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Footballguys #78 - 7/8 - DRAFT Best Ball Tourney, Updated Apps plus News & Notes

Volume 20, #78 -- Sunday Night, July 8th, 2018

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Howdy Folks,

Good Monday to you. It's a big day with tons of updated new content plus the News and Notes you need.

Make sure to check out the DRAFT Best Ball Championship in the ad for today. It's a killer contest AND if you're a new customer to DRAFT, depositing just $10 with DRAFT will earn you a FREE Footballguys Season Long Pro subscription. It's that easy.

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J

SITE NEWS

A. Draft Dominator Classic for Windows Updated
For years, the Draft Dominator Classic has guided Fantasy GMs to Draft Dominance. It's updated for you here with the newest projections and ready for you.

B. Draft Dominator Classic for Mac Updated
For years, the Draft Dominator Classic has guided Fantasy GMs to Draft Dominance. The Mac version is updated for you here with the newest projections and ready for you.

C. Projections Dominator Updated
Make the Footballguys Detailed Stat Projections work the way you want them to with our Projections Dominator.

D. Value Based Drafting Excel App Updated
For you old school spreadsheet guys, the Value Based Drafting (VBD) Excel App is updated and ready for you.

E. 8 Critical Fantasy Football Questions: NFC South
Our Chad Parsons examines the critical fantasy football questions for each NFL team heading into the 2018 season. In this one, he dives into the NFC South.


1. LAR - RB Todd Gurley to be busy again?

Source: ESPN.com - Alden Gonzalez

Los Angeles Rams RB Todd Gurley's 343 touches were the third most in the NFL last season, and Alden Gonzalez of ESPN.com expects Gurley to remain the 'backbone' of the offense and handle a similar workload in 2018.

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The Rams offense should be just as potent as last year, if not even better with Jared Goff getting more experienced. There's a very strong argument for Gurley at #1 in drafts.

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2. NYJ - WR Terrelle Pryor declares himself ready

Source: ProFootballTalk.com - Charean Williams

New York Jets WR Terrelle Pryor (ankle) said he is fully recovered from his ankle injury and expects to return to form and have a 'dominant' 2018 season.

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We'll believe it when we set it. The Jets wide receiver group is very crowded and Pryor hasn't been healthy in a long time. He's barely on the redraft radar, but Pryor could be a hot early season pickup if he lives up to his words.

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3. CAR - TE Greg Olsen not a fan of drops

Source: Pro Football Focus

Carolina Panthers TE Greg Olsen has been charged with a drop on only 4.06 percent of his targets from 2013-17 - the second-lowest mark among active tight ends (minimum 100 targets), according to Pro Football Focus.

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Olsen is being forgotten because his return to form last year came in the playoffs. He's got a legitimate chance to finish as the TE3 this year, but will have to share with one of the best sets of passcatchers (including running back Christian McCaffrey) that he has played with during his time in Carolina.

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4. IND - WR T.Y. Hilton stayed busy in 2017

Source: Pro Football Focus

Indianapolis Colts WR T.Y. Hilton logged 927 snaps last season - the ninth-most offensive plays among receivers in 2017.

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Hilton was doing thankless work in a limited offense last year, but could re-establish strong WR1 numbers if Andrew Luck looks like his old self this year. He's a boom/bust pick at ADP for as long as uncertainty surrounds Luck's future, but his proven ceiling is worth the investment.

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5. NO - DE Cameron Jordan in elite company

Source: ESPN.com - Mike Triplett

New Orleans Saints DE Cameron Jordan recorded what he called a 'triple-double' last year, recording double-digit sacks, tackles for loss and passes defensed in the same season. Jordan and Houston Texans DE J.J. Watt are the only players to accomplish the feat in the last decade.

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Jordan might be the most underrated defensive lineman in the league. He's a strong DE1 in IDP leagues and he should be a motor for a Saints defense that is no longer a liability.

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6. ARI - WR Larry Fitzgerald a lock for 100 grabs?

Source: ESPN.com - Josh Weinfuss

Arizona Cardinals WR Larry Fitzgerald can be counted on to 'catch more than 100 passes for more than 1,000 yards' this season, in the opinion of Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com.

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Sam Bradford and first-round pick Josh Rosen are both at their best as short and intermediate passers, which suits Fitzgerald perfectly. The Cardinals also lack any proven targets in the passing game beyond Fitzgerald outside of David Johnson. Fitzgerald is a likely PPR WR1 still going at a WR2 price.

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7. NYG - Kyle Carter could be No. 2 TE

Source: NJ Advance Media - Matt Lombardo

New York Giants TE Kyle Carter could end up winning the No. 2 tight end job this season, according to Matt Lombardo of NJ Advance Media, and Lombardo believes TE Rhett Ellison, TE Ryan O'Malley and FB Shane Smith are also in the mix.

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Carter was part of the Vikings organization on the practice squad for a good part of the last two years, so he knows Pat Shurmur's system. The Giants have an underwhelming group at wide receiver after Odell Beckham and Sterling Shepard, so two tight end sets could be used frequently.

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8. BUF - RB LeSean McCoy called league's best

Source: NewYorkUpstate.com - Ryan Talbot

Buffalo Bills RB LeSean McCoy is the best running back in the NFL, according to Miami Dolphins RB Frank Gore.

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McCoy's talent and skill is undeniable, but he will face the toughest challenge of his storied career this year. The Bills lost their three best offensive linemen in the offseason, will likely have one of the worst starting quarterbacks in the league no matter who wins the job, and have the worst set of passcatchers in the league. McCoy will get a ton of volume, but will be the focus of defenses. He's one of the most difficult calls in the early rounds.

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9. LAR - Three competing for ILB job

Source: ESPN.com - Lindsey Thiry

Los Angeles Rams LBs Cory Littleton, Bryce Hager and Micah Kiser will be competing for one of the starting inside linebacker jobs during training camp.

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The Rams traded Alec Ogletree to the Giants in the offseason and will have an open competition for his job next to Mark Barron. With the strongest trio of defensive linemen any 3-4 team has assembled in a while, the winner could have some room to roam against opposing offenses.

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10. PIT - Marcus Tucker could make roster

Source: Pittsburgh Tribune-Review - Joe Rutter

Pittsburgh Steelers WR Marcus Tucker has a chance to make the 53-man roster as a slot receiver, in the opinion of the Pittsburgh Tribune-Review's Joe Rutter.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

The Steelers have Antonio Brown, Juju Smith-Schuster and second-round pick James Washington as locks at wide receiver, but otherwise have a free for all for the two remaining spots. Justin Hunter's physical talent and Darrius Heyward-Bey's speed and special teams contributions will be obstacles to Tucker making the team.

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11. PIT - Roosevelt Nix may see more time

Source: Pittsburgh Tribune-Review - Joe Rutter

Pittsburgh Steelers FB Roosevelt Nix may receive more playing time as a blocker in the running game under offensive coordinator Randy Fichtner.

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LeVeon Bell's ultra-patient style might not mesh as well with a lead blocker as other top backs, but the Steelers running game wasn't as potent last year and could use some attention. Fichtner isn't expected to make any big changes from Todd Haley's system, so this could be one of the more significant differences.

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12. PIT - CB Cameron Sutton's role uncertain

Source: Pittsburgh Tribune-Review - Joe Rutter

Pittsburgh Steelers CB Cameron Sutton is expected to push CB Artie Burns for one of the starting cornerback jobs during training camp, but he could also be used as the No. 3 or No. 4 cornerback in subpackages or as a safety. Sutton also has a chance to be a punt returner this season.

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Sutton has inside-outside versatility and should play a large role in the secondary no matter how Burns performs in camp and the preseason.

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13. CIN - TE Tyler Kroft hopes for new deal

Source: The Cincinnati Enquirer - Jim Owczarski

Cincinnati Bengals TE Tyler Kroft said he hopes to sign a contract extension with the Bengals but will try to concentrate on the things he can control and not focus on his contract situation.

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Tyler Eifert is questionable for the start of training camp, so Kroft will have a real chance to be the team's starting tight end again this year and improve his coming payday. Tight end is a coveted position with the desire to run multiple tight end sets, so there could be a good market for his services. The Bengals have been good at extending in-house talent and would be smart to lock Kroft in at a discount with Eifert ailing in case the Rutgers product takes a step forward this year and puts up even better numbers.

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14. NYJ - Josh McCown endorses Sam Darnold again

Source: Sirius XM NFL Radio

New York Jets QB Josh McCown praised first-round pick Sam Darnold publicly for at least the second time this summer over the weekend, telling Sirius XM NFL Radio 'we have the right guy.'

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McCown is very willing and able to be a mentor and quasi-coach unlike some other veterans, which should help Darnold's future. The Jets should be one of the last teams to start their first-round quarterback from the 2018 draft if everything goes according to plan.

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15. WAS - TE Jordan Reed has sure hands

Source: Pro Football Focus

Washington Redskins TE Jordan Reed has recorded a drop rate of 3.85 percent from 2013-17 - the lowest mark among active tight ends (minimum 100 targets), according to Pro Football Focus.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Reed ended up being a terrible investment at his 3rd/4th round price tag last year, but he's available as many as five or six rounds later in 2018 drafts and new Washington quarterback Alex Smith was very good for Travis Kelce. He'll be projected in our top five tight ends any week that he is healthy.

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16. TB - DE Jason Pierre-Paul sets the bar high

Source: ESPN.com - Jenna Laine

Tampa Bay Buccaneers DE Jason Pierre-Paul said he wants to be the first Buccaneer to record double-digit sacks in a season since retired DE Simeon Rice in 2005.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

The Bucs might not be the best IDP situation for defensive linemen because of they have a two-deep group of eight that rivals the Eagles assemblage of talent. Pierre-Paul is a candidate to take a step back in production despite his lofty goals.

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17. ARI - WR Brice Butler needs to deliver

Source: ESPN.com - Josh Weinfuss

Arizona Cardinals WR Brice Butler has the ability to stretch defenses vertically, but he still needs to show he can handle the No. 2 receiver role, according to Josh Weinfuss of ESPN.com.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Butler was known in fantasy circles for his high efficiency and strong productivity on a low volume of targets in Dallas. The Cowboys never ramped up his usage, but he has a shot to start for Arizona if he can beat out Chad Williams and JJ Nelson. Butler is still unlikely to have redraft relevance in any event, but deep dynasty players should track this situation.

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18. SEA - WR Doug Baldwin no stranger to the end zone

Source: ESPN.com - Brady Henderson

Seattle Seahawks WR Doug Baldwin's 29 touchdown receptions over the last three seasons are second only to Pittsburgh Steelers WR Antonio Brown's 31.

[ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ [ FOOTBALLGUYS VIEW ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ] ]

Baldwin was a strong factor in the red zone in 2015 and 2016 with eight and seven touchdowns from 20 or closer respectively, but fell to three last year with the dominance near the goal line by Jimmy Graham. Graham is gone and Baldwin could have a spike in scores this year.

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19. SEA - ILB Bobby Wagner a tackling machine

Source: ESPN.com - Brady Henderson

Seattle Seahawks LB Bobby Wagner's 518 tackles over the last four years are the most in the NFL, and since entering the league in 2012, Wagner's 776 tackles are the second most of any player.

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Wagner could set an even higher level of production this year if the Seahawks don't outperform expectations and end up being a losing team.

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That'll do it for today, Folks. Thanks for reading and thanks for being part of Footballguys.

And jump in to the DRAFT Best Ball Championship. Remember that just a $10 deposit for new DRAFT customers earns you a free Footballguys Season Long Pro subscription.

We'll see you tomorrow with the Update.

Peace,

J