Photo: Brad Rempel, USA Today Sports

Introduction

Monkey Knife Fight is one of the fastest-growing daily fantasy sites. It offers a fun and unique product. There are no salary caps and no need for lineup builders. You do not have to compete against DFS pros. Instead, you simply find the combination of player props you are most confident in and pick more or less. Since each combination (two or more players) plays in the same game, you can use correlation to your advantage. For example, if you assume that one starting quarterback throws for more yards than projected, the opposing quarterback also is more likely to throw for more yards. This weekly article will count down the five best props of the week.

5: Thursday Night Special

Joe Mixon LESS than 17.5 fantasy points
Tyreek Hill MORE than 16.5 fantasy points

• There are two competing schools of thought on Joe Mixon’s early results.
• The first group of fantasy analysts point to Mixon’s elite usage (leading the NFL in most fantasy opportunity metrics), believing he has merely been unlucky to date and viewing a fantasy breakout as imminent.

Don’t sell Joe Mixon, if anything you should be buying him.

-He still hasn’t scored a TD yet.
-His usage in the receiving game is up a TON from last year
-His rushing usage is similar to last year still.

Don’t panic. Buy in on Mixon before his TDs come. 📈

— Luke Sawhook 🪚🪝 (@lukesawhook) September 27, 2022

• The second group of analysts point to Mixon’s abysmal efficiency metrics through three weeks as reason to be down on him.

Joe Mixon has been one of the MOST INEFFICIENT RUSHERS in the NFL

Out of 59 RBs with a least 10 carries:

49th in PFF’s elusive rating

57th in Yards after contact per att

WOOF. Look to trade Mixon if you can pic.twitter.com/OTGI7Esj6G

— Derek Brown (@DBro_FFB) September 27, 2022

• The first group may end up being right in the longer term, but the lack of efficiency and generally mediocre play of Mixon has been noted by Bengals offensive coordinator Brian Callahan, and we have already seen some adjustments. In Week 3, the Bengals gave up on trying to establish the run early (11 pass plays on the opening drive) and a turn to backup Samaje Perine to close the game out in the fourth quarter (though Mixon’s minor ankle injury may have played a role).
• In Week 4, expect to see much more of Perine and for this to be more of a 60-40 split as opposed to Mixon dominating opportunities like he did the first couple of weeks.
• Through three games with the Dolphins, Tyreek Hill is averaging 21.8 fantasy points per game. With the Dolphins entering the Thursday night matchup as road underdogs and co-star Jaylen Waddle slightly banged up, this should be a high-usage spot for Hill.
• There is also a fun narrative angle at play. Hill has been feuding with Bengals cornerback Eli Apple and appears extra motivated to have a big game in primetime.

Tua isn't worried about Tyreek Hill vs. Eli Apple 🍿#Dolphins | #Bengals pic.twitter.com/pNLjnDgWIL

— Pro Football Network (@PFN365) September 28, 2022

4: Ground and Pound