Staff Against the Spread Picks, Week 10

Footballguys Staff's Staff Against the Spread Picks, Week 10 Footballguys Staff Published 11/11/2021

Footballguys is proud to return the Footballguys' staff Against the Spread Pool Challenge. Multiple staff members will pick the winner of their eight most confident NFL games against the Las Vegas line. Winners will be announced from week to week, and the best overall record will be crowned Against the Spread Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices.

Please note that this contest should NOT be viewed as direct sports wagering advice, especially later in the season. Since the staff is trying to beat one another, picks may be made to go against the grain trying to catch up in the standings. This example of game theory is more in tune with playing a contest such as this - so again, do not use these picks as direct advice towards which games to pick every week. Rather, use these picks to see the top choices each week, especially the staff members towards the top of the standings.

Here are the specifics:

  • It lasts for 18 weeks
  • Pick 8 games against the spread each week
  • Games are not weighted; each game correctly picked is worth one point in the standings
  • If you miss a week, you will be awarded the lowest score for that week minus 1 point
  • Standing will be determined by the total correct picks
  • Tiebreaker: number of weeks with the most number of correct picks

Last Week's Picks

  • Correct picks are in bold.
  • LW is the number of points earned last week.
  • Tot is the number of points earned this season.
Visiting Team NYJ ATL BUF CLE DEN HOU LV MIN NE LAC ARI GB TEN CHI
Home Team IND NO JAC CIN DAL MIA NYG BAL CAR PHI SF KC LAR PIT
Home Line -10.5 -6.5 +14.5 -2.5 -9.5 -6.5 +2.5 -5.5 +3.5 +1.5 +2.5 -0.5 -7.5 -6.5 Pts YTD
Aaron Rudnicki ATL CLE DAL BAL LAC ARI KC CHI 6 39
Andrew Garda CIN DAL LV BAL ARI KC LAR PIT 2 25
Andy Hicks NO CLE MIA LV NE LAC ARI KC 6 37
Ben Cummins NYJ BUF CIN DAL MIA LAC SF KC 3 39
Clayton Gray CIN DAL MIA NYG CAR PHI SF LAR 2 34
Dan Hindery NYJ NO CIN NYG BAL NE KC LAR 3 37
Danny Tuccitto ATL BUF CIN BAL SF KC LAR PIT 2 30
Dave Kluge NYJ JAC CLE DAL NE LAC ARI LAR 5 36
Jason Wood CLE DAL BAL NE LAC KC LAR PIT 4 37
Jeff Bell BUF CLE DAL LV NE LAC KC LAR 4 35
Jeff Tefertiller BUF DAL BAL NE LAC KC LAR PIT 3 41
Justin Howe NYJ NO BUF CIN DEN HOU LV BAL 1 28
Keith Roberts BUF DAL MIA MIN CAR PHI SF PIT 2 32
Matt Bitonti NYJ CIN DAL MIA LV NE KC PIT 3 35
Matt Carey IND NO DAL LV BAL NE KC PIT 3 39
Phil Alexander DAL HOU NYG BAL LAC KC LAR PIT 3 33
Ryan Weisse NYJ CIN DEN NYG CAR LAC ARI PIT 4 33
William Grant CIN LV NE LAC ARI KC LAR PIT 4 33

Standings

  • Tot is the number of points earned this season.
  • Wk01 is the number of points earned in Week 1.
  • Etc.
  • People who missed picking for a week are awarded the lowest score for that week minus 1 point
Player Total Wk01 Wk02 Wk03 Wk04 Wk05 Wk06 Wk07 Wk08 Wk09 Wk10 Wk11 Wk12 Wk13 Wk14 Wk15 Wk16 Wk17 Wk18
Jeff Tefertiller 41 4 4 *6 6 5 5 5 3 3
Aaron Rudnicki 39 4 4 4 4 *6 5 4 2 *6
Benj Cummins 39 5 4 4 6 3 4 *7 3 3
Matt Carey 39 *6 3 5 4 4 5 4 *5 3
Andy Hicks 37 5 4 4 5 1 4 4 4 *6
Dan Hindery 37 *6 4 4 4 5 4 4 3 3
Jason Wood 37 5 4 3 5 5 *6 2 3 4
Dave Kluge 36 4 3 4 *7 4 2 5 2 5
Jeff Bell 35 0 2 5 6 5 4 5 4 4
Matt Bitonti 35 5 2 5 2 4 4 5 *5 3
Clayton Gray 34 3 3 3 6 4 4 6 3 2
Phil Alexander 33 4 3 3 4 5 2 5 4 3
Ryan Weisse 33 3 *5 2 5 4 4 3 3 4
William Grant 33 3 3 2 4 4 3 6 4 4
Keith Roberts 32 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 3 2
Sean Settle 31 0 4 3 6 4 5 4 *5 0
Danny Tuccitto 30 2 4 5 2 5 1 5 4 2
Justin Howe 28 *6 4 4 3 3 0 4 3 1
Andrew Garda 25 3 2 3 3 5 0 3 4 2

This Week's Picks

  • Tot is the number of points earned this season.

Visiting Team BAL ATL BUF CLE DET JAC NO TB CAR MIN PHI SEA KC LAR
Home Team MIA DAL NYJ NE PIT IND TEN WAS ARI LAC DEN GB LV SF
Home Line +7.5 -9.5 +13.5 -1.5 -9.5 -10.5 -2.5 +9.5 -10.5 -2.5 -2.5 -3.5 +2.5 +3.5 YTD
Aaron Rudnicki BUF DET TEN TB LAC SEA KC LAR 39
Andrew Garda BAL NE IND TEN TB LAC GB KC 25
Andy Hicks ATL NYJ CLE JAC TEN SEA KC LAR 37
Ben Cummins BAL DAL NYJ TEN WAS LAC SEA KC 39
Clayton Gray DAL NYJ JAC TEN WAS MIN PHI LV 34
Dan Hindery ATL NYJ CLE PIT TEN DEN KC LAR 37
Danny Tuccitto MIA NYJ PIT TEN ARI MIN PHI GB 30
Dave Kluge BUF DET TEN TB LAC DEN SEA LAR 36
Jason Wood BAL BUF IND TB LAC DEN KC LAR 37
Jeff Bell BAL BUF CLE IND TEN ARI LAC LAR 35
Jeff Tefertiller BAL DAL IND TB ARI LAC KC LAR 41
Justin Howe MIA ATL NYJ NE DET TEN WAS ARI 28
Keith Roberts BAL NYJ CLE IND TEN TB DEN LAR 32
Matt Bitonti BAL BUF NE PIT TEN LAC GB LAR 35
Matt Carey BAL DAL BUF PIT TB ARI KC LAR 39
Phil Alexander DAL NE DET JAC PHI SEA LV LAR 33
Ryan Weisse ATL IND TB ARI LAC DEN KC LAR 33
Sean Settle NYJ CLE TEN LAC DEN SEA KC LAR 31
William Grant NE TEN TB LAC DEN GB KC LAR 33
Away Picks 8 4 6 5 4 3 0 9 0 2 3 6 11 14
Home Picks 2 5 8 5 4 6 14 3 6 11 7 4 2 0
Total Picks 10 9 14 10 8 9 14 12 6 13 10 10 13 14

Consensus Winners

  • There are three unanimous picks this week.
  • The Titans and Rams have the most backers with 14 each.

Toss-Up Games

  • There are five games with almost an even split in staff picks:
    • Atlanta at Dallas
    • The Bills visiting the Jets
    • New England hosting Cleveland
    • Detroit at Pittsburgh
    • Seattle traveling to Green Bay
  • While unanimous, the game with the least number of picks is Arizona hosting Carolina. The game has only six total selections.

Odds and Ends

As always, the picks are due by Wednesday night. Most of the staff agree that picking this weekend's games on Wednesday night is very difficult because you don't have much information about injuries and practice. If your league allows you to pick the later games separate from the rest, take advantage of it and make your Sunday and Monday picks as close to the weekend as possible.

A reminder that these picks are against the Las Vegas lines – so getting above 50% is respectable, above 53% gets you into the profitable zone (accounting for the Las Vegas house odds of taking 10% of every losing wager) – and anything above 60% is outstanding. That may sound easy enough, but it is much, much harder than it might seem.

Good luck this weekend!

Photos provided by Imagn Images

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