Matthew Stafford

Veteran NFL starters tend to be pushed before they jump and the Rams gave Stafford a gentle nudge with the drafting of Ty Simpson in round one. Stafford should be safe this year, but his battered body make betray him sooner rather than later

Produced at Joe Burrow FF level last year

Solved Seattle defense X2

38 years old and has a back issue

As long as the Rams passing offense continues to produce at a good pace, Stafford will have fantasy value as a top 15 QB at worst. 

Steve Young described the arc of quarterbacking perfectly: With age and experience, NFL quarterbacks see the game slow down conceptually because they've seen every coverage and disguise. They understand the game at a deep level and it flows at a slower rate. 

There's a window during a veteran QB's career where age and experience still intersects with the minimum physical skill needed to act on what they observe. 

Stafford is still in that window . He's there with an excellent supporting cast and scheme. Unlike Tom Brady, Drew Brees, Peyton Manning, and Philip Rivers, who all performed well at Stafford's age, Stafford still has a stronger arm than the average NFL starter. 

I might be too low on Stafford. Last year's results aren't predictive of Stafford's performance this year, but skill, health, surrounding talent, and scheme are all in his favor. Stafford's volatility in Detroit had more to do with the health, surrounding talent, and schemes in Detroit.