Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 11

Will Grant's Staff Confidence Pool (No Spread) Week 11 Will Grant Published 11/14/2019

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Eighteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game, and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners, and track the overall record for the entire season. A couple of things to note before we get to the picks:

  • Picks for this pool are straight up (no point spread considered).
  • Picks are due on Wednesday nights, and will not reflect any late-breaking news. If your league allows for last-minute changes, please make adjustments to your office pool accordingly.
  • Our staffers also play in weekly picks Against The Spread, and Survivor Style 'Pick one Winner each week' formats as well. Check out the other weekly articles for more help with those types of games.

RESULTS FROM LAST WEEK

With six NFL teams on a bye, this week was already going to be tough. After several key upsets though, it became so much worse. Alex Miglio weathered the storm and finished at the top of the weekly board with just 53 total points. He also tied several staffers with a weekly high of seven correct picks, but Miglio managed his confidence points better than the others to give him the win.

Away Team
LAC
DET
BAL
ARI
KC
BUF
NYG
ATL
MIA
LAR
CAR
MIN
SEA
Home Team
OAK
CHI
CIN
TB
TEN
CLE
NYJ
NO
IND
PIT
GB
DAL
SF
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
LW
Miglio
OAK
CHI
BAL
TB
KC
CLE
NYJ
NO
IND
LAR
GB
DAL
SF
55
53
6
7
13
8
11
5
4
12
9
3
10
2
1
Knotts
LAC
CHI
BAL
TB
KC
CLE
NYJ
NO
IND
LAR
GB
DAL
SF
44
51
6
7
13
9
5
8
4
12
11
3
10
2
1
Hicks
OAK
CHI
BAL
TB
KC
CLE
NYJ
NO
IND
LAR
GB
DAL
SF
41
46
5
9
11
4
8
1
3
12
10
7
13
6
2
Tuccitto
OAK
CHI
BAL
TB
KC
CLE
NYJ
NO
IND
LAR
GB
DAL
SF
49
46
2
7
11
8
4
3
6
13
12
1
9
5
10
Larkin
OAK
CHI
BAL
TB
KC
CLE
NYG
NO
IND
PIT
GB
DAL
SF
41
43
5
4
12
8
9
3
2
13
11
1
10
6
7
Gray
OAK
CHI
BAL
TB
KC
CLE
NYG
NO
IND
PIT
GB
DAL
SF
45
39
3
2
12
7
9
4
8
13
11
1
10
5
6
Wood
LAC
CHI
BAL
TB
KC
BUF
NYG
NO
IND
LAR
GB
DAL
SEA
44
38
1
4
13
3
12
7
2
11
6
5
8
9
10
Wimer
OAK
CHI
BAL
ARI
KC
BUF
NYG
NO
IND
LAR
GB
MIN
SF
38
38
5
4
6
13
7
8
3
10
9
2
12
11
1
Brimacombe
LAC
DET
BAL
ARI
KC
CLE
NYJ
NO
IND
PIT
GB
MIN
SF
47
37
7
1
9
2
8
3
4
13
12
5
10
6
11
Buzzard
LAC
CHI
BAL
TB
KC
CLE
NYG
NO
IND
LAR
GB
DAL
SF
41
34
1
3
11
8
10
5
2
13
12
6
7
4
9
Davenport
LAC
DET
BAL
TB
KC
BUF
NYJ
NO
IND
LAR
GB
DAL
SF
47
33
5
4
13
7
9
6
3
12
11
8
10
2
1
Pasquino
OAK
CHI
BAL
TB
KC
BUF
NYG
NO
IND
LAR
GB
MIN
SF
51
33
3
2
11
6
9
5
4
13
12
7
10
1
8
Bitonti
OAK
DET
BAL
ARI
KC
BUF
NYG
NO
IND
PIT
GB
DAL
SF
52
30
10
9
11
2
12
5
7
13
6
1
8
3
4
Haseley
LAC
CHI
BAL
TB
TEN
BUF
NYG
NO
MIA
LAR
CAR
DAL
SEA
58
30
6
3
12
8
2
11
10
13
4
7
5
9
1
Roberts
OAK
DET
BAL
ARI
KC
CLE
NYG
NO
IND
PIT
GB
DAL
SF
45
30
4
6
13
3
9
2
7
12
11
1
10
8
5
Garda
OAK
DET
BAL
ARI
KC
BUF
NYG
NO
IND
LAR
GB
DAL
SF
45
29
6
5
12
4
10
8
3
13
9
7
11
2
1
Grant
OAK
CHI
BAL
TB
KC
BUF
NYG
NO
IND
LAR
GB
DAL
SF
44
28
2
1
11
5
8
7
6
13
12
10
9
4
3
Settle
LAC
DET
BAL
TB
KC
BUF
NYG
NO
IND
LAR
GB
MIN
SF
48
22
7
5
13
4
11
6
10
9
12
8
2
3
1
Away
LAC
DET
BAL
ARI
KC
BUF
NYG
ATL
MIA
LAR
CAR
MIN
SEA
Total Pts
33
30
207
24
151
63
64
0
4
74
5
21
11
Home
OAK
CHI
CIN
TB
TEN
CLE
NYJ
NO
IND
PIT
GB
DAL
SF
Total Pts
51
53
0
85
2
34
24
220
176
9
159
67
71
Tot Conf Pts
84
83
207
109
153
97
88
220
180
83
164
88
82

The Saints were the team that received the most confidence points for the week, so their upset loss to Atlanta was a big hit to the overall board. Other losses by heavy favorites Kansas City, Indianapolis, and San Francisco compounded the damage

OVERALL RANKINGS

Miglio and Devin Knotts began last week at #6 and #7 on the overall leaderboard. After a brutal week where Miglio and Knotts were two of the top-scoring teams though and they are now #1 and #2 overall. Pasquino slipped down to #3 after finishing 20 points behind Miglio this week. Just 18 points separate Miglio from the #7 spot, and this is shaping up to be one of the closest contests that we've had since this contest began.

Staff Member
Wk01
Wk02
Wk03
Wk04
Wk05
Wk06
Wk07
Wk08
Wk09
Wk10
Wk11
Wk12
Wk13
Wk14
Wk15
Wk16
Wk17
Total
Miglio
115
97
97
54
76
62
80
106
79
53
819
Knotts
113
93
94
65
78
56
77
117
68
51
812
Pasquino
113
92
93
62
75
61
91
112
78
33
810
Roberts
113
90
95
63
76
71
79
116
72
30
805
Buzzard
105
98
99
59
72
58
81
117
80
34
803
Larkin
111
93
112
68
68
49
76
111
71
43
802
Davenport
108
101
94
56
71
62
87
115
74
33
801
Settle
112
92
89
65
73
62
93
110
77
22
795
Brimacombe
109
95
110
65
68
48
80
105
71
37
788
Grant
103
100
98
50
79
62
88
112
62
28
782
Garda
115
94
97
59
66
65
76
109
71
29
781
Gray
100
97
101
51
74
57
82
112
68
39
781
Tuccitto
105
87
92
53
67
63
79
90
85
46
767
Haseley
104
94
98
57
53
76
81
103
69
30
765
Bitonti
101
87
87
53
76
63
94
99
52
30
742
Wimer
91
95
106
42
75
42
86
100
67
38
742
Hicks
81
78
102
72
55
55
82
97
66
46
734
Wood
103
82
100
61
62
44
81
100
60
38
731

THIS WEEK'S PICKS

Here are the picks for this week.

Away Team
PIT
DAL
JAC
ATL
BUF
DEN
NYJ
HOU
NO
ARI
NE
CIN
CHI
KC
Home Team
CLE
DET
IND
CAR
MIA
MIN
WAS
BAL
TB
SF
PHI
OAK
LAR
LAC
Staffer
The Picks
MNF
Miglio
CLE
DAL
IND
CAR
MIA
MIN
WAS
BAL
NO
SF
PHI
OAK
LAR
KC
58
5
11
3
10
1
13
2
8
9
12
4
14
6
7
Davenport
PIT
DAL
JAC
CAR
BUF
MIN
NYJ
BAL
NO
SF
NE
OAK
LAR
KC
52
3
12
1
10
8
14
4
6
11
7
9
13
2
5
Garda
PIT
DAL
IND
CAR
BUF
MIN
NYJ
BAL
NO
SF
NE
OAK
LAR
KC
45
8
9
6
5
13
14
3
2
10
11
12
1
7
4
Hicks
CLE
DAL
JAC
CAR
BUF
MIN
NYJ
BAL
NO
SF
PHI
OAK
LAR
KC
65
8
2
3
5
4
14
6
1
10
12
7
13
9
11
Gray
PIT
DAL
IND
CAR
BUF
MIN
WAS
BAL
NO
SF
NE
OAK
LAR
KC
49
1
3
4
12
9
14
2
11
10
13
7
8
5
6
Tuccitto
PIT
DAL
IND
CAR
BUF
MIN
WAS
BAL
NO
SF
NE
OAK
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