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Jerry Jeudy has an average draft position of 90th overall and 36th among receivers, making him part of a pivotal tier that can make your fantasy season. While it’s essential to hit on early draft picks and avoid busts, nothing is more critical than drafting players in complementary roles who vastly outperform expectations. Receivers generally break out in either their second or third seasons; if they’re going to break out, making Jeudy someone, you must have a strong opinion as you approach the 7th or 8th round of your draft.
A Pedigreed Background
Nick Saban has built a modern dynasty at the University of Alabama, and its become one of the NFL’s most coveted feeder systems. The generational run arguably started in 2011 when four members of the Crimson Tide were drafted in the 1st round, including Julio Jones at No. 6 overall. In the last 11 years, Alabama has produced:
- 95 draft picks
- 62 picks in the first three rounds
- 36 first-round picks
Nine of the 95 draft picks have been wide receivers:
- Julio Jones (2011, 1.06)
- Kevin Norwood (2014, 4.23)
- Amari Cooper (2015, 1.04)
- ArDarius Stewart (2017, 3.15)
- Calvin Ridley (2018, 1.26)
- Henry Ruggs III (2020, 1.12)
- Jerry Jeudy (2020, 1.15)
- Jaylen Waddle (2021, 1.06)
- Devonta Smith (2021, 1.10)
Jeudy was selected 15th overall last year after a three-year career at Alabama. He finished his career with 159 receptions, 2,742 yards, and 26 touchdowns in 36 games. At 6-foot-1, 192 pounds, Jeudy came into the league known as a precise route runner with good instincts and great hands but didn’t profile as an elite athlete. PlayerProfiler ranks Jeudy in the 65th percentile for speed and 41st percentile for burst; he’s not naturally explosive. But that’s only one piece of the puzzle. By comparison, Amari Cooper ranked 92nd in speed score, but a paltry 24th percentile in burst. Calvin Ridley was 64th in speed and a jaw-dropping 2nd percentile in burst; among the worst in the league. The bottom line? Measurables are only a small part of the equation when evaluating receiver outcomes.
Rookie Season: Neither Damning nor Enticing
Jeudy’s rookie season wasn’t one for the history books. He played all sixteen games, starting 14 of them, and finished the year as the 45th-ranked fantasy receiver.
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