Ultimate Strength of Schedule, Wide Receivers

Clayton Gray's Ultimate Strength of Schedule, Wide Receivers Clayton Gray Published 08/18/2022

Links to similar discussions on other positions:

Overview
Quarterbacks
Running Backs
Wide Receivers
Tight Ends

Kickers
Defenses
Defensive Linemen
Linebackers
Defensive Backs

The advantages offered by Ultimate Strength of Schedule (USOS) when compared to traditional SOS displays are numerous and include (but are not limited to) the following:

  • Fantasy Points Driven
    Fantasy football is all about scoring fantasy points, so USOS is based on fantasy points.
  • Removed Bias Of Schedule
    Consider the following scenario: Defense A faced the 16 best offenses while Defense B faced the 16 worst offenses. If both defenses allowed opposing quarterbacks to average 300 fantasy points last season, are they equally strong? Of course not; Defense A is far superior as they faced much better offenses. This bias of schedule has been removed from USOS.
  • Positional Breakdown
    If you are looking for a running back, it's much more relevant to see SOS data for running backs (rather than simply rushing data).

Explanation of USOS Tables

Below, you will see tables for each position's USOS. Here is a brief explanation of the make-up of these tables.

The "Team" Column

This is simply the NFL team.

The Values

Each value in the table is the expected number of fantasy points on average or on a per-game basis (depending on the column).

The "2022" Column

This is the average expected fantasy points allowed by each team's opponents for this season.

The "EZ" Column

This is the number of easy opponents each team will face this season. An easy opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as many easy games as possible.

The "TF" Column

This is the number of tough opponents each team will face this season. A tough opponent is defined as one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best defenses. Obviously, it is preferred to have players with as few tough games as possible.

The "1st3" Column

This is the SOS for the first three weeks of the NFL season. This value can be used to determine how players should be expected to open the season. Players with low values could easily stumble out of the gate.

The "1st5" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it covers the first five weeks of the NFL season (note that some teams only play four games in this time frame).

The "Byes" Column

This is the SOS covering the bye weeks. This value can be used to find a complementary player during the byes as you'll need to shuffle players in and out of your starting lineup. A player with an easy schedule during this time would be nice to have.

The "15to17" Column

This is similar to "1st3" except that it specifically covers Week 15 through Week 17.

The "16to18" Column

This is similar to "15to17" except that it specifically covers Week 16 through Week 18.

The "W01" through "W18" Columns

These values are the expected strength of each team's opponent for that particular week (W05 is Week 5, etc). This is very useful when searching for backups for your elite starters. The key is to locate players with easy opponents when your star is on a bye.

The Coloring of the Values

The blue values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) best values in that column. The red values indicate that the team has one of the eight (seven during the bye weeks) worst values in that column.

(Note: a green/red combo was considered but some people are color blind between those two colors.)

In short:

  • Blue is a team with a good schedule
  • Red is a team with a bad schedule

Already a subscriber?

Continue reading this content with a 100% FREE Insider account.

By signing up and providing us with your email address, you're agreeing to our Privacy Policy and Terms of Use and to receive emails from Tennessee.

Ultimate Strength of Schedule, Wide Receivers

Team 2022 EZ TF 1st3 1st5 byes 15to17 16to18
Ari 34.3 4 5 34.8 33.1 34.5 35.3 36.5
Atl 34.9 5 1 35.6 35.8 33.4 36.1 37.3
Bal 33.6 1 4 33.1 31.9 34.4 34.1 34.3
Buf 34.4 4 3 36.7 35.8 34.3 33.7 32.6
Car 35.2 5 2 34.4 35.1 35.2 35.2 35.7
Chi 34.0 4 5 34.1 35.3 34.4 29.0 32.9
Cin 34.6 4 3 35.0 34.9 35.1 32.3 31.0
Cle 33.8 2 3 33.6 33.0 33.5 35.8 35.4
Dal 34.5 5 4 35.8 36.0 33.5 34.0 34.7
Den 34.2 5 4 34.8 33.7 34.2 37.1 34.1
Det 34.0 4 3 34.7 34.1 34.3 33.2 33.2
GB 34.5 7 5 37.2 35.5 33.4 36.6 35.5
Hou 34.2 5 6 32.4 32.2 34.4 37.3 35.8
Ind 34.5 6 5 35.5 35.5 34.1 34.3 32.5
Jac 34.1 5 7 32.9 32.1 34.3 35.0 35.7
KC 33.4 4 8 33.2 33.9 33.2 33.7 32.6
LAC 34.6 6 5 34.5 34.1 34.8 36.1 33.4
LAR 34.5 6 4 33.3 34.4 35.6 31.2 31.9
LV 34.2 5 6 35.4 35.0 33.6 33.3 35.5
Mia 32.6 1 6 31.0 32.0 33.7 30.4 32.7
Min 33.3 3 6 31.2 32.4 33.8 33.7 33.7
NE 33.3 2 6 34.5 33.9 33.7 33.1 31.6
NO 34.9 5 2 35.9 36.5 35.1 32.1 31.3
NYG 34.5 6 4 36.7 35.3 34.2 36.4 33.4
NYJ 33.0 1 6 33.8 34.0 31.6 34.3 35.0
Phi 35.6 7 1 36.2 36.2 35.4 35.3 35.9
Pit 33.2 1 5 32.6 31.6 34.2 33.0 33.0
SF 35.0 6 3 33.3 33.7 35.6 34.5 35.2
Sea 34.7 6 4 33.9 33.9 34.8 35.4 35.7
TB 35.0 4 0 35.4 35.9 34.6 34.8 35.4
Ten 33.1 3 6 30.8 32.5 33.2 33.4 35.4
Was 34.3 4 4 31.7 34.4 33.8 34.2 35.1
Avg 34.2 4.25 4.25 34.2 34.2 34.2 34.2 34.2

Week-by-Week

WRs W1 W2 W3 W4 W5 W6 W7 W8 W9 W10 W11 W12 W13 W14 W15 W16 W17 W18
Ari 37.7 31.1 35.8 33.1 27.8 35.5 35.5 39.4 35.5 35.8 34.8 28.8 - 31.2 31.4 39.1 35.4 34.8
Atl 35.5 35.8 35.5 32.9 39.1 34.8 33.6 33.1 28.8 33.1 33.0 36.9 34.0 - 35.5 35.0 37.7 39.1
Bal 33.6 34.6 31.2 26.7 33.6 34.7 32.9 39.1 35.5 - 33.1 34.8 31.4 34.0 32.9 35.4 34 33.6
Buf 35.8 39.5 34.6 35.0 34.0 37.7 - 33.4 33.6 39.4 32.9 32.5 31.2 33.6 34.6 33.0 33.6 31.2
Car 32.9 34.7 35.5 37.7 34.8 35.8 39.1 35.4 33.6 35.4 35.0 31.4 - 35.5 34.0 32.5 39.1 35.5
Chi 34.8 33.4 34.1 34.7 39.4 36.9 31.2 37.4 34.6 32.5 35.4 33.6 33.4 - 27.8 26.7 32.5 39.4
Cin 34.0 37.4 33.6 34.6 35.0 35.5 35.4 32.9 33.1 - 34.0 39.5 37.7 32.9 39.1 31.2 26.7 35.0
Cle 33.1 33.6 34.0 35.4 28.8 31.2 35.0 33.6 - 34.6 26.7 39.1 34.1 33.6 35.0 35.5 36.9 34.0
Dal 39.1 33.6 34.7 36.9 35.8 27.8 32.5 33.0 - 33.4 39.4 34.7 32.9 34.1 34.8 27.8 39.5 36.9
Den 35.5 34.1 34.8 31.1 32.9 28.8 33.6 34.8 - 39.5 31.1 33.1 35.0 37.7 37.7 35.8 37.7 28.8
Det 27.8 36.9 39.4 35.5 31.2 - 37.4 34.6 33.4 33.0 34.7 26.7 34.8 39.4 33.6 33.1 33.0 33.4
GB 39.4 33.0 39.1 31.2 34.7 33.6 36.9 26.7 32.5 37.4 39.5 27.8 33.0 - 35.8 34.6 39.4 32.5
Hou 32.9 31.4 33.0 28.8 34.8 - 31.1 39.5 27.8 34.7 36.9 34.6 32.9 37.4 37.7 39.5 34.8 32.9
Ind 34.1 34.8 37.7 39.5 31.4 34.8 39.5 36.9 31.2 31.1 27.8 34.0 37.4 - 39.4 28.8 34.7 34.1
Jac 36.9 32.9 28.8 27.8 34.1 32.9 34.7 31.4 31.1 37.7 - 35.0 32.5 39.5 37.4 33.6 34.1 39.5
KC 37.7 28.8 32.9 39.1 31.1 26.7 34.8 - 39.5 34.8 28.8 35.8 33.6 31.4 34.1 35.5 31.4 31.1
LAC 31.1 37.7 34.8 34.1 32.9 31.4 35.5 - 35.4 34.8 37.7 37.7 31.1 34.6 39.5 32.9 35.8 31.4
LAR 26.7 35.4 37.7 34.8 37.4 33.1 - 34.8 39.1 37.7 35.5 37.7 35.5 31.1 33.4 31.4 28.8 35.5
LV 28.8 37.7 39.5 31.4 37.7 - 34.1 35.5 34.8 32.9 31.4 35.5 28.8 35.8 31.2 34.0 34.8 37.7
Mia 31.2 35.0 26.7 33.6 33.6 39.4 34.0 32.5 33.0 32.9 - 34.1 34.8 28.8 26.7 33.4 31.2 33.6
Min 33.4 27.8 32.5 35.5 33.0 34.6 - 37.7 36.9 26.7 37.4 31.2 33.6 32.5 32.9 34.7 33.4 33.0
NE 34.6 34.0 35.0 33.4 32.5 32.9 33.0 33.6 32.9 - 33.6 39.4 26.7 37.7 31.1 33.6 34.6 26.7
NO 35.4 39.1 33.1 39.4 35.5 33.6 37.7 31.1 35.0 34.0 35.8 34.8 39.1 - 35.4 32.9 27.8 33.1
NYG 39.5 33.1 37.4 33.0 33.4 35.0 34.8 35.5 - 34.1 32.5 37.4 36.9 27.8 36.9 39.4 32.9 27.8
NYJ 35.0 32.9 33.6 34.0 34.6 33.4 31.4 31.2 26.7 - 31.2 33.0 39.4 26.7 32.5 34.8 35.5 34.6
Phi 32.5 39.4 36.9 34.8 37.7 37.4 - 34.0 34.1 36.9 32.9 33.4 39.5 34.7 33.0 37.4 35.5 34.7
Pit 33.6 31.2 32.9 33.6 26.7 39.1 34.6 27.8 - 35.5 33.6 32.9 35.4 35.0 33.1 31.1 35.0 32.9
SF 33.0 35.5 31.4 35.8 33.1 35.4 37.7 35.8 - 28.8 37.7 35.5 34.6 39.1 35.5 36.9 31.1 37.7
Sea 31.4 34.8 35.4 32.5 35.5 37.7 28.8 34.7 37.7 39.1 - 31.1 35.8 33.1 34.8 37.7 33.6 35.8
TB 37.4 35.5 33.4 37.7 35.4 34.0 33.1 35.0 35.8 35.5 - 32.9 35.5 34.8 33.6 37.7 33.1 35.4
Ten 34.7 26.7 31.1 32.9 36.9 - 32.9 34.1 37.7 31.4 33.4 33.6 27.8 34.8 28.8 34.1 37.4 34.8
Was 34.8 32.5 27.8 37.4 39.5 33.0 33.4 32.9 39.4 27.8 34.1 35.4 34.7 - 34.7 34.8 32.9 37.4
Avg 34.2 34.2 34.2 34.2 34.2 34.2 34.4 34.2 34.2 34.3 33.9 34.2 34.1 34.1 34.2 34.2 34.2 34.2

Photos provided by Imagn Images
Tags:
Forecast WR SOS
Share This Article

More by Clayton Gray

 

Underdog ADP Movement: How Best-Ball ADP Is Changing

Clayton Gray

Underdog ADP offers insight into the current state of best-ball ADP and its ongoing movement.

07/06/25 Read More
 

NFFC ADP Movement: How High-Stakes ADP Is Changing

Clayton Gray

NFFC ADP offers a glimpse into the current state of high-stakes ADP and how it is moving.

07/04/25 Read More
 

Underdog ADP Movement: How Best-Ball ADP Is Changing

Clayton Gray

Underdog ADP offers insight into the current state of Best-Ball ADP and its ongoing movement.

06/29/25 Read More
 

NFFC ADP Movement: How High-Stakes ADP Is Changing

Clayton Gray

NFFC ADP offers a glimpse into the current state of high-stakes ADP and how it is moving.

06/27/25 Read More
 

Underdog ADP Movement: How Best-Ball ADP Is Changing

Clayton Gray

Underdog ADP offers insight into the current state of Best-Ball ADP and its ongoing movement.

06/22/25 Read More
 

NFFC ADP Movement: How High-Stakes ADP Is Changing

Clayton Gray

NFFC ADP: A look at the current state of high-stakes ADP and how it is moving.

06/20/25 Read More