
Fantasy football has had many scoring tweaks along the way, but none are quite as controversial as the point per reception, or PPR. The motivation of adding PPR to many leagues, including many higher stakes leagues, is rather simple - it boosts the scores of both wide receivers and tight ends to be more in line with running backs. What's the point? Well, running backs score the most in fantasy football with the possible exclusion of quarterback. However, since quarterbacks have their own scoring categories (passing touchdowns, interceptions, passing yardage), many leagues can adjust quarterback totals lower to be closer to that of a good running back.
So why bother? What is the importance of getting all the various positions about equal? Well, this scoring normalization allows for a few things. First, your team is no longer dependent solely upon one player. If Aaron Rodgers will likely score 400 points in your league but Arian Foster or Ray Rice is projected for 200, the league is dependent upon quarterbacks. You have to get an elite quarterback just to compete, as having two of the top three running backs barely gets you the same point total as Rodgers. Now, if they are closer together, there becomes a point where there is a competitive balance amongst positions. It is okay for a quarterback to be the highest scoring position in your league, but the relative value cannot be out of whack. Otherwise there is too much pressure on having a key quarterback and minimization of the remaining positions.
How about wide receivers and tight ends? Well, this is where PPR really comes in. Wide receivers and tight ends are elevated to closer valuations of running backs in fantasy leagues with PPR scoring. It is also becoming more standard, as is adding a third wide receiver. Both maneuvers increase the relative value of both wide receivers and tight ends in one fell swoop.
Point Per Deception
The fantasy purists, if there is such a thing, argue against PPR. Footballguys originally did not use PPR in their baseline standard scoring, nor do many older and established leagues - but all of that is changing. In 2008 Footballguys added PPR scoring and rankings, so that tells you how much impact PPR has made on fantasy football. The argument against PPR is that awarding a point for something as innocuous as a catch is WAY too generous. How many of us have seen a receiver catch a one yard screen? How can this be equal to a hard-earned 11 yard run? Also, many running backs wind up with 30 or more receptions each season, often on screens or short dump-off passes from a quarterback under duress. These one point plays may gain little or no yardage, yet they count the same as 10 yards in many leagues. In fact, this flies in the face of the reason for having PPR - it was supposed to help wide receiver and tight end scoring, not over-inflate running back scores. How can this be a good thing?
Finding the Happy Medium
On the surface, it's easy to like the concept of PPR. It makes for more strategy and brings more players into the mix as possibilities for a starting lineup. It's also easy, however, understand the arguments against PPR and the inequalities of awarding the equivalent of 10 yards for what can sometimes be a meaningless reception. So what can be done?
Well, let's go back to the basics. Fantasy football is supposed to be a microcosm of the game itself. Points are awarded to offensive players for scoring, the main objective of the game, and advancing the ball, which gets the team in a position to score. There has to be something else to consider rewarding, but what?
First Downs
It seems so simple. The goal of the offense is to move the chains and get points. If they succeed, they should be rewarded accordingly. Giving a player a point for a first down, rather than just a reception, seems to be more aligned with the game itself. So how does that look?
Unfortunately, running backs get lots of first downs, so generally awarding a point for ANY first down blows the scoring out of the water. Most of the top running backs get five or six first downs a game, if not more, which skews the numbers even further to their favor. So this was the first thing we had to abandon - but we're not done yet.
Continuing with the idea, it's time to look at awarding one point per first down reception, or PPFDR. Let us take a look at how this works on a high level.
Year
|
RBs
|
WRs
|
TEs
|
2003
|
36%
|
68%
|
61%
|
2004
|
35%
|
71%
|
60%
|
2005
|
34%
|
68%
|
58%
|
2006
|
36%
|
69%
|
61%
|
2007
|
35%
|
67%
|
64%
|
2008
|
34%
|
66%
|
63%
|
2009
|
35%
|
68%
|
58%
|
2010
|
37%
|
68%
|
59%
|
2011
|
35%
|
70%
|
64%
|
2012
|
36%
|
68%
|
61%
|
Table 1: Percentage of Receptions for First Downs (Fantasy Starters)
Table 1 displays the percentage of catches for a first down by the Top 24 running backs, Top 12 tight ends, and Top 36 wide receivers for the last nine seasons. We can see that wide receivers and tight ends get more first down catches than running backs, so that's a good sign. Also notice that the numbers are very consistent year over year, so that's also a good indication of a trend.
Digging deeper, here is the scoring on a per-game basis for the past several years for the fantasy starters that have reception scoring implications (24 running backs, 12 tight ends and 36 wide receivers), assuming a standardized three-wide receiver starting lineup.
Rank
|
FBG
|
PPR
|
PPFDR
|
1
|
21.3
|
24.2
|
22.4
|
2
|
19.5
|
22.8
|
20.7
|
3
|
18.4
|
21.3
|
19.4
|
4
|
17.1
|
20.3
|
18.2
|
5
|
16.1
|
18.9
|
17.2
|
6
|
15.4
|
18.5
|
16.4
|
7
|
14.7
|
17.6
|
15.8
|
8
|
13.8
|
16.3
|
14.6
|
9
|
13.2
|
15.9
|
14.2
|
10
|
12.8
|
15.3
|
13.5
|
11
|
12.4
|
14.9
|
13.3
|
12
|
12.0
|
13.8
|
12.6
|
13
|
11.5
|
14.1
|
12.6
|
14
|
11.4
|
13.5
|
12.2
|
15
|
11.3
|
13.8
|
12.1
|
16
|
11.1
|
13.8
|
12.0
|
17
|
10.9
|
12.9
|
11.6
|
18
|
10.7
|
12.5
|
11.3
|
19
|
10.4
|
12.4
|
11.2
|
20
|
10.4
|
11.8
|
11.0
|
21
|
10.0
|
11.8
|
10.9
|
22
|
9.8
|
11.1
|
10.4
|
23
|
9.5
|
11.5
|
10.6
|
24
|
9.1
|
10.8
|
10.1
|
Table 2: Fantasy Starting Running Backs 2003-2008
Rank
|
FBG
|
PPR
|
PPFDR
|
1
|
21.7
|
24.8
|
22.8
|
2
|
18.2
|
20.8
|
19.2
|
3
|
17.0
|
20.3
|
18.0
|
4
|
15.8
|
20.6
|
17.5
|
5
|
14.4
|
17.7
|
15.2
|
6
|
14.4
|
15.0
|
14.6
|
7
|
13.5
|
15.7
|
14.1
|
8
|
13.2
|
14.8
|
13.8
|
9
|
12.2
|
15.3
|
13.2
|
10
|
12.4
|
15.5
|
13.4
|
11
|
12.1
|
13.2
|
12.5
|
12
|
11.9
|
14.4
|
12.5
|
13
|
11.6
|
13.1
|
12.4
|
14
|
11.2
|
13.0
|
12.1
|
15
|
10.8
|
11.8
|
11.1
|
16
|
10.5
|
13.3
|
11.7
|
17
|
10.6
|
12.4
|
11.3
|
18
|
10.3
|
13.8
|
11.3
|
19
|
10.0
|
11.3
|
10.5
|
20
|
9.8
|
12.3
|
10.6
|
21
|
9.8
|
11.5
|
10.5
|
22
|
9.4
|
13.4
|
10.8
|
23
|
9.4
|
9.7
|
9.5
|
24
|
9.4
|
11.5
|
10.1
|
Table 3: Fantasy Starting Running Backs 2009
Rank
|
FBG
|
PPR
|
PPFDR
|
1
|
20.6
|
24.7
|
22.7
|
2
|
15.2
|
19.0
|
16.8
|
3
|
15.1
|
17.4
|
16.2
|
4
|
15.1
|
17.9
|
16.4
|
5
|
14.6
|
17.3
|
15.1
|
6
|
14.2
|
17.1
|
15.5
|
7
|
13.9
|
15.3
|
14.3
|
8
|
13.8
|
18.7
|
15.7
|
9
|
13.6
|
14.4
|
13.7
|
10
|
13.5
|
16.7
|
14.9
|
11
|
13.4
|
17.3
|
14.8
|
12
|
12.9
|
15.0
|
13.6
|
13
|
12.7
|
15.6
|
13.8
|
14
|
12.4
|
15.3
|
13.3
|
15
|
11.7
|
12.5
|
12.0
|
16
|
11.1
|
12.8
|
11.6
|
17
|
10.3
|
13.5
|
11.5
|
18
|
10.2
|
12.5
|
11.1
|
19
|
10.1
|
11.6
|
10.5
|
20
|
10.0
|
12.9
|
11.0
|
21
|
9.8
|
11.7
|
10.3
|
22
|
8.9
|
9.3
|
9.1
|
23
|
8.8
|
12.4
|
9.8
|
24
|
8.6
|
8.9
|
8.6
|
Table 4: Fantasy Starting Running Backs 2010
Rank
|
FBG
|
PPR
|
PPFDR
|
1
|
18.6
|
23.3
|
20.4
|
2
|
17.7
|
20.7
|
18.8
|
3
|
16.5
|
19.2
|
17.6
|
4
|
16.0
|
19.3
|
17.2
|
5
|
13.7
|
15.5
|
14.2
|
6
|
13.6
|
14.6
|
14.1
|
7
|
11.9
|
15.0
|
13.0
|
8
|
11.8
|
13.0
|
12.1
|
9
|
11.7
|
14.0
|
12.7
|
10
|
11.6
|
17.0
|
13.6
|
11
|
11.5
|
14.1
|
12.6
|
12
|
11.3
|
12.3
|
11.6
|
13
|
11.3
|
14.0
|
12.0
|
14
|
10.9
|
13.3
|
11.7
|
15
|
10.8
|
14.0
|
12.0
|
16
|
10.7
|
14.2
|
11.5
|
17
|
10.6
|
11.2
|
10.7
|
18
|
10.2
|
12.0
|
10.5
|
19
|
10.1
|
11.3
|
10.5
|
20
|
9.9
|
12.0
|
10.5
|
21
|
9.7
|
10.4
|
9.8
|
22
|
9.5
|
12.9
|
11.0
|
23
|
9.4
|
10.4
|
9.6
|
24
|
9.3
|
9.9
|
9.7
|
Table 5: Fantasy Starting Running Backs 2011
Rank
|
FBG
|
PPR
|
PPFDR
|
1
|
19.3
|
21.8
|
20.0
|
2
|
16.5
|
19.6
|
17.7
|
3
|
16.6
|
19.1
|
17.2
|
4
|
13.9
|
17.7
|
15.3
|
5
|
15.7
|
17.1
|
16.4
|
6
|
13.6
|
16.3
|
15.0
|
7
|
15.4
|
16.1
|
15.6
|
8
|
12.7
|
15.9
|
13.9
|
9
|
13.2
|
15.4
|
13.9
|
10
|
12.4
|
14.2
|
13.0
|
11
|
11.2
|
14.0
|
12.2
|
12
|
11.4
|
13.7
|
11.9
|
13
|
8.7
|
13.4
|
10.5
|
14
|
11.0
|
13.2
|
11.9
|
15
|
12.7
|
13.1
|
12.8
|
16
|
9.5
|
12.8
|
10.6
|
17
|
10.0
|
12.4
|
10.8
|
18
|
9.7
|
11.8
|
10.5
|
19
|
10.6
|
11.8
|
10.8
|
20
|
10.1
|
11.6
|
10.6
|
21
|
9.9
|
11.1
|
10.1
|
22
|
9.7
|
11.1
|
10.0
|
23
|
6.7
|
10.0
|
8.6
|
24
|
7.3
|
9.8
|
8.7
|
Table 6: Fantasy Starting Running Backs 2012
PPFDR puts the running backs just above where they typically are in standardized scoring, but not as elevated as when PPR is used. The range increases from 7-19 points up to 9-20 in PPFDR, and slightly higher in full blown PPR (10-22) on a points per game basis.
Now for a look at wide receivers: