Footballguys is proud to return the Footballguys' staff Against the Spread Pool Challenge. Multiple staff members will pick the winner of their eight most confident NFL games against the Las Vegas line. Winners will be announced from week to week, and the best overall record will be crowned Against the Spread Champion. Picks and ranks are due on Wednesday, so any late-breaking news may not be reflected in the choices.
Please note that this contest should NOT be viewed as direct sports wagering advice, especially later in the season. Since the staff is trying to beat one another, picks may be made to go against the grain trying to catch up in the standings. This example of game theory is more in tune with playing a contest such as this - so again, do not use these picks as direct advice towards which games to pick every week. Rather, use these picks to see the top choices each week, especially the staff members towards the top of the standings.
Here are the specifics:
- It lasts for 18 weeks
- Pick 8 games against the spread each week
- Games are not weighted; each game correctly picked is worth one point in the standings
- If you miss a week, you will be awarded the lowest score for that week minus 1 point
- Standing will be determined by the total correct picks
- Tiebreaker: number of weeks with the most number of correct picks
Last Week's Picks
- Correct picks are in bold.
- LW is the number of points earned last week.
- Tot is the number of points earned this season.
| Visiting Team | BAL | ATL | BUF | CLE | DET | JAC | NO | TB | CAR | MIN | PHI | SEA | KC | LAR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Team | MIA | DAL | NYJ | NE | PIT | IND | TEN | WAS | ARI | LAC | DEN | GB | LV | SF | |
| Home Line | +7.5 | -9.5 | +13.5 | -1.5 | -9.5 | -10.5 | -2.5 | +9.5 | -10.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 | -3.5 | +2.5 | +3.5 | YTD |
| Aaron Rudnicki | BUF | DET | TEN | TB | LAC | SEA | KC | LAR | 42 | ||||||
| Andrew Garda | BAL | NE | IND | TEN | TB | LAC | GB | KC | 28 | ||||||
| Andy Hicks | ATL | NYJ | CLE | JAC | TEN | SEA | KC | LAR | 39 | ||||||
| Ben Cummins | BAL | DAL | NYJ | TEN | WAS | LAC | SEA | KC | 42 | ||||||
| Clayton Gray | DAL | NYJ | JAC | TEN | WAS | MIN | PHI | LV | 39 | ||||||
| Dan Hindery | ATL | NYJ | CLE | PIT | TEN | DEN | KC | LAR | 38 | ||||||
| Danny Tuccitto | MIA | NYJ | PIT | TEN | ARI | MIN | PHI | GB | 34 | ||||||
| Dave Kluge | BUF | DET | TEN | TB | LAC | DEN | SEA | LAR | 38 | ||||||
| Jason Wood | BAL | BUF | IND | TB | LAC | DEN | KC | LAR | 39 | ||||||
| Jeff Bell | BAL | BUF | CLE | IND | TEN | ARI | LAC | LAR | 36 | ||||||
| Jeff Tefertiller | BAL | DAL | IND | TB | ARI | LAC | KC | LAR | 43 | ||||||
| Justin Howe | MIA | ATL | NYJ | NE | DET | TEN | WAS | ARI | 32 | ||||||
| Keith Roberts | BAL | NYJ | CLE | IND | TEN | TB | DEN | LAR | 32 | ||||||
| Matt Bitonti | BAL | BUF | NE | PIT | TEN | LAC | GB | LAR | 38 | ||||||
| Matt Carey | BAL | DAL | BUF | PIT | TB | ARI | KC | LAR | 42 | ||||||
| Phil Alexander | DAL | NE | DET | JAC | PHI | SEA | LV | LAR | 38 | ||||||
| Ryan Weisse | ATL | IND | TB | ARI | LAC | DEN | KC | LAR | 34 | ||||||
| Sean Settle | NYJ | CLE | TEN | LAC | DEN | SEA | KC | LAR | 32 | ||||||
| William Grant | NE | TEN | TB | LAC | DEN | GB | KC | LAR | 36 |
Standings
- Tot is the number of points earned this season.
- Wk01 is the number of points earned in Week 1.
- Etc.
- People who missed picking for a week are awarded the lowest score for that week minus 1 point
| Player | Total | Wk01 | Wk02 | Wk03 | Wk04 | Wk05 | Wk06 | Wk07 | Wk08 | Wk09 | Wk10 | Wk11 | Wk12 | Wk13 | Wk14 | Wk15 | Wk16 | Wk17 | Wk18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Tefertiller | 43 | 4 | 4 | *6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | ||||||||
| Aaron Rudnicki | 42 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | *6 | 5 | 4 | 2 | *6 | 3 | ||||||||
| Benjamin Cummins | 42 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 4 | *7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||
| Matt Carey | 42 | *6 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | *5 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||
| Clayton Gray | 39 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | *5 | ||||||||
| Andy Hicks | 39 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 4 | *6 | 2 | ||||||||
| Jason Wood | 39 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | *6 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | ||||||||
| Dan Hindery | 38 | *6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | ||||||||
| Dave Kluge | 38 | 4 | 3 | 4 | *7 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | ||||||||
| Matt Bitonti | 38 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 5 | *5 | 3 | 3 | ||||||||
| Phil Alexander | 38 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 3 | *5 | ||||||||
| Jeff Bell | 36 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||
| William Grant | 36 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | ||||||||
| Danny Tuccitto | 34 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | ||||||||
| Ryan Weisse | 34 | 3 | *5 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | ||||||||
| Justin Howe | 32 | *6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | ||||||||
| Keith Roberts | 32 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | ||||||||
| Sean Settle | 32 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 4 | *5 | 0 | 1 | ||||||||
| Andrew Garda | 28 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
This Week's Picks
- Tot is the number of points earned this season.
| Visiting Team | NE | BAL | DET | GB | HOU | IND | MIA | NO | SF | WAS | CIN | ARI | DAL | PIT | NYG | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home Team | ATL | CHI | CLE | MIN | TEN | BUF | NYJ | PHI | JAC | CAR | LV | SEA | KC | LAC | TB | |
| Home Line | +6.5 | +6.5 | -9.5 | +2.5 | -10.5 | -7.5 | +2.5 | -1.5 | +6.5 | -3.5 | +0.5 | +2.5 | -2.5 | -4.5 | -10.5 | YTD |
| Aaron Rudnicki | NE | GB | IND | MIA | NO | CIN | SEA | LAC | 42 | |||||||
| Andrew Garda | NE | GB | MIA | PHI | SF | CAR | LV | LAC | 28 | |||||||
| Andy Hicks | DET | GB | MIA | JAC | CAR | KC | PIT | NYG | 39 | |||||||
| Ben Cummins | NE | MIN | IND | SF | CAR | CIN | SEA | LAC | 42 | |||||||
| Clayton Gray | NE | CHI | MIN | PHI | CAR | LV | DAL | NYG | 39 | |||||||
| Dan Hindery | ATL | CHI | MIN | TEN | MIA | WAS | SEA | PIT | 38 | |||||||
| Danny Tuccitto | ATL | CHI | CLE | TEN | IND | JAC | KC | NYG | 34 | |||||||
| Jason Wood | NE | BAL | GB | PHI | CAR | CIN | ARI | DAL | 39 | |||||||
| Jeff Bell | BAL | CLE | TEN | MIA | NO | CAR | CIN | ARI | 36 | |||||||
| Jeff Haseley | NE | CHI | IND | CAR | LV | SEA | KC | LAC | 11 | |||||||
| Jeff Tefertiller | NE | GB | TEN | MIA | SF | ARI | DAL | LAC | 43 | |||||||
| Justin Howe | NE | BAL | CLE | GB | TEN | IND | MIA | PHI | 32 | |||||||
| Keith Roberts | NE | GB | TEN | MIA | PHI | CAR | ARI | KC | 32 | |||||||
| Matt Bitonti | NE | CHI | CLE | MIN | TEN | PHI | JAC | ARI | 38 | |||||||
| Matt Carey | CLE | BUF | NYJ | SF | CIN | KC | LAC | TB | 42 | |||||||
| Phil Alexander | ATL | MIN | MIA | PHI | WAS | SEA | DAL | TB | 38 | |||||||
| Sean Settle | BAL | GB | MIA | SF | CIN | ARI | KC | LAC | 32 | |||||||
| Will Grant | NE | DET | TEN | MIA | NO | WAS | LAC | TB | 36 | |||||||
| Away Picks | 11 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3 | |
| Home Picks | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 3 | |
| Total Picks | 14 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 6 |
Consensus Winners
- There is only one unanimous pick this week -- Tennessee.
- The Patriots and Dolphins have the most backers with 11 each.
Toss-Up Games
- There are five games with almost an even split in staff picks:
- Baltimore at Chicago
- San Francisco at Jacksonville
- Arizona at Seattle
- Dallas at Kansas City
- NY Giants at Tampa Bay
- The two games with the least number of picks Indianapolis at Buffalo and the Giants visiting the Buccaneers. They each have only six total selections.
Odds and Ends
As always, the picks are due by Wednesday night. Most of the staff agree that picking this weekend's games on Wednesday night is very difficult because you don't have much information about injuries and practice. If your league allows you to pick the later games separate from the rest, take advantage of it and make your Sunday and Monday picks as close to the weekend as possible.
A reminder that these picks are against the Las Vegas lines – so getting above 50% is respectable, above 53% gets you into the profitable zone (accounting for the Las Vegas house odds of taking 10% of every losing wager) – and anything above 60% is outstanding. That may sound easy enough, but it is much, much harder than it might seem.
Good luck this weekend!