Ultimate Strength of Schedule, Tight Ends

Clayton Gray's Ultimate Strength of Schedule, Tight Ends Clayton Gray Published 07/09/2020

The advantages offered by Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Fantasy Points Driven
    Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points.
  • Removed Bias Of Schedule
    Consider the following scenario: Defense A faced the 16 best offenses while Defense B faced the 16 worst offenses. If both defenses allowed opposing quarterbacks to average 300 fantasy points last season, are they equally strong? Of course not; Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses. This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.
  • Positional Breakdown
    If you are looking for a running back, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for running backs (rather than simply rushing data).

EXPLANATION OF USOS TABLES

Below, you will see tables for each position's USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of these tables.

The "Team" Column

This is simply the NFL team.

The Values

Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points on average or on a per-game basis (depending on the column).

The "2020" Column

This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each team's opponents for this season.

The "EZ" Column

This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this season. An easy opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as many easy games as possible.

The "TF" Column

This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this season. A tough opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as few tough games as possible.

The "1st3" Column

This is the SOS for the first three weeks of the NFL season. This value can be used to determine how players should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily stumble out of the gate.

The "1st5" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it covers the first five weeks of the NFL season (note that some teams only play four games in this time frame).

The "Byes" Column

This is the SOS covering the bye weeks. This value can be used to find a complementary player during the byes as you'll need to shuffle players in and out of your starting lineup. A player with an easy schedule during this time would be nice to have.

The "14to16" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it specifically covers Week 14 through Week 16.

The "15to17" Column

This is similar to "14to16" except that it specifically covers Week 15 through Week 17.

The "W01" through "W17" Columns

These values are the expected strength of each team's opponent for that particular week (W05 is Week 5, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups for your stud players. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when your star is on a bye.

The Coloring of the Values

The blue values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. The red values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column.

(Note: a green/red combo was considered but some people are color blind between those two colors.)

In short:

  • Blue is a team with a good schedule
  • Red is a team with a bad schedule

ULTIMATE STRENGTH OF SCHEDULE - TIGHT ENDS

Team
2020
EZ
TF
1st3
1st5
Byes
14to16
15to17
Arizona
12.1
4
5
12.1
11.2
12.2
11.7
11.3
Atlanta
12.4
5
4
15.1
13.5
11.2
12.3
13.0
Baltimore
12.8
4
0
13.0
13.0
12.9
12.9
12.4
Buffalo
12.5
5
4
11.6
12.6
13.3
12.1
12.1
Carolina
12.6
4
4
12.4
13.0
13.0
12.7
12.6
Chicago
11.9
1
4
11.9
12.1
11.9
11.5
11.5
Cincinnati
12.3
3
3
11.6
11.1
12.4
13.3
11.2
Cleveland
12.2
4
4
11.7
12.5
12.9
11.0
12.0
Dallas
12.4
4
4
12.1
12.7
12.7
11.2
11.7
Denver
11.9
5
6
13.1
12.3
12.1
9.9
11.3
Detroit
12.8
5
3
15.3
14.4
12.0
13.1
12.6
Green Bay
12.1
3
6
11.4
11.1
11.4
11.9
13.4
Houston
12.5
4
1
11.7
11.5
12.3
13.4
12.8
Indianapolis
12.4
4
3
10.9
12.4
12.6
12.8
12.0
Jacksonville
12.3
3
3
13.0
12.6
11.7
13.2
12.5
Kansas City
11.4
2
7
10.6
11.5
11.7
11.4
10.8
LA Chargers
12.0
4
4
11.8
11.9
12.1
12.1
13.2
LA Rams
13.2
7
4
12.0
12.7
13.9
12.0
13.9
Las Vegas
11.6
1
6
11.1
11.3
11.9
11.7
11.6
Miami
12.0
4
6
11.1
11.6
12.4
13.2
11.8
Minnesota
12.7
5
2
12.9
13.0
12.9
13.5
13.1
New England
11.9
3
7
13.4
13.2
11.0
11.4
10.7
New Orleans
11.7
3
7
13.0
12.2
11.5
11.8
11.4
NY Giants
13.2
7
3
13.0
13.3
13.0
13.5
12.7
NY Jets
12.4
4
4
10.8
12.4
12.7
13.2
12.5
Philadelphia
13.2
7
2
12.7
12.2
12.5
15.0
15.7
Pittsburgh
12.2
3
3
12.6
12.6
12.6
11.2
12.5
San Francisco
13.1
6
2
13.8
13.0
11.9
15.7
15.7
Seattle
12.5
4
5
12.5
12.1
13.1
12.1
12.3
Tampa Bay
11.9
4
6
11.2
12.0
12.5
10.9
10.7
Tennessee
11.9
1
3
11.5
11.3
12.1
11.9
12.0
Washington
12.7
5
3
14.0
12.7
12.5
11.4
11.5
NFL Average
12.3
4
4
12.3
12.3
12.3
12.3
12.3

Week-By-Week Look

Team
W01
W02
W03
W04
W05
W06
W07
W08
W09
W10
W11
W12
W13
W14
W15
W16
W17
Ari
10.6
13.9
11.7
9.8
10.2
15.4
13.9
-
12.4
9.6
13.9
11.9
12.3
13.6
10.9
10.6
12.3
Atl
13.9
15.4
16.0
12.2
9.8
10.7
11.7
9.8
12.0
-
11.7
14.0
11.7
10.4
12.7
13.6
12.7
Bal
13.3
12.1
13.6
13.9
11.9
10.9
12.3
-
12.2
11.9
14.3
12.3
15.4
13.3
11.7
13.6
11.9
Buf
10.2
12.4
12.3
14.0
14.3
13.6
10.2
11.9
13.9
17.8
-
10.4
10.6
12.3
12.0
11.9
12.4
Car
14.0
12.7
10.4
17.8
10.2
16.0
11.7
10.2
13.6
12.7
11.7
10.7
-
12.0
12.2
13.9
11.7
Chi
11.7
13.6
10.2
12.2
12.7
9.8
12.3
11.7
14.3
10.7
-
12.2
11.7
12.1
10.7
11.7
12.2
Cin
10.4
13.3
10.9
11.7
9.3
12.2
13.3
14.3
-
12.3
13.9
13.6
12.4
15.4
12.3
12.1
9.3
Cle
9.3
11.9
13.9
15.4
12.2
12.3
11.9
14.0
-
12.1
10.9
11.7
14.3
9.3
13.6
10.2
12.3
Dal
12.3
10.2
13.9
13.3
13.6
17.8
13.9
10.9
12.3
-
10.7
13.9
9.3
11.9
10.6
10.9
13.6
Den
14.3
12.3
12.7
10.2
11.9
12.4
13.6
-
10.2
14.0
10.4
11.7
13.6
9.8
9.6
10.4
14.0
Det
16.0
12.2
17.8
11.7
-
11.7
10.2
12.2
10.7
13.9
9.8
12.1
16.0
12.2
14.3
12.7
10.7
GB
10.7
11.7
11.7
10.2
-
12.7
12.1
10.7
10.6
11.7
12.2
16.0
10.9
11.7
9.8
14.3
16.0
Hou
13.6
9.3
12.3
10.7
11.7
14.3
12.2
-
11.7
13.3
11.9
11.7
12.2
16.0
12.2
11.9
14.3
Ind
11.7
10.7
10.2
16.0
13.3
11.9
-
11.7
9.3
14.3
12.2
14.3
12.1
14.0
12.1
12.3
11.7
Jac
12.2
14.3
12.4
11.9
12.1
11.7
-
10.4
12.1
12.2
12.3
13.3
10.7
14.3
9.3
16.0
12.2
KC
12.1
10.4
9.3
11.9
14.0
9.6
12.0
10.2
9.8
-
14.0
12.7
12.0
12.4
11.7
10.2
10.4
LAC
11.9
13.6
9.8
12.7
11.7
10.2
12.4
11.7
14.0
-
12.0
9.6
11.9
10.2
14.0
12.0
13.6
LAR
15.4
10.9
9.6
13.6
13.9
10.6
16.0
12.4
-
13.9
12.7
10.6
17.8
11.9
10.2
13.9
17.8
LV
9.8
11.7
11.9
9.6
13.6
-
12.7
13.3
10.4
12.0
13.6
10.2
10.2
12.2
10.4
12.4
12.0
Mia
11.9
9.6
11.7
13.9
10.6
12.0
10.4
12.3
17.8
10.2
-
10.2
11.9
13.6
11.9
14.0
9.6
Min
12.2
12.2
14.3
12.1
13.9
10.2
-
12.2
11.7
16.0
15.4
9.8
11.7
12.7
16.0
11.7
11.7
NE
12.4
13.9
14.0
13.6
12.0
-
10.6
9.6
10.2
9.3
12.1
17.8
10.4
12.3
12.4
9.6
10.2
NO
12.7
14.0
12.2
11.7
10.4
-
9.8
16.0
12.7
10.6
10.2
12.0
10.2
10.9
13.6
10.7
9.8
NYG
12.3
16.0
10.6
12.3
15.4
13.9
10.9
12.7
13.9
10.9
-
11.9
13.9
17.8
13.3
9.3
15.4
NYJ
9.6
10.6
12.2
12.0
17.8
10.4
9.6
13.6
11.9
12.4
-
12.4
14.0
13.9
12.3
13.3
11.9
Phi
13.9
12.3
11.9
10.6
12.3
9.3
13.6
15.4
-
13.6
13.3
13.9
12.2
11.7
17.8
15.4
13.9
Pit
13.6
12.0
12.1
14.3
10.9
13.3
9.3
-
15.4
11.9
11.7
9.3
13.9
9.6
11.9
12.2
13.3
SF
17.8
10.2
13.6
10.9
12.4
12.3
11.9
13.9
12.2
11.7
-
12.3
9.6
13.9
15.4
17.8
13.9
Sea
10.2
11.9
15.4
12.4
10.7
-
17.8
10.6
9.6
12.3
17.8
10.9
13.6
10.2
13.9
12.3
10.6
TB
11.7
9.8
12.0
10.4
16.0
12.2
14.0
13.6
11.7
9.8
12.3
13.6
-
10.7
10.2
11.7
10.2
Ten
12.0
11.7
10.7
12.3
9.6
12.1
-
11.9
16.0
12.2
9.3
12.2
13.3
11.7
11.7
12.2
12.1
Was
10.9
17.8
13.3
9.3
12.3
13.6
15.4
-
13.6
11.7
11.9
15.4
12.3
10.6
13.9
9.8
10.9
Avg
12.3
12.3
12.3
12.3
12.4
12.3
12.3
12.2
12.4
12.3
12.4
12.3
12.4
12.3
12.3
12.3
12.3
Photos provided by Imagn Images

More by Clayton Gray

 

Underdog ADP Movement: How Best-Ball ADP Is Changing

Clayton Gray

Underdog ADP: A look at the current state of Best-Ball ADP and how it is moving.

05/18/25 Read More
 

2025 NFL Schedule Grid

Clayton Gray

The NFL schedule in grid format.

05/15/25 Read More
 

2025 NFL Schedule: Prime Time Games

Clayton Gray

A team-by-team look at the 2025 NFL prime time games.

05/14/25 Read More
 

2025 NFL Schedule: Bye Weeks

Clayton Gray

Each team's bye week for the 2025 NFL schedule.

05/14/25 Read More
 

2025 NFL Strength of Schedule By Team

Clayton Gray

The team-by-team strength of schedule for the 2025 NFL season.

05/14/25 Read More
 

Underdog ADP Movement: How Best-Ball ADP Is Changing

Clayton Gray

Underdog ADP: A look at the current state of Best-Ball ADP and how it is moving.

05/11/25 Read More