How to Attack Your 2-QB League Draft

Jeff Tefertiller's How to Attack Your 2-QB League Draft Jeff Tefertiller Published 07/27/2015

The diversity of leagues is one aspect that makes fantasy football so much fun. Some people like the larger leagues, while some like the smaller ones. The value of respective players varies widely with the differences in scoring and starting lineup. It is not a wise move to use standard draft strategies in the non-standard leagues. This is especially true with leagues which require two quarterbacks in the starting lineup. An entirely different strategy is essential in order to make the most of the draft. This article will look at ten team leagues, starting two quarterbacks, and utilizing PPR scoring. We will examine strategies especially designed for these leagues in order to best attack the draft and get the most for your roster. These will help you form a new strategy for your league.

Down to basics

What are the differences I should know about the 2QB leagues?

a. The biggest question is how to value quarterbacks in comparison to other positions. In leagues that start two passers, even the most average quarterbacks are worth as much as good running backs and receivers. It is difficult to balance gaining studs at other positions while still addressing quarterback. A team with two strong quarterbacks has a distinct advantage. As a general rule, it is best to only draft elite players at running back or wide receiver over starting quarterbacks. So, this means you should only take the top four or five running backs (e.g., Jamaal Charles, LeVeon Bell, Eddie Lacy, or Adrian Peterson) or the top three wideouts (e.g., Demaryius Thomas, Dez Bryant, Antonio Brown, and Odell Beckham) over the quarterback position in the first two rounds. The depth at the quarterback position will make it easier to take running backs and receivers in the early rounds. Rob Gronkowski is the lone tight end worthy of consideration early in fantasy drafts. The VBD values will show balance in value (VBD) between positions. In one quarterback leagues, the position is devalued tremendously due to so many viable players at the position. In two quarterback leagues, there is balance.

b. How do I know which quarterbacks to select? The main difference with two quarterback leagues is the increase in value with the players from QB10 to QB25. The top two quarterbacks retain good value in all leagues, but it is the ones ranked lower that need the extra analysis. The players in this range (QB10-QB25) are ranked lower because there is a question about talent, certainty of situation, potential lack of upside, or just lack of proven production. Fantasy owners usually struggle with differentiating between the less than stellar options. Approximately three projected points per game separates QB10 (Ryan Tannehill) from QB25 (Blake Bortles). With so many alternatives, the priority should be on seeking value. While it sounds simplistic, select the players who are the most talented. Next, do not spend a pick before the seventh or eighth round on a player whose job is not secure. Since every team in your league starts two players at the position, finding options with upside and proven production is the key to gaining value.

c. How does the quarterback scarcity impact the early rounds? There will be quarterback runs. This is inevitable. In leagues which start two at the position, owners will see the runs coming and will be desperate not to be left behind. This is all driven by positional scarcity. For this reason, it is best to take a stud quarterback, or two, early just to stay ahead of the curve. The mad rush for passers will push quality players at other positions down the draft.

When we look at the VBD (Value Based Drafting) application, we quickly realize how starting two quarterbacks balances out the options in the early rounds. The VBD (Value Base Drafting) accounts for positional scarcity and available options at other positions using the Footballguys.com projections. It is amazing that in the first 36 players listed in terms of value, eight are quarterbacks (down from ten last year), thirteen running backs, fourteen wide receivers, and one tight end. The balance is incredible in what represents the first three rounds of a fantasy draft. The league variables used were ten teams, eighteen roster spots, PPR scoring, and starting requirements of 2 Quarterbacks, 2 Running Backs, 3 Wide Receivers, 1 Tight End, 1 Flex, 1 Kicker, and 1 Team Defense.

Top 90 Players

Below are the Top 50 players according to the VBD values:

Rank Pos PosRank Player   Points VBD
1 WR 1 Antonio Brown 307 125
2 QB 1 Andrew Luck 388 113
3 RB 1 Matt Forte 264 112
4 WR 2 Odell Beckham 289 108
5 RB 2 LeVeon Bell 260 107
6 QB 2 Aaron Rodgers 378 103
7 WR 3 Demaryius Thomas 284 103
8 RB 3 Eddie Lacy 252 99
9 RB 4 Jamaal Charles 251 98
10 WR 4 Dez Bryant 279 98
11 RB 5 Marshawn Lynch 248 95
12 RB 6 Adrian Peterson 248 95
13 WR 5 Jordy Nelson 275 93
14 WR 6 Julio Jones 274 93
15 TE 1 Rob Gronkowski 268 89
16 RB 7 Arian Foster 241 88
17 WR 7 Calvin Johnson 261 80
18 RB 8 C.J. Anderson 232 79
19 RB 9 Justin Forsett 227 74
20 WR 8 A.J. Green 253 71
21 WR 9 Randall Cobb 252 71
22 RB 10 LeSean McCoy 224 71
23 RB 11 DeMarco Murray 221 68
24 QB 3 Russell Wilson 342 67
25 WR 10 T.Y. Hilton 243 61
26 QB 4 Ben Roethlisberger 335 60
27 WR 11 Alshon Jeffery 241 60
28 RB 12 Jeremy Hill 212 59
29 WR 12 DeAndre Hopkins 237 55
30 QB 5 Peyton Manning 324 49
31 QB 6 Matt Ryan 323 48
32 QB 7 Drew Brees 323 48
33 QB 8 Cam Newton 322 47
34 WR 13 Mike Evans 227 46
35 RB 13 C.J. Spiller 199 46
36 WR 14 Emmanuel Sanders 225 44
37 RB 14 Lamar Miller 192 39
38 WR 15 Brandin Cooks 219 37
39 RB 15 Mark Ingram 188 35
40 QB 9 Tony Romo 309 34
41 RB 16 Melvin Gordon 185 33
42 RB 17 Andre Ellington 185 32
43 QB 10 Ryan Tannehill 307 32
44 WR 16 Kelvin Benjamin 211 30
45 WR 17 Keenan Allen 211 30
46 WR 18 Jordan Matthews 211 30
47 RB 18 Joseph Randle 183 30
48 RB 19 Alfred Morris 182 29
49 QB 11 Eli Manning 304 29
50 QB 12 Matthew Stafford 303 28

It is interesting how the positions are fairly balanced,even with being a two-quarterback league. Yes, there are still only one tight end, but 18 wide receivers, 19 running backs, and 12 quarterbacks ... all with values in the first five rounds. As far as draft strategy, the values indicate a push to get as many of the top quarterbacks as possible and add running backs early in the draft before they become scarce. How does it change for the players 51-90? This represents the first half of the draft.

Rank Pos PosRank Player   Points VBD
51 RB 20 Frank Gore 179 26
52 WR 19 Julian Edelman 205 23
53 TE 2 Jimmy Graham 199 21
54 WR 20 Brandon Marshall 201 20
55 QB 13 Philip Rivers 294 19
56 RB 21 Giovani Bernard 172 19
57 TE 3 Greg Olsen 198 19
58 RB 22 Carlos Hyde 170 17
59 WR 21 Golden Tate 198 17
60 QB 14 Colin Kaepernick 291 16
61 QB 15 Jay Cutler 291 16
62 WR 22 Andre Johnson 197 16
63 RB 23 Jonathan Stewart 168 15
64 QB 16 Teddy Bridgewater 290 15
65 WR 23 Amari Cooper 196 15
66 WR 24 Roddy White 195 14
67 WR 25 DeSean Jackson 195 14
68 DEF 1 Seattle Sea/9 13 9.1
69 RB 24 T.J. Yeldon 164 11
70 RB 25 Joique Bell 163 10
71 TE 4 Travis Kelce 187 9
72 WR 26 Vincent Jackson 190 8
73 RB 26 Shane Vereen 160 7
74 WR 27 Anquan Boldin 188 7
75 WR 28 Sammy Watkins 186 5
76 RB 27 Todd Gurley 157 4
77 QB 17 Tom Brady 279 4
78 PK 1 Stephen Gostkowski 152 3
79 QB 18 Joe Flacco 278 3
80 WR 29 Brandon LaFell 184 2
81 WR 30 Larry Fitzgerald 183 2
82 QB 19 Andy Dalton 277 2
83 RB 28 Tevin Coleman 154 1
84 WR 31 Mike Wallace 182 1
85 RB 29 Chris Ivory 153 0
86 QB 20 Jameis Winston 275 0
87 TE 5 Martellus Bennett 178 0
88 WR 32 Martavis Bryant 181 0
89 PK 2 Adam Vinatieri 148 0
90 WR 33 Jeremy Maclin 181 -1

The wide receivers and running backs are still fairly balanced. With 20 quarterbacks off the board, it means that every team is assumed to have drafted two already at the position. This mad rush of passers has pushed very good backs and receivers into extreme value situations. Check out the last two receivers in the list, Martavis Bryant and Jeremy Maclin. Each is a steal this late.  It is interesting that Maclin is the first player - halfway through the draft - who has a negative VBD value.

After running a few mocks, it became obvious that getting at least one, and possibly two, top players at the quarterback position is essential. There is no way to win your league if you are starting Alex Smith and Joe Flacco at the quarterback position. A team having two of the top eight elite fantasy options has a monstrous advantage. A shortage is quickly created. The wide receiver position is the opposite. The are several very good options available at wide receiver (like Roddy White, Andre Johnson, etc.) in the middle of the draft.

In the first five rounds, it would be best to have two quarterbacks, two running backs, and either another back or one wide receiver. The VBD values drop off considerably after Stafford (QB12) and there is no way the fantasy teams with the lesser pair of passers can compete with a Rodgers/Roethlisberger combination, for example.

In two quarterback leagues, the tight end position becomes less valuable relative to the quarterback and running back positions. It is odd to see the studly Rob Gronkowski listed at player 15 overall. Savvy owners should wait until the six round or later to address the position. There are more than ten quality tight ends so you can afford to wait.

In summary, load up on ball carriers and passers early in the draft and only address wide receiver and tight after the talent falls off at the two primary positions.

Please feel free to email me (Tefertiller@Footballguys.com) with any questions or comments. Also, I am on Twitter (www.Twitter.com/JeffTefertiller), LinkedIN, and Google+ so feel free to connect where most convenient

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