Monkey Knife Fight is one of the fastest-growing daily fantasy sites. It offers a fun and unique product. There are no salary caps and no need for lineup builders. You do not have to compete against DFS pros. Instead, you simply find the combination of player props you are most confident in and pick more or less. Since each combination (two or more players) plays in the same game, you can use correlation to your advantage. For example, if you assume that one starting quarterback throws for more yards than projected, the opposing quarterback also is more likely to throw for more yards. This weekly article will count down the five best props of the week.
5: Touchdown Upside
Gabe Davis MORE than 12.5 fantasy points
Jamaal Williams MORE than 10.5 fantasy points
- By targeting fantasy points instead of receiving yards, we are targeting two players with high touchdown expectations and low enough props that a single touchdown makes them extremely likely to hit their over.
- The matchup against the Lions is elite for Gabe Davis. The Lions are allowing just under 3.0 seconds in opponent average time to throw, which has led to opposing quarterbacks having the highest aDOT (9.1 yards). Not only are teams throwing deep at a high rate against the Lions, they are having success doing it with the second-highest passer rating on deep balls.
- Davis is the go-to deep ball target for the Bills. Over the last two weeks, Davis has had 41.1% and 49.5% of the team air yards.
Don't look now, but Gabe Davis has a target share of 24% or higher in 3 of the past 4 games.
— Jacob Gibbs (@jagibbs_23) November 21, 2022
Davis before the Week 7 bye:
- 13% target share
- 28% air yardage share
Since then:
- 23% target share
- 36% air yardage share
- Jamaal Williams has scored multiple touchdowns in half of his games this season. Two touchdowns gets you the over even if Williams does nothing else.
- Williams is also getting a ton of volume in the run game. He has at least 15 carries in seven of his last eight games.
4: Dual Threat Unders
