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🏆 This Vet QB Could Surprise You
10 MONTHS AGO • 13 MIN READ

🏆 This Vet QB Could Surprise You

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,03/12/26

Howdy Reader,

Welcome to Sunday.

Bob Harris just dropped a Fantasy Notebook so packed with intel, it ought to come with a warning label. Rankings? Rumors? Roster-shifting nuggets? It’s all here, and it hits harder than a goal-line linebacker.

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Strap in, hit the scroll, and let’s drop the elbow on mediocrity.

Let’s GO,

J

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What's New At Footballguys

📣 Voice Of The Footballguy 🎤

📊 POLL RESULTS: In our last issue of the Daily Update, we asked you Footballguys:

Which rookie RB takes control of his backfield first?

And the Footballguy says: I trust TreVeyon Henderson more than the Patriots do.

TODAY: Clayton Gray’s deep dive into how player values are shifting in high-stakes NFFC drafts reveals one clear trend — quarterbacks are climbing.

Among the biggest movers this week: Lamar Jackson surged 6 spots, Jayden Daniels climbed 4, and Bo Nix jumped 8. But which of these rising QBs most deserves the boost?

So today, we ask you Footballguys:

🗳️ POLL: Which rising QB most deserves their recent NFFC ADP surge?

When you vote in the Poll below, you'll see the current standings, and we'll post the final results in the next edition of the Daily Update.

1. MIA: De'Von Achane hopes to be more productive

Source: The Miami Herald - Omar Kelly

Miami Dolphins RB De'Von Achane said he believes he was not as productive as he could have been in 2024 and hopes to rush for at least 1,000 yards this upcoming season.

Our view: Achane rushed for 907 yards last year, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. Those totals were significantly boosted by a pair of monster runs at the end of the season when he gained 50 yards on a second-half run in a win over the San Francisco 49ers and 61 yards on one run in Miami's season-closing loss to the New York Jets. Before those big gains, Achane averaged less than 3.3 yards per carry in eight regular-season games. Miami's offensive line struggled so much in 2024 that the coaching staff equated short passes to Achane as substitutions for running plays, and that's why he caught a career-high 78 passes and turned them into 592 yards and six receiving touchdowns, which brought his 2024 total to 12. This year, Miami upgraded their guard spots by signing James Daniels as a free agent and drafting Jonah Savaiinaea in the second round. For fantasy investors, there will be no discounts. Achane, who finished as RB6 last year, is going as RB7 with the 18th pick overall in early best balls.

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2. KC: Jalen Royals could fill Rashee Rice-type role

Source: ESPN.com - Adam Teicher

Kansas City Chiefs director of player personnel Ryne Nutt said that the organization views rookie WR Jalen Royals fulfilling a similar role in 2025 to the one filled by WR Rashee Rice (knee) last season. Nutt said that his run-after-catch ability is one of his strong suits but added that his route running is an area where he needs to continue developing.

Our view: Royals was a fourth-round pick of the Chiefs coming out of Utah State in this year's draft. He's capable of taking short passes and turning them into long gains. Royals should be able to help move the chains, especially with QB Patrick Mahomes finding him on time and on target. The rookie has talent, but he's buried on the depth chart and likely competing for the no.4 spot with JuJu Smith-Schuster.

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Dak's Ceiling, Purdy's Payday, Henry's Reward, Achane's Ambition, and Schedule Fallout: The Fantasy Notebook

By Bob Harris - Exclusive to Footballguys

The following feature is a free preview of our content. If you like it, click here to sign up for access to our Footballguys Premium Subscriptions, and you'll get all of our content. We're so sure you'll love it that we have an industry-leading 30-day MoneyBack Guarantee, so there's zero risk.


Welcome to the weekly Fantasy Notebook, the must-stop spot for keeping your finger on the pulse of Fantasy Nation. NFL news and developments drive fantasy values. The Notebook is here to keep you in the loop on all of it throughout the season.

Now We Know

I mentioned in last week's Fantasy Notebook that this would be NFL Schedule Release Week.

While it doesn't draw NFL Draft-level hype, the league has made it another "tent-pole" event in its ongoing efforts to serve up a compelling 365-day-a-year reality show.

For those who need a quick fix, here's the full schedule:

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NFL
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@NFL
7:53 PM • May 14, 2025
1323
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If you want to dig deeper, Footballguys has you covered.

In addition to an easier-to-read 2025 Schedule Grid, you'll find our listing of Prime Time Games, Bye Weeks, Strength Of Schedule By Team, IDP Strength of Schedule, our Staff Ranking of the International Games, Sigmund Bloom's The Best Road Trip for Every NFL Fanbase, and Jeff Bell's 2025 Revenge Games.

Alfredo Brown's All 32 NFL Schedule Release Videos Ranked (From Worst To Best), with all the videos included, is available, too. Even if they're not all fantastic, it's not for lack of effort.

In addition, Bell's Best Ball Draft Strategy Based on NFL Fantasy Playoff Matchups are on the site while our own Dave Kluge has offered up a TL;DR version on X:

Of course, those same matchups will benefit redrafters, too. Meanwhile . . .

Things Continue Moving Fast In The NFL

Last week, it was a surprise trade. This week?

It was a surprise retirement, with Saints quarterback Derek Carr calling it a career over the weekend.

Okay, I wasn't that surprised. As I wrote in a Polarizing Players: Post NFL Draft Edition collaboration with Gary Davenport late last month, I suspected Carr had already checked out. I went on to suggest the Saints wouldn't mind that outcome. In fact, I think they knew it was coming. It's why they drafted Tyler Shough with the 40th pick overall -- their most significant draft-day investment in the position since they selected Archie Manning in the first round in 1971.

Shough will compete with Spencer Rattler and Jake Haener for the starting job. My expectation is that the rookie will win this competition. You can read more about that in my initial assessment of the fantasy fallout . . .

What's Changed Since Then?

We learned that Carr is "extremely unlikely" to unretire in 2026. But what if he eventually has a change of heart?

Sounds like he already did.

Katherine Terrell and Jeremy Fowler of ESPN report that a Carr "representative" spoke to at least two teams about potential interest in the veteran quarterback. The "indirect" contact let those front offices know Carr was open to playing for a new team. ESPN reports that the Saints did not provide Carr with permission to speak with other teams, as required by NFL rules.

Due to his $30 million salary and the injury issues, those conversations never went anywhere.

But if such a move happens in the future, the Saints would likely try to finagle a late-round pick from a team interested in signing him.

The shelf life for quarterbacks has extended deep into the 30s, and, for some, beyond their 40th birthdays, the 34-year-old Carr would still be well inside that window. So, even if it's unlikely for now, we'll tuck that into our "for future reference file" and move on . . .

This week, in addition to covering a couple of high-profile contract extensions, the Fantasy Notebook has the latest installment of our ongoing look at this year's crop of incoming play callers and offensive coordinators -- and, more importantly, what they mean for the players who'll man our rosters this fall.

Let's dive in . . .

Getting Coordinated: Same As The Old Boss?

Back in January, almost an hour into Brian Schottenheimer's introductory press conference as the new head coach of the Dallas Cowboys, owner and general manager Jerry Jones offered vital intelligence.

Schottenheimer is there to run the offense.

"Let me say this: We wanted Brian to call the plays," Jones said. "We cherish his relationship with our players. We want him to call the plays. As my mind, and our minds, would drift around to alternatives, I believe -- he doesn't have to speak to this, but I believe -- if he doesn't call the plays, he's probably not with the Cowboys."

As Saad Yousuf of The Athletic suggested, that answered one of the most critical questions of the team's future dynamic . . .

Getting It Right

When Jones hired Mike McCarthy in 2020, Kellen Moore had served as offensive coordinator the previous season. Even though McCarthy's background in Green Bay was to be the head coach and play caller, Moore continued as the offensive coordinator and play caller while McCarthy presided over the operation as head coach.

McCarthy expressed regret about that, stating he would do that differently if he had the chance.

Schottenheimer and the Cowboys have that chance, and they're taking it . . .

But There's Still A New Coordinator

Klayton Adams gets the nod as Schottenheimer's OC. Adams' background is on the offensive line. The 41-year-old spent the bulk of his early career in college before making the leap to the pros with the Indianapolis Colts in 2019 as an assistant offensive line coach. He then moved to tight ends coach in Indy for two seasons (2021-22). He spent the past two years as the Arizona Cardinals' offensive line coach.

The plan is for Schottenheimer to call the plays while Adams helps build the weekly game plan.

Not surprisingly, a big part of his job will be to coax better play out of the offensive line . .

Let's Not Diminish That Role

With Adams operating as O-line coach, the Cardinals' rushing attack was ranked seventh in the NFL last season in total rushing yards (2,451) and trailed only the Baltimore Ravens, with the second-best league rushing yards per carry average (5.3 yards per carry).

The Cardinals were also top-10 in rushing touchdowns (18), fifth-most in carries of 20-39 yards (17), and tied for first in the NFL in carries of 40 yards or more (7).

That success had carried over from Adams' inaugural 2023 season in Arizona.

In contrast, the Cowboys struggled to get a rushing attack going due to a committee approach that failed early last year. And while eventually unleashing Rico Dowdle resulted in a career and record-breaking season for the former undrafted running back, the team as a whole was inept when it came to scoring on the ground -- Dallas ranked 32nd in rushing touchdowns (6) and 27th in total rushing yards (1,705) . . .

CONTINUED...

3. SF: Monster extension for Brock Purdy

Source: NFL Network - Ian Rapoport, Mike Garafolo and Tom Pelissero

San Francisco 49ers QB Brock Purdy agreed to terms on a five-year contract extension with the 49ers Friday, May 16, worth $265 million. The deal includes $181 million in guaranteed money, and Purdy will receive $165.05 million in the first three years of the extension.

Our view: For Purdy, "Mr. Irrelevant" as the last pick in the 2022 NFL draft, the new contract will go down as one of the biggest raises in NFL history. Under the terms of his rookie deal, he was set to count just $5.365 million against the cap in 2025. The new deal should come as no surprise. Since he took over as the starter for an injured Garoppolo in Week 13 of 2022, including playoffs, the Niners are 27-15 in games Purday started. In that time, he ranks third in the NFL in passing yards (9,452), first in yards per attempt (8.9) and seventh in touchdown passes (64). In 2024, playing missing key members of his supporting cast, including Christian McCaffrey (Achilles, knee), Brandon Aiyuk (knee), Trent Williams (ankle), tight end George Kittle (hamstring), and receiver Deebo Samuel (calf, illness, ribs) for varying amounts of time, Purdy finished as fantasy's QB13. He sits at QB14 on the 2025 Footballguys Projections. Investors could do worse for their QB2 this year.

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4. CLE: Sanders Will Put in the Work

Source: Matt Connolly - PennLive.com

Matt Connolly, from PennLive.com, reports Cleveland Browns HC Kevin Stefanski said rookie QB Shedeur Sanders is "willing to put in the work" this offseason.

Our view: Sanders' work ethic has never been in question...or at least it should not have been part of the conversation before the draft. He's an incredibly accurate passer with pro level pass placement right now. Sanders holds onto the ball a bit too long, and he needs to get it out of his hands faster to avoid the rush. We'll see how Sanders stacks up in training camp battling with guys like Joe Flacco, Kenny Pickett, and fellow rookie Dillon Gabriel.

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5. MIA: Ollie Gordon II headed for quiet rookie year?

Source: ESPN.com - Mike Clay

Miami Dolphins RB Ollie Gordon II is 'probably still a long shot for real production' as a rookie, according to Mike Clay of ESPN.com.

Our view: Gordon is a talented rookie the Dolphins were able to add out of Oklahoma State in the sixth round of the 2025 NFL Draft. He's got power to his game, and he's an efficient runner who wastes little motion between the tackles. Gordon is competing for the no.3 spot on the depth chart (behind De'Von Achane and Jaylen Wright) with Alexander Mattison. We like stashing Gordon in deep dynasty, but his path to redraft value in 2025 seems cluttered.

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6. IND: Limited role for DJ Giddens?

Source: ESPN.com - Mike Clay

Indianapolis Colts RB DJ Giddens could 'max out' as an early-down backup to RB Jonathan Taylor, according to Mike Clay of ESPN.com.

Our view: Giddens has talent, and the Kansas State rusher is a slashing back who can knife through lanes while eating up yards quickly. He was a productive player for the Wildcats, and his consistency was a hallmark to his game. Giddens looks like the no.3 back for the Colts this year behind Taylor and Khalil Herbert. There's a chance Giddens pushes Herbert for the primary backup job.

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That’s a wrap for today, folks.

Thanks for reading and thanks for being a Footballguy. We’re grateful to be part of your daily routine, and even more grateful to help you stay one step ahead.

We’ll see you tomorrow with more insights, updates, and that fantasy edge you count on.

Peace, Love and Fantasy Football,

J

Joe Bryant

Guide

Written By Joe Bryant. News by Sigmund Bloom, Bob Harris, and Cecil Lammey

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Past Issues:

March 8th • Vol. 28, #7 • 🏆 The Free Agents Bob Harris Is Targeting Right Now
March 5th • Vol. 28, #6 • 🏆 Sigmund Bloom With The News You Need + 2026 Rookie Guide Update
March 1st • Vol. 28, #5 • 🏆 The Week Coaches Say More Than They Should
February 26th • Vol. 28, #4 • 🏆 Sigmund Bloom Has the News You Need
February 22nd • Vol. 28, #3 • 🏆 The Free-Agent QB We're Watching
February 19th • Vol. 28, #2 • 🏆 Sigmund Bloom Has the News That Matters
February 15th • Vol. 28, #1 • 🏆 A.J. Brown: "Change is not a bad thing"

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