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The NFL season is a chaotic, four-month-long marathon. The same chaos that makes it entertaining makes it difficult to process in real time. As the season winds down and the offseason begins, think critically about your dynasty teams.
PROCESS THE SEASON
There are a lot of things that happen we do not process during the season that can have a major impact on dynasty teams.
For example, players disproportionately impacted by high-variance stats can look different than you would expect them to look in the future. These players are often producing in a way that is difficult to repeat.
This can be good or bad for your team’s trajectory. Players who score a lot of long touchdowns in their season are the types of profiles that are tough to repeat. These players have two classic regression stats: unnaturally high touchdown rates and points per target.
On the other side, there may be running backs who looked like underperforms, but in reality, they led the league in runs against 8 man boxes, the toughest look for a running back. They may actually overproduce expectations on these runs, indicating good performance in their circumstances, but look bad on a stat sheet because the situation was so rough.
You should also consider the development track of your players. Did the players you expected to break out do so? If they did not, analyze the why. This may help you clear up your future process.
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