Vegas Value Chart: Week 16

John Lee's Vegas Value Chart: Week 16 John Lee Published 12/22/2020

Every week, the first step of your DFS homework should be to examine the opening Vegas odds on all the NFL games for that week. Through some fairly simple algebra, it is easy to derive a spreadsheet that predicts team totals for every game, thereby allowing you to develop a rudimentary gamescript to help narrow down your decisions for the week. Once the appealing (and unappealing) games have been highlighted, it becomes easier to focus upon those games to help build your core of players for that week; the caveat, however, is that the NFL is a dynamic league and anything is subject to change from Tuesday to Sunday...so keep that in mind as the week progresses and always monitor player injuries, weather conditions, and potential roster moves. Let's take a look.

[Blue font indicates games *not* on the DFS main slate.]

UPDATED SUNDAY, DECEMBER 27TH @ 6 AM (EST)

Team Opponent Odds Game Total Team Total Passing Running Team Defense
Kansas City Atlanta -10.5 53 31.75 ««« «««
Tampa Bay Detroit -9.5 54 31.75 ««« «««
New Orleans Minnesota -7 51 29 «« «««
Green Bay Tennessee -3 54 28.5 «« ««
Chicago Jacksonville -8 46.5 27.25 « «« «
Baltimore NY Giants -10 44 27 « «« ««
Houston Cincinnati -8 46 27 « «« «
Arizona San Francisco -5 49 27 « «
Buffalo New England -7 46.5 26.75 « «« «
Philadelphia Dallas -3 50 26.5 « «
Cleveland NY Jets -7 44.5 25.75 «
Tennessee Green Bay 3 54 25.5
LA Chargers Denver -3 48 25.5
Miami Las Vegas -3 47.5 25.25
Seattle LA Rams -1 47.5 24.25
Dallas Philadelphia 3 50 23.5
LA Rams Seattle 1 47.5 23.25
Denver LA Chargers 3 48 22.5
Pittsburgh Indianapolis -2 43 22.5
Detroit Tampa Bay 9.5 54 22.25 Photos provided by Imagn Images

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