Tyreek Hill

"Impeccable rookie season bodes well"

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Hill led all wide receivers in fantasy points per game in 2023. I'm willing to give him a mulligan for last year's disappointing follow-up after learning he required two surgical procedures on his wrist this summer. Assuming full health, Hill remains one of a handful of wide receivers with overall WR1in his range of possible outcomes. Take the discount.

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Could Hill's 80-catch, 959-yard, 6-score season be the canary in the coal mine for fantasy GMs to avoid what could be the beginning of the end for Hill's spectacular career? 

Sure. The last time career dipped below 1,200 yards receiving was 2019, when he missed four games. 

Yet, Hill also played six games last year without a starting-caliber quarterback and skill player production in Miami was down across the board. 

Twitchy speed doesn't go away suddenly without a series of leg injuries -- injuries Hill hasn't experienced during his career. Ted Ginn, Darrell Green, Deion Sanders, and Isaac Bruce are three immediate examples of players who played well into their 30s and their speed didn't take a major hit. 

Take the discount ADP will give you on Hill, but buy into him. Give the down year for the team some credence and give Hill the benefit of the doubt. 

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Tyreek Hill had a down season last year and is now 31 years old. But his target share projects extremely high with Jonnu Smith now traded to the Steelers. And he is an athletic anomaly. Don't forget Hill posted 1,700+ receiving yards in back-to-back seasons with the Dolphins before 2024.

"Hill put up one the worst yards-per-catch seasons of his career in 2024, and comes into the season with a few other red flags. The talent is undeniable and he is still a threat to score every time he touches the ball, but there is more risk than ever when drafting him."