Staff Game Picks, Week 4

Footballguys Staff's Staff Game Picks, Week 4 Footballguys Staff Published 09/30/2021

Looking to dominate your office pool this season? Eighteen Footballguys.com staff members are here to help you out. Each week they will pick the winners of every NFL game and rank their selections based on how confident they are that the team will win. The most-confident pick gets 16 points, and the least-confident gets just 1. We'll even total up everyone's picks so you can get an overall consensus on who our staff think will be the most likely winners. Each week we'll announce the weekly winners and track the overall record for the entire season.

Here are the specifics:

  • It lasts for 18 weeks
  • Pick every game straight up each week
  • Games are weighted; your most confident game would be weighed the most
  • If you miss a week, you will be awarded the lowest score for that week minus 1 point
  • The total correct picks score will determine standings
  • Tiebreaker: number of weeks with the highest score

Last Week's Picks

  • Correct picks are in bold.
  • LW is the number of points earned last week.
  • Tot is the number of points earned this season.
Visiting Team Car Ari Atl Bal Chi Cin Ind LAC NO Was Mia NYJ Sea TB GB Phi
Home Team Hou Jac NYG Det Cle Pit Ten KC NE Buf LV Den Min LAR SF Dal LW Tot
Alessandro Miglio CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN MIN LAR SF DAL 102 279
13 15 5 12 7 9 8 11 6 16 10 14 1 2 3 4
Andrew Davenport CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA TB SF DAL 104 260
16 15 3 14 8 6 11 9 2 13 10 12 4 1 7 5
Andrew Garda CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA TB GB DAL 101 254
15 12 2 10 13 6 5 14 4 9 11 16 1 8 3 7
Andy Hicks CAR ARI ATL BAL CLE CIN IND KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA TB GB DAL 88 255
3 5 2 7 9 4 1 10 11 13 15 16 14 12 8 6
Ben Cummins CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE CIN TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA LAR GB DAL 113 283
16 15 3 11 13 5 9 4 10 8 12 14 6 1 2 7
Bob Henry CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA TB GB DAL 104 280
11 10 5 15 12 6 14 9 7 13 8 16 3 2 1 4
Clayton Gray CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE CIN TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN MIN TB SF DAL 107 294
13 14 3 12 11 1 10 9 8 7 15 16 2 5 4 6
Dan Hindery CAR ARI NYG BAL CHI CIN TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA TB GB DAL 98 299
3 5 2 7 9 4 1 10 11 13 15 16 14 12 8 6
Danny Tuccitto CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA LAR SF DAL 98 263
9 14 4 15 10 6 11 12 3 13 7 16 8 1 5 2
Dave Kluge CAR ARI ATL BAL CLE PIT IND KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA TB GB DAL 98 285
13 11 10 12 9 8 6 5 14 15 4 16 3 2 1 7
James Brimacombe CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NO BUF LV DEN MIN TB SF DAL 99 290
15 14 12 13 11 9 7 10 6 8 5 16 3 4 2 1
Jason Wood CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA TB GB PHI 86 258
16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Jeff Bell CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE CIN TEN KC NO BUF LV DEN SEA TB GB DAL 106 250
16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Jeff Haseley CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE CIN TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA LAR SF DAL 110 267
13 15 9 14 11 6 10 7 4 8 12 16 5 2 1 3
Jeff Tefertiller CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN MIN TB SF DAL 89 271
16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Keith Overton CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NO BUF LV DEN SEA TB SF PHI 102 291
16 15 7 14 10 4 5 8 6 13 12 11 3 9 2 1
Keith Roberts CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NO BUF LV DEN MIN TB GB DAL 110 299
15 13 7 9 8 4 11 10 3 12 14 16 1 5 2 6
Matt Bitonti CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NO BUF LV DEN SEA LAR SF DAL 106 282
9 13 4 15 8 6 10 11 1 12 14 16 7 3 2 5
Matt Carey CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA TB GB DAL 103 276
10 16 9 14 13 4 7 6 8 11 12 15 5 1 3 2
Ryan Weisse CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA TB GB DAL 101 259
14 16 4 15 12 11 6 8 9 7 10 13 2 1 5 3
Sam Wagman CAR ARI ATL BAL CLE CIN IND KC NO BUF LV DEN SEA TB SF PHI 107 258
16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Sean Settle CAR ARI ATL BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NO BUF LV DEN SEA LAR GB DAL 114 275
12 15 2 16 14 11 10 3 4 5 9 13 8 1 6 7
Will Grant CAR ARI NYG BAL CLE PIT TEN KC NE BUF LV DEN SEA TB SF DAL 103 275
16 11 6 14 13 3 10 9 5 15 8 12 2 1 7 4

Standings

  • Tot is the number of points earned this season.
  • Wk01 is the number of points earned in Week 1.
  • Etc.
  • People who missed picking for a week are awarded the lowest score for that week minus 1 point
Staff Member Tot Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Wk18
Dan Hindery 299 95 106 98 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Keith Roberts 299 90 99 110 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Clayton Gray 294 77 110 107 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Keith Overton 291 100 89 102 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
James Brimacombe 290 99 92 99 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Dave Kluge 285 68 119 98 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ben Cummins 283 76 94 113 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Matt Bitonti 282 78 98 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Bob Henry 280 85 91 104 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Alessandro Miglio 279 89 88 102 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sigmund Bloom 277 83 109 85 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Matt Carey 276 76 97 103 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sean Settle 275 52 109 114 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
William Grant 275 66 106 103 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jeff Tefertiller 271 69 113 89 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jeff Haseley 267 69 88 110 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Danny Tuccitto 263 74 91 98 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Andrew Davenport 260 52 104 104 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Ryan Weisse 259 53 105 101 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jason Wood 258 80 92 86 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Sam Wagman 258 63 88 107 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Andy Hicks 255 58 109 88 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Andrew Garda 254 63 90 101 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Jeff Bell 250 52 92 106 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

This Week's Picks

  • Tot is the number of points earned this season.

Visiting Team Jac Car Cle Det Hou Ind KC NYG Ten Was Ari Sea Bal Pit TB LV
Home Team Cin Dal Min Chi Buf Mia Phi NO NYJ Atl LAR SF Den GB NE LAC Tot
Alessandro Miglio Cin Dal Min Chi Buf Mia KC NO Ten Atl LAR SF Den GB TB LAC 279
11 8 4 3 16 5 10 14 13 2 9 7 1 15 12 6
Andrew Davenport Cin Dal Cle Chi Buf Mia KC NO Ten Atl LAR SF Bal GB TB LAC 260
15 8 6 3 16 1 13 14 9 2 10 7 5 11 12 4
Andrew Garda Cin Dal Cle Det Buf Mia KC NO Ten Was LAR SF Bal GB TB LAC 54
15 14 13 5 16 10 12 9 11 4 6 3 2 7 8 1
Andy Hicks Cin Dal Cle Det Buf Ind KC NO Ten Was LAR Sea Den GB TB LV 255
1 14 12 2 9 3 16 8 4 11 13 6 10 15 5 7
Ben Cummins Cin Dal Cle Chi Buf Ind KC NO Ten Was LAR Sea Den GB TB LAC 283
11 10 5 1 16 2 15 9 14 3 7 4 6 13 12 8
Clayton Gray Cin Dal Min Chi Buf Mia KC NO Ten Was LAR SF Bal GB TB LAC 294
11 7 1 4 16 3 13 12 15 5 8 9 2 10 14 6
Bob Henry Cin Dal Min Det Buf Mia KC NO Ten Atl LAR Sea Bal GB TB LAC 280
11 10 2 4 16 7 13 15 9 3 12 1 5 14 8 6
Dan Hindery Cin Dal Min Det Buf Mia KC NO Ten Was Ari SF Den GB TB LAC 299
11 9 5 2 16 4 13 12 15 7 1 6 3 10 14 8
Danny Tuccitto Cin Dal Min Chi Buf Mia KC NO Ten Atl LAR SF Bal GB TB LAC 263
14 12 9 8 16 6 11 15 13 1 5 4 2 10 7 3
Dave Kluge Cin Dal Cle Chi Buf Ind KC NYG Ten Was LAR Sea Bal GB TB LAC 285
11 9 8 4 15 7 16 6 5 3 10 2 14 13 1 12
James Brimacombe Cin Dal Min Chi Buf Ind KC NO Ten Was LAR SF Bal GB TB LAC 290
11 12 1 2 16 3 13 14 4 7 8 5 6 9 15 10
Jason Wood Cin Dal Cle Det Buf Mia KC NO Ten Atl LAR Sea Bal GB TB LAC 258
1 12 10 11 16 3 9 13 14 2 8 4 7 5 15 6
Jeff Bell Cin Dal Cle Det Buf Ind KC NO Ten Was LAR Sea Bal GB TB LAC 250
15 7 9 3 16 2 12 10 13 8 5 4 1 11 14 6
Jeff Haseley Cin Car Min Chi Buf Mia KC NO Ten Was LAR SF Den GB TB LAC 267
11 9 6 10 16 7 13 4 12 3 5 1 2 14 15 8
Jeff Tefertiller Cin Dal Min Det Buf Mia KC NO Ten Was LAR SF Bal GB TB LV 271
16 15 14 13 12 11 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1
Keith Roberts Cin Dal Min Det Buf Mia KC NO Ten Was Ari Sea Den GB TB LAC 299
15 7 2 5 16 9 13 10 14 6 1 3 4 11 12 8
Matt Bitonti Cin Car Cle Det Buf Ind KC NO Ten Atl LAR SF Den GB TB LV 282
16 1 9 2 14 7 10 13 15 4 3 8 6 12 11 5
Matt Carey Cin Dal Cle Chi Buf Ind KC NO Ten Was LAR Sea Bal GB TB LAC 276
11 3 4 9 15 5 6 13 12 10 8 2 1 14 16 7
Ryan Weisse Cin Dal Cle Det Buf Ind KC NO Ten Was LAR Sea Den GB TB LAC 259
10 6 4 5 15 3 12 9 16 11 2 7 1 14 13 8
Sean Settle Cin Dal Cle Chi Buf Ind KC NO Ten Was LAR SF Den GB TB LAC 275
12 9 4 10 16 3 11 6 15 8 2 5 1 13 14 7
Will Grant Cin Dal Cle Chi Buf Ind KC NO Ten Was LAR SF Bal GB TB LAC 275
15 12 11 10 16 7 14 9 13 2 8 6 4 3 5 1
Away Picks 0 2 12 10 0 10 21 1 21 15 2 9 12 0 21 3
Home Picks 21 19 9 11 21 11 0 20 0 6 19 12 9 21 0 18
Away Conf 0 10 95 52 0 42 255 6 244 95 2 33 53 0 225 13
Home Conf 244 184 44 64 320 66 0 218 0 14 135 66 34 227 0 115

Heavy Favorites

  • According to our staffers, it's another week of mismatches as the following teams received full support:
    • Cincinnati (when was the last time this was the case?)
    • Buffalo
    • Kansas City
    • Tennessee
    • Green Bay
    • Tampa Bay (is it smart to bet against the Patriots at home?)
  • Buffalo is the heaviest of heavy favorites as 320 confidence points were thrown to the Bills.

Dual Support

  • There are a handful of games with a close split of votes:
    • Cleveland (12 votes) at Minnesota (9 votes)
    • Detroit (10 votes at Chicago (11 votes)
    • Indianapolis (10 votes) at Miami (11 votes)
    • Seattle (9 votes) at San Francisco (12 votes)
    • Baltimore (12 votes at Denver (9 votes)
  • The least confident game of the week is in Denver. The Broncos host the Ravens, but the Footballguys staff only allocated 87 confidence points. With 21 people picking, that's just over 4 confidence points per person.

Odds and Ends

With a full 16-game slate this week, having a perfect score will give you 136 total points. As we move through the season, the maximum total will drop based on the number of teams on a bye.

As an additional reminder - these picks and confidence points were made on Wednesday night so that this article may come out well before the Thursday opener. These picks won't be updated as the week progresses, so any late-breaking news will not change the confidence points. If your league allows you to change your picks right up until each NFL game starts, make sure to check the latest news before making your final selections.

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by Imagn Images
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