Staff Against the Spread Picks, Week 12

Footballguys Staff's Staff Against the Spread Picks, Week 12 Footballguys Staff Published 11/25/2021

Footballguys is proud to return the Footballguys' staff Against the Spread Pool Challenge. Multiple staff members will pick the winner of their eight most confident NFL games against the Las Vegas line. Winners will be announced from week to week, and the best overall record will be crowned Against the Spread Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices.

Please note that this contest should NOT be viewed as direct sports wagering advice, especially later in the season. Since the staff is trying to beat one another, picks may be made to go against the grain trying to catch up in the standings. This example of game theory is more in tune with playing a contest such as this - so again, do not use these picks as direct advice towards which games to pick every week. Rather, use these picks to see the top choices each week, especially the staff members towards the top of the standings.

Here are the specifics:

  • It lasts for 18 weeks
  • Pick 8 games against the spread each week
  • Games are not weighted; each game correctly picked is worth one point in the standings
  • If you miss a week, you will be awarded the lowest score for that week minus 1 point
  • Standing will be determined by the total correct picks
  • Tiebreaker: number of weeks with the most number of correct picks

Last Week's Picks

  • Correct picks are in bold.
  • LW is the number of points earned last week.
  • Tot is the number of points earned this season.
Visiting Team NE BAL DET GB HOU IND MIA NO SF WAS CIN ARI DAL PIT NYG
Home Team ATL CHI CLE MIN TEN BUF NYJ PHI JAC CAR LV SEA KC LAC TB
Home Line +6.5 +6.5 -9.5 +2.5 -10.5 -7.5 +2.5 -1.5 +6.5 -3.5 +0.5 +2.5 -2.5 -4.5 -10.5 LW YTD
Aaron Rudnicki NE GB IND MIA NO CIN SEA LAC 4 46
Andrew Garda NE GB MIA PHI SF CAR LV LAC 4 32
Andy Hicks DET GB MIA JAC CAR KC PIT NYG 4 43
Ben Cummins NE MIN IND SF CAR CIN SEA LAC 5 47
Clayton Gray NE CHI MIN PHI CAR LV DAL NYG 4 43
Dan Hindery ATL CHI MIN TEN MIA WAS SEA PIT 5 43
Danny Tuccitto ATL CHI CLE TEN IND JAC KC NYG 3 37
Jason Wood NE BAL GB PHI CAR CIN ARI DAL 4 43
Jeff Bell BAL CLE TEN MIA NO CAR CIN ARI 3 39
Jeff Haseley NE CHI IND CAR LV SEA KC LAC 4 15
Jeff Tefertiller NE GB TEN MIA SF ARI DAL LAC 4 47
Justin Howe NE BAL CLE GB TEN IND MIA PHI 4 36
Keith Roberts NE GB TEN MIA PHI CAR ARI KC 5 37
Matt Bitonti NE CHI CLE MIN TEN PHI JAC ARI 5 43
Matt Carey CLE BUF NYJ SF CIN KC LAC TB 4 46
Phil Alexander ATL MIN MIA PHI WAS SEA DAL TB 5 43
Sean Settle BAL GB MIA SF CIN ARI KC LAC 5 37
Will Grant NE DET TEN MIA NO WAS LAC TB 5 41

Standings

  • Tot is the number of points earned this season.
  • Wk01 is the number of points earned in Week 1.
  • Etc.
  • People who missed picking for a week are awarded the lowest score for that week minus 1 point
Player Total Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Wk18
Ben Cummins 47 5 4 4 6 3 4 *7 3 3 3 *5
Jeff Tefertiller 47 4 4 *6 6 5 5 5 3 3 2 4
Aaron Rudnicki 46 4 4 4 4 *6 5 4 2 *6 3 4
Matt Carey 46 *6 3 5 4 4 5 4 *5 3 3 4
Clayton Gray 43 3 3 3 6 4 4 6 3 2 *5 4
Andy Hicks 43 5 4 4 5 1 4 4 4 *6 2 4
Dan Hindery 43 *6 4 4 4 5 4 4 3 3 1 *5
Jason Wood 43 5 4 3 5 5 *6 2 3 4 2 4
Matt Bitonti 43 5 2 5 2 4 4 5 *5 3 3 *5
Phil Alexander 43 4 3 3 4 5 2 5 4 3 *5 *5
Will Grant 41 3 3 2 4 4 3 6 4 4 3 *5
Dave Kluge 40 4 3 4 *7 4 2 5 2 5 2 2
Jeff Bell 39 0 2 5 6 5 4 5 4 4 1 3
Danny Tuccitto 37 2 4 5 2 5 1 5 4 2 4 3
Keith Roberts 37 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 3 2 0 *5
Sean Settle 37 0 4 3 6 4 5 4 *5 0 1 *5
Justin Howe 36 *6 4 4 3 3 0 4 3 1 4 4
Ryan Weisse 36 3 *5 2 5 4 4 3 3 4 1 2
Andrew Garda 32 3 2 3 3 5 0 3 4 2 3 4
Jeff Haseley 15 3 0 1 5 0 0 1 1 0 0 4

This Week's Picks

  • Tot is the number of points earned this season.

Visiting Team CHI LV BUF ATL CAR NYJ PHI PIT TB TEN LAC LAR MIN CLE SEA
Home Team DET DAL NO JAC MIA HOU NYG CIN IND NE DEN GB SF BAL WAS
Home Line +3.5 -7.5 +4.5 0.5 +1.5 -2.5 +3.5 -4.5 2.5 -6.5 +2.5 -1.5 -2.5 -4.5 +0.5 YTD
Aaron Rudnicki DET LV BUF HOU PIT TB TEN LAC 46
Andy Hicks DET JAC MIA HOU PHI TEN CLE WAS 43
Ben Cummins DET DAL BUF CAR HOU LAC BAL SEA 47
Clayton Gray CHI BUF JAC HOU PIT IND NE WAS 43
Dan Hindery DAL BUF PHI PIT DEN LAR SF WAS 43
Jason Wood BUF CAR PHI TB LAC LAR MIN BAL 43
Jeff Bell DAL BUF PIT TEN LAC LAR MIN CLE 39
Jeff Tefertiller LV BUF CAR HOU PHI TB NE BAL 47
Keith Roberts BUF ATL MIA PIT TB LAR SF CLE 37
Matt Bitonti DAL CAR PHI CIN TEN LAC LAR BAL 43
Matt Carey CHI DAL BUF TB NE LAC GB SF 46
Phil Alexander MIA HOU PIT TB TEN GB SF SEA 43
Ryan Weisse BUF ATL CAR PHI TB LAR MIN WAS 36
Sean Settle ATL MIA NYJ PHI TB LAC LAR MIN 37
Will Grant CHI LV JAC CAR PHI CIN LAC GB 41
Away Picks 3 3 10 3 6 1 8 6 8 5 8 7 4 3 2
Home Picks 3 5 0 3 4 6 0 2 1 3 1 3 4 4 4
Total Picks 6 8 10 6 10 7 8 8 9 8 9 10 8 7 6

Odds and Ends

As always, the picks are due by Wednesday night. Most of the staff agree that picking this weekend's games on Wednesday night is very difficult because you don't have much information about injuries and practice. If your league allows you to pick the later games separate from the rest, take advantage of it and make your Sunday and Monday picks as close to the weekend as possible.

A reminder that these picks are against the Las Vegas lines – so getting above 50% is respectable, above 53% gets you into the profitable zone (accounting for the Las Vegas house odds of taking 10% of every losing wager) – and anything above 60% is outstanding. That may sound easy enough, but it is much, much harder than it might seem.

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by Imagn Images
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