Office Pool: Against the Spread Picks: Week 4

The Footballguys staff picks the winners of this week's NFL games against the Las Vegas spread.

Will Grant's Office Pool: Against the Spread Picks: Week 4 Will Grant Published 09/25/2025

© Michael Chow/The Republic / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images Office Pool Against The Spread Picks Week 4

Office Pools are a fun way for even casual NFL fans to enjoy a little bit of sports gambling. It is an excellent opportunity to bond with your colleagues, enjoy a little friendly competition, and most importantly, win a little money.

The staff at Footballguys also enjoys these contests, and each week we will publish our picks to give our subscribers some ideas on what teams to pick in your office pools or at your local sportsbook.

Each week, we will post our office pool picks with three different themes:

Office Pool – NFL Game Picks
Our staff will pick the winner of every NFL contest every week. They will also rank their confidence level in their selection, ranging from 1 (least confident) to 16 (most confident). We'll also combine everyone's confidence points,  giving you a Wisdom of the Staff confidence level as well.

Office Pool – Against the Spread Picks
Each week, the staffers will select their eight favorite NFL games and pick the winner, based on the early Las Vegas odds for each.

Office Pool – Eliminator/Survivor Picks
Sounds simple, right? Just pick one team to win this week. The only catch is that you can only use a team once the entire season.

Week 3 Against the Spread Results

Here are the results from last week's contest. Teams are awarded 1 point for each correct pick and no points for an incorrect pick. Incorrect picks are in Red

Road Teams MIA GB IND CIN PIT LAR NYJ LV HOU ATL DEN NO DAL ARI KC DET
Home Teams BUF CLE TEN MIN NE PHI TB WAS JAX CAR LAC SEA CHI SF NYG BAL
Game Lines -8.5 5.5 1.5 -1.5 1.5 -4.5 -7.5 -7.5 -1.5 1.5 -2.5 -6.5 2.5 -3.5 6.5 -3.5
Staffer Record Last Week's Picks
Duffy 16-8 BUF GB IND MIN       LV   ATL     DAL     BAL
Papworth 16-8 BUF GB IND CIN NE       HOU ATL   SEA        
Roberts 16-8 BUF GB IND         LV   ATL LAC   DAL   KC  
Bitonti 15-9   GB IND MIN   PHI TB       LAC SEA   ARI    
Blaylock 15-9 BUF         PHI TB   JAX   LAC   DAL ARI KC  
Lakins 15-9   GB       LAR TB LV JAX   LAC SEA       DET
Rudnicki 15-9   GB IND     LAR       ATL   SEA DAL ARI   DET
Weisee 15-9   GB IND   NE PHI   LV JAX   LAC         BAL
Hicks 14-10 BUF GB TEN MIN PIT LAR       ATL     DAL      
Carey 13-11 BUF GB IND       TB     ATL LAC SEA     KC  
Grant 13-11   GB IND   PIT PHI NYJ   JAX ATL     DAL      
Song 13-11   GB   MIN   LAR NYJ LV   ATL   SEA     KC  
Davenport 12-12   GB IND         LV HOU ATL LAC   DAL   NYG  
Wagman 12-12   GB     PIT PHI TB LV   ATL   SEA DAL      
Alexander 11-13           LAR   LV   ATL   NO DAL ARI NYG BAL
H.Brown 11-13 MIA GB TEN   PIT     WAS JAX ATL LAC          
Cummins 11-13 BUF GB IND CIN   LAR   LV JAX ATL            
Dodgson 11-13 BUF GB IND MIN           ATL LAC SEA       BAL
McCarty 10-14 BUF GB     PIT LAR NYJ LV JAX ATL            
Haseley 9-15 BUF GB IND     LAR TB     ATL         NYG BAL

Thoughts

Green Bay, Atlanta, and Dallas were the big upsets last week, taking down any of the staff who picked them. Washington won its contest against Las Vegas, but did not cover the spread, which also took down a fair amount of staff. Even with a rough week, three staff members are still posting a 66% success rate, which is particularly positive given typical betting trends. Anything over 50% is good, and anything over 53% is considered profitable.

This Week's Picks

The table below represents this week's NFL games and the point spread for each of them. The teams in the "Road Teams" row are the teams on the road, while the home teams are in the "Home Teams" row. The "Game Lines" row shows the line for each game. If the line is a positive number, the road team is favored. If it is negative, the home team is the favorite.

Example: The Seattle/Arizona game has a line of -1.5. That means Arizona is favored by 1.5 points. If they are going to cover, they need to win by at least 1.5 points. Since a team can't score half a point, the Cardinals need to win by at least 2 to cover the line. Conversely, if Seattle is going to cover, they need to lose by no more than 1.5 points. Again, a team can't score half a point, so the Seahawks need to lose by no more than 1 point (or win outright) to cover the line.

For this article, each staffer selects eight teams that they expect to win, taking into account the Line for each game.

Here are their picks.

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