you talk to those guys, they'll all tell you that...to get better, which you want those guys to think that way, be humble, especially when it comes to catching the ball and understand where to be,' Staley said. He added he is very pleased with the progress from Sanders.

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Sanders has explosive playmaking ability and can be a threat in the open field as a receiver out of the backfield. He's got decent hands but we really love his ability to stack moves together. Sanders has great feet and shows no problem setting up defenders and executing several moves (juke, spin, etc) to create his own space. We think the rookie from Penn State works his way into the lineup as a 'lightning' option to go along with Jordan Howard's 'thunder' in 2019.

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23. DEN - DT Domata Peko not expected back

Source: The Denver Post - Ryan O'Halloran

Free-agent DT Domata Peko (Broncos) is not believed to be an option for the Denver Broncos at this point.

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The Broncos are moving on at nose tackle in 2019. Peko was a starter for the Broncos over the last two years but has gotten little interest on the open market outside of a visit with the Lions a couple of weeks ago. He wants to play in Los Angeles for either the Chargers or the Rams. Peko should find a home for the 2019 season but it might not be until training camp has begun.

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That'll do it for today, Folks.

Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys.

We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J