Busts on the Washington Commanders

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As we race toward August, Footballguys.com will examine one team per weekday with our quick-hitting Team Sleepers feature. These players might not be complete busts, but we will be highlighting players our staff thinks will disappoint this year and underperform their average draft position (ADP).

Go Deeper: See in-depth projections for every Commanders player here >>>

This is a weekday series that will stretch through August 1. If you like this and want another, come back the next workday. Another will be here.

Please note that our staff has identified the players listed below. The official Footballguys stance for every Commander can be found on our projections page.

Busts on the Washington Commanders

• WR Terry McLaurin - 5 votes
• No One - 3 votes
• LB Frankie Luvu - 2 votes
• WR Deebo Samuel Sr. - 2 votes
• RB Brian Robinson Jr - 1 vote

Reasons WR Terry McLaurin Could Be a Bust

• Maurile Tremblay: Third-round price bakes in last year's 13-TD spike, but Samuel's arrival and TD regression could sink him below value.
• Hutchinson Brown: I am thrilled that he finally has a great quarterback, but 82 receptions, 1,096 yards, and 13 touchdowns will be a challenging touchdown rate to repeat. If you have to pay a top-15 wide receiver price for him, which I often see, I am likely to be out.
• Jeff Haseley: I am less interested in McLaurin this year with the addition of Deebo Samuel Sr. It will be tough to meet or exceed his production from last season. 
• Andy Hicks: Bust is a hard term, but 13 touchdown seasons are rare. Especially when a player of the calibre of Deebo Samuel Sr. gets added to the offense. 
• Craig Lakins: Currently being picked in the middle of the second round, McLaurin might be the player most impacted by the Commanders' acquisition of Deebo Samuel Sr. Couple that with a mini-camp holdout, and it's hard to see that ADP paying off. 

Reasons No One Could Be a Bust

• Phil Alexander: It's tempting to label Terry McLaurin a bust, given the more appealing receivers in his ADP range. But his talent and role as Daniels' WR1 make him a fine fallback. No poor values stand out here.
• Jason Wood: The Commanders should field one of the NFL's best offenses. Every skill player is going for fair value at worst and a discount at best. 
• Jeff Blaylock: The fantasy-relevant offensive players are all priced appropriately relative to the value they offer their drafters. 

Reasons LB Frankie Luvu Could Be a Bust

• Tripp Brebner: The linebacker Luvu played more on the edge as 2024 progressed, a trend that is expected to continue in 2025. He could disappoint in tackle-heavy scoring formats.
• Kyle Bellefeuil: Luvu's increased edge deployment in Washington last season dampens his appeal in IDP leagues that feature tackle-heavy scoring.

Reasons WR Deebo Samuel Sr. Could Be a Bust

• David Zacharias: Being 30 years old, rebounding from persistent injuries, and facing substantial target share competition is not a recipe for a WR3 season.
• Ben Cummins: Samuel is getting older and is on a new team after a down season. He's a fun player, but one who likely underperforms his ADP. 

Reasons RB Brian Robinson Jr Could Be a Bust

• Jeff Bell: His RB30 ADP makes it hard to bust, but he is a touchdown-dependent back with no pass game role. We have seen this profile experience touchdown regression and fail in the past.