Finding real, recently updated ADP from real Superflex drafts has always been a challenge. This week, we fixed that. The Labs ADP page now has a Superflex tab built from actual drafts. We sweep tens of thousands of redraft leagues, find the superflex leagues among them (about a quarter of managed leagues now start a second quarterback), and catalog the results of every draft completed in the last two weeks. We update that two-week sample every day. When you want to know what the fantasy community is actually doing in Superflex drafts, this ADP is your starting point.
But it is only a starting point. More than any other format, Superflex drafts refuse to follow the script and can look wildly different from one league to another. In some drafts, quarterbacks fly off the board in the first two rounds. In others, QBs slide and those who time when to strike can assemble loaded rosters.
The aggregate ADP tells you what happens in the average draft. It cannot tell you how your leaguemates will draft, and it definitely cannot tell you what you should do.
Should quarterbacks go that early? The real answer is that it depends on your scoring, your league size, and how many players your lineup starts at each position. Change those factors and the best window to target quarterbacks changes, sometimes by multiple rounds.
So how do you know what to do in your league? That is where the Draft Dominator comes in. Using our projections and algorithms built on the foundational principles of value-based drafting, it does the math for your exact league, live, while you draft. In this article, we will walk through that math: what VBD says about Superflex in 2026, where the quarterback production cliffs are, how league size impacts your strategy, and how to put the Dominator to work on draft night.
The Basics of Value-Based Drafting
Joe Bryant introduced Value-Based Drafting to the fantasy football world back in 1996, and the system still revolves around two things: detailed statistical projections for every draftable player, and positional baselines that turn those projections into a single value that allows you to easily compare across positions.
The guiding principle: a player's worth is not his point total. It is his point total above what a replacement at his position would give you. A 20-point quarterback is not worth more than a 15-point tight end if quarterbacks scoring 18 grow on trees and tight ends scoring 13 do not.
The same logic applies in Superflex, but the replacement-level baseline sits in a very different place. A 12-team Superflex league starts somewhere between 20 and 24 quarterbacks every week, and the quality of the options thins out dramatically once you get beyond the top 20 at the position. Because so many quarterbacks are starting every week, the baseline we measure the position against is much lower than in a traditional 1QB league (replacement-level scoring at QB may drop from 18 to 14, for example). The result is that every quarterback capable of holding down a starting job has real fantasy value in Superflex, not just the big names.
It is also worth noting that the baseline itself depends on your league settings. How many teams are in your league and how many quarterbacks each team can start will move that baseline up or down, which is a big part of why Superflex strategy is not one-size-fits-all and why the Draft Dominator becomes such a powerful drafting advantage.
One quick note before we get into the numbers. The math below is based on the most common setup: 12 teams, full PPR scoring, and 6-point passing touchdowns. If your league is bigger or smaller, or scores passing differently, the general shape of the analysis holds up, but the specific numbers will move around. Adjusting for your own league settings is a theme we will return to throughout the article.
Where the Quarterback Cliffs Are
Here is what the quarterback position looks like in 2026, based on our staff projections and scored using the most common league setup:
Josh Allen stands alone at the top at 24.5 fantasy points per game. Drake Maye, Joe Burrow, and Lamar Jackson make up the next tier at 22 to 23 points per game, and the Superflex market prices all three inside the top 20 picks. Four other quarterbacks project for 21+ points per game, which is elite-tier production.
From QB8 through QB16, nine different starters all project between 19.4 and 20.8 points per game. From a projection standpoint, they are close to interchangeable, and one of the keys to navigating drafts is trying to time when to target quarterbacks from this tier. Ideally, you are not starting the run of Quarterbacks in this second tier, but if you aren't drafting in the middle of the round, you may have to or risk being left out entirely. After QB 20 or so, the options thin quickly. You are choosing from quarterbacks projected in the 16s and 17s in a format where two dozen of them may be starting every week, and you potentially have to worry about your quarterback losing his starting job.
