Below are some props that you should keep your eye on as you head into Week 13.
All props are coming from DraftKings Sportsbook lines and be sure to keep checking back throughout the weekend as props are added over the course of the 24 hours prior to the game. The number of props will largely depend on the recommended plays, but typically we stay around 5. We will not be forcing the number of props just to meet a number as if it is on here, it is deemed a good play
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Week 12 Recap
I just can’t get out of my own way this season. After a mid-year hot streak, the last three weeks have been atrocious. Time is unfortunately running out to get back to an even season, so we need a couple of big weeks in a row here.
Ryan Tannehill Under 217.5 Passing Yards- Win
Dan Arnold Over 37.5 Receiving Yards- Loss (injured)
Najee Harris Over 16.5 carries- Loss
Carson Wentz Over 252.5 Passing Yards- Loss
Tevin Coleman Over 37.5 Rushing Yards- Win
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Week 1 |
Week 2 |
Week 3 |
Week 4 |
Week 5 |
Week 6 |
Week 7 |
Week 8 |
Week 9 |
Week 10 |
Week 11 |
Week 12 |
Total |
|
3-2 |
1-4 |
2-3 |
2-3 |
3-2 |
4-1 |
4-1 |
2-3 |
3-2 |
1-4 |
0-5 |
2-3 |
27-33 |
Week 13 Plays
Diontae Johnson Over 74.5 Receiving Yards
Diontae Johnson has been a workhorse in Pittsburgh the last three weeks. In those contests, Johnson has 13 or more targets in each of those three games averaging 93 yards per game receiving. The Ravens have struggled mightily at stopping number one receivers as they have allowed 111 yards to Jarvis Landry, 121 yards to Darnell Mooney, 201 yards to Ja’Marr Chase, and 89 yards to Michael Pittman. This is a week where Johnson should be the focal point for this Steelers offense as they look to snap a horrendous offensive run that they’ve been on as of late.
Antonio Gibson Over 70.5 Rushing Yards
The key to this matchup is that JD McKissic is out which was a big reason that Antonio Gibson had 29 carries last week against the Seahawks. The Raiders will be without their best defensive lineman in Maxx Crosby as well which should help Gibson once again see significant volume. The Raiders on the season have struggled against the run as they’re allowing the 7th-most fantasy points to opposing running backs and are allowing 100 yards rushing per game. The Raiders have only faced a few bell-cow running backs this season, but every running back who has over 15 carries has topped 70 yards against the Raiders this year.
Mike Glennon Over 211.5 Passing Yards
Mike Glennon gets a bad reputation based on the contract that he signed in Chicago and then getting benched for rookie Mitchell Trubisky. However, in his limited starts since that 2017 season, Glennon has not been downright terrible. He is a limited quarterback, but a team can be competitive with him in the lineup. In the four games that Glennon started last season with Jacksonville, he topped 211.5 yards in three of his four games with the only other game he fell just short as he had 211 yards. In backup duty in his one start this season, Glennon came in and threw for 196 yards in just a half of football.
Mac Jones Under 203.5 Passing Yards
The big problem here is looking like it is going to be the weather, as there are forecasts for up to 20MPH sustained winds and gusts up to 55MPH this week. As good as Mac Jones has been, facing the wind and facing one of the best secondaries in football may be too much to overcome for the southern quarterback playing in the cold. Buffalo is allowing the fewest fantasy points and fewest yards to the opposing quarterback position as they’re allowing just 189 yards passing per game. Even without their top corner in Tre’Davious White, this is going to be a very difficult environment to play in for the rookie who is averaging just 196 yards passing on the road this season.
Najee Harris Under 88.5 Rushing+Receiving Yards
Najee Harris has seemingly hit a rookie wall late into the season. Driven partly by game script as the Steelers have been falling behind early, as well as a poor offensive line, Harris has just 20 total carries over his last two games and is averaging 48 rushing+receiving yards per game. This week, he has to face a Baltimore defense that is quickly becoming one of the best in the NFL against running backs as they are allowing the 5th fewest fantasy points to the position, and completely dominated the Browns last week holding Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt to just 59 yards on 17 touches. The Ravens have faced one of the most difficult schedules in the NFL against opposing running backs and outside of a 110-yard performance from Dalvin Cook have not allowed a running back to top 60 yards this season.
