Nico Collins

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The Texans are investing strongly in their receiving corp. The question is can they support an alpha wide receiver like many project Nico Collins to be, or is the more likely case that he is the number one receiver, but others get a good share too. Christian Kirk comes in free agency. The 34th and 79th picks were spent on Jayden Higgins and Jaylin Noel. And the depth chart doesnt stop there. Collins is too risky at his current asking price.

"Bounceback very likely"

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Collins was leading the NFL in receiving yards by a wide margin before a hamstring injury (and subsequent trip to injured reserve) derailed his season in Week 5. He enters 2025 as the only familiar face in C.J. Stroud's wide receiver corps, making it a safe bet Collins will see more targets than he did when sharing the field with Tank Dell and Stefon Diggs.

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Collins is a proven primary option at the position. As long as he stays healthy, Collins should approach 1,200-1,300 yards and 8-10 scores -- even with a struggling offensive line.

Christian Kirk is a likely upgrade to Stefon Diggs and Jayden Higgins offers Tee Higgins/Drake London level promise, long-term. That's enough complementary weaponry for Collins to thrive. 

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They rarely make wide receivers like Nico Collins. At 6'4.1" 215 pounds, Collins is a size mismatch while also being one of the best athletes at the position. Collins ranked second in yards per route run (3.10) in 2023 and third in the same metric (2.87) last season. In his breakout 2023 season in the 13 games where he played on 50+% of the offensive snaps, he averaged 7.8 targets, 5.8 receptions, 97.4 receiving yards, and scored 7 touchdowns. 97.4 receiving yards per game would've ranked fourth-best in the entire NFL. His 88 receiving yards per game last season did rank fourth best.

"Nico Collins has really come on since CJ Stroud became the QB in Houston. While Stroud has been up and down, Collins has been a target magnet. Expect no different in 2025."