Derrick Henry

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It's probably not wise to put all your chips in on a 31 year old running back who doesnt do much in the passing game and has over 2500 career carries. Then again Henry looks after himself, has been durable and is in a perfect situation. 

"No reason to bet on breakdown yet"

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Bob Harris and I had been wish-casting Henry to Baltimore since October of 2023 while much of the public was writing a fantasy obituary for the King in Tennessee. When you learn how NOT to conflate offensive line woes with running back skills, you land values like Henry. 

Yes, the Grim Reaper comes for us all, eventually, but Henry is healthy, he has a good offensive line, and one of the best quarterbacks in the league. And, oh by the way, Lamar Jackson is the best runner at the position, which forces multiple box defenders to account for him. This gives Henry at least 3-4 attempts per game where he's running through huge holes. 

Expect more breakaway runs, red-zone scores, and excellent fantasy volume for Henry. Don't overthink it.  

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Derrick Henry is 247 pounds. Running backs simply don't weigh that much in the NFL. Henry is an outlier monster and is an incredible athlete in general, let alone for his size. Henry ran a 4.54 40-yard dash and posted a 37-inch vertical and a 10 foot 10 inch broad jump at the combine a decade ago. There is little reason to believe his athleticism has diminished much. He ran for 1,921 yards and totaled 2,114 yards from scrimmage last season. Henry's age is starting to creep up there as he'll be 31 for the entirety of the 2025 season, but he is an outlier to continue betting on right now. The Ravens ranked second in the NFL in Offensive EPA/Play in 2024.

"Guessing at when Derrick Henry will lose to Father Time is a fool's errand. Keep betting on Henry until he gives you a reason not to. He finished with over 1900 yards and 18 total TDs last season. Henry is the focal point of the league's best rushing attack."