Jalen Hurts finished last season as the No. 6 quarterback in standard fantasy scoring following seasons in which he was the QB3 (2022) and QB2 (2023). He is one of only two quarterbacks to finish QB8 or higher in each of the past four seasons, which includes every season he has been a full-time starter.

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His fantasy appeal stems largely from his rushing production. Since 2021, he's averaged nearly 150 fantasy points per season from rushing alone, which is the most of any other quarterback in the league in that timeframe. However, his ceiling as a passer has been lowered by the Eagles' rushing success and frequent late-game leads.

Top 10 QB, Rushing Only Fantasy Points (2021-2024)

Hurts has unquestionably been the biggest beneficiary of one of the most talked-about plays of the past few years: the Tush Push (or The Brotherly Shove as it's affectionately known in Philadelphia). Since the Eagles incorporated the play into their weekly game plan in 2022, they have converted it into first downs over 100 times. It has become a near-automatic conversion tool in third- and fourth-and-1 situations. Hurts has rushed for 167 yards, 69 non-scoring first downs, and 28 touchdowns on 112 plays with one yard to go, an 86.6 percent conversion rate. 

The Eagles have run the Tush Push so successfully that a majority of NFL owners recently voted to ban it, although it still fell two votes short of the 2/3rds threshold needed to repeal the play. Just over 40 percent of Hurts' fantasy points from rushing plays have come from one-yard-to-go situations that remain ripe for Tush Pushes. Even if all those plays were removed last season, Hurts would still have had the fourth-most fantasy points from rushing among quarterbacks and would still have been a borderline QB1. 

But the Tush Push is here to stay, at least for another year. Even if it has been banned, Hurts can still squat 600 pounds, giving him the strength and leg drive to push himself forward one yard even without help from behind. He also retains an offensive line capable not only of giving Hurts the space to plunge ahead one yard but also the time to run for many more yards when the line of scrimmage is away from the goal line. 

Jalen Hurts' Elite Rushing Upside

Jalen Hurts has averaged nearly 10 fantasy points per game as a runner over the past four years, using standard scoring found in most leagues. He has 2,779 rushing yards since 2021, ranking him second among quarterbacks behind only Lamar Jackson (3,267). His 52 rushing touchdowns are not only the most by any quarterback but also more than any running back has scored over the past four combined seasons. His 253 rushing first downs lead all quarterbacks and would trail only Derrick Henry (271) and Jonathan Taylor (259) if Hurts had been a running back. 

Jalen Hurts' Rushing Statistics, 2021-24

The arrival of Saquon Barkley did not negatively impact Hurt's rushing statistics despite fears to the contrary. Barkley was the runaway best fantasy running back, yet Hurts ended the year with nearly the same number of rushes, rushing yards, and rushing touchdowns as he did the previous season in two fewer games. Combined, Hurts and Barkley rushed for 2,635 yards, 144 first downs, and 27 touchdowns. Only Baltimore as a team ran for more yards, only three other teams had more rushing first downs, and only Buffalo had more rushing touchdowns than Barkley and Hurts. The duo combined for 36 carries inside the 5-yard line, which was more than 29 NFL teams. 

Hurts led quarterbacks in rush attempts from inside the 5-yard line each of the past four seasons. As our Zareh Kantzabedian noted, "Even with Saquon Barkley being on the Eagles, Hurts was the primary goal-line option. Hurts finished the year with 19 attempts for 11 touchdowns from inside the five." Barkley converted 17 such rushing attempts into four touchdowns. Critically, Barkley was tackled at the 1-yard line 11 times last season, and Hurts scored seven of his 14 rushing touchdowns following those plays. 

The Tush Push contributed to this distribution, but Hurts had been the most-used runner from inside the five before it became their go-to play. Hurts converted 13 rush attempts into touchdowns in 2021. The Eagles ran 20 plays from their opponents' 1-yard line that season, 14 of which were rushing attempts. Hurts had half of those, scoring five touchdowns in seven attempts. 

Hurts will continue to get high-value carries, especially with the Tush Push remaining intact. Expect the newly arrived A.J. Dillon to get some change-of-pace carries near the goalline, in the Kenneth Gainwell role, which involved three such carries last season. Dillon had at least 10 carries inside the five in each of his last three seasons in Green Bay. Second-year backup Will Shipley did not have a carry near the goalline last season. 

Hurts will also continue to use his legs in the open field. Over this five-year career, he has 104 rushes of 10 or more yards, more than a quarter of which went for 20 or more yards. He has seven career touchdown runs of 10 yards or more. Can he continue to run at such an elite level?

Comparing Quarterbacks Entering Year 6

Jalen Hurts will be entering his sixth season. In the Super Bowl era, 40 different quarterbacks ran for at least 400 yards at least once during the first five seasons of their careers. Of those, 14 rushed for at least 400 yards at least once beyond their fifth seasons. Steve Young did it four times; Steve McNair, Cam Newton, and Michael Vick did it three times; Randall Cunningham and Kordell Stewart did it twice; and Daunte Culpepper and Colin Kaepernick did it once among players who are retired. 

Looking just at quarterbacks' fifth seasons, Hurts and nine others rushed for at least 400 yards during their respective fifth seasons in the Super Bowl era. Four of these nine quarterbacks increased their total rushing yardage the following season.

Comparing Rushing Yards and Touchdowns from Year 5 to Year 6

The biggest jumps in rushing production belong to Michael Vick (+442 yards) and Randall Cunningham (+321 yards), driven by significantly higher yards per carry and an increase in rushing attempts compared to the previous season. Lamar Jackson and Tyrod Taylor had more modest gains in rushing yardage but scored more touchdowns in their sixth seasons.

Josh Allen saw his rushing yardage decrease by 238 yards, but he more than doubled his rushing touchdowns to 15. Cam Newton's rushing attempts declined by nearly a third, and his average gain per rush fell by nearly two yards during his sixth season. Bobby Douglass and Greg Landry played in six fewer and seven fewer games in their sixth seasons, respectively, compared to their fifth seasons, due to injuries. 

Looking at per-game average production, Vick and Cunningham experienced increases of greater than 20 rushing yards per game in their sixth seasons, while Jackson, Allen, and Newton each showed declines of more than 12 rushing yards per game. 

Comparing Rushing Yards and Fantasy Points Per Game from Year 5 to Year 6

From a fantasy perspective, Cunningham increased his output by nearly 2.4 points-per-game, arising from averaging one more carry per game, gaining two more yards per carry, and scoring one more rushing touchdown than in his fifth season. Allen's lost yardage production was more than replaced by scoring eight additional touchdowns over his fifth season, raising his fantasy points for rushing by a point per game. Vick's touchdowns declined in year six, but increases in his carries per game and yards per carry more than offset them. Newton became less efficient, ran the ball fewer times, and scored five fewer touchdowns on the ground, resulting in his fantasy production due to rushing declining by 3.33 points per game.

Hurts' fifth-year performances have exceeded those of most of the quarterbacks compared in this section. His 630 rushing yards were the fourth most for a fifth-year quarterback, and his 14 rushing touchdowns were the most. Among these quarterbacks, Hurts had the most rushing attempts (150), rushing attempts per game (10.0), rushing touchdowns (14), and average fantasy points per game based on rushing (9.80) in his fifth season. Thus, he has a higher baseline against which his 2025 fantasy production must be measured.

His touchdown totals may already have reached their ceiling. Changes in play-calling on short goal-to-go situations may shift some opportunities to other players, as would any teammates who score instead of being tackled short of the goal line. Our projections show a slight decrease in rushing touchdowns, but the expectation of 600 or more rushing yards remains in place. Each rushing yard is worth two-and-a-half times the value of a passing yard in most fantasy scoring formats, so the more Hurts continues to run, the better his value to fantasy managers will remain.

A 'Fine Passer,' When He's Asked to Be

As our Bob Harris noted, Jalen Hurts is "a fine passer -- if only we saw it more often." Philadelphia was 9-0 in games where Hurts played most of the game and attempted fewer than 30 passes. Hurts had 30 or more pass attempts in each of the first four games last season, but only once after Week 4. "Hurts is efficient," Harris said, "but in games where the Eagles are rolling, his volume can vanish." The Eagles' rushing success reduced the need for Hurts to throw the ball to move the chains. Philadelphia's 164 first downs by rushing tied for the most in the NFL, but their 168 first downs by passing tied for 26th. 

Game script also capped Hurts' passing volume. The Eagles played with the lead for an average of more than 33 minutes of game time last season, ranking fourth in the NFL. As a result, Hurts finished 20th in the league with 2,903 passing yards, his lowest output since his rookie season. He averaged fewer than 200 yards passing per game last season and surpassed 300 passing yards just once. If we exclude the Week 16 start during which he played two series, then he would have averaged 206.6 passing yards per game, which is very close to his 2021 season average.

Hurts' Passing Statistics, 2020-24

* Hurts played in 15 games but started just four in his rookie season. The stats shown for 2020 include only those games he started.

Hurts' efficiency can overcome some of that limited volume. He averaged 0.74 fantasy points per dropback last season, trailing only Lamar Jackson. He completed 6 percentage points more of his passes than what would be expected in 2024, which ranked second behind only Joe Burrow, according to Fantasy Points Data. Receivers dropped just 2.5 percent of Hurts' passes, ranking fourth-lowest in the league among quarterbacks with at least 100 pass attempts. Over the past four seasons, 78.5 percent of Hurts' passes have been on target, excluding spikes and throwaways, according to Stathead data. This places him sixth among quarterbacks averaging at least 300 attempts per season played over that span. 

Our projectors, Bob Henry and Jason Wood, expect an increase in passing volume in 2025 to just short of 300 completions on 430 to 440 attempts for around 3,460 yards, which would resemble his 2022 season. Hurts was the QB3 in standard fantasy scoring that year.

Eagles Running It Back

All but one offensive starter is coming back for 2025. Running back Saquon Barkley, last season's overall RB1 on a point-per-reception basis, returns for a second season. Wide receivers A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith return for their fourth and fifth seasons with the team, respectively, and Jahan Dotson returns for a second season after leading the Eagles in routes run last season. Tight end Dallas Goedert returns for his eighth season after efforts to move him during the offseason bore no fruit. Collectively, these five players have more than 200 combined starts alongside Hurts.

The lone departure among offense starters was right guard Mekhi Becton, who signed with the Los Angeles Chargers following his single season in Philadelphia. Becton, who played 83 percent of snaps through Week 17 last season, will be succeeded by Tyler Steen, who was competing to be the starter last season before a preseason ankle injury opened the door for Becton. Steen nonetheless played 25 percent of the team's offensive snaps and started two games, including the Week 18 game for which the starters were inactive.

Center Cam Jurgens played 98.1 percent of the team's offensive snaps through Week 17 (Most starters were inactive for Week 18) in his first season following longtime center Jason Kelce's retirement. Left guard Landon Dickerson has 62 career starts, all with the Eagles, and he played 91.5 percent of snaps through Week 17 last season. Left tackle Jordan Mailata, a team captain, has 69 career starts, all with Philadelphia. He missed four games to injury last season but played in all but 13 snaps of the 12 games he started. Right tackle Lane Johnson, who has started 158 games for the Eagles during his 12-year career, played 84.4 percent of offensive snaps through Week 17. 

Our Matt Bitonti currently ranks the Eagles' offensive line as the best in the league, up one spot from his January rankings. Last season, the Eagles rushed for 3,048 yards, the second-most in the league, and scored 29 rushing touchdowns, including Hurt's 14 scores. As pass blockers, the line gave Hurts an average of 2.91 seconds to throw the ball last season, which was the highest among quarterbacks who attempted at least 300 passes, according to Fantasy Points Data. 

The only significant change among the coaching staff is at offensive coordinator, but the new guy is a familiar face. Kevin Patullo, who has been coaching Hurts as the passing game coordinator since 2021, is taking over playcalling duties for the first time in his 16-year NFL coaching career. Patullo will be the fifth offensive coordinator Hurts has worked with in his six seasons, but previous changes have not significantly impacted his fantasy performance to date.

Jalen Hurts' Recent Stats and 2025 Projections

Recent Stats

Projections

Final Thoughts

Jalen Hurts remains an elite quarterback with high rushing upside who should be a priority target for fantasy managers. With the Tush Push safely returned to the playbook, any debate over whether Hurts will continue to get short-yardage goal-to-go opportunities is over. However, doubts persist regarding the fantasy value of his passing. His passing volume last season was hurt by the success of the Eagles' rushing attack and frequently positive game scripts, but he nonetheless supported solid fantasy seasons for A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith. Sixth-year quarterbacks with high rushing production have experienced mixed results compared to their fifth seasons, but the pieces remain in place for Hurts to build another upper-QB1 season.