The dynasty trade value chart is tailored specifically to a 12-team PPR league that starts one quarterback, two running backs, three wide receivers, one tight end and a flex. It is meant to serve primarily as a guide for trades but is also a great resource during startup and rookie drafts. If the players and picks on each side of the trade offer add up to approximately the same number, the trade is considered even. If you receive a trade offer that sends you players with a higher total number value than the players you are giving up, it is a trade offer worth strongly considering.
The player writeups for each position will focus on players who have seen their value increase or decrease substantially since the last update.
THE NUTS AND BOLTS
The trade value numbers you see next to each player's name are a combination of projected 2016 value and future value (2017 and beyond). The calculation is based upon projected points per game minus replacement-level scoring at the position. So for example in 2015, Julio Jones averaged 23 PPG and replacement-level production at wide receiver was 12 PPG. Thus, Jones provided his owners with 11 points (23 minus 12) worth of value in 2015. The sum of Jones' projected value for 2016 (9) and beyond (37) is 46 points. For a more in-depth discussion of the method to this madness, check out the first Dynasty Trade Value Chart from two years ago.
Wide Receiver
| Rank | Player | Sept | 2016 | Future | Value | Change |
| 1 | WR Odell Beckham Jr NYG | 55 | 7 | 42 | 49 | (6) |
| 2 | WR Mike Evans, TB | 42 | 8 | 40 | 48 | 6 |
| 3 | WR Amari Cooper, OAK | 46 | 6 | 40 | 46 | 0 |
| 4 | WR Julio Jones, ATL | 46 | 8 | 36 | 44 | (2) |
| 5 | WR Antonio Brown, PIT | 46 | 9 | 33 | 42 | (4) |
| 6 | WR A.J. Green, CIN | 38 | 8 | 30 | 38 | 0 |
| 7 | WR T.Y. Hilton, IND | 25 | 5 | 28 | 33 | 8 |
| 8 | WR DeAndre Hopkins, HOU | 42 | 4 | 28 | 32 | (10) |
| 9 | WR Allen Robinson, JAX | 42 | 3 | 28 | 31 | (11) |
| 10 | WR Brandin Cooks, NO | 38 | 5 | 25 | 30 | (8) |
| 11 | WR Kelvin Benjamin, CAR | 38 | 4 | 24 | 28 | (10) |
| 12 | WR Sammy Watkins, BUF | 31 | 0 | 28 | 28 | (3) |
| 13 | WR Jarvis Landry, MIA | 30 | 4 | 24 | 28 | (2) |
| 14 | WR Dez Bryant, DAL | 28 | 4 | 24 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 | WR Keenan Allen, SD | 28 | 0 | 28 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 | WR Alshon Jeffery, CHI | 28 | 3 | 22 | 25 | (3) |
| 17 | WR Michael Thomas, NO | 13 | 3 | 21 | 24 | 11 |
| 18 | WR Donte Moncrief, IND | 20 | 2 | 20 | 22 | 2 |
| 19 | WR Corey Coleman, CLE | 21 | 1 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 | WR Randall Cobb, GB | 18 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 | WR Stefon Diggs, MIN | 28 | 2 | 15 | 17 | (11) |
| 22 | WR Will Fuller, HOU | 22 | 2 | 15 | 17 | (5) |
| 23 | WR Sterling Shepard, NYG | 20 | 1 | 15 | 16 | (4) |
| 24 | WR Jordan Matthews, PHI | 20 | 3 | 12 | 15 | (5) |
| 25 | WR Josh Doctson, WAS | 18 | 0 | 15 | 15 | (3) |
| 26 | WR Emmanuel Sanders, DEN | 9 | 3 | 12 | 15 | 6 |
| 27 | WR Marvin Jones, CIN | 19 | 2 | 12 | 14 | (5) |
| 28 | WR Demaryius Thomas, DEN | 12 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 | WR Michael Crabtree, OAK | 8 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 4 |
| 30 | WR Terrelle Pryor, CLE | 7 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 5 |
| 31 | WR Doug Baldwin, SEA | 13 | 2 | 8 | 10 | (3) |
| 32 | WR Tyler Lockett, SEA | 13 | 0 | 10 | 10 | (3) |
| 33 | WR Willie Snead, NO | 13 | 2 | 8 | 10 | (3) |
| 34 | WR Jordy Nelson, GB | 12 | 5 | 5 | 10 | (2) |
| 35 | WR Martavis Bryant, PIT | 10 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 0 |
| 36 | WR Jamison Crowder, WAS | 5 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| 37 | WR Tyrell Williams, SD | 5 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 5 |
| 38 | WR Jeremy Maclin, KC | 18 | 1 | 7 | 8 | (10) |
| 39 | WR Eric Decker, NYJ | 14 | 0 | 8 | 8 | (6) |
| 40 | WR DeVante Parker, MIA | 12 | 1 | 7 | 8 | (4) |
| 41 | WR Kevin White, CHI | 9 | 0 | 8 | 8 | (1) |
| 42 | WR Laquon Treadwell, MIN | 9 | 0 | 8 | 8 | (1) |
| 43 | WR Golden Tate, DET | 8 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 0 |
| 44 | WR Davante Adams, GB | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 6 |
| 45 | WR Ty Montgomery, GB | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 8 |
| 46 | WR Allen Hurns, JAX | 12 | 1 | 6 | 7 | (5) |
| 47 | WR Julian Edelman, NE | 9 | 2 | 5 | 7 | (2) |
| 48 | WR Larry Fitzgerald, ARI | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 | (2) |
| 49 | WR John Brown, ARI | 9 | 1 | 6 | 7 | (2) |
| 50 | WR Brandon Marshall, NYJ | 14 | 2 | 4 | 6 | (8) |
| 51 | WR Michael Floyd, ARI | 14 | 0 | 6 | 6 | (8) |
| 52 | WR Travis Benjamin, CLE | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | (6) |
| 53 | WR Tyler Boyd, CIN | 8 | 0 | 6 | 6 | (2) |
| 54 | WR Dorial Green-Beckham, TEN | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 0 |
| 55 | WR Kenny Britt, STL | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 56 | WR Cole Beasley, DAL | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 6 |
| 57 | WR Tavon Austin, STL | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 58 | WR Marqise Lee, JAX | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 |
| 59 | WR Phillip Dorsett, IND | 15 | 0 | 4 | 4 | (11) |
| 60 | WR Tajae Sharpe, TEN | 12 | 0 | 4 | 4 | (8) |
| 61 | WR Devin Funchess, CAR | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | (4) |
| 62 | WR Breshad Perriman, BAL | 7 | 0 | 4 | 4 | (3) |
| 63 | WR Malcolm Mitchell, NE | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 | (2) |
| 64 | WR DeSean Jackson, WAS | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 65 | WR Mohamed Sanu, CIN | 4 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 |
| 66 | WR Sammie Coates Jr, PIT | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 1 |
| 67 | WR Chris Hogan, NE | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 68 | WR J.J. Nelson, ARI | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
| 69 | WR Josh Gordon, CLE | 20 | 0 | 3 | 3 | (17) |
| 70 | WR Nelson Agholor, PHI | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | (3) |
Wide Receiver Movers
We see a lot of receivers near the top of the chart dropping in value. 2016 has served as a reminder that even wide receiver production is highly situationally-dependent. A drop in market share or quarterback struggles can quickly turn an elite fantasy WR1 like DeAndre Hopkins or Allen Robinson into a mediocre WR2/WR3 in the blink of an eye. Kelvin Benjamin and Stefon Diggs have also seen value drops after coming crashing back to earth following red hot starts to the season.
Mike Evans (48, +6) While Evans per-target averages are unimpressive, he is leading the NFL in targets this season. He has predictably seen his touchdown production bounce back (on pace for 14 this season) after inexplicably reaching the end zone just three times on 148 targets in 2015. There has to be some concern about Evans’ ability to put continue putting up huge numbers in future years. As we’ve seen with DeAndre Hopkins in 2015 and 2016, fantasy production that is heavily reliant on an abnormally large market share of targets can dissolve pretty quickly (for example if Tampa was to take legit WR2 early in the 2017 draft). Unlike Hopkins, Evans does have a talented young quarterback throwing him the ball. If you believe in Winston, you have to love Evans’ long-term outlook. At just 23-years old, Evans is a top-5 dynasty value. Since the September trade value update, Evans has leap-frogged over older receivers Antonio Brown and Julio Jones in the rankings and clearly separated from fellow youngsters DeAndre Hopkins and Allen Robinson.
T.Y. Hilton (33, +8) Hilton has seen his value steadily creep up for a few reasons. First, any minor concerns about Andrew Luck and his ability to be an elite NFL passer after a rough 2015 season have been put to rest. Luck is a superstar and the Colts’ lack of talent on defense (which isn’t likely to change any time soon) means that Indianapolis has to throw the ball a bunch. Second, Hilton has cemented his role as the true #1 receiver in Indianapolis. He has risen to the occasion while injuries have ravaged the Indianapolis wide receiver corp and he has dominated targets even when all of the receivers have been healthy. Any concerns about Phillip Dorsett and Dwayne Allen significantly eating into his targets have died as the duo, even when healthy, has struggled. Hilton is locked in contractually to stay in Indy with Andrew Luck through his prime years and is an every week WR1 option for the foreseeable future.
DeAndre Hopkins (32, -10) We were pretty sure we’d see some regression from Hopkins in 2016 after he put up monster numbers in 2015 (especially during the first half of the season), but the massive dropoff we’ve seen is shocking. At the midway point of the season, Hopkins is on pace for an 80-868-6 line. It’s tough to know what to make of Hopkins. He’s just 24-years old and he is a talented player, but it’s hard to get excited about him in this Texans offense. Brock Osweiler isn’t good. The tight ends are more involved (especially C.J. Fiedorowicz) and Will Fuller will see his fair share of targets. In a run-first offense with poor quarterback play, the passing-game pie is simply too small to be cut up so many ways and support a fantasy WR1. If you can still get a top 10-15 player type of return for Hopkins, now may be a good time to move him because his value could fall even further if current trends continue.
Allen Robinson (31, -11) Blake Bortles has justifiably been receiving most of the blame for the Jaguars offensive struggles, but Robinson has also regressed in his third season and bears his fair share of the blame as well. After averaging a healthy 9.3 yards per target last season, Robinson is near the bottom of the league with just 5.2 yards per target in 2016. Allen Hurns (7.9) and Marqise Lee (8.7) both boast much higher yards per target than Robinson. There is still plenty to like about the freakishly athletic 23-year old Robinson, but he’s not the top-5 dynasty asset he was coming into the season.
Michael Thomas (24, +11) The rookie 2nd-rounder has been on fire in recent weeks and is emerging as the co-#1 target in the Saints passing offense alongside Brandin Cooks. Thomas is currently on pace for a monster rookie season of 96 catches, 1143 yards and 7 touchdowns. He may even exceed those numbers as Bob Henry projects Thomas as a top-10 receiver over the second-half of the 2016 season. He has made a strong case for consideration as the 2nd most valuable rookie (behind only his former Buckeye teammate, Ezekiel Elliott). Perhaps the biggest concern for Thomas as a long-term dynasty asset is potential fantasy regression in the coming years as Drew Brees slows down. We’ve seen Demaryius Thomas fade somewhat from fantasy prominence in recent years as Peyton Manning showed signs of age and then retired and Thomas’ fantasy value is similarly tied to the continued productivity of his 37-year old quarterback.
Running Back
| Rank | Player | Sept | 2016 | Future | Value | Change |
| 1 | Ezekiel Elliott | 31 | 11 | 40 | 51 | 20 |
| 2 | David Johnson | 34 | 11 | 33 | 44 | 10 |
| 3 | LeVeon Bell | 33 | 10 | 30 | 40 | 7 |
| 4 | Todd Gurley | 30 | 5 | 25 | 30 | 0 |
| 5 | Derrick Henry | 16 | 1 | 20 | 21 | 5 |
| 6 | Lamar Miller | 25 | 5 | 15 | 20 | (5) |
| 7 | Melvin Gordon | 18 | 5 | 15 | 20 | 2 |
| 8 | Spencer Ware | 7 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 10 |
| 9 | Carlos Hyde | 14 | 4 | 9 | 13 | (1) |
| 10 | Devonta Freeman | 9 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 4 |
| 11 | Devontae Booker | 7 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 6 |
| 12 | Jordan Howard | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 11 |
| 13 | Jay Ajayi | 1 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 12 |
| 14 | DeMarco Murray | 9 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 3 |
| 15 | Tevin Coleman | 8 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 3 |
| 16 | LeSean McCoy | 9 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
| 17 | Doug Martin | 9 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 1 |
| 18 | Theo Riddick | 10 | 3 | 6 | 9 | (1) |
| 19 | Mark Ingram | 12 | 2 | 6 | 8 | (4) |
| 20 | Jeremy Hill | 9 | 1 | 7 | 8 | (1) |
| 21 | Kenneth Dixon | 9 | 1 | 7 | 8 | (1) |
| 22 | Thomas Rawls | 8 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 | Adrian Peterson | 8 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 | Christine Michael | 6 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 2 |
| 25 | LeGarrette Blount | 5 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 2 |
| 26 | Giovani Bernard | 9 | 1 | 6 | 7 | (2) |
| 27 | Jerick McKinnon | 8 | 1 | 6 | 7 | (1) |
| 28 | C.J. Anderson | 19 | 0 | 6 | 6 | (13) |
| 29 | Ameer Abdullah | 9 | 0 | 6 | 6 | (3) |
| 30 | Matt Forte | 11 | 3 | 3 | 6 | (5) |
| 31 | Eddie Lacy | 9 | 0 | 6 | 6 | (3) |
| 32 | Isaiah Crowell | 7 | 1 | 5 | 6 | (1) |
| 33 | Duke Johnson Jr | 5 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 1 |
| 34 | C.J. Prosise | 5 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 1 |
| 35 | T.J. Yeldon | 7 | 1 | 4 | 5 | (2) |
| 36 | Dion Lewis | 5 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 37 | Latavius Murray | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | (4) |
| 38 | Charles Sims | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | (4) |
| 39 | DeAndre Washington | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | (1) |
| 40 | Jalen Richard | 5 | 1 | 3 | 4 | (1) |
| 41 | Jamaal Charles | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | (4) |
| 42 | Jonathan Stewart | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
| 43 | Charcandrick West | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
| 44 | Dwayne Washington | 4 | 0 | 3 | 3 | (1) |
| 45 | Frank Gore | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 46 | Bilal Powell | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 47 | James White | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 48 | Rob Kelley | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
| 49 | Terrance West | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
| 50 | Jeremy Langford | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2 | (6) |
| 51 | Ryan Mathews | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | (2) |
| 52 | Matt Jones | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | (2) |
| 53 | Chris Ivory | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 54 | Chris Thompson | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 55 | Darren Sproles | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| 56 | Rashad Jennings | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | (1) |
| 57 | Shane Vereen | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | (2) |
| 58 | Josh Ferguson | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 59 | Kenyan Drake | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| 60 | James Starks | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Running Back Movers
We may not be seeing a renaissance of the running back position because so many teams continue to use RBBCs. However, the trend towards RBBCs has made the few talented lead backs that still exist stand out as massive fantasy difference-makers. Running backs in the first round of dynasty startup drafts are back and anyone who took the plunge with Ezekiel Elliott in the late-1st of 2016 dynasty startups has to feel like the gamble has been worth it.
Ezekiel Elliott (51, +20) Many dynasty owners will blanch at the suggestion that a running back should be considered the most valuable asset in dynasty PPR leagues, but that may be where we are at with Elliott for a number of reasons. Here is the case for Elliott:
- Elliott is a superstar, generational talent at running back. He passes the eye test with flying colors, running with power, speed, quickness and vision that is rarely seen. He’s currently on pace for 2,169 total yards.
- The long-term situational outlook is also outstanding. The key pieces of the Cowboys elite offensive line are young and locked into long-term deals. The Cowboys have obviously found something in rookie passer Dak Prescott. He throws well enough to keep defenses from selling out to stop the run and Prescott’s mobility also helps to open up running lanes for Elliott. Aside from injury (always a concern at the position, though Elliott has never suffered a serious injury), there’s no reason to think Elliott won’t continue to be a dominant fantasy force over the next 4-to-5 years.
- The fantasy landscape helps Elliott’s value. Wide Receiver has never been deeper and the ranks of difference-making, RB1s has never been shallower. Elliott is a slam dunk over mid-career receivers like Julio Jones and Antonio Brown. Elliott is a full seven years younger than Brown for example. There remains a strong case for Odell Beckham, Jr. as the top overall dynasty asset, but he has come back to the pack a little bit at receiver. He’s still a great young player, but we aren’t consistently seeing the same impact games from him that we did before the Giants added depth at receiver and he’s catching less than 6 passes per game.
David Johnson (44, +10) Many of the factors that have helped Elliott’s value rise also apply to Johnson. There are so few elite running backs, the few studs are incredibly valuable. Johnson provides an immense weekly advantage to his owners and the consistency of his production has been remarkable. He has put up at least 16 points in each of the first eight weeks. Johnson is arguably the most valuable player in all of fantasy in the short term. We also haven’t seen him impacted too negatively by the obvious regression we’ve seen from an aging Carson Palmer. Despite the similar short-term projections, there is still a value gap compared to Elliott though. Johnson is 3.5 yards older and there are certainly more questions about the Cardinals offense going forward.
Derrick Henry (21, +5) It’s violating one of my rules of thumb to rank Henry so highly; in general it is best to prioritize immediate, short-term production at running back and not overvalue longer-term projections. This philosophy makes sense because the position is so situation-dependent and injuries can so quickly change things. However, the long-term outlook is so appealing for the RB1 in Tennessee (the young tackles are excellent, Mariota’s speed keeps defenses honest, game plans will be run-heavy, etc.) and Henry is so talented that his long-term value simply can’t be ignored. Thus, Demarco Murray’s stellar 2016 season both helps and hurts Henry’s value. The veteran looks to still have enough left in the tank to keep Henry in a supporting role for 2016 and perhaps 2017. But Murray’s monster 2016 season also shows what is possible for Henry when he eventually takes over. He too has a great shot at being a top-5 fantasy back in the lead role.
Spencer Ware (17, +10) Jamaal Charles has been placed on injured reserve and may have played his last snap for the Chiefs (he will be 30-years old soon and has salary and roster bonuses of $7M next season). Ware has easily picked up the slack. The Chiefs are riding a 16-2 regular-season streak while leaning on Ware to carry the offense. The 24-year old Ware runs with a tone-setting, physical style and has also seen his impact as a pass-catcher increase in 2016. He is signed until 2019, so we should have at least 2.5 more years of Ware as a locked-and-loaded weekly RB1 in Andy Reid’s extremely friendly offensive system.
Jordan Howard (13, +11) At the time of our early September update, Howard was a 5th-round rookie, buried on the depth chart of a bad offense. In six games since, Howard has rushed for 110+ yards three times. He is fresh off of a 200+ total yard performance against the stingy Vikings defense and looks firmly entrenched as the lead back in Chicago. John Fox’s historical usage of running backs is worrisome (he tends to favor RBBCs), but Howard may simply be talented enough to force a philosophical change from the veteran coach.