Draft season is here. The Master Plan is coming soon for those of you looking for a draft guide, but in the meantime, this top 200 should serve as an overview of value picks, risers, fallers, and the lay of the land.
1. Antonio Brown - WR - PIT - record breaker if Ben plays 16 games
2. Julio Jones - WR - ATL - Atlanta pass offense has to run through him
3. Odell Beckham Jr- WR - NYG - How good can he be with a real running mate in Shepard?
4. A.J. Green - WR - CIN - **VALUE** - Cincy pass offense has to run through him
5. Todd Gurley - RB - LA - Will be better than 2015, and LA offense might be too
6. DeAndre Hopkins - WR - HOU - Volume will be off top 4 WR, but efficiency could be better
7. Keenan Allen - WR - SD - **VALUE** Ascending young target hog with a great QB
8. Allen Robinson - WR - JAX - game scripts could lower ceiling, but getting better
9. David Johnson - RB - ARI - TD rate, offense quality, receiving ability offsets sharing with Chris Johnson
10. Ezekiel Elliott - RB - DAL - All systems go after a strong preseason Week 3
11. LeVeon Bell - RB - PIT - Potential league winner, have to weather first 3 weeks without him
12. Dez Bryant - WR - DAL - low volume passing game and fragile QB keeps him out of top WR tier
13. Brandon Marshall - WR - NYJ - **VALUE** Hard to see him dropping off much from top 5 2015 pace
14. Rob Gronkowski - TE - NE - **FALLER** - TE pack catching up to him and Bennett could steal a few TDs. Watch injury
15. T.Y. Hilton - WR - IND - **VALUE** - Has been a solid WR1 as long as Luck is on field, at career peak
16. Brandin Cooks - WR - NO - Mouths to feed in New Orleans, but ascendent talent and big play ability
17. Alshon Jeffery - WR - CHI - Durability a concern, but a top 10 weekly projection when healthy
18. Amari Cooper - WR - OAK - Could get a lot better if foot is not an issue and it should not be
19. Sammy Watkins - WR - BUF - **VALUE** Durability a concern, but a top 10 weekly projection when healthy
20. Lamar Miller - RB - HOU - **FALLER** - Centerpiece of offense but line woes are worrisome
21. Mark Ingram - RB - NO - Solid to Strong RB1, great value pick if he plays 16 games
22. Adrian Peterson - RB - MIN - **FALLER** - Getting older and McKinnon coming on, still weekly top 10 RB projection
23. Jamaal Charles - RB - KC - Good duo of backups could lower weekly ceiling
24. Devonta Freeman - RB - ATL - If Coleman stays healthy, low RB1 at best
25. C.J. Anderson - RB - DEN - Has never put a full season together, but slotted as strong RB1 to begin year
26. LeSean McCoy - RB - BUF - Breakdown could be coming, but looked good last year thru injuries. Workhorse
27. Jordan Reed - TE - WAS - **VALUE** - Same weekly value as Gronk, injury risk more than priced in
28. Mike Evans - WR - TB - Strong WR1 upside, but needs to improve consistency
29. Jordy Nelson - WR - GB - **FALLER** - Issue in good knee feels ominous. GB offense quality hinging on him
30. Doug Martin - RB - TB - Lacks PPR punch, but at career peak and team improving. Peterson south
31. Jarvis Landry - WR - MIA - Should be focal point of passing game again
32. Demaryius Thomas - WR - DEN - **FALLER** - How much will QB hold him back?
33. Michael Floyd - WR - ARI - **VALUE** - Broke out last year, WR1 production second half of year
34. Jeremy Maclin - WR - KC - **VALUE** If KC passing volume goes up, should get 100 catches. DEN wks 12 and 16
35. Eric Decker - WR - NYJ - **VALUE** - May not drop off much from low WR1 2015 production if at all
36. Donte Moncrief - WR - IND - **VALUE** - As long as Luck stays healthy, easy every week play
37. Randall Cobb - WR - GB - Will move up some if Nelson knees check out
38. Eddie Lacy - RB - GB - Starks isn’t going away, but will get majority of RB work
39. Doug Baldwin - WR - SEA - Red zone chemistry with Wilson won’t disappear
40. Julian Edelman - WR - NE - Durability and quality 2TE sets bring him down from 2015 WR1 value
41. Larry Fitzgerald - WR - ARI - Brown concussion issues moving him up
42. Cam Newton - QB - CAR - Gets Benjamin back and improved Funchess
43. Golden Tate - WR - DET - Likely most targeted Lions WR but not by much
44. Michael Crabtree - WR - OAK - **VALUE** - High floor WR3/Flex, could benefit if Cooper draws more attention
45. Jeremy Hill - RB - CIN - Good RB2 with RB1 upside when Bengals favored. Needs to pick up game
46. Thomas Rawls - RB - SEA - **FALLER** - Will be eased in and Michael will have chance to impress
47. Frank Gore - RB - IND - Breakdown risk, but clear RB1 in offense going too late in drafts
48. Latavius Murray - RB - OAK - Will benefit from OL, offense quality, but inefficient in similar situation in 2015
49. Jonathan Stewart - RB - CAR - Solid RB2 as long as he is healthy, but how long will that last?
50. Drew Brees - QB - NO - **VALUE** - Best set of weapons in his career?
51. Russell Wilson - QB - SEA - If Seattle passes a little more, could flirt with QB1 overall status
52. Sterling Shepard - WR - NYG - High ceiling pick. Beckham will draw attention. Tons of buzz.
53. DeSean Jackson - WR - WAS - Boom/Bust WR3/Flex, still has big play ability
54. Giovani Bernard- RB - CIN - Best RB on Bengals, but Hill will lead team in carries
55. Greg Olsen - TE - CAR - Lacks TE1 overall ceiling, but solid top 5-8 weekly option
56. Marvin Jones - WR - DET - **VALUE** - Won’t be far off Tate and should get more red zone looks
57. Emmanuel Sanders- WR - DEN - How much will QB play drag him down?
58. Josh Gordon - WR - CLE - Bet on talent, but might take a year to knock off rust. Luxury Pick
59. Carlos Hyde - RB - SF - True boom/bust weekly option, but could click in Kelly O even on losing team
60. Tyler Lockett - WR - SEA - Big play counterpart to Baldwin, but in a WR rotation. Boom/Bust
61. Kelvin Benjamin - WR - CAR - **FALLER** - Rookie year based on inefficient volume, not sold, watch conditioning
62. Willie Snead - WR - NO - **VALUE** - Will be better than 2015, just lacks TDs
63. Michael Thomas - WR - NO - **RISER** - High ceiling pick. Could be red zone/RAC favorite. Tons of buzz
64. Allen Hurns - WR - JAX - Julius Thomas will limit weekly upside. Boom/bust WR3/Flex
65. Jordan Matthews - WR - PHI - **FALLER** - Volume pick, but QB/offense quality an issue. Meh for most of 2015
66. Danny Woodhead - RB - SD - Boom/bust RB2 will remain big part of offense
67. Duke Johnson Jr - RB - CLE - Could lead team in receptions, Hue will know what to do with him
68. Rashad Jennings - RB - NYG - **RISER** - Will begin season as team RB1, FF RB2, big value if he holds up
69. Matt Forte - RB - NYJ - **FALLER** - Role and numbers should be close to Powell’s, hamstring still an issue
70. DeMarco Murray - RB - TEN - Will share with Derrick Henry on a likely losing team
71. Aaron Rodgers - QB - GB - Still some risk with Nelson's knees but looking up
72. Jeremy Langford - RB - CHI - May lead Bears RBs in touches, but that’s all he’s got going for him
73. DeAngelo Williams - RB - PIT - RB1 first four weeks with league winner injury upside after
74. Charles Sims - RB - TB - Weekly PPR flex and RB1 injury upside
75. Arian Foster - RB - MIA - **RISER** - Strong PPR RB2 as long as he’s healthy
76. Matt Jones - RB - WAS - **FALLER** - more RBBC buzz in Washington and running game meh
77. Andrew Luck - QB - IND - Not there yet as elite QB. Protection/decision-making still issues
78. Tom Brady - QB - NE - Was QB1 overall before Lewis/Edelman injuries. Worth absorbing suspension
79. Travis Kelce - TE - KC - If KC passing game increases, watch out, otherwise frustrating
80. Antonio Gates - TE - SD - **VALUE** - High floor TE1 could see more targets w Johnson out, Green gone
81. Martellus Bennett - TE - NE - **VALUE** - Should clean up in red zone and benefit from mismatches
82. Bilal Powell - RB - NYJ - **RISER** - Already a great weekly flex, if Forte has injury-riddled season could be strong RB2
83. Tyler Eifert - TE - CIN - **FALLER** - Could miss a month or more, but will be core target upon return
84. Stefon Diggs - WR - MIN - **RISER** -Will be #1 wide receiver when season opens, but low volume pass offense
85. John Brown - WR - ARI - **FALLER** - Uncertainty of concussion situation is scary
86. Vincent Jackson - WR - TB - If he can stay healthy, outperforming draft slot should be a snap
87. Phillip Dorsett - WR - IND - **RISER** - Basically a starter in this offense, lots of buzz
88. Melvin Gordon - RB - SD - Still in RBBC and Chargers running game was brutal
89. Travis Benjamin - WR - SD - **VALUE** - Quality deep receiver with good QB. Might be overthinking this one
90. Torrey Smith - WR - SF - Boom/bust weekly option will be held down by poor QB play
91. Corey Coleman - WR - CLE - **FALLER** - Likely target hog until Gordon returns, needs to get over hamstring
92. Kevin White - WR - CHI - **FALLER** - Basically his rookie year, White’s main value is Jeffery injury upside
93. Philip Rivers - QB - SD - Was top 5 before Allen went down last year
94. Carson Palmer - QB - ARI - More David Johnson can only help Palmer
95. T.J. Yeldon - RB - JAX - Ivory injury upside and some PPR punch in high scoring games
96. Chris Ivory - RB - JAX - Will be the better JAX RB if they are a winning team
97. Julius Thomas - TE - JAX - With good health, will be 2A target in pass offense with Hurns
98. Delanie Walker - TE - TEN - Volume should recede with better running game, more WR depth
99. Gary Barnidge - TE - CLE - Top 5 option with McCown, but low TE1 otherwise
100. Dwayne Allen - TE - IND - Could be top 5 TE - no Fleener to share - if he can stay on field
101. Ben Roethlisberger - QB - PIT - Losing weapons and annual injury risk
102. Jay Ajayi - RB - MIA - Strong RB2 if (when?) Foster gets hurt
103. Ryan Mathews - RB - PHI - **FALLER** - Game scripts, RBBC, durability all loom as risks
104. Matthew Stafford - QB - DET - **VALUE** - Top 10 QB with Cooter, additions should help with Megatron loss
105. Spencer Ware - RB - KC - **RISER** - Strong RB2 if Charles goes down
106. LeGarrette Blount - RB - NE - As long as he makes the team, matchup flex/RB2 play
107. Ameer Abdullah - RB - DET - Big play ability, but will weekly volume be there
108. Jerick McKinnon - RB - MIN - Explosive playmaking ability and Peterson injury upside
109. Devontae Booker - RB - DEN - **RISER** - If Anderson stumbles, Booker could be a league winner
110. Alfred Morris - RB - DAL - **RISER** - Elliott injury away from keys to elite running game
111. Christine Michael - RB - SEA - **RISER** - Coming on and could usurp 1A role with hot start
112. Isaiah Crowell - RB - CLE - Good play when Browns win, but will be difficult to pick right weeks
113. Will Fuller - WR - HOU - **RISER** - Boom/bust weekly option in crowded Texans pass offense
114. Tyrell Williams - WR - SD - **RISER** - Elite athlete could get big opp with a top QB
115. Kirk Cousins - QB - WAS - As long as he doesn’t pull a Foles, projects as a QB1
116. Zach Ertz - TE - PHI - Could be volume play in ragtag pass offense
117. Coby Fleener - TE - NO - **FALLER** - Saints inflate pass catcher numbers, but terribly inconsistent
118. Devin Funchess - WR - CAR - **RISER** - Could be as productive as Benjamin and certainly is better value
119. Tavon Austin - WR - LA - Perpetual what the heck flex
120. Kenneth Dixon - RB - BAL - Only true three down back in Baltimore
121. Terrelle Pryor - WR - CLE - **RISER** - May begin season as #1 WR, weekly big play upside
122. Sammie Coates Jr - WR - PIT - **FALLER** - High ceiling pick. Lined up for big boom/bust WR3/Flex opportunity.
123. Tajae Sharpe - WR -TEN - **RISER** bye/injury insurance at best in crowded low volume pass O
124. DeVante Parker - WR - MIA - **FALLER** - Doesn't appear to be #2, behind Stills in looks and snaps
125. Justin Forsett - RB - BAL - Wasn't really released, but probably not most valuable Baltimore back at end of year
126. Darren Sproles - RB - PHI - **VALUE** - Could be core part of Eagles offense in flux, PPR punch
127. Anquan Boldin - WR - DET - **RISER** - Will become a Stafford favorite in the slot
128. Tevin Coleman - RB - ATL - Freeman injury upside and some camp momentum, but a second fiddle
129. Kamar Aiken - WR - BAL - **FALLER** - Role could shrink as year goes on
130. Theo Riddick - RB - DET - Low ceiling flex option, no injury upside
131. Blake Bortles - QB - JAX - If team takes step forward, his production will take step back
132. Kenny Stills - WR - MIA - **RISER** - Having a great preseason, looks like #2 option and trusted on third down. Separating easily
133. DeAndre Washington - RB - OAK - Lots of juice in his legs, could push Murray by season’s end
134. Chris Hogan - WR - NE - Appears to be a mainstay as #2 wide receiver
135. Markus Wheaton - WR - PIT - Didn’t capitalize on opportunity last year and could be rotation player
136. Derrick Henry - RB - TEN - **RISER** - Great preseason debut but still RBBC at best
137. James Starks - RB - GB - Waiting in wings if Lacy struggles again
138. Eric Ebron - TE - DET - Banged up, but role will grow with Megatron gone
139. C.J. Spiller - RB - NO - **VALUE** - Healthy for now and offense will set up big play opps
140. Eli Manning - QB - NYG - Will finish top 10-12, but 3-4 annual stinkers make him tough to trust
141. Derek Carr - QB - OAK - Should take step forward but QB1 bar is high
142. James White - RB - NE - RB2/Flex upside after he put up RB1 numbers when Lewis was out last year.
143. Robert Griffin III III - QB - CLE - **RISER** - Will be a FF QB1 or a bust
144. Terrance West - RB - BAL - Could take over goal line and early down work during season
144. Malcolm Mitchell - WR - NE - **RISER** - Amazing recovery from elbow injury
145. Jamison Crowder - WR - WAS - Low weekly ceiling, but could catch 70-80 balls
146. Josh Doctson - WR - WAS - Tremendous talent, but won’t be ready to contribute early
147. Dorial Green-Beckham - WR - TEN - **FALLER** - Fading, but top talent if light bulb comes on
148. Steve Smith - WR - BAL - **FALLER** - Hard to believe in after severe achilles injury
149. Rob Kelley - RB - WAS - Has a chance to start Week 1 if Jones can't go, looked competent
150. Ryan Fitzpatrick - QB - NYJ - Matchup streaming QB option
151. Marcus Mariota - QB - TEN - High ceiling/low floor weekly QB option with injury risk
152. Tyrod Taylor - QB - BUF - High ceiling/low floor weekly QB option with injury risk
153. Andre Ellington - RB - ARI -**RISER** Still believe in the talent, but needs an injury ahead of him to matter
154. Chris Thompson - RB - WAS - Low weekly ceiling but can help at RB in a pinch
155. Joe Flacco - QB - BAL - High volume pass O makes him suitable streamer
156. Laquon Treadwell - WR - MIN - **FALLER** - Will require some patience, but should be top red zone option
157. Jameis Winston - QB - TB - Slimmed down and should be improved
158. Terrance Williams - WR - DAL - Weekly boom/bust option in low volume pass offense
159. Robert Woods - WR - BUF - #2 in low volume pass O, but was playing hurt last year
160. Pierre Garcon - WR - WAS - Starter as long as Doctson is developing, but only bye/inj depth
161. Mohamed Sanu - WR - ATL - Julio injury upside, but otherwise bye/inj depth
162. Rishard Matthews - WR - TEN - May be #1 WR, but very crowded low volume pass O
163. Shane Vereen - RB - NYG - decent weekly ceiling, but very low floor, no injury upside
164. Mike Wallace - WR - BAL - **RISER** Could be primary deep threat if Perriman’s knee isn’t right
165. Jermaine Kearse - WR - SEA - Weekly what the heck flex, big injury upside
166. Jimmy Graham - TE - SEA - Could be solid fantasy TE depth, but unlikely to do more
167. Shaun Draughn - RB - SF - **RISER** - receiving back on losing team could have sneaky weekly upside
168. Ryan Tannehill - QB - MIA - Matchup streaming QB option
169. Austin Seferian-Jenkins - TE - TB - **FALLER** - Will likely share with Brate - if he’s still a Buc to open season
170. Eli Rogers - WR - PIT - **RISER** - Chance for lots of short targets in high octane PIT pass offense
171. Virgil Green - TE - DEN - **RISER** - High percentage target in offense with poor quarterback and Kubiak made Owen Daniels into something
172. Kenny Britt - WR - LA - Finished strong, what the heck flex
173. Breshad Perriman - WR - BAL - Worth a pick in very deep leagues to see if his knee holds up
174. Ted Ginn Jr - WR - CAR - High weekly ceiling as part of a WR rotation
175. Vance McDonald - TE - SF - Needs Gabbert to win job to have value
176. Jared Cook - TE - GB - Upside as seam ripper in GB offense
177. Zach Zenner - RB - DET - Inside track to be Lions “big back” but watch out for Dwayne Washington
178. Clive Walford - TE - OAK - Developing but likely to remain only bye/injury option
179. Cameron Brate - TE - TB - Seferian-Jenkins likely makes this TEBC
180. Jaron Brown - WR - ARI - Impressing in summer and could play a large role if Brown concussion lingers
181. J.J. Nelson - WR - ARI - Could be surprise value if John Brown concussion is an issue.
182. Darrius Heyward-Bey - WR - PIT - If Coates continues to suggest, could get the deep targets in PIT
183. Charcandrick West - RB - KC - Second fiddle to Ware if Charles goes down
184. Tim Hightower - RB - NO - Has to beat out Daniel Lasco for backup job
185. Robert Turbin - RB - IND - Won the #2 job in camp
186. Orleans Darkwa - RB - NYG - Backup to Rashad Jennings, whose durability record isn't spotless
187. Daniel Lasco - RB - NO - High Ingram injury ceiling if Hightower surprise cut
188. Alex Smith - QB - KC - If Chiefs pass more, will be viable streaming option
189. Jay Cutler - QB - CHI - Offense will remain run-heavy, but WRs make him streaming option
190. Andy Dalton - QB - CIN - Offense should be more conservative with WR losses
191. Dak Prescott- QB - DAL - Running QB could start hot
192. Justin Forsett - RB - FA - Strong indications that he will be re-signed by Ravens
193. Davante Adams - WR - GB - WR3 by default, draft in very deep leagues and see what happens
194. Tyler Boyd - WR - CIN - Has a chance to be team's WR2 from day one
195. Charles Clay - TE - BUF - Needs to stay healthy. Could be #2 receiving option
196. Jesse James - TE - PIT - **FALLER** - Will start for at least the first six weeks and was a frequent target in preseason Week 3
197. Crockett Gillmore - TE - BAL - Interesting option if he can stay healthy.
198. Mike Gillislee - RB - BUF - will open season as #2 back in good running game
199. Zach Miller - TE - CHI - Big numbers last year only came when WRs hurt
200. Jordan Cameron - TE - MIA - **FALLER** - Struggling so far, but good role to be had if he can right ship