Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 18

Austin Lee's Normalized Strength of Schedule: Week 18 Austin Lee Published 12/29/2014

With the 2014 regular season complete, we can use the NFL's magical scheduling pattern to analyze teams' 2015 matchups. We don't know all of the game dates or locations, but we do know the 16 opponents that each team will face.

Because you're one of our guys—a Footballguy—you know it's never too early to look ahead in this sport that really has no offseason, so I added a new tab for next season's strength of schedule (SOS) to give you an early leg up on your competition.

Click on the blue text labels below to mix and match the time frames and data types. High numbers are green. Low numbers are blue. Green is good for offenses but bad for defenses. Because future raw data doesn't exist, year-to-date data is re-used for future time frames. Normalized data predicts the future.

Data Type Descriptions

Raw Averages: Raw per-game stats for each team.

Production Percentages: Average percentages that teams have produced/allowed compared to other teams facing the same opponents.

Strength of Schedule: Average percentages that teams' opponents have allowed/produced compared to other teams facing the same opponents.

Normalized: Past time frames are normalized against past SOS. Future time frames are normalized against both past and future SOS.

Difference: Normalized stats minus raw stats.


Team: Offense Defense      
Time Frame: Year to Date Last 5 Games 2015    
Data Type: Raw Averages Production Percentages Strength of Schedule Normalized Difference